NIULAI
? · · gru_s2
- token id
- #227
- symbol
- NIULAI
- variant
- –
- chain
- address
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-08-19
- predictions
- 168
Track record at +30d
assessed
26
of 56 predictions shown
direction hit
92.3%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.3219
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.1144
actual -0.3105
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | oos | 0.06274 | 0.058854 | -6.19% | – | pending | – | – | 1.54 |
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.062305 | 0.059446 | -4.59% | – | pending | – | – | 1.54 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.0625 | 0.059927 | -4.12% | – | pending | – | – | 1.55 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.05795 | 0.05619 | -3.04% | – | pending | – | – | 1.53 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.058765 | 0.056473 | -3.90% | – | pending | – | – | 1.53 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.059455 | 0.057281 | -3.66% | – | pending | – | – | 1.53 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.065015 | 0.061515 | -5.38% | – | pending | – | – | 1.52 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.06738 | 0.06309 | -6.37% | – | pending | – | – | 1.51 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.06963 | 0.064909 | -6.78% | – | pending | – | – | 1.51 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.07463 | 0.068456 | -8.27% | – | pending | – | – | 1.48 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.07206 | 0.066632 | -7.53% | – | pending | – | – | 1.47 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.07927 | 0.071725 | -9.52% | – | pending | – | – | 1.40 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.080075 | 0.07244 | -9.53% | – | pending | – | – | 1.41 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.07419 | 0.068012 | -8.33% | – | pending | – | – | 1.41 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.0731 | 0.06757 | -7.57% | – | pending | – | – | 1.41 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.071685 | 0.066176 | -7.69% | – | pending | – | – | 1.44 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.079075 | 0.0717 | -9.33% | – | pending | – | – | 1.36 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.0768 | 0.070102 | -8.72% | – | pending | – | – | 1.36 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.08235 | 0.074857 | -9.10% | – | pending | – | – | 1.32 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.08011 | 0.073665 | -8.05% | – | pending | – | – | 1.33 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.08755 | 0.080181 | -8.42% | – | pending | – | – | 1.32 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.09927 | 0.09016 | -9.18% | – | pending | – | – | 1.27 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.104825 | 0.094952 | -9.42% | – | pending | – | – | 1.32 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.10513 | 0.095183 | -9.46% | – | pending | – | – | 1.31 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.115845 | 0.103996 | -10.23% | – | pending | – | – | 1.30 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.10403 | 0.094139 | -9.51% | – | pending | – | – | 1.38 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.10584 | 0.095687 | -9.59% | – | pending | – | – | 1.37 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.104305 | 0.094387 | -9.51% | – | pending | – | – | 1.37 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.10064 | 0.091292 | -9.29% | – | pending | – | – | 1.38 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.10741 | 0.097332 | -9.38% | – | pending | – | – | 1.36 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.112325 | 0.102127 | -9.08% | 0.06274 | -44.14% | 0.4568 | ✓ | 1.31 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.10777 | 0.098204 | -8.88% | 0.062305 | -42.19% | 0.4151 | ✓ | 1.32 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.10109 | 0.09121 | -9.77% | 0.0625 | -38.17% | 0.4098 | ✓ | 1.47 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.107915 | 0.097076 | -10.04% | 0.05795 | -46.30% | 0.5266 | ✓ | 1.44 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.11962 | 0.10646 | -11.00% | 0.058765 | -50.87% | 0.6141 | ✓ | 1.43 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.10627 | 0.093612 | -11.91% | 0.059455 | -44.05% | 0.5178 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.10055 | 0.088638 | -11.85% | 0.065015 | -35.34% | 0.3779 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.11971 | 0.102904 | -14.04% | 0.06738 | -43.71% | 0.5064 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.12225 | 0.105729 | -13.51% | 0.06963 | -43.04% | 0.4602 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.11709 | 0.100721 | -13.98% | 0.07463 | -36.26% | 0.3787 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.134925 | 0.113661 | -15.76% | 0.07206 | -46.59% | 0.5121 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.125765 | 0.106513 | -15.31% | 0.07927 | -36.97% | 0.3759 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.12138 | 0.101906 | -16.04% | 0.080075 | -34.03% | 0.3211 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.078585 | 0.070324 | -10.51% | 0.07419 | -5.59% | 0.0005 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.102125 | 0.088294 | -13.54% | 0.0731 | -28.42% | 0.2294 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.08165 | 0.072655 | -11.02% | 0.071685 | -12.20% | 0.0650 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.09102 | 0.080634 | -11.41% | 0.079075 | -13.12% | 0.0823 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.12056 | 0.103299 | -14.32% | 0.0768 | -36.30% | 0.3679 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.08412 | 0.075689 | -10.02% | 0.08235 | -2.10% | 0.0021 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.09631 | 0.086392 | -10.30% | 0.08011 | -16.82% | 0.1174 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.07782 | 0.070782 | -9.04% | 0.08755 | +12.50% | 0.1236 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 0.08336 | 0.075868 | -8.99% | 0.09927 | +19.09% | 0.1769 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 0.10287 | 0.092011 | -10.56% | 0.104825 | +1.90% | 0.0688 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-30 | oos | 0.10148 | 0.090622 | -10.70% | 0.10513 | +3.60% | 0.0744 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-29 | oos | 0.05494 | 0.05572 | +1.42% | 0.115845 | +110.86% | 0.6673 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-28 | oos | 0.05606 | 0.056939 | +1.57% | 0.10403 | +85.57% | 0.5210 | ✓ | 1.00 |