O

o1.exchange · Base · gru_s2

token id: #266
symbol: O
variant: –
chain: Base
address: 0x182fa643e5f29d5eca75e7b9cf9336a3fe4620b2
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-06-17
predictions: 354

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

117

of 118 predictions shown

direction hit

63.2%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0332

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0029

actual -0.0028

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.44305	0.441154	-0.43%	–	pending	–	–	0.50
2026-10-20	oos	0.439245	0.437437	-0.41%	0.44305	+0.87%	0.0143	✗	0.54
2026-10-19	oos	0.407545	0.406493	-0.26%	0.439245	+7.78%	0.0705	✗	0.52
2026-10-18	oos	0.42721	0.425732	-0.35%	0.407545	-4.60%	0.0426	✓	0.51
2026-10-17	oos	0.445015	0.443836	-0.26%	0.42721	-4.00%	0.0422	✓	0.53
2026-10-16	oos	0.4589	0.457797	-0.24%	0.445015	-3.03%	0.0276	✓	0.52
2026-10-15	oos	0.455525	0.454185	-0.29%	0.4589	+0.74%	0.0144	✗	0.53
2026-10-14	oos	0.46111	0.459755	-0.29%	0.455525	-1.21%	0.0128	✓	0.53
2026-10-13	oos	0.47322	0.470937	-0.48%	0.46111	-2.56%	0.0109	✓	0.55
2026-10-12	oos	0.48416	0.481957	-0.46%	0.47322	-2.26%	0.0275	✓	0.56
2026-10-11	oos	0.480645	0.477919	-0.57%	0.48416	+0.73%	0.0273	✗	0.61
2026-10-10	oos	0.47832	0.475687	-0.55%	0.480645	+0.49%	0.0046	✓	0.62
2026-10-09	oos	0.449425	0.447981	-0.32%	0.47832	+6.43%	0.0628	✗	0.62
2026-10-08	oos	0.454605	0.453447	-0.25%	0.449425	-1.14%	0.0154	✓	0.62
2026-10-07	oos	0.47178	0.469524	-0.48%	0.454605	-3.64%	0.0209	✓	0.60
2026-10-06	oos	0.503025	0.498641	-0.87%	0.47178	-6.21%	0.0402	✓	0.57
2026-10-05	oos	0.50726	0.502792	-0.88%	0.503025	-0.83%	0.0018	✓	0.56
2026-10-04	oos	0.513105	0.50975	-0.65%	0.50726	-1.14%	0.0001	✓	0.54
2026-10-03	oos	0.51275	0.509093	-0.71%	0.513105	+0.07%	0.0033	✓	0.54
2026-10-02	oos	0.5204	0.517276	-0.60%	0.51275	-1.47%	0.0103	✓	0.53
2026-10-01	oos	0.539035	0.536229	-0.52%	0.5204	-3.46%	0.0278	✓	0.54
2026-09-30	oos	0.55308	0.550059	-0.55%	0.539035	-2.54%	0.0285	✓	0.54
2026-09-29	oos	0.566075	0.563329	-0.49%	0.55308	-2.30%	0.0178	✓	0.53
2026-09-28	oos	0.52923	0.527494	-0.33%	0.566075	+6.96%	0.0693	✗	0.58
2026-09-27	oos	0.53924	0.537651	-0.29%	0.52923	-1.86%	0.0085	✓	0.61
2026-09-26	oos	0.543685	0.542408	-0.23%	0.53924	-0.82%	0.0062	✓	0.63
2026-09-25	oos	0.548345	0.547404	-0.17%	0.543685	-0.85%	0.0091	✓	0.58
2026-09-24	oos	0.55141	0.551105	-0.06%	0.548345	-0.56%	0.0030	✓	0.59
2026-09-23	oos	0.54546	0.545641	+0.03%	0.55141	+1.09%	0.0105	✓	0.59
2026-09-22	oos	0.55875	0.559534	+0.14%	0.54546	-2.38%	0.0080	✗	0.82
2026-09-21	oos	0.54479	0.545847	+0.19%	0.55875	+2.56%	0.0256	✓	0.49
2026-09-20	oos	0.550025	0.549482	-0.10%	0.54479	-0.95%	0.0487	✓	0.62
2026-09-19	oos	0.566845	0.566138	-0.12%	0.550025	-2.97%	0.0283	✓	0.60
2026-09-18	oos	0.572975	0.572118	-0.15%	0.566845	-1.07%	0.0121	✓	0.64
2026-09-17	oos	0.55887	0.557359	-0.27%	0.572975	+2.52%	0.0088	✓	0.63
2026-09-16	oos	0.536045	0.534966	-0.20%	0.55887	+4.26%	0.0418	✗	0.70
2026-09-15	oos	0.52681	0.525914	-0.17%	0.536045	+1.75%	0.0132	✗	0.80
2026-09-14	oos	0.54605	0.545131	-0.17%	0.52681	-3.52%	0.0074	✓	0.80
2026-09-13	oos	0.506	0.505563	-0.09%	0.54605	+7.92%	0.0635	✗	0.76
2026-09-12	oos	0.541645	0.540754	-0.16%	0.506	-6.58%	0.0619	✓	0.75
2026-09-11	oos	0.54789	0.547251	-0.12%	0.541645	-1.14%	0.0108	✓	0.75
2026-09-10	oos	0.53246	0.53219	-0.05%	0.54789	+2.90%	0.0226	✗	0.74
2026-09-09	oos	0.525035	0.525509	+0.09%	0.53246	+1.41%	0.0305	✓	0.77
2026-09-08	oos	0.53373	0.534413	+0.13%	0.525035	-1.63%	0.0161	✗	0.77
2026-09-07	oos	0.54462	0.545505	+0.16%	0.53373	-2.00%	0.0156	✗	0.77
2026-09-06	oos	0.53535	0.536962	+0.30%	0.54462	+1.73%	0.0265	✓	0.79
2026-09-05	oos	0.53493	0.536251	+0.25%	0.53535	+0.08%	0.0067	✗	0.79
2026-09-04	oos	0.55411	0.554557	+0.08%	0.53493	-3.46%	0.0376	✗	0.79
2026-09-03	oos	0.56077	0.561426	+0.12%	0.55411	-1.19%	0.0025	✓	0.79
2026-09-02	oos	0.549935	0.548616	-0.24%	0.56077	+1.97%	0.0189	✓	0.82
2026-09-01	oos	0.55791	0.556484	-0.26%	0.549935	-1.43%	0.0109	✓	0.82
2026-08-31	oos	0.55311	0.553025	-0.02%	0.55791	+0.87%	0.0212	✗	0.83
2026-08-30	oos	0.53392	0.533924	+0.00%	0.55311	+3.59%	0.0259	✓	0.82
2026-08-29	oos	0.5311	0.531258	+0.03%	0.53392	+0.53%	0.0110	✓	0.83
2026-08-28	oos	0.452265	0.453688	+0.31%	0.5311	+17.43%	0.1534	✓	0.81
2026-08-27	oos	0.4366	0.438389	+0.41%	0.452265	+3.59%	0.0590	✓	0.90
2026-08-26	oos	0.44712	0.448402	+0.29%	0.4366	-2.35%	0.0410	✗	0.92
2026-08-25	oos	0.446145	0.446987	+0.19%	0.44712	+0.22%	0.0055	✗	0.92
2026-08-24	oos	0.43008	0.430801	+0.17%	0.446145	+3.74%	0.0404	✓	0.93
2026-08-23	oos	0.44159	0.441553	-0.01%	0.43008	-2.61%	0.0415	✓	0.95
2026-08-22	oos	0.4364	0.435531	-0.20%	0.44159	+1.19%	0.0056	✗	0.95
2026-08-21	oos	0.51216	0.509667	-0.49%	0.4364	-14.79%	0.1414	✓	0.84
2026-08-20	oos	0.48057	0.478839	-0.36%	0.51216	+6.57%	0.0106	✗	0.81
2026-08-19	oos	0.48616	0.483949	-0.45%	0.48057	-1.15%	0.0560	✓	0.94
2026-08-18	oos	0.484325	0.479675	-0.96%	0.48616	+0.38%	0.0706	✓	1.22
2026-08-17	oos	0.45821	0.454096	-0.90%	0.484325	+5.70%	0.0606	✗	1.20
2026-08-16	oos	0.449445	0.447998	-0.32%	0.45821	+1.95%	0.0088	✓	1.22
2026-08-15	oos	0.455485	0.45434	-0.25%	0.449445	-1.33%	0.0073	✓	1.22
2026-08-14	oos	0.4421	0.442232	+0.03%	0.455485	+3.03%	0.0287	✓	1.21
2026-08-13	oos	0.44526	0.445171	-0.02%	0.4421	-0.71%	0.0017	✗	1.22
2026-08-12	oos	0.439325	0.439407	+0.02%	0.44526	+1.35%	0.0130	✓	1.22
2026-08-11	oos	0.445895	0.445737	-0.04%	0.439325	-1.47%	0.0122	✓	1.22
2026-08-10	oos	0.45317	0.452717	-0.10%	0.445895	-1.61%	0.0079	✓	1.21
2026-08-09	oos	0.47207	0.470862	-0.26%	0.45317	-4.00%	0.0209	✓	1.20
2026-08-08	oos	0.467935	0.466512	-0.30%	0.47207	+0.88%	0.0130	✗	1.20
2026-08-07	oos	0.47738	0.475251	-0.45%	0.467935	-1.98%	0.0158	✓	1.20
2026-08-06	oos	0.4807	0.478656	-0.43%	0.47738	-0.69%	0.0143	✓	1.21
2026-08-05	oos	0.489915	0.486749	-0.65%	0.4807	-1.88%	0.0062	✓	1.20
2026-08-04	oos	0.50446	0.501108	-0.66%	0.489915	-2.88%	0.0331	✓	1.23
2026-08-03	oos	0.49863	0.49605	-0.52%	0.50446	+1.17%	0.0056	✗	1.22
2026-08-02	oos	0.47985	0.477556	-0.48%	0.49863	+3.91%	0.0438	✗	1.22
2026-08-01	oos	0.51585	0.512631	-0.62%	0.47985	-6.98%	0.0813	✓	1.30
2026-07-31	oos	0.496455	0.493996	-0.50%	0.51585	+3.91%	0.0446	✗	1.31
2026-07-30	oos	0.5026	0.500378	-0.44%	0.496455	-1.22%	0.0335	✗	1.39
2026-07-29	oos	0.47888	0.477086	-0.37%	0.5026	+4.95%	0.0348	✗	1.35
2026-07-28	oos	0.487225	0.485293	-0.40%	0.47888	-1.71%	0.0143	✓	1.35
2026-07-27	oos	0.48183	0.480225	-0.33%	0.487225	+1.12%	0.0113	✗	1.34
2026-07-26	oos	0.4778	0.477077	-0.15%	0.48183	+0.84%	0.0474	✗	1.47
2026-07-25	oos	0.51004	0.50866	-0.27%	0.4778	-6.32%	0.0884	✓	1.60
2026-07-24	oos	0.48595	0.48556	-0.08%	0.51004	+4.96%	0.0440	✗	1.58
2026-07-23	oos	0.54517	0.543857	-0.24%	0.48595	-10.86%	0.0908	✓	1.45
2026-07-22	oos	0.59166	0.590008	-0.28%	0.54517	-7.86%	0.0575	✓	1.36
2026-07-21	oos	0.6201	0.618136	-0.32%	0.59166	-4.59%	0.0351	✓	1.34
2026-07-20	oos	0.6262	0.623895	-0.37%	0.6201	-0.97%	0.0339	✓	1.41
2026-07-19	oos	0.5895	0.587752	-0.30%	0.6262	+6.23%	0.0522	✗	1.36
2026-07-18	oos	0.57496	0.573603	-0.24%	0.5895	+2.53%	0.0298	✗	1.37
2026-07-17	oos	0.56643	0.565015	-0.25%	0.57496	+1.51%	0.0017	✓	1.37
2026-07-16	oos	0.521855	0.521404	-0.09%	0.56643	+8.54%	0.0809	✗	1.00
2026-07-15	oos	0.556	0.555726	-0.05%	0.521855	-6.14%	0.0482	✓	1.00
2026-07-14	oos	0.55588	0.555672	-0.04%	0.556	+0.02%	0.0048	✗	1.00
2026-07-13	oos	0.525275	0.524638	-0.12%	0.55588	+5.83%	0.0150	✗	1.00
2026-07-12	oos	0.542635	0.542132	-0.09%	0.525275	-3.20%	0.0082	✓	1.00
2026-07-11	oos	0.56335	0.562365	-0.17%	0.542635	-3.68%	0.0352	✓	1.00
2026-07-10	oos	0.55385	0.552821	-0.19%	0.56335	+1.72%	0.0244	✗	1.00
2026-07-09	oos	0.57192	0.570046	-0.33%	0.55385	-3.16%	0.0438	✓	1.00
2026-07-08	oos	0.55441	0.552368	-0.37%	0.57192	+3.16%	0.0198	✗	1.00
2026-07-07	oos	0.558795	0.556233	-0.46%	0.55441	-0.78%	0.0140	✗	1.00
2026-07-06	oos	0.53254	0.52995	-0.49%	0.558795	+4.93%	0.0637	✗	1.00
2026-07-05	oos	0.55362	0.550424	-0.58%	0.53254	-3.81%	0.0396	✓	1.00
2026-07-04	oos	0.609515	0.604256	-0.86%	0.55362	-9.17%	0.0954	✓	1.00
2026-07-03	oos	0.54012	0.536056	-0.75%	0.609515	+12.85%	0.1194	✗	1.00
2026-07-02	oos	0.557835	0.552178	-1.01%	0.54012	-3.18%	0.0388	✓	1.00
2026-07-01	oos	0.558	0.550503	-1.34%	0.557835	-0.03%	0.0118	✓	1.00
2026-06-30	oos	0.505	0.498349	-1.32%	0.558	+10.50%	0.0888	✗	1.00
2026-06-29	oos	0.535035	0.52927	-1.08%	0.505	-5.61%	0.0193	✓	1.00
2026-06-28	oos	0.488	0.486124	-0.38%	0.535035	+9.64%	0.0844	✗	1.00
2026-06-27	oos	0.427605	0.427978	+0.09%	0.488	+14.12%	0.1390	✓	1.00
2026-06-26	oos	0.457	0.45656	-0.10%	0.427605	-6.43%	0.0644	✓	1.00