MOE

MOE · Mantle · gru_s2

token id: #827
symbol: MOE
variant: –
chain: Mantle
address: 0x4515a45337f461a11ff0fe8abf3c606ae5dc00c9
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2024-11-29
predictions: 402

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +7d

assessed

120

of 134 predictions shown

direction hit

66.7%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.3208

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0280

actual -0.1811

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.000324	0.000331833	+2.42%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-10-21	oos	0.0003162	0.000327991	+3.73%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-10-20	oos	0.0003632	0.000373069	+2.72%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-10-19	oos	0.00035745	0.000367528	+2.82%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-10-18	oos	0.0004181	0.000424182	+1.45%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-10-17	oos	0.00043585	0.000437166	+0.30%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-10-16	oos	0.0004583	0.000448376	-2.17%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-10-15	oos	0.0004529	0.000406179	-10.32%	0.000324	-28.46%	0.2512	✓	1.00
2026-10-14	oos	0.0004537	0.000352623	-22.28%	0.0003162	-30.31%	0.1387	✓	1.00
2026-10-13	oos	0.00055985	0.000422297	-24.57%	0.0003632	-35.13%	0.1488	✓	1.00
2026-10-12	oos	0.0006665	0.000495771	-25.62%	0.00035745	-46.37%	0.3283	✓	1.00
2026-10-11	oos	0.000703	0.000446402	-36.50%	0.0004181	-40.53%	0.0453	✓	1.00
2025-04-08	in	0.00031	0.000313559	+1.15%	–	pending	–	–	2.03
2025-04-07	in	0.000317	0.000319029	+0.64%	–	pending	–	–	2.12
2025-04-06	in	0.0003192	0.00032141	+0.69%	–	pending	–	–	2.11
2025-04-05	in	0.0003977	0.000393179	-1.14%	–	pending	–	–	2.13
2025-04-04	in	0.0004024	0.000398916	-0.87%	–	pending	–	–	2.14
2025-04-03	in	0.0003984	0.000394934	-0.87%	–	pending	–	–	2.14
2025-04-02	in	0.000448	0.000442419	-1.25%	–	pending	–	–	2.20
2025-04-01	in	0.0004932	0.000483559	-1.95%	0.00031	-37.15%	0.1898	✓	2.30
2025-03-31	in	0.0004862	0.000477899	-1.71%	0.000317	-34.80%	0.3132	✓	2.32
2025-03-30	in	0.0004699	0.000462869	-1.50%	0.0003192	-32.07%	0.2563	✓	2.31
2025-03-29	in	0.0004657	0.000458869	-1.47%	0.0003977	-14.60%	0.1673	✓	2.28
2025-03-28	in	0.0005013	0.000491123	-2.03%	0.0004024	-19.73%	0.1847	✓	2.34
2025-03-27	in	0.0005423	0.000526811	-2.86%	0.0003984	-26.54%	0.1653	✓	2.40
2025-03-26	in	0.0005207	0.00050231	-3.53%	0.000448	-13.96%	0.0052	✓	2.28
2025-03-25	in	0.0005439	0.000527452	-3.02%	0.0004932	-9.32%	0.0071	✓	2.30
2025-03-24	in	0.0005511	0.000533941	-3.11%	0.0004862	-11.78%	0.0405	✗	2.29
2025-03-23	in	0.0005092	0.000497963	-2.21%	0.0004699	-7.72%	0.0402	✗	2.23
2025-03-22	in	0.0005002	0.000492022	-1.63%	0.0004657	-6.90%	0.0219	✓	2.23
2025-03-21	in	0.0004994	0.000491735	-1.53%	0.0005013	+0.38%	0.0110	✓	2.17
2025-03-20	in	0.00055	0.000536562	-2.44%	0.0005423	-1.40%	0.0659	✓	2.16
2025-03-19	in	0.000542	0.000528344	-2.52%	0.0005207	-3.93%	0.0158	✓	2.20
2025-03-18	in	0.0004988	0.000495248	-0.71%	0.0005439	+9.04%	0.0352	✓	2.32
2025-03-17	in	0.00051	0.00050576	-0.83%	0.0005511	+8.06%	0.0108	✓	2.36
2025-03-16	in	0.0005015	0.000501302	-0.04%	0.0005092	+1.54%	0.0828	✓	2.35
2025-03-15	in	0.0005216	0.000518304	-0.63%	0.0005002	-4.10%	0.0211	✓	2.43
2025-03-14	in	0.0005378	0.000533441	-0.81%	0.0004994	-7.14%	0.0683	✓	2.48
2025-03-13	in	0.0004904	0.000499981	+1.95%	0.00055	+12.15%	0.0025	✓	2.47
2025-03-12	in	0.0005142	0.000521344	+1.39%	0.000542	+5.41%	0.0541	✗	2.46
2025-03-11	in	0.0005339	0.000543711	+1.84%	0.0004988	-6.57%	0.0798	✗	2.47
2025-03-10	in	0.0004858	0.00050696	+4.36%	0.00051	+4.98%	0.1684	✗	2.59
2025-03-09	in	0.00057	0.000586735	+2.94%	0.0005015	-12.02%	0.2155	✗	2.56
2025-03-08	in	0.0005902	0.000599728	+1.61%	0.0005216	-11.62%	0.0791	✗	2.78
2025-03-07	in	0.0006199	0.000630248	+1.67%	0.0005378	-13.24%	0.0663	✗	2.84
2025-03-06	in	0.0006305	0.000638371	+1.25%	0.0004904	-22.22%	0.0362	✓	2.89
2025-03-05	in	0.0006211	0.00063231	+1.80%	0.0005142	-17.21%	0.0209	✓	2.86
2025-03-04	in	0.0006649	0.000682573	+2.66%	0.0005339	-19.70%	0.0968	✗	2.92
2025-03-03	in	0.0006283	0.000652816	+3.90%	0.0004858	-22.68%	0.0469	✗	2.69
2025-03-02	in	0.0008278	0.000812596	-1.84%	0.00057	-31.14%	0.0626	✗	2.68
2025-03-01	in	0.00068	0.000705698	+3.78%	0.0005902	-13.21%	0.1845	✗	2.66
2025-02-28	in	0.00071	0.000741188	+4.39%	0.0006199	-12.69%	0.2594	✗	2.81
2025-02-27	in	0.0005911	0.000628483	+6.32%	0.0006305	+6.67%	0.1693	✗	2.84
2025-02-26	in	0.000648	0.000686582	+5.95%	0.0006211	-4.15%	0.3126	✗	2.86
2025-02-25	in	0.0005906	0.000625633	+5.93%	0.0006649	+12.58%	0.1092	✓	3.18
2025-02-24	in	0.0006898	0.000720566	+4.46%	0.0006283	-8.92%	0.0537	✓	3.17
2025-02-23	in	0.0007556	0.000774692	+2.53%	0.0008278	+9.56%	0.1356	✓	3.30
2025-02-22	in	0.00079	0.000809202	+2.43%	0.00068	-13.92%	0.2081	✓	3.30
2025-02-21	in	0.000801	0.000823206	+2.77%	0.00071	-11.36%	0.2862	✓	3.30
2025-02-20	in	0.00082	0.000838505	+2.26%	0.0005911	-27.91%	0.1534	✓	3.35
2025-02-19	in	0.00068	0.00071423	+5.03%	0.000648	-4.71%	0.3566	✓	3.27
2025-02-18	in	0.0006437	0.000684914	+6.40%	0.0005906	-8.25%	0.1002	✓	3.26
2025-02-17	in	0.00069	0.000733404	+6.29%	0.0006898	-0.03%	0.0871	✓	3.25
2025-02-16	in	0.00074	0.000785479	+6.15%	0.0007556	+2.11%	0.0437	✓	3.25
2025-02-15	in	0.00071	0.000755717	+6.44%	0.00079	+11.27%	0.0789	✓	3.30
2025-02-14	in	0.00081	0.000864139	+6.68%	0.000801	-1.11%	0.0297	✓	3.31
2025-02-13	in	0.00089	0.000948249	+6.54%	0.00082	-7.87%	0.2041	✗	3.33
2025-02-12	in	0.00109	0.001141	+4.71%	0.00068	-37.61%	0.4763	✗	3.28
2025-02-11	in	0.00141	0.001451	+2.94%	0.0006437	-54.35%	0.8071	✗	3.46
2025-02-10	in	0.00137	0.001403	+2.43%	0.00069	-49.64%	0.6493	✗	3.52
2025-02-09	in	0.00155	0.001581	+2.01%	0.00074	-52.26%	0.7461	✗	3.55
2025-02-08	in	0.00157	0.001604	+2.15%	0.00071	-54.78%	0.8559	✗	3.55
2025-02-07	in	0.00147	0.001511	+2.76%	0.00081	-44.90%	0.6589	✗	3.56
2025-02-06	in	0.0016	0.001638	+2.36%	0.00089	-44.38%	0.6120	✗	3.56
2025-02-05	in	0.00144	0.001482	+2.93%	0.00109	-24.31%	0.3521	✗	3.56
2025-02-04	in	0.00134	0.001365	+1.83%	0.00141	+5.22%	0.1081	✓	3.61
2025-02-03	in	0.00176	0.001753	-0.39%	0.00137	-22.16%	0.1056	✓	3.49
2025-02-02	in	0.00141	0.001355	-3.90%	0.00155	+9.93%	0.1759	✗	3.35
2025-02-01	in	0.00172	0.001668	-3.04%	0.00157	-8.72%	0.0781	✗	3.29
2025-01-31	in	0.00205	0.001995	-2.69%	0.00147	-28.29%	0.1139	✓	3.24
2025-01-30	in	0.0024	0.002321	-3.27%	0.0016	-33.33%	0.1120	✓	3.20
2025-01-29	in	0.0025	0.00242	-3.20%	0.00144	-42.40%	0.2911	✓	3.21
2025-01-28	in	0.00234	0.002217	-5.24%	0.00134	-42.74%	0.3914	✓	3.20
2025-01-27	in	0.00272	0.002613	-3.94%	0.00176	-35.29%	0.3763	✓	3.17
2025-01-26	in	0.0031	0.003013	-2.80%	0.00141	-54.52%	0.6054	✓	3.15
2025-01-25	in	0.00411	0.003976	-3.25%	0.00172	-58.15%	0.7173	✓	3.02
2025-01-24	in	0.00459	0.004399	-4.17%	0.00205	-55.34%	0.6926	✓	3.01
2025-01-23	in	0.00502	0.004804	-4.31%	0.0024	-52.19%	0.7177	✓	3.03
2025-01-22	in	0.00639	0.006014	-5.89%	0.0025	-60.88%	0.8801	✓	3.04
2025-01-21	in	0.00663	0.006131	-7.52%	0.00234	-64.71%	0.8183	✓	3.09
2025-01-20	in	0.00488	0.004272	-12.45%	0.00272	-44.26%	0.4493	✓	2.81
2025-01-19	in	0.00512	0.004359	-14.86%	0.0031	-39.45%	0.3784	✓	2.83
2025-01-18	in	0.0073	0.006762	-7.37%	0.00411	-43.70%	0.5051	✓	2.53
2025-01-17	in	0.00945	0.008915	-5.66%	0.00459	-51.43%	0.6819	✓	2.55
2025-01-16	in	0.01091	0.010394	-4.73%	0.00502	-53.99%	0.8407	✓	2.92
2025-01-15	in	0.01372	0.012898	-5.99%	0.00639	-53.43%	0.7911	✓	2.87
2025-01-14	in	0.01037	0.009959	-3.97%	0.00663	-36.07%	0.6529	✓	2.59
2025-01-13	in	0.01316	0.012622	-4.09%	0.00488	-62.92%	1.1729	✓	2.86
2025-01-12	in	0.01678	0.015889	-5.31%	0.00512	-69.49%	1.3291	✓	2.87
2025-01-11	in	0.01601	0.01521	-5.00%	0.0073	-54.40%	1.0191	✓	2.87
2025-01-10	in	0.01991	0.01863	-6.43%	0.00945	-52.54%	0.9499	✓	2.86
2025-01-09	in	0.02065	0.01916	-7.22%	0.01091	-47.17%	0.7940	✓	2.99
2025-01-08	in	0.01796	0.016792	-6.50%	0.01372	-23.61%	0.3828	✓	3.23
2025-01-07	in	0.02282	0.02102	-7.89%	0.01037	-54.56%	0.6937	✓	3.06
2025-01-06	in	0.02644	0.023943	-9.44%	0.01316	-50.23%	0.3568	✓	3.06
2025-01-05	in	0.02288	0.020731	-9.39%	0.01678	-26.66%	0.0906	✓	3.04
2025-01-04	in	0.02024	0.018468	-8.75%	0.01601	-20.90%	0.0282	✓	3.03
2025-01-03	in	0.02086	0.018687	-10.41%	0.01991	-4.55%	0.1714	✗	3.03
2025-01-02	in	0.0165	0.014833	-10.10%	0.02065	+25.15%	0.4640	✗	2.90
2025-01-01	in	0.01285	0.011927	-7.19%	0.01796	+39.77%	0.3913	✗	2.62
2024-12-31	in	0.01281	0.011886	-7.21%	0.02282	+78.14%	0.5527	✗	2.64
2024-12-30	in	0.01329	0.012274	-7.64%	0.02644	+98.95%	0.5018	✗	2.68
2024-12-29	in	0.0112	0.010581	-5.53%	0.02288	+104.29%	0.6325	✗	2.78
2024-12-28	in	0.01553	0.014034	-9.63%	0.02024	+30.33%	0.3343	✗	1.00
2024-12-27	in	0.01222	0.011187	-8.45%	0.02086	+70.70%	0.5818	✗	1.00
2024-12-26	in	0.0079	0.007861	-0.49%	0.0165	+108.86%	0.7286	✗	1.00
2024-12-25	in	0.00906	0.008774	-3.16%	0.01285	+41.83%	0.4328	✗	1.00
2024-12-24	in	0.00997	0.009533	-4.38%	0.01281	+28.49%	0.3501	✗	1.00
2024-12-23	in	0.01	0.009644	-3.56%	0.01329	+32.90%	0.3436	✗	1.00
2024-12-22	in	0.0084	0.008381	-0.22%	0.0112	+33.33%	0.3061	✗	1.00
2024-12-21	in	0.00752	0.007664	+1.91%	0.01553	+106.52%	0.7281	✓	1.00
2024-12-20	in	0.00682	0.007069	+3.65%	0.01222	+79.18%	0.5848	✓	1.00
2024-12-19	in	0.00766	0.007825	+2.16%	0.0079	+3.13%	0.0272	✓	1.00
2024-12-18	in	0.01118	0.010797	-3.43%	0.00906	-18.96%	0.1673	✓	1.00
2024-12-17	in	0.01372	0.012973	-5.44%	0.00997	-27.33%	0.1896	✓	1.00
2024-12-16	in	0.01609	0.014817	-7.91%	0.01	-37.85%	0.2802	✓	1.00
2024-12-15	in	0.01238	0.011729	-5.26%	0.0084	-32.15%	0.2400	✓	1.00
2024-12-14	in	0.01074	0.01043	-2.89%	0.00752	-29.98%	0.2851	✓	1.00
2024-12-13	in	0.00983	0.009753	-0.78%	0.00682	-30.62%	0.3210	✓	1.00
2024-12-12	in	0.01099	0.010759	-2.10%	0.00766	-30.30%	0.3128	✓	1.00
2024-12-11	in	0.01188	0.011449	-3.63%	0.01118	-5.89%	0.0133	✓	1.00
2024-12-10	in	0.00939	0.009478	+0.94%	0.01372	+46.11%	0.2764	✓	1.00
2024-12-09	in	0.00936	0.009447	+0.92%	0.01609	+71.90%	0.4462	✓	1.00
2024-12-08	in	0.01153	0.011332	-1.72%	0.01238	+7.37%	0.0566	✗	1.00