MOE
MOE · Mantle · gru_s2
- token id
- #827
- symbol
- MOE
- variant
- –
- chain
- Mantle
- address
- 0x4515a45337f461a11ff0fe8abf3c606ae5dc00c9
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2024-11-29
- predictions
- 402
Track record at +30d
assessed
92
of 134 predictions shown
direction hit
81.5%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.8428
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.1543
actual -0.8731
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | oos | 0.000324 | 0.000308259 | -4.86% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.0003162 | 0.000300502 | -4.96% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.0003632 | 0.000340604 | -6.22% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.00035745 | 0.000337244 | -5.65% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.0004181 | 0.000380987 | -8.88% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.00043585 | 0.00039739 | -8.82% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.0004583 | 0.000410519 | -10.43% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.0004529 | 0.000407605 | -10.00% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.0004537 | 0.000417731 | -7.93% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.00055985 | 0.000475339 | -15.10% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.0006665 | 0.0005266 | -20.99% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.000703 | 0.000378958 | -46.09% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2025-04-08 | in | 0.00031 | 0.00031236 | +0.76% | – | pending | – | – | 2.03 |
| 2025-04-07 | in | 0.000317 | 0.000324222 | +2.28% | – | pending | – | – | 2.12 |
| 2025-04-06 | in | 0.0003192 | 0.000326116 | +2.17% | – | pending | – | – | 2.11 |
| 2025-04-05 | in | 0.0003977 | 0.000403249 | +1.40% | – | pending | – | – | 2.13 |
| 2025-04-04 | in | 0.0004024 | 0.000407605 | +1.29% | – | pending | – | – | 2.14 |
| 2025-04-03 | in | 0.0003984 | 0.000405818 | +1.86% | – | pending | – | – | 2.14 |
| 2025-04-02 | in | 0.000448 | 0.000447884 | -0.03% | – | pending | – | – | 2.20 |
| 2025-04-01 | in | 0.0004932 | 0.000483747 | -1.92% | – | pending | – | – | 2.30 |
| 2025-03-31 | in | 0.0004862 | 0.000479328 | -1.41% | – | pending | – | – | 2.32 |
| 2025-03-30 | in | 0.0004699 | 0.000473431 | +0.75% | – | pending | – | – | 2.31 |
| 2025-03-29 | in | 0.0004657 | 0.000473228 | +1.62% | – | pending | – | – | 2.28 |
| 2025-03-28 | in | 0.0005013 | 0.00049768 | -0.72% | – | pending | – | – | 2.34 |
| 2025-03-27 | in | 0.0005423 | 0.000526912 | -2.84% | – | pending | – | – | 2.40 |
| 2025-03-26 | in | 0.0005207 | 0.000508995 | -2.25% | – | pending | – | – | 2.28 |
| 2025-03-25 | in | 0.0005439 | 0.000534124 | -1.80% | – | pending | – | – | 2.30 |
| 2025-03-24 | in | 0.0005511 | 0.000541847 | -1.68% | – | pending | – | – | 2.29 |
| 2025-03-23 | in | 0.0005092 | 0.000510728 | +0.30% | – | pending | – | – | 2.23 |
| 2025-03-22 | in | 0.0005002 | 0.000499978 | -0.04% | – | pending | – | – | 2.23 |
| 2025-03-21 | in | 0.0004994 | 0.000494917 | -0.90% | – | pending | – | – | 2.17 |
| 2025-03-20 | in | 0.00055 | 0.000540675 | -1.70% | – | pending | – | – | 2.16 |
| 2025-03-19 | in | 0.000542 | 0.000528462 | -2.50% | – | pending | – | – | 2.20 |
| 2025-03-18 | in | 0.0004988 | 0.000492215 | -1.32% | – | pending | – | – | 2.32 |
| 2025-03-17 | in | 0.00051 | 0.000501964 | -1.58% | – | pending | – | – | 2.36 |
| 2025-03-16 | in | 0.0005015 | 0.000497861 | -0.73% | – | pending | – | – | 2.35 |
| 2025-03-15 | in | 0.0005216 | 0.000511845 | -1.87% | – | pending | – | – | 2.43 |
| 2025-03-14 | in | 0.0005378 | 0.000529658 | -1.51% | – | pending | – | – | 2.48 |
| 2025-03-13 | in | 0.0004904 | 0.000490759 | +0.07% | – | pending | – | – | 2.47 |
| 2025-03-12 | in | 0.0005142 | 0.00050842 | -1.12% | – | pending | – | – | 2.46 |
| 2025-03-11 | in | 0.0005339 | 0.000529579 | -0.81% | – | pending | – | – | 2.47 |
| 2025-03-10 | in | 0.0004858 | 0.000489723 | +0.81% | – | pending | – | – | 2.59 |
| 2025-03-09 | in | 0.00057 | 0.00057367 | +0.64% | 0.00031 | -45.61% | 0.4701 | ✗ | 2.56 |
| 2025-03-08 | in | 0.0005902 | 0.000565743 | -4.14% | 0.000317 | -46.29% | 0.3414 | ✓ | 2.78 |
| 2025-03-07 | in | 0.0006199 | 0.000589932 | -4.83% | 0.0003192 | -48.51% | 0.3256 | ✓ | 2.84 |
| 2025-03-06 | in | 0.0006305 | 0.000604528 | -4.12% | 0.0003977 | -36.92% | 0.2042 | ✓ | 2.89 |
| 2025-03-05 | in | 0.0006211 | 0.000601152 | -3.21% | 0.0004024 | -35.21% | 0.1806 | ✓ | 2.86 |
| 2025-03-04 | in | 0.0006649 | 0.000632537 | -4.87% | 0.0003984 | -40.08% | 0.3226 | ✓ | 2.92 |
| 2025-03-03 | in | 0.0006283 | 0.000606286 | -3.50% | 0.000448 | -28.70% | 0.1856 | ✓ | 2.69 |
| 2025-03-02 | in | 0.0008278 | 0.000820229 | -0.91% | 0.0004932 | -40.42% | 0.2363 | ✓ | 2.68 |
| 2025-03-01 | in | 0.00068 | 0.000650013 | -4.41% | 0.0004862 | -28.50% | 0.1803 | ✓ | 2.66 |
| 2025-02-28 | in | 0.00071 | 0.000671995 | -5.35% | 0.0004699 | -33.82% | 0.2932 | ✓ | 2.81 |
| 2025-02-27 | in | 0.0005911 | 0.000580538 | -1.79% | 0.0004657 | -21.21% | 0.1521 | ✓ | 2.84 |
| 2025-02-26 | in | 0.000648 | 0.000628967 | -2.94% | 0.0005013 | -22.64% | 0.2360 | ✓ | 2.86 |
| 2025-02-25 | in | 0.0005906 | 0.000587779 | -0.48% | 0.0005423 | -8.18% | 0.0311 | ✓ | 3.18 |
| 2025-02-24 | in | 0.0006898 | 0.000690691 | +0.13% | 0.0005207 | -24.51% | 0.1198 | ✗ | 3.17 |
| 2025-02-23 | in | 0.0007556 | 0.000776834 | +2.81% | 0.0005439 | -28.02% | 0.0388 | ✗ | 3.30 |
| 2025-02-22 | in | 0.00079 | 0.000808932 | +2.40% | 0.0005511 | -30.24% | 0.0590 | ✗ | 3.30 |
| 2025-02-21 | in | 0.000801 | 0.000813861 | +1.61% | 0.0005092 | -36.43% | 0.1043 | ✗ | 3.30 |
| 2025-02-20 | in | 0.00082 | 0.000839608 | +2.39% | 0.0005002 | -39.00% | 0.0159 | ✓ | 3.35 |
| 2025-02-19 | in | 0.00068 | 0.000690545 | +1.55% | 0.0004994 | -26.56% | 0.1318 | ✓ | 3.27 |
| 2025-02-18 | in | 0.0006437 | 0.000655237 | +1.79% | 0.00055 | -14.56% | 0.2392 | ✓ | 3.26 |
| 2025-02-17 | in | 0.00069 | 0.000701866 | +1.72% | 0.000542 | -21.45% | 0.0590 | ✓ | 3.25 |
| 2025-02-16 | in | 0.00074 | 0.000751908 | +1.61% | 0.0004988 | -32.59% | 0.0787 | ✓ | 3.25 |
| 2025-02-15 | in | 0.00071 | 0.00073063 | +2.91% | 0.00051 | -28.17% | 0.1357 | ✓ | 3.30 |
| 2025-02-14 | in | 0.00081 | 0.00083964 | +3.66% | 0.0005015 | -38.09% | 0.0348 | ✓ | 3.31 |
| 2025-02-13 | in | 0.00089 | 0.00092565 | +4.01% | 0.0005216 | -41.39% | 0.1214 | ✗ | 3.33 |
| 2025-02-12 | in | 0.00109 | 0.001119 | +2.63% | 0.0005378 | -50.66% | 0.2300 | ✗ | 3.28 |
| 2025-02-11 | in | 0.00141 | 0.001414 | +0.26% | 0.0004904 | -65.22% | 0.4819 | ✗ | 3.46 |
| 2025-02-10 | in | 0.00137 | 0.001365 | -0.35% | 0.0005142 | -62.47% | 0.4399 | ✓ | 3.52 |
| 2025-02-09 | in | 0.00155 | 0.001531 | -1.23% | 0.0005339 | -65.55% | 0.5150 | ✓ | 3.55 |
| 2025-02-08 | in | 0.00157 | 0.001547 | -1.46% | 0.0004858 | -69.06% | 0.4275 | ✓ | 3.55 |
| 2025-02-07 | in | 0.00147 | 0.00146 | -0.65% | 0.00057 | -61.22% | 0.3037 | ✓ | 3.56 |
| 2025-02-06 | in | 0.0016 | 0.001565 | -2.21% | 0.0005902 | -63.11% | 0.5715 | ✓ | 3.56 |
| 2025-02-05 | in | 0.00144 | 0.001439 | -0.07% | 0.0006199 | -56.95% | 0.4584 | ✓ | 3.56 |
| 2025-02-04 | in | 0.00134 | 0.001357 | +1.30% | 0.0006305 | -52.95% | 0.4642 | ✗ | 3.61 |
| 2025-02-03 | in | 0.00176 | 0.001652 | -6.16% | 0.0006211 | -64.71% | 0.5829 | ✓ | 3.49 |
| 2025-02-02 | in | 0.00141 | 0.001457 | +3.34% | 0.0006649 | -52.84% | 0.4062 | ✗ | 3.35 |
| 2025-02-01 | in | 0.00172 | 0.001665 | -3.23% | 0.0006283 | -63.47% | 0.4637 | ✓ | 3.29 |
| 2025-01-31 | in | 0.00205 | 0.001885 | -8.05% | 0.0008278 | -59.62% | 0.5542 | ✓ | 3.24 |
| 2025-01-30 | in | 0.0024 | 0.002122 | -11.60% | 0.00068 | -71.67% | 0.5075 | ✓ | 3.20 |
| 2025-01-29 | in | 0.0025 | 0.002215 | -11.40% | 0.00071 | -71.60% | 0.4709 | ✓ | 3.21 |
| 2025-01-28 | in | 0.00234 | 0.002134 | -8.82% | 0.0005911 | -74.74% | 0.7089 | ✓ | 3.20 |
| 2025-01-27 | in | 0.00272 | 0.002389 | -12.17% | 0.000648 | -76.18% | 0.6913 | ✓ | 3.17 |
| 2025-01-26 | in | 0.0031 | 0.002619 | -15.51% | 0.0005906 | -80.95% | 1.0272 | ✓ | 3.15 |
| 2025-01-25 | in | 0.00411 | 0.003127 | -23.91% | 0.0006898 | -83.22% | 1.1046 | ✓ | 3.02 |
| 2025-01-24 | in | 0.00459 | 0.003283 | -28.48% | 0.0007556 | -83.54% | 1.2120 | ✓ | 3.01 |
| 2025-01-23 | in | 0.00502 | 0.003416 | -31.94% | 0.00079 | -84.26% | 1.2421 | ✓ | 3.03 |
| 2025-01-22 | in | 0.00639 | 0.003964 | -37.97% | 0.000801 | -87.46% | 1.3702 | ✓ | 3.04 |
| 2025-01-21 | in | 0.00663 | 0.003988 | -39.84% | 0.00082 | -87.63% | 1.3459 | ✓ | 3.09 |
| 2025-01-20 | in | 0.00488 | 0.003033 | -37.85% | 0.00068 | -86.07% | 1.3391 | ✓ | 2.81 |
| 2025-01-19 | in | 0.00512 | 0.00307 | -40.03% | 0.0006437 | -87.43% | 1.4013 | ✓ | 2.83 |
| 2025-01-18 | in | 0.0073 | 0.004123 | -43.52% | 0.00069 | -90.55% | 1.5690 | ✓ | 2.53 |
| 2025-01-17 | in | 0.00945 | 0.005628 | -40.44% | 0.00074 | -92.17% | 1.8257 | ✓ | 2.55 |
| 2025-01-16 | in | 0.01091 | 0.006806 | -37.62% | 0.00071 | -93.49% | 2.1898 | ✓ | 2.92 |
| 2025-01-15 | in | 0.01372 | 0.008599 | -37.33% | 0.00081 | -94.10% | 2.2753 | ✓ | 2.87 |
| 2025-01-14 | in | 0.01037 | 0.006817 | -34.26% | 0.00089 | -91.42% | 2.0384 | ✓ | 2.59 |
| 2025-01-13 | in | 0.01316 | 0.009348 | -28.97% | 0.00109 | -91.72% | 2.2489 | ✓ | 2.86 |
| 2025-01-12 | in | 0.01678 | 0.011785 | -29.77% | 0.00141 | -91.60% | 2.1614 | ✓ | 2.87 |
| 2025-01-11 | in | 0.01601 | 0.011284 | -29.52% | 0.00137 | -91.44% | 2.1947 | ✓ | 2.87 |
| 2025-01-10 | in | 0.01991 | 0.014243 | -28.46% | 0.00155 | -92.21% | 2.2712 | ✓ | 2.86 |
| 2025-01-09 | in | 0.02065 | 0.015054 | -27.10% | 0.00157 | -92.40% | 2.3848 | ✓ | 2.99 |
| 2025-01-08 | in | 0.01796 | 0.012858 | -28.41% | 0.00147 | -91.82% | 2.2192 | ✓ | 3.23 |
| 2025-01-07 | in | 0.02282 | 0.01698 | -25.59% | 0.0016 | -92.99% | 2.3501 | ✓ | 3.06 |
| 2025-01-06 | in | 0.02644 | 0.020848 | -21.15% | 0.00144 | -94.55% | 2.4991 | ✓ | 3.06 |
| 2025-01-05 | in | 0.02288 | 0.017784 | -22.27% | 0.00134 | -94.14% | 2.5686 | ✓ | 3.04 |
| 2025-01-04 | in | 0.02024 | 0.015831 | -21.78% | 0.00176 | -91.30% | 2.2953 | ✓ | 3.03 |
| 2025-01-03 | in | 0.02086 | 0.016606 | -20.39% | 0.00141 | -93.24% | 2.4519 | ✓ | 3.03 |
| 2025-01-02 | in | 0.0165 | 0.012819 | -22.31% | 0.00172 | -89.58% | 2.1177 | ✓ | 2.90 |
| 2025-01-01 | in | 0.01285 | 0.010136 | -21.12% | 0.00205 | -84.05% | 1.8120 | ✓ | 2.62 |
| 2024-12-31 | in | 0.01281 | 0.010102 | -21.14% | 0.0024 | -81.26% | 1.7412 | ✓ | 2.64 |
| 2024-12-30 | in | 0.01329 | 0.010409 | -21.68% | 0.0025 | -81.19% | 1.7302 | ✓ | 2.68 |
| 2024-12-29 | in | 0.0112 | 0.00879 | -21.52% | 0.00234 | -79.11% | 1.5443 | ✓ | 2.78 |
| 2024-12-28 | in | 0.01553 | 0.011836 | -23.78% | 0.00272 | -82.49% | 1.5409 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-27 | in | 0.01222 | 0.009201 | -24.71% | 0.0031 | -74.63% | 1.1733 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-26 | in | 0.0079 | 0.006625 | -16.13% | 0.00411 | -47.97% | 0.5680 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-25 | in | 0.00906 | 0.007204 | -20.49% | 0.00459 | -49.34% | 0.5046 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-24 | in | 0.00997 | 0.007728 | -22.49% | 0.00502 | -49.65% | 0.4841 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-23 | in | 0.01 | 0.007803 | -21.97% | 0.00639 | -36.10% | 0.2896 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-22 | in | 0.0084 | 0.007096 | -15.52% | 0.00663 | -21.07% | 0.1781 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-21 | in | 0.00752 | 0.006647 | -11.61% | 0.00488 | -35.11% | 0.3583 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-20 | in | 0.00682 | 0.006337 | -7.09% | 0.00512 | -24.93% | 0.2478 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-19 | in | 0.00766 | 0.00705 | -7.97% | 0.0073 | -4.70% | 0.0351 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-18 | in | 0.01118 | 0.009337 | -16.48% | 0.00945 | -15.47% | 0.0268 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-17 | in | 0.01372 | 0.011734 | -14.48% | 0.01091 | -20.48% | 0.0131 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-16 | in | 0.01609 | 0.013975 | -13.15% | 0.01372 | -14.73% | 0.0357 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-15 | in | 0.01238 | 0.010748 | -13.18% | 0.01037 | -16.24% | 0.0430 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-14 | in | 0.01074 | 0.009395 | -12.53% | 0.01316 | +22.53% | 0.4074 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-13 | in | 0.00983 | 0.008676 | -11.74% | 0.01678 | +70.70% | 0.7303 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-12 | in | 0.01099 | 0.009534 | -13.25% | 0.01601 | +45.68% | 0.5746 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-11 | in | 0.01188 | 0.010395 | -12.50% | 0.01991 | +67.59% | 0.7163 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-10 | in | 0.00939 | 0.008657 | -7.80% | 0.02065 | +119.91% | 0.9128 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-09 | in | 0.00936 | 0.008671 | -7.36% | 0.01796 | +91.88% | 0.7520 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-08 | in | 0.01153 | 0.010329 | -10.42% | 0.02282 | +97.92% | 0.8354 | ✗ | 1.00 |