O

o1.exchange · Base · gru_s2

token id: #266
symbol: O
variant: –
chain: Base
address: 0x182fa643e5f29d5eca75e7b9cf9336a3fe4620b2
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-06-17
predictions: 354

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +7d

assessed

111

of 118 predictions shown

direction hit

65.8%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0782

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0070

actual -0.0293

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.44305	0.437308	-1.30%	–	pending	–	–	0.50
2026-10-20	oos	0.439245	0.434195	-1.15%	–	pending	–	–	0.54
2026-10-19	oos	0.407545	0.404587	-0.73%	–	pending	–	–	0.52
2026-10-18	oos	0.42721	0.422319	-1.14%	–	pending	–	–	0.51
2026-10-17	oos	0.445015	0.441663	-0.75%	–	pending	–	–	0.53
2026-10-16	oos	0.4589	0.456233	-0.58%	–	pending	–	–	0.52
2026-10-15	oos	0.455525	0.452416	-0.68%	–	pending	–	–	0.53
2026-10-14	oos	0.46111	0.458049	-0.66%	0.44305	-3.92%	0.0406	✓	0.53
2026-10-13	oos	0.47322	0.467372	-1.24%	0.439245	-7.18%	0.0610	✓	0.55
2026-10-12	oos	0.48416	0.477824	-1.31%	0.407545	-15.82%	0.1597	✓	0.56
2026-10-11	oos	0.480645	0.473435	-1.50%	0.42721	-11.12%	0.0904	✓	0.61
2026-10-10	oos	0.47832	0.470988	-1.53%	0.445015	-6.96%	0.0451	✓	0.62
2026-10-09	oos	0.449425	0.446721	-0.60%	0.4589	+2.11%	0.0348	✗	0.62
2026-10-08	oos	0.454605	0.452668	-0.43%	0.455525	+0.20%	0.0030	✓	0.62
2026-10-07	oos	0.47178	0.468183	-0.76%	0.46111	-2.26%	0.0029	✓	0.60
2026-10-06	oos	0.503025	0.495673	-1.46%	0.47322	-5.93%	0.0300	✓	0.57
2026-10-05	oos	0.50726	0.497408	-1.94%	0.48416	-4.55%	0.0001	✓	0.56
2026-10-04	oos	0.513105	0.499668	-2.62%	0.480645	-6.33%	0.0209	✓	0.54
2026-10-03	oos	0.51275	0.500754	-2.34%	0.47832	-6.71%	0.0340	✓	0.54
2026-10-02	oos	0.5204	0.507686	-2.44%	0.449425	-13.64%	0.1095	✓	0.53
2026-10-01	oos	0.539035	0.523391	-2.90%	0.454605	-15.66%	0.1205	✓	0.54
2026-09-30	oos	0.55308	0.537286	-2.86%	0.47178	-14.70%	0.1282	✓	0.54
2026-09-29	oos	0.566075	0.550334	-2.78%	0.503025	-11.14%	0.1017	✓	0.53
2026-09-28	oos	0.52923	0.520279	-1.69%	0.50726	-4.15%	0.0410	✓	0.58
2026-09-27	oos	0.53924	0.534166	-0.94%	0.513105	-4.85%	0.0548	✓	0.61
2026-09-26	oos	0.543685	0.541781	-0.35%	0.51275	-5.69%	0.0575	✓	0.63
2026-09-25	oos	0.548345	0.548606	+0.05%	0.5204	-5.10%	0.0556	✗	0.58
2026-09-24	oos	0.55141	0.554789	+0.61%	0.539035	-2.24%	0.0320	✗	0.59
2026-09-23	oos	0.54546	0.551023	+1.02%	0.55308	+1.40%	0.0095	✓	0.59
2026-09-22	oos	0.55875	0.567281	+1.53%	0.566075	+1.31%	0.0226	✓	0.82
2026-09-21	oos	0.54479	0.554113	+1.71%	0.52923	-2.86%	0.0279	✗	0.49
2026-09-20	oos	0.550025	0.55134	+0.24%	0.53924	-1.96%	0.0469	✗	0.62
2026-09-19	oos	0.566845	0.567715	+0.15%	0.543685	-4.09%	0.0662	✗	0.60
2026-09-18	oos	0.572975	0.573376	+0.07%	0.548345	-4.30%	0.0696	✗	0.64
2026-09-17	oos	0.55887	0.554823	-0.72%	0.55141	-1.33%	0.0695	✓	0.63
2026-09-16	oos	0.536045	0.53383	-0.41%	0.54546	+1.76%	0.0503	✓	0.70
2026-09-15	oos	0.52681	0.52482	-0.38%	0.55875	+6.06%	0.0427	✓	0.80
2026-09-14	oos	0.54605	0.545347	-0.13%	0.54479	-0.23%	0.0825	✓	0.80
2026-09-13	oos	0.506	0.506813	+0.16%	0.550025	+8.70%	0.0397	✓	0.76
2026-09-12	oos	0.541645	0.539781	-0.34%	0.566845	+4.65%	0.0114	✗	0.75
2026-09-11	oos	0.54789	0.546359	-0.28%	0.572975	+4.58%	0.0129	✗	0.75
2026-09-10	oos	0.53246	0.531994	-0.09%	0.55887	+4.96%	0.0511	✗	0.74
2026-09-09	oos	0.525035	0.529823	+0.91%	0.536045	+2.10%	0.0330	✓	0.77
2026-09-08	oos	0.53373	0.540329	+1.24%	0.52681	-1.30%	0.0033	✓	0.77
2026-09-07	oos	0.54462	0.555004	+1.91%	0.54605	+0.26%	0.0073	✓	0.77
2026-09-06	oos	0.53535	0.550817	+2.89%	0.506	-5.48%	0.0495	✗	0.79
2026-09-05	oos	0.53493	0.550581	+2.93%	0.541645	+1.26%	0.0093	✓	0.79
2026-09-04	oos	0.55411	0.566893	+2.31%	0.54789	-1.12%	0.0094	✓	0.79
2026-09-03	oos	0.56077	0.571787	+1.96%	0.53246	-5.05%	0.0238	✗	0.79
2026-09-02	oos	0.549935	0.557625	+1.40%	0.525035	-4.53%	0.0705	✗	0.82
2026-09-01	oos	0.55791	0.563761	+1.05%	0.53373	-4.33%	0.0657	✗	0.82
2026-08-31	oos	0.55311	0.560432	+1.32%	0.54462	-1.53%	0.0342	✗	0.83
2026-08-30	oos	0.53392	0.541136	+1.35%	0.53535	+0.27%	0.0386	✗	0.82
2026-08-29	oos	0.5311	0.53991	+1.66%	0.53493	+0.72%	0.0260	✗	0.83
2026-08-28	oos	0.452265	0.464551	+2.72%	0.55411	+22.52%	0.1573	✓	0.81
2026-08-27	oos	0.4366	0.449996	+3.07%	0.56077	+28.44%	0.2090	✓	0.90
2026-08-26	oos	0.44712	0.457997	+2.43%	0.549935	+22.99%	0.2031	✓	0.92
2026-08-25	oos	0.446145	0.453813	+1.72%	0.55791	+25.05%	0.2198	✓	0.92
2026-08-24	oos	0.43008	0.434214	+0.96%	0.55311	+28.61%	0.2470	✓	0.93
2026-08-23	oos	0.44159	0.441235	-0.08%	0.53392	+20.91%	0.1915	✗	0.95
2026-08-22	oos	0.4364	0.430772	-1.29%	0.5311	+21.70%	0.1950	✗	0.95
2026-08-21	oos	0.51216	0.504811	-1.43%	0.452265	-11.69%	0.1047	✓	0.84
2026-08-20	oos	0.48057	0.47396	-1.38%	0.4366	-9.15%	0.1586	✓	0.81
2026-08-19	oos	0.48616	0.482979	-0.65%	0.44712	-8.03%	0.2004	✓	0.94
2026-08-18	oos	0.484325	0.472139	-2.52%	0.446145	-7.88%	0.2929	✓	1.22
2026-08-17	oos	0.45821	0.446554	-2.54%	0.43008	-6.14%	0.2820	✓	1.20
2026-08-16	oos	0.449445	0.45051	+0.24%	0.44159	-1.75%	0.2787	✗	1.22
2026-08-15	oos	0.455485	0.456974	+0.33%	0.4364	-4.19%	0.2905	✗	1.22
2026-08-14	oos	0.4421	0.448665	+1.48%	0.51216	+15.85%	0.1321	✗	1.21
2026-08-13	oos	0.44526	0.448887	+0.81%	0.48057	+7.93%	0.1031	✗	1.22
2026-08-12	oos	0.439325	0.444232	+1.12%	0.48616	+10.66%	0.0178	✗	1.22
2026-08-11	oos	0.445895	0.448714	+0.63%	0.484325	+8.62%	0.0546	✓	1.22
2026-08-10	oos	0.45317	0.453494	+0.07%	0.45821	+1.11%	0.0003	✓	1.21
2026-08-09	oos	0.47207	0.466024	-1.28%	0.449445	-4.79%	0.0015	✓	1.20
2026-08-08	oos	0.467935	0.460926	-1.50%	0.455485	-2.66%	0.0235	✗	1.20
2026-08-07	oos	0.47738	0.466847	-2.21%	0.4421	-7.39%	0.0186	✓	1.20
2026-08-06	oos	0.4807	0.470698	-2.08%	0.44526	-7.37%	0.0397	✓	1.21
2026-08-05	oos	0.489915	0.475957	-2.85%	0.439325	-10.33%	0.0577	✓	1.20
2026-08-04	oos	0.50446	0.490114	-2.84%	0.445895	-11.61%	0.0846	✓	1.23
2026-08-03	oos	0.49863	0.486892	-2.35%	0.45317	-9.12%	0.0803	✓	1.22
2026-08-02	oos	0.47985	0.467906	-2.49%	0.47207	-1.62%	0.0169	✓	1.22
2026-08-01	oos	0.51585	0.497851	-3.49%	0.467935	-9.29%	0.1058	✓	1.30
2026-07-31	oos	0.496455	0.481696	-2.97%	0.47738	-3.84%	0.0512	✓	1.31
2026-07-30	oos	0.5026	0.49601	-1.31%	0.4807	-4.36%	0.0215	✓	1.39
2026-07-29	oos	0.47888	0.473445	-1.13%	0.489915	+2.30%	0.0194	✗	1.35
2026-07-28	oos	0.487225	0.480555	-1.37%	0.50446	+3.54%	0.0443	✗	1.35
2026-07-27	oos	0.48183	0.475592	-1.29%	0.49863	+3.49%	0.0521	✗	1.34
2026-07-26	oos	0.4778	0.476022	-0.37%	0.47985	+0.43%	0.0500	✗	1.47
2026-07-25	oos	0.51004	0.50353	-1.28%	0.51585	+1.14%	0.0627	✗	1.60
2026-07-24	oos	0.48595	0.483559	-0.49%	0.496455	+2.16%	0.0576	✗	1.58
2026-07-23	oos	0.54517	0.535411	-1.79%	0.5026	-7.81%	0.0559	✓	1.45
2026-07-22	oos	0.59166	0.580611	-1.87%	0.47888	-19.06%	0.1467	✓	1.36
2026-07-21	oos	0.6201	0.609705	-1.68%	0.487225	-21.43%	0.1695	✓	1.34
2026-07-20	oos	0.6262	0.614695	-1.84%	0.48183	-23.05%	0.2104	✓	1.41
2026-07-19	oos	0.5895	0.582142	-1.25%	0.4778	-18.95%	0.2113	✓	1.36
2026-07-18	oos	0.57496	0.570837	-0.72%	0.51004	-11.29%	0.1020	✓	1.37
2026-07-17	oos	0.56643	0.562764	-0.65%	0.48595	-14.21%	0.1508	✓	1.37
2026-07-16	oos	0.521855	0.522999	+0.22%	0.54517	+4.47%	0.0216	✓	1.00
2026-07-15	oos	0.556	0.557822	+0.33%	0.59166	+6.41%	0.0379	✓	1.00
2026-07-14	oos	0.55588	0.55818	+0.41%	0.6201	+11.55%	0.0820	✓	1.00
2026-07-13	oos	0.525275	0.525363	+0.02%	0.6262	+19.21%	0.1293	✓	1.00
2026-07-12	oos	0.542635	0.543849	+0.22%	0.5895	+8.64%	0.0659	✓	1.00
2026-07-11	oos	0.56335	0.562786	-0.10%	0.57496	+2.06%	0.0055	✗	1.00
2026-07-10	oos	0.55385	0.553137	-0.13%	0.56643	+2.27%	0.0274	✗	1.00
2026-07-09	oos	0.57192	0.568232	-0.64%	0.521855	-8.75%	0.0945	✓	1.00
2026-07-08	oos	0.55441	0.549841	-0.82%	0.556	+0.29%	0.0279	✓	1.00
2026-07-07	oos	0.558795	0.55269	-1.09%	0.55588	-0.52%	0.0202	✓	1.00
2026-07-06	oos	0.53254	0.525912	-1.24%	0.525275	-1.36%	0.0263	✗	1.00
2026-07-05	oos	0.55362	0.545127	-1.53%	0.542635	-1.98%	0.0070	✓	1.00
2026-07-04	oos	0.609515	0.596133	-2.20%	0.56335	-7.57%	0.0674	✓	1.00
2026-07-03	oos	0.54012	0.529615	-1.94%	0.55385	+2.54%	0.0193	✓	1.00
2026-07-02	oos	0.557835	0.543256	-2.61%	0.57192	+2.52%	0.0243	✓	1.00
2026-07-01	oos	0.558	0.536679	-3.82%	0.55441	-0.64%	0.0048	✓	1.00
2026-06-30	oos	0.505	0.483289	-4.30%	0.558795	+10.65%	0.0664	✗	1.00
2026-06-29	oos	0.535035	0.502453	-6.09%	0.53254	-0.47%	0.0037	✓	1.00
2026-06-28	oos	0.488	0.465318	-4.65%	0.55362	+13.45%	0.1069	✗	1.00
2026-06-27	oos	0.427605	0.418267	-2.18%	0.609515	+42.54%	0.3253	✗	1.00
2026-06-26	oos	0.457	0.448999	-1.75%	0.54012	+18.19%	0.1437	✗	1.00