MICRODUCK

microduck · Robinhood · gru_s2

token id: #784
symbol: MICRODUCK
variant: –
chain: Robinhood
address: 0xd5f1afea47b1a9eab414d2ee740cf1d6d039e725
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-29
predictions: 135

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +30d

assessed

of 45 predictions shown

direction hit

93.3%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

1.1918

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.1082

actual -1.3000

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.001936	0.001781	-8.03%	–	pending	–	–	0.82
2026-10-20	oos	0.0018	0.001659	-7.83%	–	pending	–	–	0.84
2026-10-19	oos	0.001942	0.001793	-7.68%	–	pending	–	–	0.88
2026-10-18	oos	0.001786	0.00165	-7.62%	–	pending	–	–	0.90
2026-10-17	oos	0.002094	0.001914	-8.61%	–	pending	–	–	0.95
2026-10-16	oos	0.002361	0.002123	-10.11%	–	pending	–	–	0.94
2026-10-15	oos	0.002423	0.002164	-10.69%	–	pending	–	–	0.95
2026-10-14	oos	0.002253	0.002069	-8.15%	–	pending	–	–	0.91
2026-10-13	oos	0.002043	0.001868	-8.56%	–	pending	–	–	1.10
2026-10-12	oos	0.002155	0.001997	-7.30%	–	pending	–	–	1.12
2026-10-11	oos	0.001829	0.001724	-5.77%	–	pending	–	–	1.50
2026-10-10	oos	0.001829	0.001758	-3.88%	–	pending	–	–	1.47
2026-10-09	oos	0.001849	0.001804	-2.43%	–	pending	–	–	1.47
2026-10-08	oos	0.002105	0.002032	-3.48%	–	pending	–	–	1.52
2026-10-07	oos	0.002412	0.002193	-9.08%	–	pending	–	–	1.45
2026-10-06	oos	0.00238	0.002118	-11.02%	–	pending	–	–	1.66
2026-10-05	oos	0.002877	0.002416	-16.02%	–	pending	–	–	1.62
2026-10-04	oos	0.002327	0.00207	-11.01%	–	pending	–	–	1.84
2026-10-03	oos	0.001718	0.001801	+4.81%	–	pending	–	–	1.42
2026-10-02	oos	0.001685	0.001838	+9.14%	–	pending	–	–	1.41
2026-10-01	oos	0.001688	0.001865	+10.48%	–	pending	–	–	1.45
2026-09-30	oos	0.00239	0.002466	+3.18%	–	pending	–	–	1.73
2026-09-29	oos	0.003095	0.002995	-3.21%	–	pending	–	–	1.69
2026-09-28	oos	0.003635	0.003332	-8.35%	–	pending	–	–	1.69
2026-09-27	oos	0.00367	0.003259	-11.21%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-09-26	oos	0.004564	0.003723	-18.43%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-09-25	oos	0.004941	0.003891	-21.26%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-09-24	oos	0.004495	0.003649	-18.82%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-09-23	oos	0.004587	0.003698	-19.38%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.004842	0.003843	-20.62%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-09-21	oos	0.005348	0.004158	-22.24%	0.001936	-63.80%	0.7184	✓	1.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.004465	0.003859	-13.56%	0.0018	-59.70%	0.7847	✓	1.00
2026-09-19	oos	0.004269	0.003811	-10.73%	0.001942	-54.51%	0.6816	✓	1.00
2026-09-18	oos	0.005603	0.004585	-18.18%	0.001786	-68.12%	0.9566	✓	1.00
2026-09-17	oos	0.005509	0.005055	-8.24%	0.002094	-61.99%	0.9452	✓	1.00
2026-09-16	oos	0.004344	0.004504	+3.68%	0.002361	-45.64%	0.7136	✗	1.00
2026-09-15	oos	0.005922	0.005588	-5.63%	0.002423	-59.08%	0.9187	✓	1.00
2026-09-14	oos	0.008547	0.005877	-31.24%	0.002253	-73.64%	1.0012	✓	1.00
2026-09-13	oos	0.006287	0.005781	-8.03%	0.002043	-67.50%	1.1191	✓	1.00
2026-09-12	oos	0.008404	0.006777	-19.36%	0.002155	-74.36%	1.2023	✓	1.00
2026-09-11	oos	0.006361	0.006168	-3.04%	0.001829	-71.24%	1.2958	✓	1.00
2026-09-10	oos	0.008453	0.008248	-2.43%	0.001829	-78.36%	1.5861	✓	1.00
2026-09-09	oos	0.010485	0.010182	-2.89%	0.001849	-82.37%	1.7592	✓	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.017855	0.01727	-3.28%	0.002105	-88.21%	2.1452	✓	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.018005	0.017796	-1.16%	0.002412	-86.60%	2.0501	✓	1.00