LONGXIA

? · · gru_s2

token id: #185
symbol: LONGXIA
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-27
predictions: 141

Track record at +1d

assessed

46

of 47 predictions shown

direction hit

52.2%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.2331

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0147

actual -0.0313

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.02189	0.021501	-1.78%	–	pending	–	–	1.35
2026-10-20	oos	0.021195	0.020876	-1.51%	0.02189	+3.28%	0.0514	✗	1.35
2026-10-19	oos	0.020355	0.020205	-0.74%	0.021195	+4.13%	0.0300	✗	1.33
2026-10-18	oos	0.02088	0.020819	-0.29%	0.020355	-2.51%	0.0198	✓	1.33
2026-10-17	oos	0.02746	0.027221	-0.87%	0.02088	-23.96%	0.2762	✓	1.44
2026-10-16	oos	0.029085	0.028863	-0.76%	0.02746	-5.59%	0.0477	✓	1.44
2026-10-15	oos	0.029995	0.029791	-0.68%	0.029085	-3.03%	0.0131	✓	1.43
2026-10-14	oos	0.029625	0.029472	-0.52%	0.029995	+1.25%	0.0079	✗	1.43
2026-10-13	oos	0.04862	0.047448	-2.41%	0.029625	-39.07%	0.4539	✓	0.92
2026-10-12	oos	0.040295	0.039758	-1.33%	0.04862	+20.66%	0.1886	✗	0.77
2026-10-11	oos	0.04401	0.043271	-1.68%	0.040295	-8.44%	0.0558	✓	0.66
2026-10-10	oos	0.04627	0.04548	-1.71%	0.04401	-4.88%	0.0392	✓	0.69
2026-10-09	oos	0.046	0.045205	-1.73%	0.04627	+0.59%	0.0202	✗	0.69
2026-10-08	oos	0.05196	0.050587	-2.64%	0.046	-11.47%	0.1031	✓	0.77
2026-10-07	oos	0.04116	0.040299	-2.09%	0.05196	+26.24%	0.2746	✗	1.07
2026-10-06	oos	0.06616	0.062427	-5.64%	0.04116	-37.79%	0.4099	✓	0.25
2026-10-05	oos	0.04544	0.044141	-2.86%	0.06616	+45.60%	0.4055	✗	0.34
2026-10-04	oos	0.04529	0.043959	-2.94%	0.04544	+0.33%	0.0361	✗	0.34
2026-10-03	oos	0.049945	0.04832	-3.25%	0.04529	-9.32%	0.0747	✓	0.48
2026-10-02	oos	0.03919	0.03808	-2.83%	0.049945	+27.44%	0.2699	✗	0.46
2026-10-01	oos	0.110175	0.102026	-7.40%	0.03919	-64.43%	0.9565	✓	0.07
2026-09-30	oos	0.0359	0.036645	+2.07%	0.110175	+206.89%	1.1155	✓	-0.96
2026-09-29	oos	0.068975	0.068931	-0.06%	0.0359	-47.95%	0.6534	✓	-1.06
2026-09-28	oos	0.070225	0.070453	+0.33%	0.068975	-1.78%	0.0189	✗	-1.05
2026-09-27	oos	0.08775	0.086706	-1.19%	0.070225	-19.97%	0.2263	✓	-1.29
2026-09-26	oos	0.1038	0.102234	-1.51%	0.08775	-15.46%	0.1521	✓	-1.31
2026-09-25	oos	0.130175	0.12807	-1.62%	0.1038	-20.26%	0.2139	✓	1.00
2026-09-24	oos	0.10344	0.102331	-1.07%	0.130175	+25.85%	0.2441	✗	1.00
2026-09-23	oos	0.16812	0.166045	-1.23%	0.10344	-38.47%	0.4733	✓	1.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.139465	0.138077	-1.00%	0.16812	+20.55%	0.2182	✗	1.00
2026-09-21	oos	0.234285	0.231489	-1.19%	0.139465	-40.47%	0.5021	✓	1.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.238305	0.234957	-1.40%	0.234285	-1.69%	0.0677	✓	1.00
2026-09-19	oos	0.226335	0.22337	-1.31%	0.238305	+5.29%	0.0656	✗	1.00
2026-09-18	oos	0.22224	0.219371	-1.29%	0.226335	+1.84%	0.0268	✗	1.00
2026-09-17	oos	0.23069	0.22793	-1.20%	0.22224	-3.66%	0.0829	✓	1.00
2026-09-16	oos	0.21309	0.210075	-1.42%	0.23069	+8.26%	0.0909	✗	1.00
2026-09-15	oos	0.195995	0.192365	-1.85%	0.21309	+8.72%	0.0949	✗	1.00
2026-09-14	oos	0.16108	0.157748	-2.07%	0.195995	+21.68%	0.2508	✗	1.00
2026-09-13	oos	0.14472	0.140721	-2.76%	0.16108	+11.30%	0.1174	✗	1.00
2026-09-12	oos	0.154585	0.148073	-4.21%	0.14472	-6.38%	0.0169	✓	1.00
2026-09-11	oos	0.07052	0.068989	-2.17%	0.154585	+119.21%	0.8061	✗	1.00
2026-09-10	oos	0.03809	0.038764	+1.77%	0.07052	+85.14%	0.5897	✓	1.00
2026-09-09	oos	0.049155	0.049636	+0.98%	0.03809	-22.51%	0.2422	✗	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.05884	0.059177	+0.57%	0.049155	-16.46%	0.1835	✗	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.05455	0.054968	+0.77%	0.05884	+7.86%	0.0762	✓	1.00
2026-09-06	oos	0.0741	0.074113	+0.02%	0.05455	-26.38%	0.2908	✗	1.00
2026-09-05	oos	0.08774	0.087255	-0.55%	0.0741	-15.55%	0.1698	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.