MOE

MOE · Mantle · gru_s2

token id: #827
symbol: MOE
variant: –
chain: Mantle
address: 0x4515a45337f461a11ff0fe8abf3c606ae5dc00c9
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2024-11-29
predictions: 402

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

132

of 134 predictions shown

direction hit

59.8%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1046

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0061

actual -0.0278

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.000324	0.000326382	+0.74%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-10-21	oos	0.0003162	0.000319427	+1.02%	0.000324	+2.47%	0.0119	✓	1.00
2026-10-20	oos	0.0003632	0.000366072	+0.79%	0.0003162	-12.94%	0.1595	✗	1.00
2026-10-19	oos	0.00035745	0.000360396	+0.82%	0.0003632	+1.61%	0.0056	✓	1.00
2026-10-18	oos	0.0004181	0.000420241	+0.51%	0.00035745	-14.51%	0.1598	✗	1.00
2026-10-17	oos	0.00043585	0.000436979	+0.26%	0.0004181	-4.07%	0.0518	✗	1.00
2026-10-16	oos	0.0004583	0.000456903	-0.30%	0.00043585	-4.90%	0.0457	✓	1.00
2026-10-15	oos	0.0004529	0.000442336	-2.33%	0.0004583	+1.19%	0.0431	✗	1.00
2026-10-14	oos	0.0004537	0.00042798	-5.67%	0.0004529	-0.18%	0.0498	✓	1.00
2026-10-13	oos	0.00055985	0.000524395	-6.33%	0.0004537	-18.96%	0.1262	✓	1.00
2026-10-12	oos	0.0006665	0.000622485	-6.60%	0.00055985	-16.00%	0.1225	✓	1.00
2026-10-11	oos	0.000703	0.000631402	-10.18%	0.0006665	-5.19%	0.0775	✓	1.00
2025-04-08	in	0.00031	0.000311281	+0.41%	–	pending	–	–	2.03
2025-04-07	in	0.000317	0.000317967	+0.31%	0.00031	-2.21%	0.0533	✓	2.12
2025-04-06	in	0.0003192	0.000320209	+0.32%	0.000317	-0.69%	0.0307	✗	2.11
2025-04-05	in	0.0003977	0.000397151	-0.14%	0.0003192	-19.74%	0.0834	✓	2.13
2025-04-04	in	0.0004024	0.000402167	-0.06%	0.0003977	-1.17%	0.0019	✓	2.14
2025-04-03	in	0.0003984	0.000398032	-0.09%	0.0004024	+1.00%	0.0066	✓	2.14
2025-04-02	in	0.000448	0.000447356	-0.14%	0.0003984	-11.07%	0.1341	✓	2.20
2025-04-01	in	0.0004932	0.000491427	-0.36%	0.000448	-9.16%	0.0189	✓	2.30
2025-03-31	in	0.0004862	0.000484812	-0.29%	0.0004932	+1.44%	0.0557	✓	2.32
2025-03-30	in	0.0004699	0.000468914	-0.21%	0.0004862	+3.47%	0.0319	✗	2.31
2025-03-29	in	0.0004657	0.000464874	-0.18%	0.0004699	+0.90%	0.0173	✗	2.28
2025-03-28	in	0.0005013	0.000499589	-0.34%	0.0004657	-7.10%	0.0207	✓	2.34
2025-03-27	in	0.0005423	0.000538625	-0.68%	0.0005013	-7.56%	0.0076	✗	2.40
2025-03-26	in	0.0005207	0.000514375	-1.21%	0.0005423	+4.15%	0.0452	✗	2.28
2025-03-25	in	0.0005439	0.000540183	-0.68%	0.0005207	-4.27%	0.0235	✓	2.30
2025-03-24	in	0.0005511	0.000546852	-0.77%	0.0005439	-1.31%	0.0029	✓	2.29
2025-03-23	in	0.0005092	0.00050708	-0.42%	0.0005511	+8.23%	0.0465	✗	2.23
2025-03-22	in	0.0005002	0.000498838	-0.27%	0.0005092	+1.80%	0.0382	✓	2.23
2025-03-21	in	0.0004994	0.000498272	-0.23%	0.0005002	+0.16%	0.0093	✗	2.17
2025-03-20	in	0.00055	0.000546963	-0.55%	0.0004994	-9.20%	0.0879	✓	2.16
2025-03-19	in	0.000542	0.000539274	-0.50%	0.00055	+1.48%	0.0891	✗	2.20
2025-03-18	in	0.0004988	0.000498759	-0.01%	0.000542	+8.66%	0.0311	✓	2.32
2025-03-17	in	0.00051	0.000509836	-0.03%	0.0004988	-2.20%	0.0153	✗	2.36
2025-03-16	in	0.0005015	0.000502245	+0.15%	0.00051	+1.69%	0.0256	✗	2.35
2025-03-15	in	0.0005216	0.000521533	-0.01%	0.0005015	-3.85%	0.0130	✗	2.43
2025-03-14	in	0.0005378	0.000536709	-0.20%	0.0005216	-3.01%	0.0395	✓	2.48
2025-03-13	in	0.0004904	0.000493164	+0.56%	0.0005378	+9.67%	0.0002	✓	2.47
2025-03-12	in	0.0005142	0.000516516	+0.45%	0.0004904	-4.63%	0.0255	✓	2.46
2025-03-11	in	0.0005339	0.00053687	+0.56%	0.0005142	-3.69%	0.0652	✗	2.47
2025-03-10	in	0.0004858	0.000491156	+1.10%	0.0005339	+9.90%	0.0569	✗	2.59
2025-03-09	in	0.00057	0.000574641	+0.81%	0.0004858	-14.77%	0.0986	✗	2.56
2025-03-08	in	0.0005902	0.000593373	+0.54%	0.00057	-3.42%	0.1434	✓	2.78
2025-03-07	in	0.0006199	0.000623292	+0.55%	0.0005902	-4.79%	0.0365	✗	2.84
2025-03-06	in	0.0006305	0.000633437	+0.47%	0.0006199	-1.68%	0.0821	✓	2.89
2025-03-05	in	0.0006211	0.000624715	+0.58%	0.0006305	+1.51%	0.0308	✓	2.86
2025-03-04	in	0.0006649	0.000670103	+0.78%	0.0006211	-6.59%	0.1861	✗	2.92
2025-03-03	in	0.0006283	0.000635034	+1.07%	0.0006649	+5.83%	0.0122	✓	2.69
2025-03-02	in	0.0008278	0.000824451	-0.40%	0.0006283	-24.10%	0.0303	✓	2.68
2025-03-01	in	0.00068	0.000686963	+1.02%	0.0008278	+21.74%	0.0573	✗	2.66
2025-02-28	in	0.00071	0.000718098	+1.14%	0.00068	-4.23%	0.1112	✗	2.81
2025-02-27	in	0.0005911	0.000600204	+1.54%	0.00071	+20.12%	0.1790	✓	2.84
2025-02-26	in	0.000648	0.000657546	+1.47%	0.0005911	-8.78%	0.1239	✗	2.86
2025-02-25	in	0.0005906	0.000599305	+1.47%	0.000648	+9.72%	0.2430	✓	3.18
2025-02-24	in	0.0006898	0.000698092	+1.20%	0.0005906	-14.38%	0.0643	✗	3.17
2025-02-23	in	0.0007556	0.000761711	+0.81%	0.0006898	-8.71%	0.0679	✓	3.30
2025-02-22	in	0.00079	0.000796224	+0.79%	0.0007556	-4.35%	0.0416	✗	3.30
2025-02-21	in	0.000801	0.000807873	+0.86%	0.00079	-1.37%	0.0369	✗	3.30
2025-02-20	in	0.00082	0.000825965	+0.73%	0.000801	-2.32%	0.0447	✓	3.35
2025-02-19	in	0.00068	0.000689005	+1.32%	0.00082	+20.59%	0.1165	✓	3.27
2025-02-18	in	0.0006437	0.000653887	+1.58%	0.00068	+5.64%	0.0045	✓	3.26
2025-02-17	in	0.00069	0.000700738	+1.56%	0.0006437	-6.71%	0.0790	✗	3.25
2025-02-16	in	0.00074	0.000751267	+1.52%	0.00069	-6.76%	0.0736	✗	3.25
2025-02-15	in	0.00071	0.00072097	+1.55%	0.00074	+4.23%	0.0764	✓	3.30
2025-02-14	in	0.00081	0.00082295	+1.60%	0.00071	-12.35%	0.1506	✗	3.31
2025-02-13	in	0.00089	0.000903961	+1.57%	0.00081	-8.99%	0.1401	✗	3.33
2025-02-12	in	0.00109	0.001103	+1.22%	0.00089	-18.35%	0.1731	✗	3.28
2025-02-11	in	0.00141	0.001422	+0.88%	0.00109	-22.70%	0.3408	✗	3.46
2025-02-10	in	0.00137	0.001381	+0.77%	0.00141	+2.92%	0.0820	✓	3.52
2025-02-09	in	0.00155	0.001561	+0.68%	0.00137	-11.61%	0.1658	✗	3.55
2025-02-08	in	0.00157	0.001581	+0.71%	0.00155	-1.27%	0.0199	✗	3.55
2025-02-07	in	0.00147	0.001482	+0.84%	0.00157	+6.80%	0.0597	✓	3.56
2025-02-06	in	0.0016	0.001612	+0.74%	0.00147	-8.13%	0.0911	✗	3.56
2025-02-05	in	0.00144	0.001452	+0.84%	0.0016	+11.11%	0.0997	✓	3.56
2025-02-04	in	0.00134	0.001347	+0.53%	0.00144	+7.46%	0.1096	✓	3.61
2025-02-03	in	0.00176	0.001762	+0.10%	0.00134	-23.86%	0.1452	✗	3.49
2025-02-02	in	0.00141	0.001397	-0.90%	0.00176	+24.82%	0.1034	✗	3.35
2025-02-01	in	0.00172	0.001709	-0.61%	0.00141	-18.02%	0.0948	✓	3.29
2025-01-31	in	0.00205	0.00204	-0.47%	0.00172	-16.10%	0.1138	✓	3.24
2025-01-30	in	0.0024	0.002386	-0.57%	0.00205	-14.58%	0.0799	✓	3.20
2025-01-29	in	0.0025	0.002486	-0.56%	0.0024	-4.00%	0.0659	✓	3.21
2025-01-28	in	0.00234	0.002314	-1.13%	0.0025	+6.84%	0.0009	✓	3.20
2025-01-27	in	0.00272	0.002698	-0.80%	0.00234	-13.97%	0.1184	✓	3.17
2025-01-26	in	0.0031	0.003084	-0.52%	0.00272	-12.26%	0.1102	✓	3.15
2025-01-25	in	0.00411	0.004085	-0.61%	0.0031	-24.57%	0.2128	✓	3.02
2025-01-24	in	0.00459	0.004551	-0.84%	0.00411	-10.46%	0.0987	✓	3.01
2025-01-23	in	0.00502	0.004977	-0.85%	0.00459	-8.57%	0.1078	✓	3.03
2025-01-22	in	0.00639	0.00629	-1.56%	0.00502	-21.44%	0.2331	✓	3.04
2025-01-21	in	0.00663	0.006474	-2.35%	0.00639	-3.62%	0.0602	✗	3.09
2025-01-20	in	0.00488	0.004747	-2.73%	0.00663	+35.86%	0.2257	✗	2.81
2025-01-19	in	0.00512	0.004949	-3.33%	0.00488	-4.69%	0.0401	✓	2.83
2025-01-18	in	0.0073	0.007195	-1.44%	0.00512	-29.86%	0.2610	✓	2.53
2025-01-17	in	0.00945	0.009332	-1.25%	0.0073	-22.75%	0.2536	✓	2.55
2025-01-16	in	0.01091	0.010792	-1.08%	0.00945	-13.38%	0.2509	✓	2.92
2025-01-15	in	0.01372	0.013429	-2.12%	0.01091	-20.48%	0.1926	✓	2.87
2025-01-14	in	0.01037	0.010295	-0.73%	0.01372	+32.30%	0.1827	✗	2.59
2025-01-13	in	0.01316	0.013047	-0.86%	0.01037	-21.20%	0.2904	✓	2.86
2025-01-12	in	0.01678	0.016516	-1.57%	0.01316	-21.57%	0.2271	✓	2.87
2025-01-11	in	0.01601	0.015822	-1.18%	0.01678	+4.81%	0.0605	✗	2.87
2025-01-10	in	0.01991	0.019504	-2.04%	0.01601	-19.59%	0.1933	✓	2.86
2025-01-09	in	0.02065	0.020125	-2.54%	0.01991	-3.58%	0.0795	✓	2.99
2025-01-08	in	0.01796	0.017663	-1.65%	0.02065	+14.98%	0.2419	✗	3.23
2025-01-07	in	0.02282	0.022279	-2.37%	0.01796	-21.30%	0.1548	✓	3.06
2025-01-06	in	0.02644	0.025461	-3.70%	0.02282	-13.69%	0.0544	✗	3.06
2025-01-05	in	0.02288	0.022086	-3.47%	0.02644	+15.56%	0.0607	✗	3.04
2025-01-04	in	0.02024	0.019659	-2.87%	0.02288	+13.04%	0.1476	✗	3.03
2025-01-03	in	0.02086	0.019975	-4.24%	0.02024	-2.97%	0.0109	✓	3.03
2025-01-02	in	0.0165	0.015837	-4.02%	0.02086	+26.42%	0.2389	✗	2.90
2025-01-01	in	0.01285	0.012595	-1.99%	0.0165	+28.40%	0.2011	✗	2.62
2024-12-31	in	0.01281	0.012548	-2.04%	0.01285	+0.31%	0.0052	✓	2.64
2024-12-30	in	0.01329	0.012976	-2.36%	0.01281	-3.61%	0.0340	✓	2.68
2024-12-29	in	0.0112	0.011057	-1.28%	0.01329	+18.66%	0.2121	✗	2.78
2024-12-28	in	0.01553	0.014994	-3.45%	0.0112	-27.88%	0.2751	✓	1.00
2024-12-27	in	0.01222	0.011801	-3.43%	0.01553	+27.09%	0.2645	✗	1.00
2024-12-26	in	0.0079	0.007906	+0.08%	0.01222	+54.68%	0.4512	✓	1.00
2024-12-25	in	0.00906	0.008999	-0.68%	0.0079	-12.80%	0.0925	✓	1.00
2024-12-24	in	0.00997	0.009855	-1.15%	0.00906	-9.13%	0.0918	✓	1.00
2024-12-23	in	0.01	0.009899	-1.01%	0.00997	-0.30%	0.0325	✓	1.00
2024-12-22	in	0.0084	0.008404	+0.05%	0.01	+19.05%	0.1772	✓	1.00
2024-12-21	in	0.00752	0.007565	+0.60%	0.0084	+11.70%	0.1270	✓	1.00
2024-12-20	in	0.00682	0.00689	+1.02%	0.00752	+10.26%	0.0930	✓	1.00
2024-12-19	in	0.00766	0.007716	+0.73%	0.00682	-10.97%	0.1274	✗	1.00
2024-12-18	in	0.01118	0.011103	-0.69%	0.00766	-31.48%	0.3430	✓	1.00
2024-12-17	in	0.01372	0.013517	-1.48%	0.01118	-18.51%	0.1317	✓	1.00
2024-12-16	in	0.01609	0.015581	-3.16%	0.01372	-14.73%	0.1276	✓	1.00
2024-12-15	in	0.01238	0.012175	-1.66%	0.01609	+29.97%	0.2631	✗	1.00
2024-12-14	in	0.01074	0.010657	-0.77%	0.01238	+15.27%	0.1203	✗	1.00
2024-12-13	in	0.00983	0.009821	-0.09%	0.01074	+9.26%	0.0897	✗	1.00
2024-12-12	in	0.01099	0.010934	-0.51%	0.00983	-10.56%	0.1203	✓	1.00
2024-12-11	in	0.01188	0.011738	-1.19%	0.01099	-7.49%	0.0542	✓	1.00
2024-12-10	in	0.00939	0.009422	+0.34%	0.01188	+26.52%	0.1859	✓	1.00
2024-12-09	in	0.00936	0.009392	+0.34%	0.00939	+0.32%	0.0066	✓	1.00
2024-12-08	in	0.01153	0.011481	-0.43%	0.00936	-18.82%	0.1654	✓	1.00