MEGA

MegaETH · Megaeth · gru_s2

token id: #156
symbol: MEGA
variant: –
chain: Megaeth
address: 0x28b7e77f82b25b95953825f1e3ea0e36c1c29861
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-04-30
predictions: 498

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +7d

assessed

159

of 166 predictions shown

direction hit

52.2%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0870

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0062

actual -0.0435

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.04289	0.041594	-3.02%	–	pending	–	–	1.55
2026-10-20	oos	0.043355	0.042111	-2.87%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-10-19	oos	0.04405	0.042774	-2.90%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-10-18	oos	0.043835	0.04259	-2.84%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-10-17	oos	0.045285	0.044107	-2.60%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-10-16	oos	0.046835	0.045551	-2.74%	–	pending	–	–	1.53
2026-10-15	oos	0.04549	0.0442	-2.84%	–	pending	–	–	1.55
2026-10-14	oos	0.04571	0.044363	-2.95%	0.04289	-6.17%	0.0551	✓	1.55
2026-10-13	oos	0.04441	0.042917	-3.36%	0.043355	-2.38%	0.0133	✓	1.60
2026-10-12	oos	0.04366	0.042314	-3.08%	0.04405	+0.89%	0.0383	✗	1.60
2026-10-11	oos	0.04673	0.044664	-4.42%	0.043835	-6.20%	0.0126	✓	1.55
2026-10-10	oos	0.04303	0.041395	-3.80%	0.045285	+5.24%	0.1176	✗	1.49
2026-10-09	oos	0.04147	0.040146	-3.19%	0.046835	+12.94%	0.1731	✗	1.49
2026-10-08	oos	0.041015	0.039932	-2.64%	0.04549	+10.91%	0.1225	✗	1.49
2026-10-07	oos	0.044345	0.042992	-3.05%	0.04571	+3.08%	0.0915	✗	1.46
2026-10-06	oos	0.04624	0.044676	-3.38%	0.04441	-3.96%	0.0362	✗	1.46
2026-10-05	oos	0.05004	0.047723	-4.63%	0.04366	-12.75%	0.0189	✓	1.46
2026-10-04	oos	0.049155	0.046752	-4.89%	0.04673	-4.93%	0.0481	✓	1.46
2026-10-03	oos	0.049975	0.047295	-5.36%	0.04303	-13.90%	0.0622	✓	1.48
2026-10-02	oos	0.04632	0.044037	-4.93%	0.04147	-10.47%	0.0254	✓	1.47
2026-10-01	oos	0.050135	0.047176	-5.90%	0.041015	-18.19%	0.0844	✓	1.46
2026-09-30	oos	0.04177	0.040465	-3.12%	0.044345	+6.16%	0.0963	✗	1.41
2026-09-29	oos	0.04198	0.040849	-2.69%	0.04624	+10.15%	0.0913	✗	1.45
2026-09-28	oos	0.042205	0.041237	-2.29%	0.05004	+18.56%	0.1546	✗	1.43
2026-09-27	oos	0.0439	0.043098	-1.83%	0.049155	+11.97%	0.0971	✗	1.44
2026-09-26	oos	0.04483	0.044135	-1.55%	0.049975	+11.48%	0.1187	✗	1.45
2026-09-25	oos	0.046525	0.045881	-1.39%	0.04632	-0.44%	0.0024	✓	1.45
2026-09-24	oos	0.04491	0.04459	-0.71%	0.050135	+11.63%	0.1092	✗	1.46
2026-09-23	oos	0.04363	0.04359	-0.09%	0.04177	-4.26%	0.0283	✓	1.46
2026-09-22	oos	0.046545	0.046591	+0.10%	0.04198	-9.81%	0.0597	✗	1.48
2026-09-21	oos	0.045275	0.045345	+0.16%	0.042205	-6.78%	0.0156	✗	1.52
2026-09-20	oos	0.04299	0.042621	-0.86%	0.0439	+2.12%	0.0329	✓	1.57
2026-09-19	oos	0.042385	0.041991	-0.93%	0.04483	+5.77%	0.0053	✓	1.56
2026-09-18	oos	0.04088	0.040495	-0.94%	0.046525	+13.81%	0.0791	✗	1.53
2026-09-17	oos	0.03529	0.034926	-1.03%	0.04491	+27.26%	0.1111	✗	1.40
2026-09-16	oos	0.03452	0.034238	-0.82%	0.04363	+26.39%	0.1006	✗	1.38
2026-09-15	oos	0.03408	0.033845	-0.69%	0.046545	+36.58%	0.1508	✗	1.28
2026-09-14	oos	0.03571	0.035552	-0.44%	0.045275	+26.79%	0.1122	✗	1.27
2026-09-13	oos	0.03547	0.035209	-0.74%	0.04299	+21.20%	0.1290	✗	1.28
2026-09-12	oos	0.037075	0.036751	-0.87%	0.042385	+14.32%	0.0793	✗	1.26
2026-09-11	oos	0.037625	0.037297	-0.87%	0.04088	+8.65%	0.0335	✗	1.26
2026-09-10	oos	0.036865	0.036616	-0.68%	0.03529	-4.27%	0.0336	✓	1.36
2026-09-09	oos	0.038645	0.038614	-0.08%	0.03452	-10.67%	0.0748	✓	1.35
2026-09-08	oos	0.042145	0.041965	-0.43%	0.03408	-19.14%	0.1571	✓	1.37
2026-09-07	oos	0.04017	0.040414	+0.61%	0.03571	-11.10%	0.1073	✗	1.41
2026-09-06	oos	0.03958	0.040234	+1.65%	0.03547	-10.38%	0.0605	✗	1.45
2026-09-05	oos	0.04015	0.04086	+1.77%	0.037075	-7.66%	0.0499	✗	1.45
2026-09-04	oos	0.03859	0.039534	+2.45%	0.037625	-2.50%	0.0029	✓	1.48
2026-09-03	oos	0.04007	0.040976	+2.26%	0.036865	-8.00%	0.0168	✓	1.48
2026-09-02	oos	0.03669	0.037931	+3.38%	0.038645	+5.33%	0.0000	✓	1.48
2026-09-01	oos	0.03744	0.038519	+2.88%	0.042145	+12.57%	0.0699	✓	1.49
2026-08-31	oos	0.03794	0.038811	+2.30%	0.04017	+5.88%	0.0248	✓	1.43
2026-08-30	oos	0.036695	0.037466	+2.10%	0.03958	+7.86%	0.0081	✓	1.38
2026-08-29	oos	0.03841	0.039002	+1.54%	0.04015	+4.53%	0.0015	✓	1.36
2026-08-28	oos	0.03741	0.037983	+1.53%	0.03859	+3.15%	0.0159	✗	1.36
2026-08-27	oos	0.03913	0.039528	+1.02%	0.04007	+2.40%	0.0031	✓	1.37
2026-08-26	oos	0.03951	0.039529	+0.05%	0.03669	-7.14%	0.0443	✗	1.38
2026-08-25	oos	0.0389	0.038585	-0.81%	0.03744	-3.75%	0.0100	✓	1.39
2026-08-24	oos	0.04019	0.039361	-2.06%	0.03794	-5.60%	0.0295	✓	1.37
2026-08-23	oos	0.04286	0.041516	-3.14%	0.036695	-14.38%	0.1222	✓	1.42
2026-08-22	oos	0.04024	0.03898	-3.13%	0.03841	-4.55%	0.0361	✓	1.41
2026-08-21	oos	0.04248	0.040781	-4.00%	0.03741	-11.94%	0.0776	✓	1.40
2026-08-20	oos	0.03781	0.036649	-3.07%	0.03913	+3.49%	0.0613	✓	1.34
2026-08-19	oos	0.03489	0.034749	-0.41%	0.03951	+13.24%	0.0469	✓	1.33
2026-08-18	oos	0.03205	0.031425	-1.95%	0.0389	+21.37%	0.0462	✓	1.34
2026-08-17	oos	0.0322	0.031586	-1.91%	0.04019	+24.81%	0.0309	✓	1.34
2026-08-16	oos	0.03155	0.031292	-0.82%	0.04286	+35.85%	0.0283	✗	1.35
2026-08-15	oos	0.03123	0.031081	-0.48%	0.04024	+28.85%	0.0132	✓	1.35
2026-08-14	oos	0.03115	0.031269	+0.38%	0.04248	+36.37%	0.0116	✓	1.35
2026-08-13	oos	0.032655	0.03288	+0.69%	0.03781	+15.79%	0.0524	✗	1.36
2026-08-12	oos	0.03322	0.033465	+0.74%	0.03489	+5.03%	0.0800	✗	1.37
2026-08-11	oos	0.03314	0.033494	+1.07%	0.03205	-3.29%	0.0686	✗	1.37
2026-08-10	oos	0.0364	0.036377	-0.06%	0.0322	-11.54%	0.1340	✓	1.37
2026-08-09	oos	0.03598	0.035953	-0.07%	0.03155	-12.31%	0.0862	✓	1.41
2026-08-08	oos	0.036165	0.0355	-1.84%	0.03123	-13.65%	0.0864	✓	1.41
2026-08-07	oos	0.03528	0.034228	-2.98%	0.03115	-11.71%	0.0520	✓	1.41
2026-08-06	oos	0.03555	0.034874	-1.90%	0.032655	-8.14%	0.0470	✓	1.42
2026-08-05	oos	0.03607	0.034371	-4.71%	0.03322	-7.90%	0.0076	✓	1.42
2026-08-04	oos	0.03584	0.034352	-4.15%	0.03314	-7.53%	0.0243	✓	1.43
2026-08-03	oos	0.03669	0.035158	-4.18%	0.0364	-0.79%	0.0247	✓	1.43
2026-08-02	oos	0.03651	0.034843	-4.57%	0.03598	-1.45%	0.0019	✓	1.43
2026-08-01	oos	0.0365	0.0352	-3.56%	0.036165	-0.92%	0.0212	✓	1.44
2026-07-31	oos	0.03654	0.035669	-2.38%	0.03528	-3.45%	0.0574	✓	1.43
2026-07-30	oos	0.037	0.036901	-0.27%	0.03555	-3.92%	0.0272	✓	1.44
2026-07-29	oos	0.036395	0.036337	-0.16%	0.03607	-0.89%	0.0224	✓	1.37
2026-07-28	oos	0.03957	0.039275	-0.74%	0.03584	-9.43%	0.0959	✓	1.37
2026-07-27	oos	0.03972	0.039416	-0.76%	0.03669	-7.63%	0.0667	✓	1.37
2026-07-26	oos	0.04325	0.04279	-1.06%	0.03651	-15.58%	0.1203	✓	1.34
2026-07-25	oos	0.042525	0.042055	-1.11%	0.0365	-14.17%	0.1094	✓	1.34
2026-07-24	oos	0.04349	0.042906	-1.34%	0.03654	-15.98%	0.1340	✓	1.34
2026-07-23	oos	0.043165	0.042442	-1.67%	0.037	-14.28%	0.1303	✓	1.36
2026-07-22	oos	0.04369	0.042651	-2.38%	0.036395	-16.70%	0.1124	✓	1.37
2026-07-21	oos	0.04336	0.042617	-1.71%	0.03957	-8.74%	0.0178	✓	1.38
2026-07-20	oos	0.04278	0.042417	-0.85%	0.03972	-7.15%	0.0333	✓	1.38
2026-07-19	oos	0.04405	0.043751	-0.68%	0.04325	-1.82%	0.0256	✓	1.39
2026-07-18	oos	0.04448	0.044493	+0.03%	0.042525	-4.40%	0.0345	✗	1.39
2026-07-17	oos	0.0433	0.043509	+0.48%	0.04349	+0.44%	0.0045	✓	1.37
2026-07-16	oos	0.0461	0.046158	+0.13%	0.043165	-6.37%	0.0945	✗	1.38
2026-07-15	oos	0.048025	0.048179	+0.32%	0.04369	-9.03%	0.1267	✗	1.38
2026-07-14	oos	0.04904	0.049308	+0.55%	0.04336	-11.58%	0.1605	✗	1.38
2026-07-13	oos	0.04726	0.047426	+0.35%	0.04278	-9.48%	0.1675	✗	1.39
2026-07-12	oos	0.046095	0.046738	+1.39%	0.04405	-4.44%	0.0805	✗	1.45
2026-07-11	oos	0.04668	0.047365	+1.47%	0.04448	-4.71%	0.0860	✗	1.45
2026-07-10	oos	0.04743	0.048206	+1.64%	0.0433	-8.71%	0.1020	✗	1.45
2026-07-09	oos	0.04796	0.048728	+1.60%	0.0461	-3.88%	0.0692	✗	1.47
2026-07-08	oos	0.04733	0.048026	+1.47%	0.048025	+1.47%	0.0571	✗	1.46
2026-07-07	oos	0.05032	0.051085	+1.52%	0.04904	-2.54%	0.0785	✗	1.45
2026-07-06	oos	0.04941	0.050287	+1.78%	0.04726	-4.35%	0.0218	✗	1.46
2026-07-05	oos	0.05132	0.052147	+1.61%	0.046095	-10.18%	0.1270	✗	1.48
2026-07-04	oos	0.05242	0.053345	+1.76%	0.04668	-10.95%	0.1496	✗	1.49
2026-07-03	oos	0.05103	0.052335	+2.56%	0.04743	-7.05%	0.1358	✗	1.47
2026-07-02	oos	0.04957	0.051474	+3.84%	0.04796	-3.25%	0.1102	✗	1.46
2026-07-01	oos	0.04514	0.048286	+6.97%	0.04733	+4.85%	0.0709	✗	1.37
2026-06-30	oos	0.04523	0.047655	+5.36%	0.05032	+11.25%	0.0552	✗	1.39
2026-06-29	oos	0.04809	0.050978	+6.00%	0.04941	+2.74%	0.1167	✗	1.38
2026-06-28	oos	0.04569	0.048331	+5.78%	0.05132	+12.32%	0.0298	✓	1.34
2026-06-27	oos	0.04725	0.049439	+4.63%	0.05242	+10.94%	0.0103	✓	1.34
2026-06-26	oos	0.04671	0.048687	+4.23%	0.05103	+9.25%	0.0080	✓	1.34
2026-06-25	oos	0.04651	0.048068	+3.35%	0.04957	+6.58%	0.0084	✓	1.33
2026-06-24	oos	0.05069	0.051714	+2.02%	0.04514	-10.95%	0.1140	✗	1.30
2026-06-23	oos	0.05551	0.055982	+0.85%	0.04523	-18.52%	0.1280	✗	1.25
2026-06-22	oos	0.055825	0.056107	+0.51%	0.04809	-13.86%	0.0758	✗	1.28
2026-06-21	oos	0.05648	0.056605	+0.22%	0.04569	-19.10%	0.1350	✗	1.29
2026-06-20	oos	0.0547	0.054835	+0.25%	0.04725	-13.62%	0.0567	✗	1.33
2026-06-19	oos	0.05704	0.056899	-0.25%	0.04671	-18.11%	0.1205	✓	1.37
2026-06-18	oos	0.06217	0.06125	-1.48%	0.04651	-25.19%	0.2015	✓	1.42
2026-06-17	oos	0.05711	0.056654	-0.80%	0.05069	-11.24%	0.0242	✓	1.58
2026-06-16	oos	0.05749	0.056929	-0.98%	0.05551	-3.44%	0.0493	✗	1.61
2026-06-15	oos	0.06028	0.059437	-1.40%	0.055825	-7.39%	0.0054	✓	1.60
2026-06-14	oos	0.06287	0.061537	-2.12%	0.05648	-10.16%	0.0234	✓	1.63
2026-06-13	oos	0.06271	0.060711	-3.19%	0.0547	-12.77%	0.0990	✓	1.65
2026-06-12	oos	0.04665	0.046298	-0.75%	0.05704	+22.27%	0.2100	✗	1.34
2026-06-11	oos	0.04609	0.045777	-0.68%	0.06217	+34.89%	0.3205	✗	1.33
2026-06-10	oos	0.04252	0.042648	+0.30%	0.05711	+34.31%	0.2355	✓	1.19
2026-06-09	oos	0.04721	0.046782	-0.91%	0.05749	+21.78%	0.1325	✗	1.19
2026-06-08	oos	0.0501	0.049208	-1.78%	0.06028	+20.32%	0.1441	✗	1.18
2026-06-07	oos	0.04848	0.047479	-2.06%	0.06287	+29.68%	0.2368	✗	1.18
2026-06-06	oos	0.0446	0.043486	-2.50%	0.06271	+40.61%	0.3110	✗	0.96
2026-06-05	oos	0.04611	0.044282	-3.96%	0.04665	+1.17%	0.0133	✓	0.96
2026-06-04	oos	0.05057	0.047993	-5.10%	0.04609	-8.86%	0.0370	✓	0.90
2026-06-03	oos	0.05429	0.050694	-6.62%	0.04252	-21.68%	0.1384	✓	0.90
2026-06-02	oos	0.05456	0.052355	-4.04%	0.04721	-13.47%	0.0178	✓	1.10
2026-06-01	oos	0.05913	0.059084	-0.08%	0.0501	-15.27%	0.0006	✓	1.34
2026-05-31	oos	0.06097	0.061193	+0.37%	0.04848	-20.49%	0.0002	✓	1.55
2026-05-30	oos	0.06306	0.0633	+0.38%	0.0446	-29.27%	0.0517	✗	1.55
2026-05-29	oos	0.061625	0.062158	+0.86%	0.04611	-25.18%	0.1146	✗	1.00
2026-05-28	oos	0.0634	0.064034	+1.00%	0.05057	-20.24%	0.0945	✗	1.00
2026-05-27	oos	0.06753	0.068214	+1.01%	0.05429	-19.61%	0.0795	✗	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.0677	0.068575	+1.29%	0.05456	-19.41%	0.0998	✗	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.073915	0.074477	+0.76%	0.05913	-20.00%	0.1508	✗	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.07738	0.077929	+0.71%	0.06097	-21.21%	0.2002	✗	1.00
2026-05-23	oos	0.08015	0.080632	+0.60%	0.06306	-21.32%	0.2075	✗	1.00
2026-05-22	oos	0.08032	0.080981	+0.82%	0.061625	-23.28%	0.2452	✗	1.00
2026-05-21	oos	0.087	0.086799	-0.23%	0.0634	-27.13%	0.2607	✓	1.00
2026-05-20	oos	0.081605	0.082446	+1.03%	0.06753	-17.25%	0.1579	✗	1.00
2026-05-19	oos	0.08112	0.082675	+1.92%	0.0677	-16.54%	0.1875	✗	1.00
2026-05-18	oos	0.086	0.087389	+1.62%	0.073915	-14.05%	0.1714	✗	1.00
2026-05-17	oos	0.08994	0.091162	+1.36%	0.07738	-13.96%	0.1583	✗	1.00
2026-05-16	oos	0.09273	0.093468	+0.80%	0.08015	-13.57%	0.1349	✗	1.00
2026-05-15	oos	0.10026	0.099418	-0.84%	0.08032	-19.89%	0.1665	✓	1.00
2026-05-14	oos	0.10538	0.103251	-2.02%	0.087	-17.44%	0.1267	✓	1.00
2026-05-13	oos	0.10337	0.102822	-0.53%	0.081605	-21.06%	0.2080	✓	1.00
2026-05-12	oos	0.10977	0.108083	-1.54%	0.08112	-26.10%	0.2397	✓	1.00
2026-05-11	oos	0.11857	0.114943	-3.06%	0.086	-27.47%	0.2298	✓	1.00
2026-05-10	oos	0.12692	0.12264	-3.37%	0.08994	-29.14%	0.2500	✓	1.00
2026-05-09	oos	0.12551	0.120437	-4.04%	0.09273	-26.12%	0.2293	✓	1.00