PRL

Pearl · native · gru_s2

token id: #318
symbol: PRL
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-03-25
predictions: 609

Track record at +30d

assessed

173

of 203 predictions shown

direction hit

65.9%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.3550

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0720

actual -0.1645

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.099715	0.095055	-4.67%	–	pending	–	–	-0.46
2026-10-21	oos	0.099215	0.095647	-3.60%	–	pending	–	–	-0.48
2026-10-20	oos	0.09595	0.0926	-3.49%	–	pending	–	–	-0.49
2026-10-19	oos	0.086455	0.084387	-2.39%	–	pending	–	–	-0.52
2026-10-18	oos	0.089395	0.086796	-2.91%	–	pending	–	–	-0.51
2026-10-17	oos	0.09256	0.089712	-3.08%	–	pending	–	–	-0.50
2026-10-16	oos	0.09638	0.092783	-3.73%	–	pending	–	–	-0.51
2026-10-15	oos	0.098895	0.094679	-4.26%	–	pending	–	–	-0.51
2026-10-14	oos	0.10321	0.097505	-5.53%	–	pending	–	–	-0.50
2026-10-13	oos	0.1071	0.100381	-6.27%	–	pending	–	–	-0.52
2026-10-12	oos	0.10897	0.100975	-7.34%	–	pending	–	–	-0.52
2026-10-11	oos	0.11286	0.10277	-8.94%	–	pending	–	–	-0.46
2026-10-10	oos	0.11281	0.102444	-9.19%	–	pending	–	–	-0.43
2026-10-09	oos	0.112985	0.10189	-9.82%	–	pending	–	–	-0.43
2026-10-08	oos	0.112445	0.101003	-10.18%	–	pending	–	–	-0.43
2026-10-07	oos	0.112855	0.100547	-10.91%	–	pending	–	–	-0.42
2026-10-06	oos	0.114295	0.101468	-11.22%	–	pending	–	–	-0.44
2026-10-05	oos	0.1153	0.102075	-11.47%	–	pending	–	–	-0.38
2026-10-04	oos	0.115245	0.10255	-11.02%	–	pending	–	–	-0.38
2026-10-03	oos	0.11641	0.102179	-12.22%	–	pending	–	–	-0.37
2026-10-02	oos	0.1163	0.101613	-12.63%	–	pending	–	–	-0.38
2026-10-01	oos	0.117695	0.102189	-13.17%	–	pending	–	–	-0.38
2026-09-30	oos	0.11663	0.100384	-13.93%	–	pending	–	–	-0.35
2026-09-29	oos	0.116075	0.099803	-14.02%	–	pending	–	–	-0.34
2026-09-28	oos	0.115385	0.098747	-14.42%	–	pending	–	–	-0.31
2026-09-27	oos	0.12233	0.103899	-15.07%	–	pending	–	–	-0.31
2026-09-26	oos	0.12269	0.103563	-15.59%	–	pending	–	–	-0.29
2026-09-25	oos	0.12086	0.101762	-15.80%	–	pending	–	–	-0.30
2026-09-24	oos	0.11888	0.099748	-16.09%	–	pending	–	–	-0.30
2026-09-23	oos	0.11387	0.095217	-16.38%	–	pending	–	–	-0.30
2026-09-22	oos	0.12082	0.100959	-16.44%	0.099715	-17.47%	0.0209	✓	-0.36
2026-09-21	oos	0.118115	0.099006	-16.18%	0.099215	-16.00%	0.0080	✓	-0.33
2026-09-20	oos	0.11549	0.097006	-16.01%	0.09595	-16.92%	0.0017	✓	-0.43
2026-09-19	oos	0.11687	0.098224	-15.95%	0.086455	-26.02%	0.1244	✓	-0.43
2026-09-18	oos	0.11423	0.097102	-14.99%	0.089395	-21.74%	0.0768	✓	-0.42
2026-09-17	oos	0.1089	0.095698	-12.12%	0.09256	-15.00%	0.0015	✓	-0.55
2026-09-16	oos	0.1093	0.096649	-11.57%	0.09638	-11.82%	0.0349	✓	-0.55
2026-09-15	oos	0.107435	0.096108	-10.54%	0.098895	-7.95%	0.0715	✓	-0.52
2026-09-14	oos	0.113295	0.099966	-11.77%	0.10321	-8.90%	0.0557	✓	-0.56
2026-09-13	oos	0.110605	0.099301	-10.22%	0.1071	-3.17%	0.1179	✗	-0.54
2026-09-12	oos	0.117375	0.104482	-10.98%	0.10897	-7.16%	0.0733	✓	-0.56
2026-09-11	oos	0.1145	0.103195	-9.87%	0.11286	-1.43%	0.1347	✗	-0.56
2026-09-10	oos	0.10966	0.100519	-8.34%	0.11281	+2.87%	0.1602	✗	-0.56
2026-09-09	oos	0.117875	0.106464	-9.68%	0.112985	-4.15%	0.0923	✓	-0.62
2026-09-08	oos	0.125695	0.112263	-10.69%	0.112445	-10.54%	0.0214	✓	-0.49
2026-09-07	oos	0.13255	0.117632	-11.25%	0.112855	-14.86%	0.0156	✓	-0.50
2026-09-06	oos	0.12763	0.114385	-10.38%	0.114295	-10.45%	0.0269	✓	-0.44
2026-09-05	oos	0.12613	0.114465	-9.25%	0.1153	-8.59%	0.0398	✓	-0.46
2026-09-04	oos	0.12391	0.113083	-8.74%	0.115245	-6.99%	0.0523	✓	-0.41
2026-09-03	oos	0.12911	0.118187	-8.46%	0.11641	-9.84%	0.0031	✓	-0.44
2026-09-02	oos	0.13655	0.124653	-8.71%	0.1163	-14.83%	0.0457	✓	-0.27
2026-09-01	oos	0.14876	0.135206	-9.11%	0.117695	-20.88%	0.1150	✓	-0.26
2026-08-31	oos	0.15862	0.144599	-8.84%	0.11663	-26.47%	0.1932	✓	-0.35
2026-08-30	oos	0.17393	0.15869	-8.76%	0.116075	-33.26%	0.2930	✓	-0.27
2026-08-29	oos	0.18234	0.167659	-8.05%	0.115385	-36.72%	0.3576	✓	-0.25
2026-08-28	oos	0.187175	0.173704	-7.20%	0.12233	-34.64%	0.3305	✓	-0.25
2026-08-27	oos	0.20275	0.192312	-5.15%	0.12269	-39.49%	0.4342	✓	-0.30
2026-08-26	oos	0.20398	0.194657	-4.57%	0.12086	-40.75%	0.4578	✓	-0.30
2026-08-25	oos	0.21216	0.203937	-3.88%	0.11888	-43.97%	0.5154	✓	-0.34
2026-08-24	oos	0.219885	0.213121	-3.08%	0.11387	-48.21%	0.6057	✓	-0.32
2026-08-23	oos	0.2312	0.223339	-3.40%	0.12082	-47.74%	0.5874	✓	-0.26
2026-08-22	oos	0.2294	0.221775	-3.32%	0.118115	-48.51%	0.5990	✓	-0.27
2026-08-21	oos	0.25231	0.248641	-1.45%	0.11549	-54.23%	0.7556	✓	-0.31
2026-08-20	oos	0.25681	0.244685	-4.72%	0.11687	-54.49%	0.7059	✓	-0.31
2026-08-19	oos	0.31667	0.300357	-5.15%	0.11423	-63.93%	0.9741	✓	0.05
2026-08-18	oos	0.44811	0.407911	-8.97%	0.1089	-75.70%	1.4749	✓	0.93
2026-08-17	oos	0.39028	0.359103	-7.99%	0.1093	-71.99%	1.3392	✓	0.90
2026-08-16	oos	0.39762	0.361575	-9.07%	0.107435	-72.98%	1.3893	✓	0.95
2026-08-15	oos	0.354585	0.325482	-8.21%	0.113295	-68.05%	1.2600	✓	0.95
2026-08-14	oos	0.35075	0.320426	-8.65%	0.110605	-68.47%	1.2530	✓	0.95
2026-08-13	oos	0.300195	0.277766	-7.47%	0.117375	-60.90%	1.0598	✓	1.01
2026-08-12	oos	0.323825	0.297669	-8.08%	0.1145	-64.64%	1.1726	✓	1.10
2026-08-11	oos	0.330115	0.301742	-8.60%	0.10966	-66.78%	1.2104	✓	1.06
2026-08-10	oos	0.304755	0.279271	-8.36%	0.117875	-61.32%	1.0794	✓	1.07
2026-08-09	oos	0.2748	0.252477	-8.12%	0.125695	-54.26%	0.9150	✓	1.14
2026-08-08	oos	0.300765	0.275104	-8.53%	0.13255	-55.93%	0.9567	✓	1.15
2026-08-07	oos	0.284025	0.259873	-8.50%	0.12763	-55.06%	0.9407	✓	1.08
2026-08-06	oos	0.279705	0.254941	-8.85%	0.12613	-54.91%	0.9375	✓	1.08
2026-08-05	oos	0.27185	0.248485	-8.59%	0.12391	-54.42%	0.9234	✓	1.09
2026-08-04	oos	0.257085	0.235557	-8.37%	0.12911	-49.78%	0.8506	✓	1.05
2026-08-03	oos	0.25844	0.235722	-8.79%	0.13655	-47.16%	0.7498	✓	1.03
2026-08-02	oos	0.2655	0.240356	-9.47%	0.14876	-43.97%	0.6899	✓	1.06
2026-08-01	oos	0.24187	0.219648	-9.19%	0.15862	-34.42%	0.5599	✓	1.04
2026-07-31	oos	0.24613	0.222823	-9.47%	0.17393	-29.33%	0.4691	✓	1.04
2026-07-30	oos	0.24718	0.224541	-9.16%	0.18234	-26.23%	0.4121	✓	1.08
2026-07-29	oos	0.2118	0.196136	-7.40%	0.187175	-11.63%	0.2218	✓	0.89
2026-07-28	oos	0.18124	0.171768	-5.23%	0.20275	+11.87%	0.0259	✓	0.84
2026-07-27	oos	0.180795	0.171732	-5.01%	0.20398	+12.82%	0.0127	✓	0.86
2026-07-26	oos	0.19156	0.181875	-5.06%	0.21216	+10.75%	0.0085	✓	0.79
2026-07-25	oos	0.180655	0.171177	-5.25%	0.219885	+21.72%	0.1351	✗	0.56
2026-07-24	oos	0.17977	0.170286	-5.28%	0.2312	+28.61%	0.1924	✗	0.59
2026-07-23	oos	0.17194	0.163448	-4.94%	0.2294	+33.42%	0.2352	✗	0.61
2026-07-22	oos	0.170375	0.162673	-4.52%	0.25231	+48.09%	0.3345	✗	0.61
2026-07-21	oos	0.176875	0.168474	-4.75%	0.25681	+45.19%	0.3660	✗	0.60
2026-07-20	oos	0.17387	0.165935	-4.56%	0.31667	+82.13%	0.6093	✗	0.61
2026-07-19	oos	0.17227	0.16533	-4.03%	0.44811	+160.12%	0.9971	✗	0.61
2026-07-18	oos	0.1727	0.165949	-3.91%	0.39028	+125.99%	0.8588	✗	0.74
2026-07-17	oos	0.17012	0.164853	-3.10%	0.39762	+133.73%	0.8918	✗	0.68
2026-07-16	oos	0.168865	0.164804	-2.40%	0.354585	+109.98%	0.7761	✗	0.84
2026-07-15	oos	0.16945	0.165428	-2.37%	0.35075	+106.99%	0.7698	✗	0.67
2026-07-14	oos	0.175085	0.170526	-2.60%	0.300195	+71.46%	0.5841	✗	0.76
2026-07-13	oos	0.165275	0.160742	-2.74%	0.323825	+95.93%	0.6872	✗	0.73
2026-07-12	oos	0.170995	0.165952	-2.95%	0.330115	+93.06%	0.6901	✗	0.71
2026-07-11	oos	0.16921	0.165174	-2.39%	0.304755	+80.10%	0.6113	✗	0.57
2026-07-10	oos	0.173995	0.169397	-2.64%	0.2748	+57.94%	0.4785	✗	0.48
2026-07-09	oos	0.16962	0.165249	-2.58%	0.300765	+77.32%	0.5860	✗	0.47
2026-07-08	oos	0.172195	0.167864	-2.51%	0.284025	+64.94%	0.5068	✗	0.46
2026-07-07	oos	0.18963	0.182772	-3.62%	0.279705	+47.50%	0.4196	✗	0.40
2026-07-06	oos	0.19	0.182998	-3.69%	0.27185	+43.08%	0.3921	✗	0.39
2026-07-05	oos	0.172495	0.168066	-2.57%	0.257085	+49.04%	0.4225	✗	0.35
2026-07-04	oos	0.184115	0.178046	-3.30%	0.25844	+40.37%	0.3704	✗	0.37
2026-07-03	oos	0.17919	0.17367	-3.08%	0.2655	+48.17%	0.4171	✗	0.47
2026-07-02	oos	0.167965	0.163859	-2.44%	0.24187	+44.00%	0.3797	✗	0.47
2026-07-01	oos	0.16593	0.162147	-2.28%	0.24613	+48.33%	0.3955	✗	0.47
2026-06-30	oos	0.15907	0.156149	-1.84%	0.24718	+55.39%	0.4125	✗	0.47
2026-06-29	oos	0.16325	0.15974	-2.15%	0.2118	+29.74%	0.2548	✗	0.45
2026-06-28	oos	0.154175	0.151864	-1.50%	0.18124	+17.55%	0.1542	✗	0.32
2026-06-27	oos	0.150835	0.149447	-0.92%	0.180795	+19.86%	0.1757	✗	0.24
2026-06-26	oos	0.14411	0.143848	-0.18%	0.19156	+32.93%	0.2666	✗	0.23
2026-06-25	oos	0.14418	0.144078	-0.07%	0.180655	+25.30%	0.2089	✗	0.23
2026-06-24	oos	0.1387	0.138738	+0.03%	0.17977	+29.61%	0.2351	✓	0.48
2026-06-23	oos	0.14184	0.141144	-0.49%	0.17194	+21.22%	0.1875	✗	0.26
2026-06-22	oos	0.13865	0.137739	-0.66%	0.170375	+22.88%	0.2035	✗	0.28
2026-06-21	oos	0.14252	0.141516	-0.70%	0.176875	+24.11%	0.2084	✗	0.29
2026-06-20	oos	0.14479	0.143892	-0.62%	0.17387	+20.08%	0.1849	✗	0.29
2026-06-19	oos	0.144445	0.144092	-0.24%	0.17227	+19.26%	0.1732	✗	0.29
2026-06-18	oos	0.151155	0.149948	-0.80%	0.1727	+14.25%	0.1322	✗	0.30
2026-06-17	oos	0.15744	0.155239	-1.40%	0.17012	+8.05%	0.0939	✗	0.28
2026-06-16	oos	0.16476	0.161561	-1.94%	0.168865	+2.49%	0.0515	✗	0.26
2026-06-15	oos	0.18421	0.178951	-2.85%	0.16945	-8.01%	0.0492	✓	0.23
2026-06-14	oos	0.19015	0.184172	-3.14%	0.175085	-7.92%	0.0480	✓	0.24
2026-06-13	oos	0.195935	0.188878	-3.60%	0.165275	-15.65%	0.1246	✓	0.26
2026-06-12	oos	0.191665	0.184768	-3.60%	0.170995	-10.78%	0.0783	✓	0.25
2026-06-11	oos	0.1988	0.190175	-4.34%	0.16921	-14.88%	0.1176	✓	0.25
2026-06-10	oos	0.17579	0.169917	-3.34%	0.173995	-1.02%	0.0184	✓	0.13
2026-06-09	oos	0.179975	0.173222	-3.75%	0.16962	-5.75%	0.0240	✓	0.12
2026-06-08	oos	0.18887	0.18011	-4.64%	0.172195	-8.83%	0.0437	✓	0.09
2026-06-07	oos	0.178	0.170545	-4.19%	0.18963	+6.53%	0.1060	✗	0.10
2026-06-06	oos	0.17343	0.166261	-4.13%	0.19	+9.55%	0.1301	✗	0.07
2026-06-05	oos	0.17492	0.167216	-4.40%	0.172495	-1.39%	0.0284	✓	0.07
2026-06-04	oos	0.18829	0.177431	-5.77%	0.184115	-2.22%	0.0364	✓	-0.05
2026-06-03	oos	0.20735	0.191459	-7.66%	0.17919	-13.58%	0.0676	✓	-0.06
2026-06-02	oos	0.19479	0.180315	-7.43%	0.167965	-13.77%	0.0684	✓	0.03
2026-06-01	oos	0.19786	0.181782	-8.13%	0.16593	-16.14%	0.0947	✓	-0.02
2026-05-31	oos	0.20331	0.185283	-8.87%	0.15907	-21.76%	0.1681	✓	-0.07
2026-05-30	oos	0.20295	0.183856	-9.41%	0.16325	-19.56%	0.1328	✓	-0.07
2026-05-29	oos	0.181715	0.167987	-7.55%	0.154175	-15.16%	0.1059	✓	-0.10
2026-05-28	oos	0.17852	0.164985	-7.58%	0.150835	-15.51%	0.1088	✓	-0.09
2026-05-27	oos	0.15387	0.144025	-6.40%	0.14411	-6.34%	0.0012	✓	-0.01
2026-05-26	oos	0.16026	0.147863	-7.74%	0.14418	-10.03%	0.0376	✓	-0.05
2026-05-25	oos	0.17268	0.158431	-8.25%	0.1387	-19.68%	0.1639	✓	-0.13
2026-05-24	oos	0.17963	0.164393	-8.48%	0.14184	-21.04%	0.1735	✓	-0.13
2026-05-23	oos	0.191655	0.175281	-8.54%	0.13865	-27.66%	0.2553	✓	-0.12
2026-05-22	oos	0.18882	0.173131	-8.31%	0.14252	-24.52%	0.2169	✓	-0.13
2026-05-21	oos	0.19739	0.179539	-9.04%	0.14479	-26.65%	0.2543	✓	-0.21
2026-05-20	oos	0.200525	0.182659	-8.91%	0.144445	-27.97%	0.2763	✓	-0.21
2026-05-19	oos	0.200605	0.183821	-8.37%	0.151155	-24.65%	0.2371	✓	-0.21
2026-05-18	oos	0.206865	0.190149	-8.08%	0.15744	-23.89%	0.2268	✓	-0.21
2026-05-17	oos	0.19963	0.184802	-7.43%	0.16476	-17.47%	0.1482	✓	-0.20
2026-05-16	oos	0.20361	0.189418	-6.97%	0.18421	-9.53%	0.0636	✓	-0.22
2026-05-15	oos	0.219995	0.203658	-7.43%	0.19015	-13.57%	0.1215	✓	-0.29
2026-05-14	oos	0.2512	0.231922	-7.67%	0.195935	-22.00%	0.2901	✓	-0.53
2026-05-13	oos	0.25513	0.232881	-8.72%	0.191665	-24.88%	0.3082	✓	-0.51
2026-05-12	oos	0.25496	0.234656	-7.96%	0.1988	-22.03%	0.2910	✓	-0.53
2026-05-11	oos	0.27403	0.252504	-7.86%	0.17579	-35.85%	0.5434	✓	-0.64
2026-05-10	oos	0.27135	0.251475	-7.32%	0.179975	-33.67%	0.5181	✓	-0.64
2026-05-09	oos	0.28986	0.262641	-9.39%	0.18887	-34.84%	0.4697	✓	-0.57
2026-05-08	oos	0.28383	0.256903	-9.49%	0.178	-37.29%	0.5019	✓	-0.57
2026-05-07	oos	0.27438	0.249366	-9.12%	0.17343	-36.79%	0.5193	✓	-0.57
2026-05-06	oos	0.26746	0.246924	-7.68%	0.17492	-34.60%	0.5085	✓	-0.57
2026-05-05	oos	0.283635	0.258278	-8.94%	0.18829	-33.62%	0.4471	✓	-0.55
2026-05-04	oos	0.26549	0.241341	-9.10%	0.20735	-21.90%	0.2825	✓	-0.59
2026-05-03	oos	0.25235	0.228896	-9.29%	0.19479	-22.81%	0.2660	✓	-0.64
2026-05-02	oos	0.26266	0.238185	-9.32%	0.19786	-24.67%	0.2496	✓	-0.65
2026-05-01	oos	0.25282	0.229766	-9.12%	0.20331	-19.58%	0.1627	✓	-0.66
2026-04-30	oos	0.28061	0.248248	-11.53%	0.20295	-27.68%	0.2181	✓	-0.49
2026-04-29	oos	0.31369	0.2719	-13.32%	0.181715	-42.07%	0.4172	✓	-0.44
2026-04-28	oos	0.35463	0.301062	-15.11%	0.17852	-49.66%	0.5429	✓	-0.54
2026-04-27	oos	0.3251	0.281905	-13.29%	0.15387	-52.67%	0.6246	✓	-0.48
2026-04-26	oos	0.22072	0.206036	-6.65%	0.16026	-27.39%	0.2492	✓	0.06
2026-04-25	oos	0.20786	0.194027	-6.65%	0.17268	-16.92%	0.1165	✓	0.02
2026-04-24	oos	0.205465	0.192062	-6.52%	0.17963	-12.57%	0.0668	✓	0.02
2026-04-23	oos	0.20197	0.191291	-5.29%	0.191655	-5.11%	0.0230	✓	1.00
2026-04-22	oos	0.23358	0.217501	-6.88%	0.18882	-19.16%	0.1054	✓	1.00
2026-04-21	oos	0.22605	0.206616	-8.60%	0.19739	-12.68%	0.0613	✓	1.00
2026-04-20	oos	0.22024	0.200893	-8.78%	0.200525	-8.95%	0.0228	✓	1.00
2026-04-19	oos	0.19005	0.17348	-8.72%	0.200605	+5.55%	0.1062	✗	1.00
2026-04-18	oos	0.18005	0.168173	-6.60%	0.206865	+14.89%	0.1913	✗	1.00
2026-04-17	oos	0.24832	0.227224	-8.50%	0.19963	-19.61%	0.1335	✓	1.00
2026-04-16	oos	0.29724	0.253778	-14.62%	0.20361	-31.50%	0.2587	✓	1.00
2026-04-15	oos	0.18078	0.168098	-7.02%	0.219995	+21.69%	0.2142	✗	1.00
2026-04-14	oos	0.17941	0.166094	-7.42%	0.2512	+40.01%	0.3247	✗	1.00
2026-04-13	oos	0.17572	0.163395	-7.01%	0.25513	+45.19%	0.3826	✗	1.00
2026-04-12	oos	0.18519	0.165465	-10.65%	0.25496	+37.67%	0.3035	✗	1.00
2026-04-11	oos	0.17241	0.158425	-8.11%	0.27403	+58.94%	0.4362	✗	1.00
2026-04-10	oos	0.16176	0.149902	-7.33%	0.27135	+67.75%	0.4747	✗	1.00
2026-04-09	oos	0.16878	0.15526	-8.01%	0.28986	+71.74%	0.5080	✗	1.00
2026-04-08	oos	0.17473	0.159768	-8.56%	0.28383	+62.44%	0.4542	✗	1.00
2026-04-07	oos	0.17153	0.158552	-7.57%	0.27438	+59.96%	0.4418	✗	1.00
2026-04-06	oos	0.17115	0.155814	-8.96%	0.26746	+56.27%	0.3724	✗	1.00
2026-04-05	oos	0.19287	0.172201	-10.72%	0.283635	+47.06%	0.3399	✗	1.00
2026-04-04	oos	0.16536	0.150651	-8.90%	0.26549	+60.55%	0.3955	✗	1.00
2026-04-03	oos	0.14425	0.133213	-7.65%	0.25235	+74.94%	0.4791	✗	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.