KAIO

KAIO · Ethereum · gru_s2

token id: #324
symbol: KAIO
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0x00bac91fd8f5b4a0dc03c8021139b76f6549ee7e
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-06
predictions: 483

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

160

of 161 predictions shown

direction hit

47.5%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0684

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0015

actual -0.0086

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.029719	0.029475	-0.82%	–	pending	–	–	0.01
2026-10-21	oos	0.029335	0.029091	-0.83%	0.029719	+1.31%	0.0214	✗	-0.00
2026-10-20	oos	0.030499	0.030222	-0.91%	0.029335	-3.82%	0.0297	✓	-0.00
2026-10-19	oos	0.029365	0.029116	-0.85%	0.030499	+3.86%	0.0466	✗	-0.01
2026-10-18	oos	0.029598	0.029405	-0.65%	0.029365	-0.79%	0.0015	✓	-0.09
2026-10-17	oos	0.034899	0.03456	-0.97%	0.029598	-15.19%	0.1544	✓	-0.08
2026-10-16	oos	0.036292	0.035718	-1.58%	0.034899	-3.84%	0.0233	✓	-0.08
2026-10-15	oos	0.03372	0.033091	-1.87%	0.036292	+7.63%	0.0918	✗	-0.08
2026-10-14	oos	0.031919	0.031392	-1.65%	0.03372	+5.64%	0.0721	✗	-0.08
2026-10-13	oos	0.028875	0.028527	-1.20%	0.031919	+10.54%	0.1122	✗	-0.01
2026-10-12	oos	0.027404	0.027045	-1.31%	0.028875	+5.36%	0.0657	✗	-0.01
2026-10-11	oos	0.025037	0.024847	-0.76%	0.027404	+9.46%	0.1000	✗	0.09
2026-10-10	oos	0.025012	0.024754	-1.03%	0.025037	+0.10%	0.0104	✗	0.11
2026-10-09	oos	0.025199	0.024868	-1.32%	0.025012	-0.74%	0.0053	✓	0.11
2026-10-08	oos	0.024821	0.024406	-1.67%	0.025199	+1.52%	0.0309	✗	0.11
2026-10-07	oos	0.020707	0.020623	-0.41%	0.024821	+19.87%	0.1897	✗	0.23
2026-10-06	oos	0.022712	0.022563	-0.65%	0.020707	-8.83%	0.0816	✓	0.16
2026-10-05	oos	0.026838	0.026034	-3.00%	0.022712	-15.37%	0.1361	✓	0.16
2026-10-04	oos	0.020323	0.020046	-1.36%	0.026838	+32.06%	0.2942	✗	0.27
2026-10-03	oos	0.019305	0.01919	-0.60%	0.020323	+5.27%	0.0521	✗	0.25
2026-10-02	oos	0.022008	0.02169	-1.45%	0.019305	-12.28%	0.1172	✓	0.26
2026-10-01	oos	0.021486	0.02127	-1.01%	0.022008	+2.43%	0.0352	✗	0.26
2026-09-30	oos	0.024146	0.023778	-1.52%	0.021486	-11.02%	0.1055	✓	0.27
2026-09-29	oos	0.026617	0.026056	-2.11%	0.024146	-9.28%	0.0759	✓	0.25
2026-09-28	oos	0.033197	0.031223	-5.95%	0.026617	-19.82%	0.1601	✓	0.21
2026-09-27	oos	0.014683	0.014516	-1.14%	0.033197	+126.09%	0.8350	✗	0.65
2026-09-26	oos	0.01501	0.014712	-1.99%	0.014683	-2.18%	0.0023	✓	0.65
2026-09-25	oos	0.013481	0.013409	-0.53%	0.01501	+11.34%	0.1103	✗	0.64
2026-09-24	oos	0.01323	0.013175	-0.41%	0.013481	+1.90%	0.0252	✗	0.65
2026-09-23	oos	0.01364	0.013572	-0.50%	0.01323	-3.01%	0.0256	✓	0.65
2026-09-22	oos	0.013553	0.013482	-0.52%	0.01364	+0.65%	0.0250	✗	0.62
2026-09-21	oos	0.01374	0.013658	-0.60%	0.013553	-1.36%	0.0048	✓	0.65
2026-09-20	oos	0.01351	0.013476	-0.25%	0.01374	+1.70%	0.0300	✓	0.76
2026-09-19	oos	0.013822	0.013785	-0.27%	0.01351	-2.25%	0.0194	✓	0.75
2026-09-18	oos	0.01351	0.013496	-0.11%	0.013822	+2.30%	0.0206	✗	0.74
2026-09-17	oos	0.013894	0.013881	-0.09%	0.01351	-2.76%	0.0774	✓	0.87
2026-09-16	oos	0.013951	0.01387	-0.58%	0.013894	-0.41%	0.0006	✓	0.88
2026-09-15	oos	0.013095	0.013128	+0.25%	0.013951	+6.53%	0.0540	✓	0.91
2026-09-14	oos	0.013015	0.013055	+0.31%	0.013095	+0.62%	0.0357	✓	0.97
2026-09-13	oos	0.013244	0.013285	+0.31%	0.013015	-1.73%	0.0378	✗	0.97
2026-09-12	oos	0.01399	0.014019	+0.21%	0.013244	-5.33%	0.0511	✗	0.96
2026-09-11	oos	0.013969	0.014006	+0.27%	0.01399	+0.15%	0.0018	✓	0.93
2026-09-10	oos	0.013893	0.01394	+0.34%	0.013969	+0.54%	0.0062	✗	0.94
2026-09-09	oos	0.013968	0.014032	+0.46%	0.013893	-0.54%	0.0117	✓	0.96
2026-09-08	oos	0.014179	0.014245	+0.47%	0.013968	-1.48%	0.0177	✗	0.92
2026-09-07	oos	0.014925	0.014989	+0.43%	0.014179	-5.00%	0.0482	✗	0.91
2026-09-06	oos	0.015738	0.015802	+0.41%	0.014925	-5.17%	0.0432	✗	0.89
2026-09-05	oos	0.015695	0.015764	+0.44%	0.015738	+0.27%	0.0073	✗	0.90
2026-09-04	oos	0.016369	0.016435	+0.40%	0.015695	-4.12%	0.0476	✗	0.78
2026-09-03	oos	0.016792	0.01687	+0.47%	0.016369	-2.52%	0.0159	✗	0.72
2026-09-02	oos	0.0174	0.017431	+0.18%	0.016792	-3.50%	0.0888	✗	1.03
2026-09-01	oos	0.017791	0.01783	+0.22%	0.0174	-2.20%	0.0232	✗	1.04
2026-08-31	oos	0.018144	0.018195	+0.28%	0.017791	-1.95%	0.0082	✗	0.96
2026-08-30	oos	0.017735	0.017781	+0.26%	0.018144	+2.31%	0.0082	✓	1.04
2026-08-29	oos	0.017556	0.017616	+0.34%	0.017735	+1.02%	0.0151	✓	1.15
2026-08-28	oos	0.017912	0.01796	+0.27%	0.017556	-1.98%	0.0287	✗	1.18
2026-08-27	oos	0.01779	0.01788	+0.51%	0.017912	+0.68%	0.0414	✓	1.29
2026-08-26	oos	0.017253	0.017339	+0.50%	0.01779	+3.11%	0.0056	✓	1.28
2026-08-25	oos	0.018184	0.018259	+0.41%	0.017253	-5.12%	0.0649	✗	1.30
2026-08-24	oos	0.018718	0.018787	+0.37%	0.018184	-2.86%	0.0249	✗	1.34
2026-08-23	oos	0.020346	0.02031	-0.18%	0.018718	-8.00%	0.1044	✓	1.43
2026-08-22	oos	0.0182	0.01825	+0.27%	0.020346	+11.79%	0.0965	✓	1.40
2026-08-21	oos	0.017552	0.017624	+0.41%	0.0182	+3.69%	0.0556	✓	1.43
2026-08-20	oos	0.017291	0.017303	+0.07%	0.017552	+1.51%	0.0947	✗	1.55
2026-08-19	oos	0.016853	0.01683	-0.14%	0.017291	+2.60%	0.0534	✓	1.54
2026-08-18	oos	0.015957	0.015925	-0.20%	0.016853	+5.62%	0.0567	✓	1.64
2026-08-17	oos	0.01766	0.017591	-0.39%	0.015957	-9.64%	0.1026	✓	1.60
2026-08-16	oos	0.01777	0.017697	-0.41%	0.01766	-0.62%	0.0443	✓	1.64
2026-08-15	oos	0.017905	0.017826	-0.44%	0.01777	-0.75%	0.0016	✓	1.66
2026-08-14	oos	0.017855	0.017777	-0.43%	0.017905	+0.28%	0.0060	✗	1.66
2026-08-13	oos	0.017485	0.017413	-0.41%	0.017855	+2.12%	0.0374	✗	1.73
2026-08-12	oos	0.01726	0.017202	-0.34%	0.017485	+1.30%	0.0160	✗	1.57
2026-08-11	oos	0.01843	0.018327	-0.56%	0.01726	-6.35%	0.0571	✓	1.55
2026-08-10	oos	0.018025	0.017936	-0.49%	0.01843	+2.25%	0.0367	✗	1.61
2026-08-09	oos	0.01724	0.017178	-0.36%	0.018025	+4.55%	0.0729	✗	1.70
2026-08-08	oos	0.017	0.016934	-0.39%	0.01724	+1.41%	0.0195	✗	1.70
2026-08-07	oos	0.01781	0.01774	-0.39%	0.017	-4.55%	0.0430	✓	1.71
2026-08-06	oos	0.01824	0.018147	-0.51%	0.01781	-2.36%	0.0353	✓	1.72
2026-08-05	oos	0.018525	0.018402	-0.66%	0.01824	-1.54%	0.0000	✓	1.70
2026-08-04	oos	0.018385	0.01823	-0.84%	0.018525	+0.76%	0.0002	✓	1.85
2026-08-03	oos	0.01727	0.01712	-0.87%	0.018385	+6.46%	0.0546	✗	1.82
2026-08-02	oos	0.01601	0.015953	-0.36%	0.01727	+7.87%	0.0803	✗	1.82
2026-08-01	oos	0.014815	0.014805	-0.07%	0.01601	+8.07%	0.0576	✗	1.78
2026-07-31	oos	0.015205	0.015197	-0.05%	0.014815	-2.56%	0.0237	✓	1.78
2026-07-30	oos	0.017	0.016854	-0.86%	0.015205	-10.56%	0.0511	✓	1.74
2026-07-29	oos	0.01538	0.015345	-0.23%	0.017	+10.53%	0.0808	✗	1.69
2026-07-28	oos	0.01431	0.014294	-0.11%	0.01538	+7.48%	0.0719	✗	1.68
2026-07-27	oos	0.01352	0.013538	+0.13%	0.01431	+5.84%	0.0515	✓	1.66
2026-07-26	oos	0.0173	0.017061	-1.38%	0.01352	-21.85%	0.1939	✓	1.52
2026-07-25	oos	0.01305	0.013077	+0.21%	0.0173	+32.57%	0.2586	✓	1.32
2026-07-24	oos	0.014115	0.014123	+0.06%	0.01305	-7.55%	0.0834	✗	1.33
2026-07-23	oos	0.013615	0.013636	+0.15%	0.014115	+3.67%	0.0551	✓	1.37
2026-07-22	oos	0.01306	0.013091	+0.24%	0.013615	+4.25%	0.0615	✓	1.41
2026-07-21	oos	0.013	0.013037	+0.29%	0.01306	+0.46%	0.0109	✓	1.42
2026-07-20	oos	0.01512	0.015142	+0.14%	0.013	-14.02%	0.1831	✗	1.55
2026-07-19	oos	0.015995	0.016016	+0.13%	0.01512	-5.47%	0.0703	✗	1.56
2026-07-18	oos	0.01561	0.015645	+0.22%	0.015995	+2.47%	0.0249	✓	1.56
2026-07-17	oos	0.016175	0.016215	+0.25%	0.01561	-3.49%	0.0602	✗	1.58
2026-07-16	oos	0.01902	0.01904	+0.11%	0.016175	-14.96%	0.1662	✗	1.61
2026-07-15	oos	0.01949	0.019509	+0.10%	0.01902	-2.41%	0.0015	✗	1.62
2026-07-14	oos	0.02091	0.020906	-0.02%	0.01949	-6.79%	0.0634	✓	1.62
2026-07-13	oos	0.020185	0.020202	+0.09%	0.02091	+3.59%	0.0354	✗	1.63
2026-07-12	oos	0.02075	0.020757	+0.04%	0.020185	-2.72%	0.0110	✓	1.66
2026-07-11	oos	0.02053	0.020545	+0.08%	0.02075	+1.07%	0.0108	✓	1.66
2026-07-10	oos	0.02095	0.020962	+0.06%	0.02053	-2.00%	0.0116	✗	1.66
2026-07-09	oos	0.020245	0.020274	+0.14%	0.02095	+3.48%	0.0084	✓	1.63
2026-07-08	oos	0.019995	0.020038	+0.21%	0.020245	+1.25%	0.0138	✗	1.61
2026-07-07	oos	0.021025	0.021057	+0.15%	0.019995	-4.90%	0.0238	✗	1.62
2026-07-06	oos	0.02209	0.022098	+0.04%	0.021025	-4.82%	0.0325	✗	1.62
2026-07-05	oos	0.02136	0.021374	+0.06%	0.02209	+3.42%	0.0225	✓	1.59
2026-07-04	oos	0.020275	0.020327	+0.26%	0.02136	+5.35%	0.0374	✓	1.55
2026-07-03	oos	0.02124	0.021291	+0.24%	0.020275	-4.54%	0.0631	✗	1.57
2026-07-02	oos	0.022865	0.022908	+0.19%	0.02124	-7.11%	0.1030	✗	1.64
2026-07-01	oos	0.02291	0.022974	+0.28%	0.022865	-0.20%	0.0464	✗	1.66
2026-06-30	oos	0.02383	0.023888	+0.24%	0.02291	-3.86%	0.0840	✗	1.74
2026-06-29	oos	0.026745	0.026761	+0.06%	0.02383	-10.90%	0.0692	✗	1.69
2026-06-28	oos	0.026145	0.026189	+0.17%	0.026745	+2.29%	0.0018	✓	1.67
2026-06-27	oos	0.025275	0.025339	+0.25%	0.026145	+3.44%	0.0442	✓	1.67
2026-06-26	oos	0.02648	0.026529	+0.18%	0.025275	-4.55%	0.0465	✗	1.68
2026-06-25	oos	0.02528	0.025368	+0.35%	0.02648	+4.75%	0.0347	✓	1.64
2026-06-24	oos	0.02414	0.024238	+0.41%	0.02528	+4.72%	0.0787	✓	1.73
2026-06-23	oos	0.02557	0.025635	+0.25%	0.02414	-5.59%	0.0130	✗	1.75
2026-06-22	oos	0.029675	0.029657	-0.06%	0.02557	-13.83%	0.1136	✓	1.68
2026-06-21	oos	0.03032	0.0303	-0.07%	0.029675	-2.13%	0.0399	✓	1.69
2026-06-20	oos	0.03034	0.030283	-0.19%	0.03032	-0.07%	0.0280	✗	1.73
2026-06-19	oos	0.02745	0.027492	+0.15%	0.03034	+10.53%	0.0797	✓	1.61
2026-06-18	oos	0.02631	0.026387	+0.29%	0.02745	+4.33%	0.0248	✓	1.56
2026-06-17	oos	0.02856	0.028582	+0.08%	0.02631	-7.88%	0.0447	✗	1.55
2026-06-16	oos	0.02937	0.029371	+0.00%	0.02856	-2.76%	0.0004	✓	1.58
2026-06-15	oos	0.02962	0.029619	-0.00%	0.02937	-0.84%	0.0075	✗	1.59
2026-06-14	oos	0.03074	0.030745	+0.02%	0.02962	-3.64%	0.0511	✗	1.60
2026-06-13	oos	0.032005	0.032017	+0.04%	0.03074	-3.95%	0.0732	✗	1.66
2026-06-12	oos	0.03101	0.031073	+0.20%	0.032005	+3.21%	0.0073	✓	1.60
2026-06-11	oos	0.03033	0.030425	+0.31%	0.03101	+2.24%	0.0197	✓	1.57
2026-06-10	oos	0.031025	0.031177	+0.49%	0.03033	-2.24%	0.0844	✗	1.68
2026-06-09	oos	0.03148	0.031652	+0.55%	0.031025	-1.45%	0.0135	✗	1.67
2026-06-08	oos	0.0324	0.032571	+0.53%	0.03148	-2.84%	0.0039	✓	1.72
2026-06-07	oos	0.03466	0.034823	+0.47%	0.0324	-6.52%	0.0656	✗	1.73
2026-06-06	oos	0.03785	0.037953	+0.27%	0.03466	-8.43%	0.1793	✗	2.24
2026-06-05	oos	0.02799	0.028297	+1.10%	0.03785	+35.23%	0.2969	✓	2.04
2026-06-04	oos	0.03417	0.034436	+0.78%	0.02799	-18.09%	0.1628	✗	1.00
2026-06-03	oos	0.03762	0.037894	+0.73%	0.03417	-9.17%	0.0998	✗	1.00
2026-06-02	oos	0.03679	0.037083	+0.80%	0.03762	+2.26%	0.0544	✓	1.00
2026-06-01	oos	0.04181	0.042005	+0.47%	0.03679	-12.01%	0.0650	✗	1.00
2026-05-31	oos	0.05	0.04991	-0.18%	0.04181	-16.38%	0.1459	✓	1.00
2026-05-30	oos	0.06753	0.064912	-3.88%	0.05	-25.96%	0.2584	✓	1.00
2026-05-29	oos	0.03825	0.038657	+1.06%	0.06753	+76.55%	0.5524	✓	1.00
2026-05-28	oos	0.03677	0.037246	+1.29%	0.03825	+4.03%	0.0286	✓	1.00
2026-05-27	oos	0.03918	0.03967	+1.25%	0.03677	-6.15%	0.0651	✗	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.04436	0.044818	+1.03%	0.03918	-11.68%	0.1143	✗	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.051465	0.051808	+0.67%	0.04436	-13.81%	0.1366	✗	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.05471	0.055036	+0.60%	0.051465	-5.93%	0.0706	✗	1.00
2026-05-23	oos	0.05338	0.053829	+0.84%	0.05471	+2.49%	0.0120	✓	1.00
2026-05-22	oos	0.056	0.056441	+0.79%	0.05338	-4.68%	0.0716	✗	1.00
2026-05-21	oos	0.053555	0.054133	+1.08%	0.056	+4.57%	0.0614	✓	1.00
2026-05-20	oos	0.05371	0.05435	+1.19%	0.053555	-0.29%	0.0157	✗	1.00
2026-05-19	oos	0.062095	0.062652	+0.90%	0.05371	-13.50%	0.1632	✗	1.00
2026-05-18	oos	0.061165	0.061783	+1.01%	0.062095	+1.52%	0.0073	✓	1.00
2026-05-17	oos	0.07421	0.074611	+0.54%	0.061165	-17.58%	0.1927	✗	1.00
2026-05-16	oos	0.0765	0.076899	+0.52%	0.07421	-2.99%	0.0266	✗	1.00
2026-05-15	oos	0.09405	0.093953	-0.10%	0.0765	-18.66%	0.1934	✓	1.00