KAIO

KAIO · Ethereum · gru_s2

token id: #324
symbol: KAIO
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0x00bac91fd8f5b4a0dc03c8021139b76f6549ee7e
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-06
predictions: 483

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +7d

assessed

154

of 161 predictions shown

direction hit

40.9%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1728

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0055

actual -0.0452

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.029719	0.028862	-2.89%	–	pending	–	–	0.01
2026-10-21	oos	0.029335	0.028493	-2.87%	–	pending	–	–	-0.00
2026-10-20	oos	0.030499	0.02958	-3.01%	–	pending	–	–	-0.00
2026-10-19	oos	0.029365	0.02854	-2.81%	–	pending	–	–	-0.01
2026-10-18	oos	0.029598	0.028866	-2.47%	–	pending	–	–	-0.09
2026-10-17	oos	0.034899	0.033889	-2.90%	–	pending	–	–	-0.08
2026-10-16	oos	0.036292	0.034996	-3.57%	–	pending	–	–	-0.08
2026-10-15	oos	0.03372	0.032389	-3.95%	0.029719	-11.86%	0.0840	✓	-0.08
2026-10-14	oos	0.031919	0.030722	-3.75%	0.029335	-8.09%	0.0438	✓	-0.08
2026-10-13	oos	0.028875	0.027974	-3.12%	0.030499	+5.63%	0.0864	✗	-0.01
2026-10-12	oos	0.027404	0.026522	-3.22%	0.029365	+7.16%	0.1019	✗	-0.01
2026-10-11	oos	0.025037	0.024454	-2.33%	0.029598	+18.22%	0.1927	✗	0.09
2026-10-10	oos	0.025012	0.024378	-2.54%	0.034899	+39.53%	0.3608	✗	0.11
2026-10-09	oos	0.025199	0.024451	-2.97%	0.036292	+44.02%	0.3963	✗	0.11
2026-10-08	oos	0.024821	0.023948	-3.52%	0.03372	+35.85%	0.3416	✗	0.11
2026-10-07	oos	0.020707	0.020352	-1.72%	0.031919	+54.14%	0.4548	✗	0.23
2026-10-06	oos	0.022712	0.022257	-2.01%	0.028875	+27.13%	0.2649	✗	0.16
2026-10-05	oos	0.026838	0.02552	-4.91%	0.027404	+2.11%	0.0789	✗	0.16
2026-10-04	oos	0.020323	0.019685	-3.14%	0.025037	+23.20%	0.2496	✗	0.27
2026-10-03	oos	0.019305	0.018889	-2.16%	0.025012	+29.56%	0.2863	✗	0.25
2026-10-02	oos	0.022008	0.021282	-3.30%	0.025199	+14.50%	0.1750	✗	0.26
2026-10-01	oos	0.021486	0.020903	-2.71%	0.024821	+15.52%	0.1815	✗	0.26
2026-09-30	oos	0.024146	0.02333	-3.38%	0.020707	-14.24%	0.1184	✓	0.27
2026-09-29	oos	0.026617	0.025518	-4.13%	0.022712	-14.67%	0.1221	✓	0.25
2026-09-28	oos	0.033197	0.030299	-8.73%	0.026838	-19.16%	0.1271	✓	0.21
2026-09-27	oos	0.014683	0.014237	-3.04%	0.020323	+38.41%	0.3403	✗	0.65
2026-09-26	oos	0.01501	0.014371	-4.26%	0.019305	+28.62%	0.2927	✗	0.65
2026-09-25	oos	0.013481	0.013167	-2.33%	0.022008	+63.25%	0.5105	✗	0.64
2026-09-24	oos	0.01323	0.012946	-2.15%	0.021486	+62.40%	0.5031	✗	0.65
2026-09-23	oos	0.01364	0.013319	-2.36%	0.024146	+77.02%	0.6013	✗	0.65
2026-09-22	oos	0.013553	0.013229	-2.39%	0.026617	+96.40%	0.7179	✗	0.62
2026-09-21	oos	0.01374	0.013398	-2.49%	0.033197	+141.61%	0.9313	✗	0.65
2026-09-20	oos	0.01351	0.0133	-1.56%	0.014683	+8.68%	0.0686	✗	0.76
2026-09-19	oos	0.013822	0.013605	-1.56%	0.01501	+8.60%	0.0692	✗	0.75
2026-09-18	oos	0.01351	0.013366	-1.07%	0.013481	-0.22%	0.0204	✓	0.74
2026-09-17	oos	0.013894	0.013766	-0.92%	0.01323	-4.78%	0.1273	✓	0.87
2026-09-16	oos	0.013951	0.013729	-1.59%	0.01364	-2.23%	0.0972	✓	0.88
2026-09-15	oos	0.013095	0.013115	+0.15%	0.013553	+3.49%	0.0873	✗	0.91
2026-09-14	oos	0.013015	0.013071	+0.43%	0.01374	+5.57%	0.0490	✗	0.97
2026-09-13	oos	0.013244	0.013301	+0.43%	0.01351	+2.01%	0.0381	✗	0.97
2026-09-12	oos	0.01399	0.014006	+0.11%	0.013822	-1.20%	0.0613	✗	0.96
2026-09-11	oos	0.013969	0.014019	+0.36%	0.01351	-3.28%	0.0802	✗	0.93
2026-09-10	oos	0.013893	0.013978	+0.61%	0.013894	+0.01%	0.0037	✓	0.94
2026-09-09	oos	0.013968	0.014127	+1.14%	0.013951	-0.12%	0.0140	✓	0.96
2026-09-08	oos	0.014179	0.014348	+1.19%	0.013095	-7.64%	0.0572	✗	0.92
2026-09-07	oos	0.014925	0.015081	+1.05%	0.013015	-12.80%	0.1368	✗	0.91
2026-09-06	oos	0.015738	0.015898	+1.02%	0.013244	-15.85%	0.1426	✗	0.89
2026-09-05	oos	0.015695	0.01587	+1.11%	0.01399	-10.86%	0.0967	✗	0.90
2026-09-04	oos	0.016369	0.016532	+1.00%	0.013969	-14.66%	0.1440	✗	0.78
2026-09-03	oos	0.016792	0.017009	+1.29%	0.013893	-17.26%	0.1590	✗	0.72
2026-09-02	oos	0.0174	0.017423	+0.13%	0.013968	-19.72%	0.2339	✗	1.03
2026-09-01	oos	0.017791	0.01785	+0.33%	0.014179	-20.31%	0.2443	✗	1.04
2026-08-31	oos	0.018144	0.018267	+0.68%	0.014925	-17.74%	0.2085	✗	0.96
2026-08-30	oos	0.017735	0.017838	+0.58%	0.015738	-11.26%	0.1606	✗	1.04
2026-08-29	oos	0.017556	0.017703	+0.84%	0.015695	-10.60%	0.1437	✗	1.15
2026-08-28	oos	0.017912	0.018033	+0.68%	0.016369	-8.61%	0.1243	✗	1.18
2026-08-27	oos	0.01779	0.018067	+1.56%	0.016792	-5.61%	0.0890	✗	1.29
2026-08-26	oos	0.017253	0.01749	+1.37%	0.0174	+0.85%	0.0229	✓	1.28
2026-08-25	oos	0.018184	0.018385	+1.11%	0.017791	-2.16%	0.0141	✗	1.30
2026-08-24	oos	0.018718	0.018919	+1.07%	0.018144	-3.07%	0.0347	✗	1.34
2026-08-23	oos	0.020346	0.02032	-0.13%	0.017735	-12.83%	0.1349	✓	1.43
2026-08-22	oos	0.0182	0.018303	+0.56%	0.017556	-3.54%	0.0629	✗	1.40
2026-08-21	oos	0.017552	0.017733	+1.03%	0.017912	+2.05%	0.0190	✓	1.43
2026-08-20	oos	0.017291	0.017233	-0.34%	0.01779	+2.89%	0.1153	✓	1.55
2026-08-19	oos	0.016853	0.016663	-1.13%	0.017253	+2.37%	0.1676	✓	1.54
2026-08-18	oos	0.015957	0.015723	-1.47%	0.018184	+13.96%	0.1732	✓	1.64
2026-08-17	oos	0.01766	0.017315	-1.95%	0.018718	+5.99%	0.2471	✓	1.60
2026-08-16	oos	0.01777	0.017414	-2.00%	0.020346	+14.50%	0.1929	✓	1.64
2026-08-15	oos	0.017905	0.017539	-2.04%	0.0182	+1.65%	0.2972	✓	1.66
2026-08-14	oos	0.017855	0.017493	-2.03%	0.017552	-1.70%	0.3590	✓	1.66
2026-08-13	oos	0.017485	0.017151	-1.91%	0.017291	-1.11%	0.2352	✓	1.73
2026-08-12	oos	0.01726	0.016951	-1.79%	0.016853	-2.36%	0.1455	✓	1.57
2026-08-11	oos	0.01843	0.018018	-2.24%	0.015957	-13.42%	0.1492	✓	1.55
2026-08-10	oos	0.018025	0.017649	-2.09%	0.01766	-2.02%	0.0135	✓	1.61
2026-08-09	oos	0.01724	0.016937	-1.76%	0.01777	+3.07%	0.1017	✗	1.70
2026-08-08	oos	0.017	0.016699	-1.77%	0.017905	+5.32%	0.1200	✗	1.70
2026-08-07	oos	0.01781	0.017483	-1.83%	0.017855	+0.25%	0.0724	✗	1.71
2026-08-06	oos	0.01824	0.017868	-2.04%	0.017485	-4.14%	0.0010	✓	1.72
2026-08-05	oos	0.018525	0.018096	-2.31%	0.01726	-6.83%	0.0157	✓	1.70
2026-08-04	oos	0.018385	0.017893	-2.67%	0.01843	+0.24%	0.0446	✗	1.85
2026-08-03	oos	0.01727	0.016825	-2.58%	0.018025	+4.37%	0.0561	✗	1.82
2026-08-02	oos	0.01601	0.015742	-1.67%	0.01724	+7.68%	0.0527	✗	1.82
2026-08-01	oos	0.014815	0.014674	-0.95%	0.017	+14.75%	0.0875	✗	1.78
2026-07-31	oos	0.015205	0.015076	-0.85%	0.01781	+17.13%	0.1092	✗	1.78
2026-07-30	oos	0.017	0.016622	-2.22%	0.01824	+7.29%	0.1052	✗	1.74
2026-07-29	oos	0.01538	0.015209	-1.11%	0.018525	+20.45%	0.1786	✗	1.69
2026-07-28	oos	0.01431	0.014193	-0.82%	0.018385	+28.48%	0.2535	✗	1.68
2026-07-27	oos	0.01352	0.013483	-0.27%	0.01727	+27.74%	0.2535	✗	1.66
2026-07-26	oos	0.0173	0.016769	-3.07%	0.01601	-7.46%	0.0030	✓	1.52
2026-07-25	oos	0.01305	0.013052	+0.02%	0.014815	+13.52%	0.1585	✓	1.32
2026-07-24	oos	0.014115	0.014057	-0.41%	0.015205	+7.72%	0.1049	✗	1.33
2026-07-23	oos	0.013615	0.013597	-0.13%	0.017	+24.86%	0.2303	✗	1.37
2026-07-22	oos	0.01306	0.013081	+0.16%	0.01538	+17.76%	0.2096	✓	1.41
2026-07-21	oos	0.013	0.013037	+0.28%	0.01431	+10.08%	0.1514	✓	1.42
2026-07-20	oos	0.01512	0.015083	-0.25%	0.01352	-10.58%	0.0729	✓	1.55
2026-07-19	oos	0.015995	0.015947	-0.30%	0.0173	+8.16%	0.0656	✗	1.56
2026-07-18	oos	0.01561	0.01561	+0.00%	0.01305	-16.40%	0.1670	✗	1.56
2026-07-17	oos	0.016175	0.016187	+0.08%	0.014115	-12.74%	0.1417	✗	1.58
2026-07-16	oos	0.01902	0.018946	-0.39%	0.013615	-28.42%	0.3623	✓	1.61
2026-07-15	oos	0.01949	0.0194	-0.46%	0.01306	-32.99%	0.4296	✓	1.62
2026-07-14	oos	0.02091	0.020752	-0.76%	0.013	-37.83%	0.5052	✓	1.62
2026-07-13	oos	0.020185	0.020096	-0.44%	0.01512	-25.09%	0.3600	✓	1.63
2026-07-12	oos	0.02075	0.020621	-0.62%	0.015995	-22.92%	0.2784	✓	1.66
2026-07-11	oos	0.02053	0.020429	-0.49%	0.01561	-23.96%	0.2954	✓	1.66
2026-07-10	oos	0.02095	0.020838	-0.53%	0.016175	-22.79%	0.2472	✓	1.66
2026-07-09	oos	0.020245	0.020195	-0.25%	0.01902	-6.05%	0.0752	✓	1.63
2026-07-08	oos	0.019995	0.019994	-0.00%	0.01949	-2.53%	0.0886	✓	1.61
2026-07-07	oos	0.021025	0.020974	-0.24%	0.02091	-0.55%	0.0451	✓	1.62
2026-07-06	oos	0.02209	0.021966	-0.56%	0.020185	-8.62%	0.0401	✓	1.62
2026-07-05	oos	0.02136	0.021271	-0.41%	0.02075	-2.86%	0.0287	✓	1.59
2026-07-04	oos	0.020275	0.020309	+0.17%	0.02053	+1.26%	0.0060	✗	1.55
2026-07-03	oos	0.02124	0.021263	+0.11%	0.02095	-1.37%	0.0547	✗	1.57
2026-07-02	oos	0.022865	0.022847	-0.08%	0.020245	-11.46%	0.1654	✓	1.64
2026-07-01	oos	0.02291	0.022975	+0.28%	0.019995	-12.72%	0.2008	✗	1.66
2026-06-30	oos	0.02383	0.023897	+0.28%	0.021025	-11.77%	0.2651	✗	1.74
2026-06-29	oos	0.026745	0.026597	-0.55%	0.02209	-17.41%	0.2904	✓	1.69
2026-06-28	oos	0.026145	0.026103	-0.16%	0.02136	-18.30%	0.3118	✓	1.67
2026-06-27	oos	0.025275	0.02531	+0.14%	0.020275	-19.78%	0.3075	✗	1.67
2026-06-26	oos	0.02648	0.026455	-0.09%	0.02124	-19.79%	0.2885	✓	1.68
2026-06-25	oos	0.02528	0.025408	+0.51%	0.022865	-9.55%	0.1536	✗	1.64
2026-06-24	oos	0.02414	0.024311	+0.71%	0.02291	-5.10%	0.0302	✗	1.73
2026-06-23	oos	0.02557	0.02558	+0.04%	0.02383	-6.80%	0.0484	✓	1.75
2026-06-22	oos	0.029675	0.029349	-1.10%	0.026745	-9.87%	0.0099	✓	1.68
2026-06-21	oos	0.03032	0.029993	-1.08%	0.026145	-13.77%	0.0335	✓	1.69
2026-06-20	oos	0.03034	0.02993	-1.35%	0.025275	-16.69%	0.0498	✓	1.73
2026-06-19	oos	0.02745	0.027371	-0.29%	0.02648	-3.53%	0.0577	✗	1.61
2026-06-18	oos	0.02631	0.026372	+0.24%	0.02528	-3.91%	0.0384	✓	1.56
2026-06-17	oos	0.02856	0.028385	-0.61%	0.02414	-15.48%	0.0764	✓	1.55
2026-06-16	oos	0.02937	0.029107	-0.89%	0.02557	-12.94%	0.0565	✓	1.58
2026-06-15	oos	0.02962	0.029348	-0.92%	0.029675	+0.19%	0.0679	✗	1.59
2026-06-14	oos	0.03074	0.030484	-0.83%	0.03032	-1.37%	0.0560	✗	1.60
2026-06-13	oos	0.032005	0.031782	-0.70%	0.03034	-5.20%	0.0411	✓	1.66
2026-06-12	oos	0.03101	0.030983	-0.09%	0.02745	-11.48%	0.1195	✓	1.60
2026-06-11	oos	0.03033	0.030431	+0.33%	0.02631	-13.25%	0.1285	✗	1.57
2026-06-10	oos	0.031025	0.031343	+1.03%	0.02856	-7.95%	0.1730	✗	1.68
2026-06-09	oos	0.03148	0.031864	+1.22%	0.02937	-6.70%	0.1846	✗	1.67
2026-06-08	oos	0.0324	0.032755	+1.09%	0.02962	-8.58%	0.1861	✗	1.72
2026-06-07	oos	0.03466	0.034966	+0.88%	0.03074	-11.31%	0.1931	✗	1.73
2026-06-06	oos	0.03785	0.03811	+0.69%	0.032005	-15.44%	0.3027	✗	2.24
2026-06-05	oos	0.02799	0.029003	+3.62%	0.03101	+10.79%	0.0150	✓	2.04
2026-06-04	oos	0.03417	0.034874	+2.06%	0.03033	-11.24%	0.1358	✗	1.00
2026-06-03	oos	0.03762	0.038291	+1.78%	0.031025	-17.53%	0.1691	✗	1.00
2026-06-02	oos	0.03679	0.037494	+1.91%	0.03148	-14.43%	0.0973	✗	1.00
2026-06-01	oos	0.04181	0.04199	+0.43%	0.0324	-22.51%	0.1363	✗	1.00
2026-05-31	oos	0.05	0.049223	-1.55%	0.03466	-30.68%	0.2004	✓	1.00
2026-05-30	oos	0.06753	0.062446	-7.53%	0.03785	-43.95%	0.3081	✓	1.00
2026-05-29	oos	0.03825	0.039505	+3.28%	0.02799	-26.82%	0.1605	✗	1.00
2026-05-28	oos	0.03677	0.038332	+4.25%	0.03417	-7.07%	0.0267	✓	1.00
2026-05-27	oos	0.03918	0.040755	+4.02%	0.03762	-3.98%	0.0688	✓	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.04436	0.0457	+3.02%	0.03679	-17.06%	0.0880	✗	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.051465	0.052273	+1.57%	0.04181	-18.76%	0.1434	✗	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.05471	0.055477	+1.40%	0.05	-8.61%	0.0588	✗	1.00
2026-05-23	oos	0.05338	0.054662	+2.40%	0.06753	+26.51%	0.2497	✓	1.00
2026-05-22	oos	0.056	0.057302	+2.33%	0.03825	-31.70%	0.3763	✗	1.00
2026-05-21	oos	0.053555	0.055403	+3.45%	0.03677	-31.34%	0.3565	✗	1.00
2026-05-20	oos	0.05371	0.055811	+3.91%	0.03918	-27.05%	0.3122	✗	1.00
2026-05-19	oos	0.062095	0.0638	+2.75%	0.04436	-28.56%	0.3511	✗	1.00
2026-05-18	oos	0.061165	0.063128	+3.21%	0.051465	-15.86%	0.2082	✗	1.00
2026-05-17	oos	0.07421	0.075234	+1.38%	0.05471	-26.28%	0.3130	✗	1.00
2026-05-16	oos	0.0765	0.077501	+1.31%	0.05338	-30.22%	0.3541	✗	1.00
2026-05-15	oos	0.09405	0.093601	-0.48%	0.056	-40.46%	0.4669	✓	1.00