PRL

Pearl · native · gru_s2

token id: #318
symbol: PRL
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-03-25
predictions: 606

Track record at +1d

assessed

201

of 202 predictions shown

direction hit

43.8%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0541

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0047

actual -0.0030

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.09683	0.09638	-0.47%	–	pending	–	–	-0.49
2026-10-20	oos	0.09595	0.095611	-0.35%	0.09683	+0.92%	0.0112	✗	-0.49
2026-10-19	oos	0.086455	0.08647	+0.02%	0.09595	+10.98%	0.1110	✓	-0.52
2026-10-18	oos	0.089395	0.089336	-0.07%	0.086455	-3.29%	0.0338	✓	-0.51
2026-10-17	oos	0.09256	0.092341	-0.24%	0.089395	-3.42%	0.0286	✓	-0.50
2026-10-16	oos	0.09638	0.096021	-0.37%	0.09256	-3.96%	0.0375	✓	-0.51
2026-10-15	oos	0.098895	0.098486	-0.41%	0.09638	-2.54%	0.0255	✓	-0.51
2026-10-14	oos	0.10321	0.102682	-0.51%	0.098895	-4.18%	0.0342	✓	-0.50
2026-10-13	oos	0.1071	0.106442	-0.61%	0.10321	-3.63%	0.0406	✓	-0.52
2026-10-12	oos	0.10897	0.108265	-0.65%	0.1071	-1.72%	0.0023	✓	-0.52
2026-10-11	oos	0.11286	0.112019	-0.75%	0.10897	-3.45%	0.0383	✓	-0.46
2026-10-10	oos	0.11281	0.111977	-0.74%	0.11286	+0.04%	0.0118	✗	-0.43
2026-10-09	oos	0.112985	0.112126	-0.76%	0.11281	-0.15%	0.0080	✗	-0.43
2026-10-08	oos	0.112445	0.111658	-0.70%	0.112985	+0.48%	0.0162	✗	-0.43
2026-10-07	oos	0.112855	0.111746	-0.98%	0.112445	-0.36%	0.0018	✓	-0.42
2026-10-06	oos	0.114295	0.112744	-1.36%	0.112855	-1.26%	0.0108	✓	-0.44
2026-10-05	oos	0.1153	0.113489	-1.57%	0.114295	-0.87%	0.0061	✓	-0.38
2026-10-04	oos	0.115245	0.113641	-1.39%	0.1153	+0.05%	0.0111	✓	-0.38
2026-10-03	oos	0.11641	0.114469	-1.67%	0.115245	-1.00%	0.0144	✓	-0.37
2026-10-02	oos	0.1163	0.114616	-1.45%	0.11641	+0.09%	0.0166	✗	-0.38
2026-10-01	oos	0.117695	0.116405	-1.10%	0.1163	-1.19%	0.0024	✓	-0.38
2026-09-30	oos	0.11663	0.115705	-0.79%	0.117695	+0.91%	0.0225	✗	-0.35
2026-09-29	oos	0.116075	0.115379	-0.60%	0.11663	+0.48%	0.0104	✗	-0.34
2026-09-28	oos	0.115385	0.114813	-0.50%	0.116075	+0.60%	0.0116	✗	-0.31
2026-09-27	oos	0.12233	0.121585	-0.61%	0.115385	-5.68%	0.0560	✓	-0.31
2026-09-26	oos	0.12269	0.12197	-0.59%	0.12233	-0.29%	0.0031	✓	-0.29
2026-09-25	oos	0.12086	0.120211	-0.54%	0.12269	+1.51%	0.0216	✗	-0.30
2026-09-24	oos	0.11888	0.1183	-0.49%	0.12086	+1.67%	0.0204	✗	-0.30
2026-09-23	oos	0.11387	0.113407	-0.41%	0.11888	+4.40%	0.0472	✗	-0.30
2026-09-22	oos	0.12082	0.119769	-0.87%	0.11387	-5.75%	0.0583	✓	-0.36
2026-09-21	oos	0.118115	0.116589	-1.29%	0.12082	+2.29%	0.0341	✗	-0.33
2026-09-20	oos	0.11549	0.114816	-0.58%	0.118115	+2.27%	0.0559	✗	-0.43
2026-09-19	oos	0.11687	0.115962	-0.78%	0.11549	-1.18%	0.0045	✓	-0.43
2026-09-18	oos	0.11423	0.113378	-0.75%	0.11687	+2.31%	0.0322	✗	-0.42
2026-09-17	oos	0.1089	0.108889	-0.01%	0.11423	+4.89%	0.0793	✗	-0.55
2026-09-16	oos	0.1093	0.109434	+0.12%	0.1089	-0.37%	0.0034	✗	-0.55
2026-09-15	oos	0.107435	0.107815	+0.35%	0.1093	+1.74%	0.0175	✓	-0.52
2026-09-14	oos	0.113295	0.113188	-0.09%	0.107435	-5.17%	0.0710	✓	-0.56
2026-09-13	oos	0.110605	0.110943	+0.31%	0.113295	+2.43%	0.0305	✓	-0.54
2026-09-12	oos	0.117375	0.117446	+0.06%	0.110605	-5.77%	0.0633	✗	-0.56
2026-09-11	oos	0.1145	0.114884	+0.33%	0.117375	+2.51%	0.0219	✓	-0.56
2026-09-10	oos	0.10966	0.110573	+0.83%	0.1145	+4.41%	0.0398	✓	-0.56
2026-09-09	oos	0.117875	0.11821	+0.28%	0.10966	-6.97%	0.0891	✗	-0.62
2026-09-08	oos	0.125695	0.125442	-0.20%	0.117875	-6.22%	0.0632	✓	-0.49
2026-09-07	oos	0.13255	0.131271	-0.97%	0.125695	-5.17%	0.0475	✓	-0.50
2026-09-06	oos	0.12763	0.127096	-0.42%	0.13255	+3.85%	0.0351	✗	-0.44
2026-09-05	oos	0.12613	0.125958	-0.14%	0.12763	+1.19%	0.0161	✗	-0.46
2026-09-04	oos	0.12391	0.124531	+0.50%	0.12613	+1.79%	0.0136	✓	-0.41
2026-09-03	oos	0.12911	0.130033	+0.71%	0.12391	-4.03%	0.0568	✗	-0.44
2026-09-02	oos	0.13655	0.137633	+0.79%	0.12911	-5.45%	0.0507	✗	-0.27
2026-09-01	oos	0.14876	0.149553	+0.53%	0.13655	-8.21%	0.0913	✗	-0.26
2026-08-31	oos	0.15862	0.159313	+0.44%	0.14876	-6.22%	0.0738	✗	-0.35
2026-08-30	oos	0.17393	0.174474	+0.31%	0.15862	-8.80%	0.0922	✗	-0.27
2026-08-29	oos	0.18234	0.182821	+0.26%	0.17393	-4.61%	0.0517	✗	-0.25
2026-08-28	oos	0.187175	0.187492	+0.17%	0.18234	-2.58%	0.0266	✗	-0.25
2026-08-27	oos	0.20275	0.203017	+0.13%	0.187175	-7.68%	0.0906	✗	-0.30
2026-08-26	oos	0.20398	0.204086	+0.05%	0.20275	-0.60%	0.0018	✗	-0.30
2026-08-25	oos	0.21216	0.212139	-0.01%	0.20398	-3.86%	0.0371	✓	-0.34
2026-08-24	oos	0.219885	0.219742	-0.07%	0.21216	-3.51%	0.0370	✓	-0.32
2026-08-23	oos	0.2312	0.230947	-0.11%	0.219885	-4.89%	0.0449	✓	-0.26
2026-08-22	oos	0.2294	0.229315	-0.04%	0.2312	+0.78%	0.0105	✗	-0.27
2026-08-21	oos	0.25231	0.252621	+0.12%	0.2294	-9.08%	0.1016	✗	-0.31
2026-08-20	oos	0.25681	0.256496	-0.12%	0.25231	-1.75%	0.0053	✗	-0.31
2026-08-19	oos	0.31667	0.314541	-0.67%	0.25681	-18.90%	0.2053	✓	0.05
2026-08-18	oos	0.44811	0.441917	-1.38%	0.31667	-29.33%	0.3974	✓	0.93
2026-08-17	oos	0.39028	0.38657	-0.95%	0.44811	+14.82%	0.1449	✗	0.90
2026-08-16	oos	0.39762	0.393893	-0.94%	0.39028	-1.85%	0.0337	✓	0.95
2026-08-15	oos	0.354585	0.351879	-0.76%	0.39762	+12.14%	0.1250	✗	0.95
2026-08-14	oos	0.35075	0.348252	-0.71%	0.354585	+1.09%	0.0174	✗	0.95
2026-08-13	oos	0.300195	0.298739	-0.48%	0.35075	+16.84%	0.1677	✗	1.01
2026-08-12	oos	0.323825	0.321954	-0.58%	0.300195	-7.30%	0.0702	✓	1.10
2026-08-11	oos	0.330115	0.327844	-0.69%	0.323825	-1.91%	0.0103	✓	1.06
2026-08-10	oos	0.304755	0.302826	-0.63%	0.330115	+8.32%	0.0927	✗	1.07
2026-08-09	oos	0.2748	0.273254	-0.56%	0.304755	+10.90%	0.1257	✗	1.14
2026-08-08	oos	0.300765	0.298374	-0.79%	0.2748	-8.63%	0.0812	✓	1.15
2026-08-07	oos	0.284025	0.281747	-0.80%	0.300765	+5.89%	0.0650	✗	1.08
2026-08-06	oos	0.279705	0.277601	-0.75%	0.284025	+1.54%	0.0125	✗	1.08
2026-08-05	oos	0.27185	0.269814	-0.75%	0.279705	+2.89%	0.0417	✗	1.09
2026-08-04	oos	0.257085	0.25542	-0.65%	0.27185	+5.74%	0.0533	✗	1.05
2026-08-03	oos	0.25844	0.256681	-0.68%	0.257085	-0.52%	0.0079	✓	1.03
2026-08-02	oos	0.2655	0.263183	-0.87%	0.25844	-2.66%	0.0176	✓	1.06
2026-08-01	oos	0.24187	0.240338	-0.63%	0.2655	+9.77%	0.0874	✗	1.04
2026-07-31	oos	0.24613	0.243588	-1.03%	0.24187	-1.73%	0.0061	✓	1.04
2026-07-30	oos	0.24718	0.242724	-1.80%	0.24613	-0.42%	0.0459	✗	1.08
2026-07-29	oos	0.2118	0.209756	-0.97%	0.24718	+16.70%	0.1528	✗	0.89
2026-07-28	oos	0.18124	0.180505	-0.41%	0.2118	+16.86%	0.1592	✗	0.84
2026-07-27	oos	0.180795	0.179916	-0.49%	0.18124	+0.25%	0.0053	✗	0.86
2026-07-26	oos	0.19156	0.190155	-0.73%	0.180795	-5.62%	0.0303	✓	0.79
2026-07-25	oos	0.180655	0.179842	-0.45%	0.19156	+6.04%	0.0541	✗	0.56
2026-07-24	oos	0.17977	0.178792	-0.54%	0.180655	+0.49%	0.0084	✗	0.59
2026-07-23	oos	0.17194	0.171134	-0.47%	0.17977	+4.55%	0.0584	✗	0.61
2026-07-22	oos	0.170375	0.169873	-0.29%	0.17194	+0.92%	0.0218	✗	0.61
2026-07-21	oos	0.176875	0.176422	-0.26%	0.170375	-3.67%	0.0310	✓	0.60
2026-07-20	oos	0.17387	0.173286	-0.34%	0.176875	+1.73%	0.0085	✗	0.61
2026-07-19	oos	0.17227	0.171687	-0.34%	0.17387	+0.93%	0.0076	✗	0.61
2026-07-18	oos	0.1727	0.172233	-0.27%	0.17227	-0.25%	0.0015	✓	0.74
2026-07-17	oos	0.17012	0.169684	-0.26%	0.1727	+1.52%	0.0081	✗	0.68
2026-07-16	oos	0.168865	0.168462	-0.24%	0.17012	+0.74%	0.0082	✗	0.84
2026-07-15	oos	0.16945	0.169059	-0.23%	0.168865	-0.35%	0.0087	✗	0.67
2026-07-14	oos	0.175085	0.174614	-0.27%	0.16945	-3.22%	0.0268	✓	0.76
2026-07-13	oos	0.165275	0.164894	-0.23%	0.175085	+5.94%	0.0289	✗	0.73
2026-07-12	oos	0.170995	0.170509	-0.28%	0.165275	-3.35%	0.0145	✓	0.71
2026-07-11	oos	0.16921	0.168774	-0.26%	0.170995	+1.05%	0.0134	✗	0.57
2026-07-10	oos	0.173995	0.173528	-0.27%	0.16921	-2.75%	0.0225	✓	0.48
2026-07-09	oos	0.16962	0.169173	-0.26%	0.173995	+2.58%	0.0210	✗	0.47
2026-07-08	oos	0.172195	0.171594	-0.35%	0.16962	-1.50%	0.0184	✓	0.46
2026-07-07	oos	0.18963	0.188766	-0.46%	0.172195	-9.19%	0.0850	✓	0.40
2026-07-06	oos	0.19	0.189145	-0.45%	0.18963	-0.19%	0.0067	✗	0.39
2026-07-05	oos	0.172495	0.171905	-0.34%	0.19	+10.15%	0.0978	✗	0.35
2026-07-04	oos	0.184115	0.182953	-0.63%	0.172495	-6.31%	0.0618	✓	0.37
2026-07-03	oos	0.17919	0.178004	-0.66%	0.184115	+2.75%	0.0295	✗	0.47
2026-07-02	oos	0.167965	0.166782	-0.70%	0.17919	+6.68%	0.0639	✗	0.47
2026-07-01	oos	0.16593	0.164126	-1.09%	0.167965	+1.23%	0.0114	✗	0.47
2026-06-30	oos	0.15907	0.156977	-1.32%	0.16593	+4.31%	0.0442	✗	0.47
2026-06-29	oos	0.16325	0.161754	-0.92%	0.15907	-2.56%	0.0042	✓	0.45
2026-06-28	oos	0.154175	0.153313	-0.56%	0.16325	+5.89%	0.0591	✗	0.32
2026-06-27	oos	0.150835	0.150145	-0.46%	0.154175	+2.21%	0.0284	✗	0.24
2026-06-26	oos	0.14411	0.143758	-0.24%	0.150835	+4.67%	0.0483	✗	0.23
2026-06-25	oos	0.14418	0.143663	-0.36%	0.14411	-0.05%	0.0019	✓	0.23
2026-06-24	oos	0.1387	0.138649	-0.04%	0.14418	+3.95%	0.0494	✗	0.48
2026-06-23	oos	0.14184	0.141841	+0.00%	0.1387	-2.21%	0.0153	✗	0.26
2026-06-22	oos	0.13865	0.138752	+0.07%	0.14184	+2.30%	0.0278	✓	0.28
2026-06-21	oos	0.14252	0.142558	+0.03%	0.13865	-2.72%	0.0311	✗	0.29
2026-06-20	oos	0.14479	0.144868	+0.05%	0.14252	-1.57%	0.0119	✗	0.29
2026-06-19	oos	0.144445	0.144597	+0.11%	0.14479	+0.24%	0.0020	✗	0.29
2026-06-18	oos	0.151155	0.151234	+0.05%	0.144445	-4.44%	0.0488	✗	0.30
2026-06-17	oos	0.15744	0.157449	+0.01%	0.151155	-3.99%	0.0340	✗	0.28
2026-06-16	oos	0.16476	0.164648	-0.07%	0.15744	-4.44%	0.0401	✓	0.26
2026-06-15	oos	0.18421	0.183732	-0.26%	0.16476	-10.56%	0.1067	✓	0.23
2026-06-14	oos	0.19015	0.189495	-0.34%	0.18421	-3.12%	0.0303	✓	0.24
2026-06-13	oos	0.195935	0.195104	-0.42%	0.19015	-2.95%	0.0308	✓	0.26
2026-06-12	oos	0.191665	0.19083	-0.44%	0.195935	+2.23%	0.0229	✗	0.25
2026-06-11	oos	0.1988	0.197413	-0.70%	0.191665	-3.59%	0.0294	✓	0.25
2026-06-10	oos	0.17579	0.175487	-0.17%	0.1988	+13.09%	0.1205	✗	0.13
2026-06-09	oos	0.179975	0.179343	-0.35%	0.17579	-2.33%	0.0195	✓	0.12
2026-06-08	oos	0.18887	0.187234	-0.87%	0.179975	-4.71%	0.0375	✓	0.09
2026-06-07	oos	0.178	0.176036	-1.10%	0.18887	+6.11%	0.0707	✗	0.10
2026-06-06	oos	0.17343	0.172096	-0.77%	0.178	+2.64%	0.0311	✗	0.07
2026-06-05	oos	0.17492	0.172974	-1.11%	0.17343	-0.85%	0.0028	✓	0.07
2026-06-04	oos	0.18829	0.185113	-1.69%	0.17492	-7.10%	0.0588	✓	-0.05
2026-06-03	oos	0.20735	0.203649	-1.79%	0.18829	-9.19%	0.0786	✓	-0.06
2026-06-02	oos	0.19479	0.192503	-1.17%	0.20735	+6.45%	0.0756	✗	0.03
2026-06-01	oos	0.19786	0.197067	-0.40%	0.19479	-1.55%	0.0130	✓	-0.02
2026-05-31	oos	0.20331	0.202595	-0.35%	0.19786	-2.68%	0.0258	✓	-0.07
2026-05-30	oos	0.20295	0.202153	-0.39%	0.20331	+0.18%	0.0055	✗	-0.07
2026-05-29	oos	0.181715	0.181905	+0.10%	0.20295	+11.69%	0.1100	✓	-0.10
2026-05-28	oos	0.17852	0.178741	+0.12%	0.181715	+1.79%	0.0163	✓	-0.09
2026-05-27	oos	0.15387	0.155717	+1.20%	0.17852	+16.02%	0.1366	✓	-0.01
2026-05-26	oos	0.16026	0.1624	+1.34%	0.15387	-3.99%	0.0550	✗	-0.05
2026-05-25	oos	0.17268	0.17474	+1.19%	0.16026	-7.19%	0.0889	✗	-0.13
2026-05-24	oos	0.17963	0.181674	+1.14%	0.17268	-3.87%	0.0503	✗	-0.13
2026-05-23	oos	0.191655	0.1934	+0.91%	0.17963	-6.27%	0.0734	✗	-0.12
2026-05-22	oos	0.18882	0.190672	+0.98%	0.191655	+1.50%	0.0071	✓	-0.13
2026-05-21	oos	0.19739	0.198909	+0.77%	0.18882	-4.34%	0.0578	✗	-0.21
2026-05-20	oos	0.200525	0.201965	+0.72%	0.19739	-1.56%	0.0227	✗	-0.21
2026-05-19	oos	0.200605	0.202431	+0.91%	0.200525	-0.04%	0.0076	✓	-0.21
2026-05-18	oos	0.206865	0.2086	+0.84%	0.200605	-3.03%	0.0396	✗	-0.21
2026-05-17	oos	0.19963	0.202573	+1.47%	0.206865	+3.62%	0.0198	✓	-0.20
2026-05-16	oos	0.20361	0.205989	+1.17%	0.19963	-1.95%	0.0333	✗	-0.22
2026-05-15	oos	0.219995	0.22034	+0.16%	0.20361	-7.45%	0.0824	✗	-0.29
2026-05-14	oos	0.2512	0.249187	-0.80%	0.219995	-12.42%	0.1379	✓	-0.53
2026-05-13	oos	0.25513	0.253369	-0.69%	0.2512	-1.54%	0.0028	✓	-0.51
2026-05-12	oos	0.25496	0.253006	-0.77%	0.25513	+0.07%	0.0004	✓	-0.53
2026-05-11	oos	0.27403	0.271545	-0.91%	0.25496	-6.96%	0.0728	✓	-0.64
2026-05-10	oos	0.27135	0.26889	-0.91%	0.27403	+0.99%	0.0152	✗	-0.64
2026-05-09	oos	0.28986	0.286692	-1.09%	0.27135	-6.39%	0.0442	✓	-0.57
2026-05-08	oos	0.28383	0.280805	-1.07%	0.28986	+2.12%	0.0351	✗	-0.57
2026-05-07	oos	0.27438	0.27168	-0.98%	0.28383	+3.44%	0.0451	✗	-0.57
2026-05-06	oos	0.26746	0.26463	-1.06%	0.27438	+2.59%	0.0261	✗	-0.57
2026-05-05	oos	0.283635	0.279952	-1.30%	0.26746	-5.70%	0.0420	✓	-0.55
2026-05-04	oos	0.26549	0.263074	-0.91%	0.283635	+6.83%	0.0830	✗	-0.59
2026-05-03	oos	0.25235	0.250615	-0.69%	0.26549	+5.21%	0.0681	✗	-0.64
2026-05-02	oos	0.26266	0.261088	-0.60%	0.25235	-3.93%	0.0351	✓	-0.65
2026-05-01	oos	0.25282	0.251616	-0.48%	0.26266	+3.89%	0.0467	✗	-0.66
2026-04-30	oos	0.28061	0.278183	-0.87%	0.25282	-9.90%	0.0833	✓	-0.49
2026-04-29	oos	0.31369	0.308896	-1.53%	0.28061	-10.55%	0.0928	✓	-0.44
2026-04-28	oos	0.35463	0.344507	-2.85%	0.31369	-11.54%	0.0977	✓	-0.54
2026-04-27	oos	0.3251	0.312368	-3.92%	0.35463	+9.08%	0.1204	✗	-0.48
2026-04-26	oos	0.22072	0.218228	-1.13%	0.3251	+47.29%	0.3995	✗	0.06
2026-04-25	oos	0.20786	0.205853	-0.97%	0.22072	+6.19%	0.0695	✗	0.02
2026-04-24	oos	0.205465	0.203513	-0.95%	0.20786	+1.17%	0.0211	✗	0.02
2026-04-23	oos	0.20197	0.200496	-0.73%	0.205465	+1.73%	0.0350	✗	1.00
2026-04-22	oos	0.23358	0.23108	-1.07%	0.20197	-13.53%	0.1356	✓	1.00
2026-04-21	oos	0.22605	0.223241	-1.24%	0.23358	+3.33%	0.0212	✗	1.00
2026-04-20	oos	0.22024	0.217755	-1.13%	0.22605	+2.64%	0.0310	✗	1.00
2026-04-19	oos	0.19005	0.188263	-0.94%	0.22024	+15.89%	0.1296	✗	1.00
2026-04-18	oos	0.18005	0.179109	-0.52%	0.19005	+5.55%	0.0849	✗	1.00
2026-04-17	oos	0.24832	0.246369	-0.79%	0.18005	-27.49%	0.2958	✓	1.00
2026-04-16	oos	0.29724	0.288281	-3.01%	0.24832	-16.46%	0.1746	✓	1.00
2026-04-15	oos	0.18078	0.18033	-0.25%	0.29724	+64.42%	0.4954	✗	1.00
2026-04-14	oos	0.17941	0.178964	-0.25%	0.18078	+0.76%	0.0013	✓	1.00
2026-04-13	oos	0.17572	0.175383	-0.19%	0.17941	+2.10%	0.0263	✗	1.00
2026-04-12	oos	0.18519	0.184095	-0.59%	0.17572	-5.11%	0.0974	✓	1.00
2026-04-11	oos	0.17241	0.171729	-0.39%	0.18519	+7.41%	0.1079	✗	1.00
2026-04-10	oos	0.16176	0.161265	-0.31%	0.17241	+6.58%	0.0656	✗	1.00
2026-04-09	oos	0.16878	0.168115	-0.39%	0.16176	-4.16%	0.0551	✓	1.00
2026-04-08	oos	0.17473	0.173892	-0.48%	0.16878	-3.41%	0.0398	✓	1.00
2026-04-07	oos	0.17153	0.170777	-0.44%	0.17473	+1.87%	0.0344	✗	1.00
2026-04-06	oos	0.17115	0.170025	-0.66%	0.17153	+0.22%	0.0346	✓	1.00
2026-04-05	oos	0.19287	0.191088	-0.92%	0.17115	-11.26%	0.1080	✓	1.00
2026-04-04	oos	0.16536	0.164092	-0.77%	0.19287	+16.64%	0.1364	✗	1.00
2026-04-03	oos	0.14425	0.143488	-0.53%	0.16536	+14.63%	0.1369	✗	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.