LONGXIA

? · · gru_s2

token id: #185
symbol: LONGXIA
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-27
predictions: 144

Track record at +30d

assessed

18

of 48 predictions shown

direction hit

94.4%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

1.2055

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.1444

actual -1.3308

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.02106	0.01804	-14.34%	–	pending	–	–	1.35
2026-10-21	oos	0.021215	0.018322	-13.64%	–	pending	–	–	1.35
2026-10-20	oos	0.021195	0.018517	-12.64%	–	pending	–	–	1.35
2026-10-19	oos	0.020355	0.018038	-11.38%	–	pending	–	–	1.33
2026-10-18	oos	0.02088	0.018639	-10.73%	–	pending	–	–	1.33
2026-10-17	oos	0.02746	0.024371	-11.25%	–	pending	–	–	1.44
2026-10-16	oos	0.029085	0.02593	-10.85%	–	pending	–	–	1.44
2026-10-15	oos	0.029995	0.026878	-10.39%	–	pending	–	–	1.43
2026-10-14	oos	0.029625	0.026704	-9.86%	–	pending	–	–	1.43
2026-10-13	oos	0.04862	0.040362	-16.99%	–	pending	–	–	0.92
2026-10-12	oos	0.040295	0.034799	-13.64%	–	pending	–	–	0.77
2026-10-11	oos	0.04401	0.037437	-14.94%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-10-10	oos	0.04627	0.039318	-15.02%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-09	oos	0.046	0.039261	-14.65%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-08	oos	0.05196	0.043576	-16.13%	–	pending	–	–	0.77
2026-10-07	oos	0.04116	0.035351	-14.11%	–	pending	–	–	1.07
2026-10-06	oos	0.06616	0.052832	-20.14%	–	pending	–	–	0.25
2026-10-05	oos	0.04544	0.038213	-15.91%	–	pending	–	–	0.34
2026-10-04	oos	0.04529	0.038112	-15.85%	–	pending	–	–	0.34
2026-10-03	oos	0.049945	0.042158	-15.59%	–	pending	–	–	0.48
2026-10-02	oos	0.03919	0.033016	-15.75%	–	pending	–	–	0.46
2026-10-01	oos	0.110175	0.08802	-20.11%	–	pending	–	–	0.07
2026-09-30	oos	0.0359	0.028326	-21.10%	–	pending	–	–	-0.96
2026-09-29	oos	0.068975	0.060074	-12.90%	–	pending	–	–	-1.06
2026-09-28	oos	0.070225	0.061087	-13.01%	–	pending	–	–	-1.05
2026-09-27	oos	0.08775	0.076107	-13.27%	–	pending	–	–	-1.29
2026-09-26	oos	0.1038	0.089465	-13.81%	–	pending	–	–	-1.31
2026-09-25	oos	0.130175	0.11112	-14.64%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-09-24	oos	0.10344	0.087934	-14.99%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-09-23	oos	0.16812	0.141504	-15.83%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.139465	0.11687	-16.20%	0.02106	-84.90%	1.6905	✓	1.00
2026-09-21	oos	0.234285	0.196026	-16.33%	0.021215	-90.94%	2.1934	✓	1.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.238305	0.194336	-18.45%	0.021195	-91.11%	2.2375	✓	1.00
2026-09-19	oos	0.226335	0.183648	-18.86%	0.020355	-91.01%	2.2071	✓	1.00
2026-09-18	oos	0.22224	0.179198	-19.37%	0.02088	-90.60%	2.1636	✓	1.00
2026-09-17	oos	0.23069	0.182699	-20.80%	0.02746	-88.10%	1.9589	✓	1.00
2026-09-16	oos	0.21309	0.168205	-21.06%	0.029085	-86.35%	1.8229	✓	1.00
2026-09-15	oos	0.195995	0.154217	-21.32%	0.029995	-84.70%	1.7203	✓	1.00
2026-09-14	oos	0.16108	0.129192	-19.80%	0.029625	-81.61%	1.5152	✓	1.00
2026-09-13	oos	0.14472	0.117488	-18.82%	0.04862	-66.40%	0.9612	✓	1.00
2026-09-12	oos	0.154585	0.12456	-19.42%	0.040295	-73.93%	1.1849	✓	1.00
2026-09-11	oos	0.07052	0.063755	-9.59%	0.04401	-37.59%	0.4511	✓	1.00
2026-09-10	oos	0.03809	0.035962	-5.59%	0.04627	+21.48%	0.1720	✗	1.00
2026-09-09	oos	0.049155	0.047226	-3.92%	0.046	-6.42%	0.0793	✓	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.05884	0.05726	-2.69%	0.05196	-11.69%	0.1376	✓	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.05455	0.053675	-1.60%	0.04116	-24.55%	0.3170	✓	1.00
2026-09-06	oos	0.0741	0.073827	-0.37%	0.06616	-10.72%	0.1724	✓	1.00
2026-09-05	oos	0.08774	0.086378	-1.55%	0.04544	-48.21%	0.7138	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.