MEGA

MegaETH · Megaeth · gru_s2

token id: #156
symbol: MEGA
variant: –
chain: Megaeth
address: 0x28b7e77f82b25b95953825f1e3ea0e36c1c29861
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-04-30
predictions: 501

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +30d

assessed

137

of 167 predictions shown

direction hit

80.3%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1758

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0306

actual -0.1607

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.04613	0.043415	-5.88%	–	pending	–	–	1.58
2026-10-21	oos	0.04599	0.043739	-4.89%	–	pending	–	–	1.56
2026-10-20	oos	0.043355	0.041354	-4.61%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-10-19	oos	0.04405	0.041871	-4.95%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-10-18	oos	0.043835	0.041663	-4.95%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-10-17	oos	0.045285	0.042689	-5.73%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-10-16	oos	0.046835	0.043957	-6.14%	–	pending	–	–	1.53
2026-10-15	oos	0.04549	0.042719	-6.09%	–	pending	–	–	1.55
2026-10-14	oos	0.04571	0.042705	-6.57%	–	pending	–	–	1.55
2026-10-13	oos	0.04441	0.041637	-6.24%	–	pending	–	–	1.60
2026-10-12	oos	0.04366	0.040934	-6.24%	–	pending	–	–	1.60
2026-10-11	oos	0.04673	0.043588	-6.72%	–	pending	–	–	1.55
2026-10-10	oos	0.04303	0.040197	-6.58%	–	pending	–	–	1.49
2026-10-09	oos	0.04147	0.038794	-6.45%	–	pending	–	–	1.49
2026-10-08	oos	0.041015	0.03833	-6.55%	–	pending	–	–	1.49
2026-10-07	oos	0.044345	0.041247	-6.99%	–	pending	–	–	1.46
2026-10-06	oos	0.04624	0.043023	-6.96%	–	pending	–	–	1.46
2026-10-05	oos	0.05004	0.046211	-7.65%	–	pending	–	–	1.46
2026-10-04	oos	0.049155	0.045571	-7.29%	–	pending	–	–	1.46
2026-10-03	oos	0.049975	0.046195	-7.56%	–	pending	–	–	1.48
2026-10-02	oos	0.04632	0.043139	-6.87%	–	pending	–	–	1.47
2026-10-01	oos	0.050135	0.046219	-7.81%	–	pending	–	–	1.46
2026-09-30	oos	0.04177	0.039018	-6.59%	–	pending	–	–	1.41
2026-09-29	oos	0.04198	0.039294	-6.40%	–	pending	–	–	1.45
2026-09-28	oos	0.042205	0.039563	-6.26%	–	pending	–	–	1.43
2026-09-27	oos	0.0439	0.041053	-6.49%	–	pending	–	–	1.44
2026-09-26	oos	0.04483	0.041864	-6.62%	–	pending	–	–	1.45
2026-09-25	oos	0.046525	0.043339	-6.85%	–	pending	–	–	1.45
2026-09-24	oos	0.04491	0.042121	-6.21%	–	pending	–	–	1.46
2026-09-23	oos	0.04363	0.041223	-5.52%	–	pending	–	–	1.46
2026-09-22	oos	0.046545	0.043913	-5.65%	0.04613	-0.89%	0.0835	✗	1.48
2026-09-21	oos	0.045275	0.043009	-5.01%	0.04599	+1.58%	0.1128	✗	1.52
2026-09-20	oos	0.04299	0.040434	-5.95%	0.043355	+0.85%	0.0358	✓	1.57
2026-09-19	oos	0.042385	0.04007	-5.46%	0.04405	+3.93%	0.0831	✗	1.56
2026-09-18	oos	0.04088	0.038958	-4.70%	0.043835	+7.23%	0.0967	✗	1.53
2026-09-17	oos	0.03529	0.034034	-3.56%	0.045285	+28.32%	0.1961	✗	1.40
2026-09-16	oos	0.03452	0.033505	-2.94%	0.046835	+35.67%	0.2411	✗	1.38
2026-09-15	oos	0.03408	0.03311	-2.85%	0.04549	+33.48%	0.2117	✗	1.28
2026-09-14	oos	0.03571	0.034882	-2.32%	0.04571	+28.00%	0.2165	✗	1.27
2026-09-13	oos	0.03547	0.034555	-2.58%	0.04441	+25.20%	0.1499	✗	1.28
2026-09-12	oos	0.037075	0.036144	-2.51%	0.04366	+17.76%	0.1177	✗	1.26
2026-09-11	oos	0.037625	0.03675	-2.33%	0.04673	+24.20%	0.1392	✗	1.26
2026-09-10	oos	0.036865	0.036043	-2.23%	0.04303	+16.72%	0.0686	✗	1.36
2026-09-09	oos	0.038645	0.038039	-1.57%	0.04147	+7.31%	0.0150	✓	1.35
2026-09-08	oos	0.042145	0.041085	-2.51%	0.041015	-2.68%	0.0573	✓	1.37
2026-09-07	oos	0.04017	0.039598	-1.42%	0.044345	+10.39%	0.0404	✗	1.41
2026-09-06	oos	0.03958	0.03944	-0.35%	0.04624	+16.83%	0.0679	✗	1.45
2026-09-05	oos	0.04015	0.03997	-0.45%	0.05004	+24.63%	0.1213	✗	1.45
2026-09-04	oos	0.03859	0.038792	+0.52%	0.049155	+27.38%	0.1149	✓	1.48
2026-09-03	oos	0.04007	0.040691	+1.55%	0.049975	+24.72%	0.1433	✓	1.48
2026-09-02	oos	0.03669	0.036555	-0.37%	0.04632	+26.25%	0.1047	✗	1.48
2026-09-01	oos	0.03744	0.037325	-0.31%	0.050135	+33.91%	0.1579	✗	1.49
2026-08-31	oos	0.03794	0.038205	+0.70%	0.04177	+10.09%	0.0013	✓	1.43
2026-08-30	oos	0.036695	0.036818	+0.34%	0.04198	+14.40%	0.0288	✓	1.38
2026-08-29	oos	0.03841	0.038688	+0.72%	0.042205	+9.88%	0.0010	✓	1.36
2026-08-28	oos	0.03741	0.037785	+1.00%	0.0439	+17.35%	0.0389	✓	1.36
2026-08-27	oos	0.03913	0.040545	+3.62%	0.04483	+14.57%	0.0317	✓	1.37
2026-08-26	oos	0.03951	0.040666	+2.93%	0.046525	+17.75%	0.0490	✓	1.38
2026-08-25	oos	0.0389	0.040129	+3.16%	0.04491	+15.45%	0.0128	✓	1.39
2026-08-24	oos	0.04019	0.04179	+3.98%	0.04363	+8.56%	0.0473	✗	1.37
2026-08-23	oos	0.04286	0.044025	+2.72%	0.046545	+8.60%	0.0917	✗	1.42
2026-08-22	oos	0.04024	0.041378	+2.83%	0.045275	+12.51%	0.0744	✗	1.41
2026-08-21	oos	0.04248	0.044486	+4.72%	0.04299	+1.20%	0.0838	✗	1.40
2026-08-20	oos	0.03781	0.037605	-0.54%	0.042385	+12.10%	0.0230	✓	1.34
2026-08-19	oos	0.03489	0.033701	-3.41%	0.04088	+17.17%	0.0130	✓	1.33
2026-08-18	oos	0.03205	0.030878	-3.66%	0.03529	+10.11%	0.0884	✓	1.34
2026-08-17	oos	0.0322	0.03096	-3.85%	0.03452	+7.20%	0.1139	✓	1.34
2026-08-16	oos	0.03155	0.030305	-3.95%	0.03408	+8.02%	0.1312	✓	1.35
2026-08-15	oos	0.03123	0.030004	-3.93%	0.03571	+14.35%	0.1169	✓	1.35
2026-08-14	oos	0.03115	0.029998	-3.70%	0.03547	+13.87%	0.1006	✓	1.35
2026-08-13	oos	0.032655	0.031301	-4.15%	0.037075	+13.54%	0.1001	✓	1.36
2026-08-12	oos	0.03322	0.031809	-4.25%	0.037625	+13.26%	0.1019	✓	1.37
2026-08-11	oos	0.03314	0.031565	-4.75%	0.036865	+11.24%	0.0996	✓	1.37
2026-08-10	oos	0.0364	0.034136	-6.22%	0.038645	+6.17%	0.1543	✓	1.37
2026-08-09	oos	0.03598	0.033586	-6.65%	0.042145	+17.13%	0.0413	✓	1.41
2026-08-08	oos	0.036165	0.0338	-6.54%	0.04017	+11.07%	0.1069	✓	1.41
2026-08-07	oos	0.03528	0.033184	-5.94%	0.03958	+12.19%	0.1243	✓	1.41
2026-08-06	oos	0.03555	0.033483	-5.82%	0.04015	+12.94%	0.1263	✓	1.42
2026-08-05	oos	0.03607	0.033834	-6.20%	0.03859	+6.99%	0.1669	✓	1.42
2026-08-04	oos	0.03584	0.033754	-5.82%	0.04007	+11.80%	0.1679	✓	1.43
2026-08-03	oos	0.03669	0.03459	-5.72%	0.03669	+0.00%	0.2235	✓	1.43
2026-08-02	oos	0.03651	0.034461	-5.61%	0.03744	+2.55%	0.2011	✓	1.43
2026-08-01	oos	0.0365	0.03457	-5.29%	0.03794	+3.95%	0.2297	✓	1.44
2026-07-31	oos	0.03654	0.034704	-5.03%	0.036695	+0.42%	0.2483	✓	1.43
2026-07-30	oos	0.037	0.035076	-5.20%	0.03841	+3.81%	0.1813	✓	1.44
2026-07-29	oos	0.036395	0.034688	-4.69%	0.03741	+2.79%	0.1945	✓	1.37
2026-07-28	oos	0.03957	0.03737	-5.56%	0.03913	-1.11%	0.2688	✓	1.37
2026-07-27	oos	0.03972	0.037425	-5.78%	0.03951	-0.53%	0.2421	✓	1.37
2026-07-26	oos	0.04325	0.040331	-6.75%	0.0389	-10.06%	0.2832	✓	1.34
2026-07-25	oos	0.042525	0.039863	-6.26%	0.04019	-5.49%	0.2673	✓	1.34
2026-07-24	oos	0.04349	0.040767	-6.26%	0.04286	-1.45%	0.2089	✓	1.34
2026-07-23	oos	0.043165	0.040555	-6.05%	0.04024	-6.78%	0.2381	✓	1.36
2026-07-22	oos	0.04369	0.041142	-5.83%	0.04248	-2.77%	0.2010	✓	1.37
2026-07-21	oos	0.04336	0.040982	-5.49%	0.03781	-12.80%	0.2088	✓	1.38
2026-07-20	oos	0.04278	0.040595	-5.11%	0.03489	-18.44%	0.2351	✓	1.38
2026-07-19	oos	0.04405	0.041783	-5.15%	0.03205	-27.24%	0.2652	✓	1.39
2026-07-18	oos	0.04448	0.042375	-4.73%	0.0322	-27.61%	0.2678	✓	1.39
2026-07-17	oos	0.0433	0.041313	-4.59%	0.03155	-27.14%	0.2467	✓	1.37
2026-07-16	oos	0.0461	0.043813	-4.96%	0.03123	-32.26%	0.3222	✓	1.38
2026-07-15	oos	0.048025	0.045572	-5.11%	0.03115	-35.14%	0.3429	✓	1.38
2026-07-14	oos	0.04904	0.046642	-4.89%	0.032655	-33.41%	0.3230	✓	1.38
2026-07-13	oos	0.04726	0.044822	-5.16%	0.03322	-29.71%	0.3250	✓	1.39
2026-07-12	oos	0.046095	0.043959	-4.63%	0.03314	-28.11%	0.2778	✓	1.45
2026-07-11	oos	0.04668	0.044847	-3.93%	0.0364	-22.02%	0.2118	✓	1.45
2026-07-10	oos	0.04743	0.045995	-3.02%	0.03598	-24.14%	0.2618	✓	1.45
2026-07-09	oos	0.04796	0.046801	-2.42%	0.036165	-24.59%	0.2975	✓	1.47
2026-07-08	oos	0.04733	0.046347	-2.08%	0.03528	-25.46%	0.3339	✓	1.46
2026-07-07	oos	0.05032	0.049158	-2.31%	0.03555	-29.35%	0.3455	✓	1.45
2026-07-06	oos	0.04941	0.048564	-1.71%	0.03607	-27.00%	0.3111	✓	1.46
2026-07-05	oos	0.05132	0.050388	-1.82%	0.03584	-30.16%	0.3515	✓	1.48
2026-07-04	oos	0.05242	0.051524	-1.71%	0.03669	-30.01%	0.3485	✓	1.49
2026-07-03	oos	0.05103	0.050324	-1.38%	0.03651	-28.45%	0.3438	✓	1.47
2026-07-02	oos	0.04957	0.049094	-0.96%	0.0365	-26.37%	0.3264	✓	1.46
2026-07-01	oos	0.04514	0.045123	-0.04%	0.03654	-19.05%	0.2747	✓	1.37
2026-06-30	oos	0.04523	0.045228	-0.00%	0.037	-18.20%	0.3408	✓	1.39
2026-06-29	oos	0.04809	0.047802	-0.60%	0.036395	-24.32%	0.3559	✓	1.38
2026-06-28	oos	0.04569	0.045682	-0.02%	0.03957	-13.39%	0.2390	✓	1.34
2026-06-27	oos	0.04725	0.047104	-0.31%	0.03972	-15.94%	0.2522	✓	1.34
2026-06-26	oos	0.04671	0.046647	-0.14%	0.04325	-7.41%	0.1897	✓	1.34
2026-06-25	oos	0.04651	0.046468	-0.09%	0.042525	-8.57%	0.1874	✓	1.33
2026-06-24	oos	0.05069	0.050366	-0.64%	0.04349	-14.20%	0.2112	✓	1.30
2026-06-23	oos	0.05551	0.054715	-1.43%	0.043165	-22.24%	0.2843	✓	1.25
2026-06-22	oos	0.055825	0.055055	-1.38%	0.04369	-21.74%	0.2734	✓	1.28
2026-06-21	oos	0.05648	0.055631	-1.50%	0.04336	-23.23%	0.3145	✓	1.29
2026-06-20	oos	0.0547	0.05413	-1.04%	0.04278	-21.79%	0.2557	✓	1.33
2026-06-19	oos	0.05704	0.056282	-1.33%	0.04405	-22.77%	0.2708	✓	1.37
2026-06-18	oos	0.06217	0.060585	-2.55%	0.04448	-28.45%	0.3518	✓	1.42
2026-06-17	oos	0.05711	0.056332	-1.36%	0.0433	-24.18%	0.2495	✓	1.58
2026-06-16	oos	0.05749	0.056842	-1.13%	0.0461	-19.81%	0.1636	✓	1.61
2026-06-15	oos	0.06028	0.059367	-1.51%	0.048025	-20.33%	0.1739	✓	1.60
2026-06-14	oos	0.06287	0.061566	-2.07%	0.04904	-22.00%	0.2096	✓	1.63
2026-06-13	oos	0.06271	0.061275	-2.29%	0.04726	-24.64%	0.2035	✓	1.65
2026-06-12	oos	0.04665	0.047369	+1.54%	0.046095	-1.19%	0.0315	✗	1.34
2026-06-11	oos	0.04609	0.046833	+1.61%	0.04668	+1.28%	0.0077	✓	1.33
2026-06-10	oos	0.04252	0.043426	+2.13%	0.04743	+11.55%	0.0376	✓	1.19
2026-06-09	oos	0.04721	0.04783	+1.31%	0.04796	+1.59%	0.0257	✗	1.19
2026-06-08	oos	0.0501	0.050404	+0.61%	0.04733	-5.53%	0.0473	✗	1.18
2026-06-07	oos	0.04848	0.048835	+0.73%	0.05032	+3.80%	0.0296	✓	1.18
2026-06-06	oos	0.0446	0.045156	+1.25%	0.04941	+10.78%	0.0413	✓	0.96
2026-06-05	oos	0.04611	0.046495	+0.84%	0.05132	+11.30%	0.0592	✓	0.96
2026-06-04	oos	0.05057	0.050446	-0.25%	0.05242	+3.66%	0.0486	✗	0.90
2026-06-03	oos	0.05429	0.05356	-1.34%	0.05103	-6.00%	0.0267	✓	0.90
2026-06-02	oos	0.05456	0.053561	-1.83%	0.04957	-9.15%	0.0118	✓	1.10
2026-06-01	oos	0.05913	0.056735	-4.05%	0.04514	-23.66%	0.0032	✓	1.34
2026-05-31	oos	0.06097	0.05777	-5.25%	0.04523	-25.82%	0.1100	✗	1.55
2026-05-30	oos	0.06306	0.059457	-5.71%	0.04809	-23.74%	0.1039	✗	1.55
2026-05-29	oos	0.061625	0.058517	-5.04%	0.04569	-25.86%	0.0375	✓	1.00
2026-05-28	oos	0.0634	0.059943	-5.45%	0.04725	-25.47%	0.0337	✓	1.00
2026-05-27	oos	0.06753	0.0631	-6.56%	0.04671	-30.83%	0.0868	✓	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.0677	0.06326	-6.56%	0.04651	-31.30%	0.0685	✓	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.073915	0.068023	-7.97%	0.05069	-31.42%	0.0577	✓	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.07738	0.07121	-7.97%	0.05551	-28.26%	0.0431	✓	1.00
2026-05-23	oos	0.08015	0.07392	-7.77%	0.055825	-30.35%	0.0996	✓	1.00
2026-05-22	oos	0.08032	0.07449	-7.26%	0.05648	-29.68%	0.1003	✓	1.00
2026-05-21	oos	0.087	0.079544	-8.57%	0.0547	-37.13%	0.1859	✓	1.00
2026-05-20	oos	0.081605	0.075541	-7.43%	0.05704	-30.10%	0.0816	✓	1.00
2026-05-19	oos	0.08112	0.075588	-6.82%	0.06217	-23.36%	0.0041	✓	1.00
2026-05-18	oos	0.086	0.080172	-6.78%	0.05711	-33.59%	0.1619	✓	1.00
2026-05-17	oos	0.08994	0.083912	-6.70%	0.05749	-36.08%	0.2129	✓	1.00
2026-05-16	oos	0.09273	0.087113	-6.06%	0.06028	-34.99%	0.2040	✓	1.00
2026-05-15	oos	0.10026	0.09432	-5.93%	0.06287	-37.29%	0.2206	✓	1.00
2026-05-14	oos	0.10538	0.099871	-5.23%	0.06271	-40.49%	0.2355	✓	1.00
2026-05-13	oos	0.10337	0.0981	-5.10%	0.04665	-54.87%	0.5219	✓	1.00
2026-05-12	oos	0.10977	0.104977	-4.37%	0.04609	-58.01%	0.5871	✓	1.00
2026-05-11	oos	0.11857	0.114181	-3.70%	0.04252	-64.14%	0.7026	✓	1.00
2026-05-10	oos	0.12692	0.122648	-3.37%	0.04721	-62.80%	0.6676	✓	1.00
2026-05-09	oos	0.12551	0.120741	-3.80%	0.0501	-60.08%	0.6336	✓	1.00