O

o1.exchange · Base · gru_s2

token id: #266
symbol: O
variant: –
chain: Base
address: 0x182fa643e5f29d5eca75e7b9cf9336a3fe4620b2
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-06-17
predictions: 354

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +30d

assessed

of 118 predictions shown

direction hit

80.7%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1439

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0183

actual -0.1436

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.44305	0.430179	-2.90%	–	pending	–	–	0.50
2026-10-20	oos	0.439245	0.424747	-3.30%	–	pending	–	–	0.54
2026-10-19	oos	0.407545	0.391301	-3.99%	–	pending	–	–	0.52
2026-10-18	oos	0.42721	0.405947	-4.98%	–	pending	–	–	0.51
2026-10-17	oos	0.445015	0.427232	-4.00%	–	pending	–	–	0.53
2026-10-16	oos	0.4589	0.44288	-3.49%	–	pending	–	–	0.52
2026-10-15	oos	0.455525	0.439228	-3.58%	–	pending	–	–	0.53
2026-10-14	oos	0.46111	0.445601	-3.36%	–	pending	–	–	0.53
2026-10-13	oos	0.47322	0.453064	-4.26%	–	pending	–	–	0.55
2026-10-12	oos	0.48416	0.464693	-4.02%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-10-11	oos	0.480645	0.456048	-5.12%	–	pending	–	–	0.61
2026-10-10	oos	0.47832	0.454134	-5.06%	–	pending	–	–	0.62
2026-10-09	oos	0.449425	0.429693	-4.39%	–	pending	–	–	0.62
2026-10-08	oos	0.454605	0.436469	-3.99%	–	pending	–	–	0.62
2026-10-07	oos	0.47178	0.449726	-4.67%	–	pending	–	–	0.60
2026-10-06	oos	0.503025	0.475451	-5.48%	–	pending	–	–	0.57
2026-10-05	oos	0.50726	0.479201	-5.53%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-10-04	oos	0.513105	0.485128	-5.45%	–	pending	–	–	0.54
2026-10-03	oos	0.51275	0.485726	-5.27%	–	pending	–	–	0.54
2026-10-02	oos	0.5204	0.493889	-5.09%	–	pending	–	–	0.53
2026-10-01	oos	0.539035	0.510815	-5.24%	–	pending	–	–	0.54
2026-09-30	oos	0.55308	0.524059	-5.25%	–	pending	–	–	0.54
2026-09-29	oos	0.566075	0.53691	-5.15%	–	pending	–	–	0.53
2026-09-28	oos	0.52923	0.508146	-3.98%	–	pending	–	–	0.58
2026-09-27	oos	0.53924	0.517028	-4.12%	–	pending	–	–	0.61
2026-09-26	oos	0.543685	0.521967	-3.99%	–	pending	–	–	0.63
2026-09-25	oos	0.548345	0.527542	-3.79%	–	pending	–	–	0.58
2026-09-24	oos	0.55141	0.533397	-3.27%	–	pending	–	–	0.59
2026-09-23	oos	0.54546	0.530393	-2.76%	–	pending	–	–	0.59
2026-09-22	oos	0.55875	0.548117	-1.90%	–	pending	–	–	0.82
2026-09-21	oos	0.54479	0.537852	-1.27%	0.44305	-18.68%	0.1714	✓	0.49
2026-09-20	oos	0.550025	0.532712	-3.15%	0.439245	-20.14%	0.2063	✓	0.62
2026-09-19	oos	0.566845	0.54928	-3.10%	0.407545	-28.10%	0.3029	✓	0.60
2026-09-18	oos	0.572975	0.555624	-3.03%	0.42721	-25.44%	0.2717	✓	0.64
2026-09-17	oos	0.55887	0.539458	-3.47%	0.445015	-20.37%	0.2329	✓	0.63
2026-09-16	oos	0.536045	0.519944	-3.00%	0.4589	-14.39%	0.1725	✓	0.70
2026-09-15	oos	0.52681	0.511371	-2.93%	0.455525	-13.53%	0.1822	✓	0.80
2026-09-14	oos	0.54605	0.531698	-2.63%	0.46111	-15.56%	0.1762	✓	0.80
2026-09-13	oos	0.506	0.494521	-2.27%	0.47322	-6.48%	0.1042	✓	0.76
2026-09-12	oos	0.541645	0.527636	-2.59%	0.48416	-10.61%	0.1282	✓	0.75
2026-09-11	oos	0.54789	0.535841	-2.20%	0.480645	-12.27%	0.1689	✓	0.75
2026-09-10	oos	0.53246	0.521995	-1.97%	0.47832	-10.17%	0.1468	✓	0.74
2026-09-09	oos	0.525035	0.520242	-0.91%	0.449425	-14.40%	0.1872	✓	0.77
2026-09-08	oos	0.53373	0.53186	-0.35%	0.454605	-14.82%	0.1881	✓	0.77
2026-09-07	oos	0.54462	0.546735	+0.39%	0.47178	-13.37%	0.1869	✗	0.77
2026-09-06	oos	0.53535	0.546094	+2.01%	0.503025	-6.04%	0.1314	✗	0.79
2026-09-05	oos	0.53493	0.546593	+2.18%	0.50726	-5.17%	0.1309	✗	0.79
2026-09-04	oos	0.55411	0.564283	+1.84%	0.513105	-7.40%	0.1597	✗	0.79
2026-09-03	oos	0.56077	0.576224	+2.76%	0.51275	-8.56%	0.1499	✗	0.79
2026-09-02	oos	0.549935	0.554564	+0.84%	0.5204	-5.37%	0.1364	✗	0.82
2026-09-01	oos	0.55791	0.567181	+1.66%	0.539035	-3.38%	0.1259	✗	0.82
2026-08-31	oos	0.55311	0.571034	+3.24%	0.55308	-0.01%	0.0832	✗	0.83
2026-08-30	oos	0.53392	0.555472	+4.04%	0.566075	+6.02%	0.0420	✗	0.82
2026-08-29	oos	0.5311	0.558671	+5.19%	0.52923	-0.35%	0.1077	✗	0.83
2026-08-28	oos	0.452265	0.479371	+5.99%	0.53924	+19.23%	0.0512	✓	0.81
2026-08-27	oos	0.4366	0.464593	+6.41%	0.543685	+24.53%	0.1118	✓	0.90
2026-08-26	oos	0.44712	0.472643	+5.71%	0.548345	+22.64%	0.0916	✓	0.92
2026-08-25	oos	0.446145	0.470418	+5.44%	0.55141	+23.59%	0.0930	✓	0.92
2026-08-24	oos	0.43008	0.456376	+6.11%	0.54546	+26.83%	0.1167	✓	0.93
2026-08-23	oos	0.44159	0.46439	+5.16%	0.55875	+26.53%	0.0868	✓	0.95
2026-08-22	oos	0.4364	0.45831	+5.02%	0.54479	+24.84%	0.0624	✓	0.95
2026-08-21	oos	0.51216	0.535357	+4.53%	0.550025	+7.39%	0.0029	✓	0.84
2026-08-20	oos	0.48057	0.490489	+2.06%	0.566845	+17.95%	0.0586	✓	0.81
2026-08-19	oos	0.48616	0.477424	-1.80%	0.572975	+17.86%	0.0375	✗	0.94
2026-08-18	oos	0.484325	0.471781	-2.59%	0.55887	+15.39%	0.0326	✓	1.22
2026-08-17	oos	0.45821	0.448673	-2.08%	0.536045	+16.99%	0.0225	✓	1.20
2026-08-16	oos	0.449445	0.447571	-0.42%	0.52681	+17.21%	0.0617	✓	1.22
2026-08-15	oos	0.455485	0.455603	+0.03%	0.54605	+19.88%	0.0809	✗	1.22
2026-08-14	oos	0.4421	0.448576	+1.46%	0.506	+14.45%	0.1202	✗	1.21
2026-08-13	oos	0.44526	0.450864	+1.26%	0.541645	+21.65%	0.0567	✗	1.22
2026-08-12	oos	0.439325	0.44587	+1.49%	0.54789	+24.71%	0.0334	✗	1.22
2026-08-11	oos	0.445895	0.449308	+0.77%	0.53246	+19.41%	0.0565	✗	1.22
2026-08-10	oos	0.45317	0.453054	-0.03%	0.525035	+15.86%	0.0989	✓	1.21
2026-08-09	oos	0.47207	0.464977	-1.50%	0.53373	+13.06%	0.0897	✓	1.20
2026-08-08	oos	0.467935	0.458947	-1.92%	0.54462	+16.39%	0.0654	✓	1.20
2026-08-07	oos	0.47738	0.462904	-3.03%	0.53535	+12.14%	0.1102	✓	1.20
2026-08-06	oos	0.4807	0.465091	-3.25%	0.53493	+11.28%	0.1217	✓	1.21
2026-08-05	oos	0.489915	0.466395	-4.80%	0.55411	+13.10%	0.0800	✓	1.20
2026-08-04	oos	0.50446	0.475643	-5.71%	0.56077	+11.16%	0.1274	✓	1.23
2026-08-03	oos	0.49863	0.471676	-5.41%	0.549935	+10.29%	0.0877	✓	1.22
2026-08-02	oos	0.47985	0.456425	-4.88%	0.55791	+16.27%	0.0413	✓	1.22
2026-08-01	oos	0.51585	0.488137	-5.37%	0.55311	+7.22%	0.1678	✓	1.30
2026-07-31	oos	0.496455	0.47295	-4.73%	0.53392	+7.55%	0.1556	✓	1.31
2026-07-30	oos	0.5026	0.478497	-4.80%	0.5311	+5.67%	0.1595	✓	1.39
2026-07-29	oos	0.47888	0.456678	-4.64%	0.452265	-5.56%	0.2757	✓	1.35
2026-07-28	oos	0.487225	0.46293	-4.99%	0.4366	-10.39%	0.3674	✓	1.35
2026-07-27	oos	0.48183	0.458263	-4.89%	0.44712	-7.20%	0.3147	✓	1.34
2026-07-26	oos	0.4778	0.459815	-3.76%	0.446145	-6.63%	0.3004	✓	1.47
2026-07-25	oos	0.51004	0.485845	-4.74%	0.43008	-15.68%	0.4506	✓	1.60
2026-07-24	oos	0.48595	0.468518	-3.59%	0.44159	-9.13%	0.3643	✓	1.58
2026-07-23	oos	0.54517	0.519663	-4.68%	0.4364	-19.95%	0.4206	✓	1.45
2026-07-22	oos	0.59166	0.560483	-5.27%	0.51216	-13.44%	0.3216	✓	1.36
2026-07-21	oos	0.6201	0.583834	-5.85%	0.48057	-22.50%	0.3191	✓	1.34
2026-07-20	oos	0.6262	0.58995	-5.79%	0.48616	-22.36%	0.2789	✓	1.41
2026-07-19	oos	0.5895	0.559564	-5.08%	0.484325	-17.84%	0.1444	✓	1.36
2026-07-18	oos	0.57496	0.547989	-4.69%	0.45821	-20.31%	0.1722	✓	1.37
2026-07-17	oos	0.56643	0.541506	-4.40%	0.449445	-20.65%	0.1635	✓	1.37
2026-07-16	oos	0.521855	0.50648	-2.95%	0.455485	-12.72%	0.0943	✓	1.00
2026-07-15	oos	0.556	0.539437	-2.98%	0.4421	-20.49%	0.1717	✓	1.00
2026-07-14	oos	0.55588	0.541254	-2.63%	0.44526	-19.90%	0.1709	✓	1.00
2026-07-13	oos	0.525275	0.511465	-2.63%	0.439325	-16.36%	0.1703	✓	1.00
2026-07-12	oos	0.542635	0.53139	-2.07%	0.445895	-17.83%	0.1721	✓	1.00
2026-07-11	oos	0.56335	0.549186	-2.51%	0.45317	-19.56%	0.1943	✓	1.00
2026-07-10	oos	0.55385	0.540289	-2.45%	0.47207	-14.77%	0.1461	✓	1.00
2026-07-09	oos	0.57192	0.555278	-2.91%	0.467935	-18.18%	0.1982	✓	1.00
2026-07-08	oos	0.55441	0.538235	-2.92%	0.47738	-13.89%	0.1617	✓	1.00
2026-07-07	oos	0.558795	0.539809	-3.40%	0.4807	-13.98%	0.1308	✓	1.00
2026-07-06	oos	0.53254	0.512041	-3.85%	0.489915	-8.00%	0.0535	✓	1.00
2026-07-05	oos	0.55362	0.529617	-4.34%	0.50446	-8.88%	0.0560	✓	1.00
2026-07-04	oos	0.609515	0.578684	-5.06%	0.49863	-18.19%	0.1549	✓	1.00
2026-07-03	oos	0.54012	0.514728	-4.70%	0.47985	-11.16%	0.0857	✓	1.00
2026-07-02	oos	0.557835	0.52868	-5.23%	0.51585	-7.53%	0.0452	✓	1.00
2026-07-01	oos	0.558	0.525036	-5.91%	0.496455	-11.03%	0.1026	✓	1.00
2026-06-30	oos	0.505	0.47425	-6.09%	0.5026	-0.48%	0.0426	✓	1.00
2026-06-29	oos	0.535035	0.503739	-5.85%	0.47888	-10.50%	0.1108	✓	1.00
2026-06-28	oos	0.488	0.463252	-5.07%	0.487225	-0.16%	0.0205	✓	1.00
2026-06-27	oos	0.427605	0.409768	-4.17%	0.48183	+12.68%	0.1012	✗	1.00
2026-06-26	oos	0.457	0.434562	-4.91%	0.4778	+4.55%	0.0096	✓	1.00