LONGXIA

? · · gru_s2

token id: #185
symbol: LONGXIA
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-27
predictions: 144

Track record at +7d

assessed

41

of 48 predictions shown

direction hit

61.0%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.6181

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0218

actual -0.1736

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.02106	0.021768	+3.36%	–	pending	–	–	1.35
2026-10-21	oos	0.021215	0.022043	+3.90%	–	pending	–	–	1.35
2026-10-20	oos	0.021195	0.022195	+4.72%	–	pending	–	–	1.35
2026-10-19	oos	0.020355	0.02155	+5.87%	–	pending	–	–	1.33
2026-10-18	oos	0.02088	0.022169	+6.17%	–	pending	–	–	1.33
2026-10-17	oos	0.02746	0.028601	+4.15%	–	pending	–	–	1.44
2026-10-16	oos	0.029085	0.030295	+4.16%	–	pending	–	–	1.44
2026-10-15	oos	0.029995	0.031292	+4.33%	0.02106	-29.79%	0.4320	✗	1.43
2026-10-14	oos	0.029625	0.031053	+4.82%	0.021215	-28.39%	0.4233	✗	1.43
2026-10-13	oos	0.04862	0.047171	-2.98%	0.021195	-56.41%	0.7982	✓	0.92
2026-10-12	oos	0.040295	0.040649	+0.88%	0.020355	-49.49%	0.6926	✗	0.77
2026-10-11	oos	0.04401	0.04379	-0.50%	0.02088	-52.56%	0.7273	✓	0.66
2026-10-10	oos	0.04627	0.045985	-0.61%	0.02746	-40.65%	0.5027	✓	0.69
2026-10-09	oos	0.046	0.04597	-0.07%	0.029085	-36.77%	0.4489	✓	0.69
2026-10-08	oos	0.05196	0.051171	-1.52%	0.029995	-42.27%	0.5382	✓	0.77
2026-10-07	oos	0.04116	0.041777	+1.50%	0.029625	-28.02%	0.3216	✗	1.07
2026-10-06	oos	0.06616	0.062579	-5.41%	0.04862	-26.51%	0.2453	✓	0.25
2026-10-05	oos	0.04544	0.045529	+0.20%	0.040295	-11.32%	0.1058	✗	0.34
2026-10-04	oos	0.04529	0.04546	+0.38%	0.04401	-2.83%	0.0211	✗	0.34
2026-10-03	oos	0.049945	0.050178	+0.47%	0.04627	-7.36%	0.0705	✗	0.48
2026-10-02	oos	0.03919	0.039748	+1.42%	0.046	+17.38%	0.1569	✓	0.46
2026-10-01	oos	0.110175	0.100733	-8.57%	0.05196	-52.84%	0.6592	✓	0.07
2026-09-30	oos	0.0359	0.035589	-0.87%	0.04116	+14.65%	0.1422	✗	-0.96
2026-09-29	oos	0.068975	0.070571	+2.31%	0.06616	-4.08%	0.0408	✗	-1.06
2026-09-28	oos	0.070225	0.071553	+1.89%	0.04544	-35.29%	0.4255	✗	-1.05
2026-09-27	oos	0.08775	0.088181	+0.49%	0.04529	-48.39%	0.6353	✗	-1.29
2026-09-26	oos	0.1038	0.102803	-0.96%	0.049945	-51.88%	0.7169	✓	-1.31
2026-09-25	oos	0.130175	0.125777	-3.38%	0.03919	-69.89%	1.1710	✓	1.00
2026-09-24	oos	0.10344	0.101417	-1.96%	0.110175	+6.51%	0.0774	✗	1.00
2026-09-23	oos	0.16812	0.158528	-5.71%	0.0359	-78.65%	1.4754	✓	1.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.139465	0.132235	-5.18%	0.068975	-50.54%	0.6207	✓	1.00
2026-09-21	oos	0.234285	0.218442	-6.76%	0.070225	-70.03%	1.0979	✓	1.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.238305	0.220107	-7.64%	0.08775	-63.18%	0.9595	✓	1.00
2026-09-19	oos	0.226335	0.20863	-7.82%	0.1038	-54.14%	0.7365	✓	1.00
2026-09-18	oos	0.22224	0.204578	-7.95%	0.130175	-41.43%	0.4911	✓	1.00
2026-09-17	oos	0.23069	0.210183	-8.89%	0.10344	-55.16%	0.8091	✓	1.00
2026-09-16	oos	0.21309	0.193835	-9.04%	0.16812	-21.10%	0.2450	✓	1.00
2026-09-15	oos	0.195995	0.177086	-9.65%	0.139465	-28.84%	0.3702	✓	1.00
2026-09-14	oos	0.16108	0.147442	-8.47%	0.234285	+45.45%	0.3608	✗	1.00
2026-09-13	oos	0.14472	0.133603	-7.68%	0.238305	+64.67%	0.5235	✗	1.00
2026-09-12	oos	0.154585	0.137549	-11.02%	0.226335	+46.41%	0.4479	✗	1.00
2026-09-11	oos	0.07052	0.068302	-3.15%	0.22224	+215.14%	1.1334	✗	1.00
2026-09-10	oos	0.03809	0.040924	+7.44%	0.23069	+505.64%	1.7318	✓	1.00
2026-09-09	oos	0.049155	0.051734	+5.25%	0.21309	+333.51%	1.4433	✓	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.05884	0.060632	+3.05%	0.195995	+233.10%	1.2105	✓	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.05455	0.056702	+3.95%	0.16108	+195.29%	1.0558	✓	1.00
2026-09-06	oos	0.0741	0.075859	+2.37%	0.14472	+95.30%	0.6910	✓	1.00
2026-09-05	oos	0.08774	0.088922	+1.35%	0.154585	+76.19%	0.5857	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.