KAIO

KAIO · Ethereum · gru_s2

token id: #324
symbol: KAIO
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0x00bac91fd8f5b4a0dc03c8021139b76f6549ee7e
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-06
predictions: 480

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +30d

assessed

130

of 160 predictions shown

direction hit

58.5%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.4247

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0068

actual -0.2225

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.030038	0.027232	-9.34%	–	pending	–	–	0.02
2026-10-20	oos	0.030499	0.027501	-9.83%	–	pending	–	–	-0.00
2026-10-19	oos	0.029365	0.02647	-9.86%	–	pending	–	–	-0.01
2026-10-18	oos	0.029598	0.02686	-9.25%	–	pending	–	–	-0.09
2026-10-17	oos	0.034899	0.031708	-9.14%	–	pending	–	–	-0.08
2026-10-16	oos	0.036292	0.032984	-9.11%	–	pending	–	–	-0.08
2026-10-15	oos	0.03372	0.030839	-8.54%	–	pending	–	–	-0.08
2026-10-14	oos	0.031919	0.029242	-8.39%	–	pending	–	–	-0.08
2026-10-13	oos	0.028875	0.026606	-7.85%	–	pending	–	–	-0.01
2026-10-12	oos	0.027404	0.025186	-8.09%	–	pending	–	–	-0.01
2026-10-11	oos	0.025037	0.023099	-7.74%	–	pending	–	–	0.09
2026-10-10	oos	0.025012	0.023043	-7.87%	–	pending	–	–	0.11
2026-10-09	oos	0.025199	0.023204	-7.92%	–	pending	–	–	0.11
2026-10-08	oos	0.024821	0.022836	-8.00%	–	pending	–	–	0.11
2026-10-07	oos	0.020707	0.019361	-6.50%	–	pending	–	–	0.23
2026-10-06	oos	0.022712	0.02111	-7.05%	–	pending	–	–	0.16
2026-10-05	oos	0.026838	0.024515	-8.65%	–	pending	–	–	0.16
2026-10-04	oos	0.020323	0.018973	-6.64%	–	pending	–	–	0.27
2026-10-03	oos	0.019305	0.018284	-5.29%	–	pending	–	–	0.25
2026-10-02	oos	0.022008	0.020652	-6.16%	–	pending	–	–	0.26
2026-10-01	oos	0.021486	0.020134	-6.29%	–	pending	–	–	0.26
2026-09-30	oos	0.024146	0.022544	-6.64%	–	pending	–	–	0.27
2026-09-29	oos	0.026617	0.024626	-7.48%	–	pending	–	–	0.25
2026-09-28	oos	0.033197	0.030019	-9.57%	–	pending	–	–	0.21
2026-09-27	oos	0.014683	0.014138	-3.71%	–	pending	–	–	0.65
2026-09-26	oos	0.01501	0.014389	-4.14%	–	pending	–	–	0.65
2026-09-25	oos	0.013481	0.013108	-2.77%	–	pending	–	–	0.64
2026-09-24	oos	0.01323	0.012892	-2.56%	–	pending	–	–	0.65
2026-09-23	oos	0.01364	0.013252	-2.85%	–	pending	–	–	0.65
2026-09-22	oos	0.013553	0.01319	-2.68%	–	pending	–	–	0.62
2026-09-21	oos	0.01374	0.013357	-2.79%	0.030038	+118.62%	0.8404	✗	0.65
2026-09-20	oos	0.01351	0.013146	-2.70%	0.030499	+125.75%	0.8251	✗	0.76
2026-09-19	oos	0.013822	0.013376	-3.22%	0.029365	+112.46%	0.7807	✗	0.75
2026-09-18	oos	0.01351	0.013015	-3.67%	0.029598	+119.08%	0.8113	✗	0.74
2026-09-17	oos	0.013894	0.013058	-6.02%	0.034899	+151.18%	0.9272	✗	0.87
2026-09-16	oos	0.013951	0.013126	-5.92%	0.036292	+160.14%	0.9569	✗	0.88
2026-09-15	oos	0.013095	0.012377	-5.48%	0.03372	+157.49%	0.9264	✗	0.91
2026-09-14	oos	0.013015	0.012398	-4.74%	0.031919	+145.24%	0.9046	✗	0.97
2026-09-13	oos	0.013244	0.012603	-4.84%	0.028875	+118.02%	0.7521	✗	0.97
2026-09-12	oos	0.01399	0.013351	-4.57%	0.027404	+95.89%	0.6651	✗	0.96
2026-09-11	oos	0.013969	0.013433	-3.83%	0.025037	+79.24%	0.5477	✗	0.93
2026-09-10	oos	0.013893	0.013474	-3.01%	0.025012	+80.03%	0.5433	✗	0.94
2026-09-09	oos	0.013968	0.013699	-1.93%	0.025199	+80.41%	0.5587	✗	0.96
2026-09-08	oos	0.014179	0.014043	-0.96%	0.024821	+75.06%	0.5324	✗	0.92
2026-09-07	oos	0.014925	0.014911	-0.09%	0.020707	+38.74%	0.2817	✗	0.91
2026-09-06	oos	0.015738	0.015825	+0.55%	0.022712	+44.31%	0.3056	✓	0.89
2026-09-05	oos	0.015695	0.015899	+1.30%	0.026838	+71.00%	0.4593	✓	0.90
2026-09-04	oos	0.016369	0.016657	+1.76%	0.020323	+24.16%	0.1349	✓	0.78
2026-09-03	oos	0.016792	0.017223	+2.57%	0.019305	+14.97%	0.0838	✓	0.72
2026-09-02	oos	0.0174	0.01764	+1.38%	0.022008	+26.48%	0.1296	✓	1.03
2026-09-01	oos	0.017791	0.018064	+1.53%	0.021486	+20.77%	0.0777	✓	1.04
2026-08-31	oos	0.018144	0.018425	+1.55%	0.024146	+33.08%	0.2114	✓	0.96
2026-08-30	oos	0.017735	0.018085	+1.98%	0.026617	+50.08%	0.3091	✓	1.04
2026-08-29	oos	0.017556	0.017841	+1.62%	0.033197	+89.09%	0.5464	✓	1.15
2026-08-28	oos	0.017912	0.017959	+0.26%	0.014683	-18.02%	0.2976	✗	1.18
2026-08-27	oos	0.01779	0.017851	+0.34%	0.01501	-15.63%	0.2382	✗	1.29
2026-08-26	oos	0.017253	0.017319	+0.38%	0.013481	-21.86%	0.3299	✗	1.28
2026-08-25	oos	0.018184	0.018181	-0.02%	0.01323	-27.24%	0.4111	✓	1.30
2026-08-24	oos	0.018718	0.018803	+0.45%	0.01364	-27.13%	0.4095	✗	1.34
2026-08-23	oos	0.020346	0.020293	-0.26%	0.013553	-33.39%	0.5514	✓	1.43
2026-08-22	oos	0.0182	0.018359	+0.87%	0.01374	-24.51%	0.4533	✗	1.40
2026-08-21	oos	0.017552	0.017886	+1.91%	0.01351	-23.03%	0.3315	✗	1.43
2026-08-20	oos	0.017291	0.017406	+0.66%	0.013822	-20.07%	0.3961	✗	1.55
2026-08-19	oos	0.016853	0.016611	-1.44%	0.01351	-19.83%	0.4446	✓	1.54
2026-08-18	oos	0.015957	0.015606	-2.20%	0.013894	-12.93%	0.3887	✓	1.64
2026-08-17	oos	0.01766	0.017112	-3.10%	0.013951	-21.00%	0.4707	✓	1.60
2026-08-16	oos	0.01777	0.017148	-3.50%	0.013095	-26.31%	0.5723	✓	1.64
2026-08-15	oos	0.017905	0.017324	-3.24%	0.013015	-27.31%	0.6442	✓	1.66
2026-08-14	oos	0.017855	0.017331	-2.93%	0.013244	-25.82%	0.5986	✓	1.66
2026-08-13	oos	0.017485	0.017107	-2.16%	0.01399	-19.99%	0.5423	✓	1.73
2026-08-12	oos	0.01726	0.016957	-1.76%	0.013969	-19.07%	0.5037	✓	1.57
2026-08-11	oos	0.01843	0.017914	-2.80%	0.013893	-24.62%	0.5424	✓	1.55
2026-08-10	oos	0.018025	0.017634	-2.17%	0.013968	-22.51%	0.5591	✓	1.61
2026-08-09	oos	0.01724	0.017104	-0.79%	0.014179	-17.76%	0.5116	✓	1.70
2026-08-08	oos	0.017	0.016942	-0.34%	0.014925	-12.21%	0.4628	✓	1.70
2026-08-07	oos	0.01781	0.01755	-1.46%	0.015738	-11.63%	0.4746	✓	1.71
2026-08-06	oos	0.01824	0.017884	-1.95%	0.015695	-13.95%	0.5029	✓	1.72
2026-08-05	oos	0.018525	0.017985	-2.92%	0.016369	-11.64%	0.4509	✓	1.70
2026-08-04	oos	0.018385	0.017723	-3.60%	0.016792	-8.67%	0.4945	✓	1.85
2026-08-03	oos	0.01727	0.01679	-2.78%	0.0174	+0.75%	0.3241	✓	1.82
2026-08-02	oos	0.01601	0.01574	-1.69%	0.017791	+11.12%	0.2369	✓	1.82
2026-08-01	oos	0.014815	0.014797	-0.12%	0.018144	+22.47%	0.1949	✓	1.78
2026-07-31	oos	0.015205	0.01509	-0.75%	0.017735	+16.64%	0.2152	✓	1.78
2026-07-30	oos	0.017	0.016578	-2.48%	0.017556	+3.27%	0.2733	✓	1.74
2026-07-29	oos	0.01538	0.015109	-1.76%	0.017912	+16.46%	0.1630	✓	1.69
2026-07-28	oos	0.01431	0.014208	-0.71%	0.01779	+24.32%	0.1587	✓	1.68
2026-07-27	oos	0.01352	0.013588	+0.50%	0.017253	+27.61%	0.1192	✗	1.66
2026-07-26	oos	0.0173	0.016804	-2.87%	0.018184	+5.11%	0.1997	✓	1.52
2026-07-25	oos	0.01305	0.013256	+1.58%	0.018718	+43.44%	0.0736	✓	1.32
2026-07-24	oos	0.014115	0.014272	+1.11%	0.020346	+44.14%	0.0975	✓	1.33
2026-07-23	oos	0.013615	0.013896	+2.06%	0.0182	+33.68%	0.0380	✓	1.37
2026-07-22	oos	0.01306	0.013517	+3.50%	0.017552	+34.40%	0.0209	✓	1.41
2026-07-21	oos	0.013	0.013633	+4.87%	0.017291	+33.01%	0.1053	✓	1.42
2026-07-20	oos	0.01512	0.015895	+5.13%	0.016853	+11.46%	0.0355	✓	1.55
2026-07-19	oos	0.015995	0.016901	+5.66%	0.015957	-0.24%	0.0575	✗	1.56
2026-07-18	oos	0.01561	0.016543	+5.98%	0.01766	+13.13%	0.0730	✓	1.56
2026-07-17	oos	0.016175	0.017117	+5.82%	0.01777	+9.86%	0.0638	✓	1.58
2026-07-16	oos	0.01902	0.019571	+2.90%	0.017905	-5.86%	0.0699	✗	1.61
2026-07-15	oos	0.01949	0.02002	+2.72%	0.017855	-8.39%	0.0703	✗	1.62
2026-07-14	oos	0.02091	0.021338	+2.05%	0.017485	-16.38%	0.1598	✗	1.62
2026-07-13	oos	0.020185	0.020596	+2.03%	0.01726	-14.49%	0.2064	✗	1.63
2026-07-12	oos	0.02075	0.021223	+2.28%	0.01843	-11.18%	0.1357	✗	1.66
2026-07-11	oos	0.02053	0.021033	+2.45%	0.018025	-12.20%	0.1579	✗	1.66
2026-07-10	oos	0.02095	0.021404	+2.17%	0.01724	-17.71%	0.2349	✗	1.66
2026-07-09	oos	0.020245	0.0208	+2.74%	0.017	-16.03%	0.2458	✗	1.63
2026-07-08	oos	0.019995	0.020653	+3.29%	0.01781	-10.93%	0.2155	✗	1.61
2026-07-07	oos	0.021025	0.021667	+3.05%	0.01824	-13.25%	0.1961	✗	1.62
2026-07-06	oos	0.02209	0.02267	+2.63%	0.018525	-16.14%	0.2170	✗	1.62
2026-07-05	oos	0.02136	0.02209	+3.42%	0.018385	-13.93%	0.1952	✗	1.59
2026-07-04	oos	0.020275	0.021533	+6.21%	0.01727	-14.82%	0.2300	✗	1.55
2026-07-03	oos	0.02124	0.023427	+10.30%	0.01601	-24.62%	0.4051	✗	1.57
2026-07-02	oos	0.022865	0.026283	+14.95%	0.014815	-35.21%	0.6071	✗	1.64
2026-07-01	oos	0.02291	0.026779	+16.89%	0.015205	-33.63%	0.6435	✗	1.66
2026-06-30	oos	0.02383	0.02623	+10.07%	0.017	-28.66%	0.6087	✗	1.74
2026-06-29	oos	0.026745	0.029286	+9.50%	0.01538	-42.49%	0.7460	✗	1.69
2026-06-28	oos	0.026145	0.028231	+7.98%	0.01431	-45.27%	0.7976	✗	1.67
2026-06-27	oos	0.025275	0.0274	+8.41%	0.01352	-46.51%	0.8081	✗	1.67
2026-06-26	oos	0.02648	0.028401	+7.26%	0.0173	-34.67%	0.6387	✗	1.68
2026-06-25	oos	0.02528	0.027112	+7.25%	0.01305	-48.38%	0.8525	✗	1.64
2026-06-24	oos	0.02414	0.025982	+7.63%	0.014115	-41.53%	0.6959	✗	1.73
2026-06-23	oos	0.02557	0.026887	+5.15%	0.013615	-46.75%	0.7466	✗	1.75
2026-06-22	oos	0.029675	0.029651	-0.08%	0.01306	-55.99%	0.8753	✓	1.68
2026-06-21	oos	0.03032	0.030908	+1.94%	0.013	-57.12%	0.9517	✗	1.69
2026-06-20	oos	0.03034	0.029989	-1.16%	0.01512	-50.16%	0.7112	✓	1.73
2026-06-19	oos	0.02745	0.027714	+0.96%	0.015995	-41.73%	0.5800	✗	1.61
2026-06-18	oos	0.02631	0.026964	+2.49%	0.01561	-40.67%	0.5934	✗	1.56
2026-06-17	oos	0.02856	0.027984	-2.02%	0.016175	-43.36%	0.5348	✓	1.55
2026-06-16	oos	0.02937	0.028348	-3.48%	0.01902	-35.24%	0.3540	✓	1.58
2026-06-15	oos	0.02962	0.028453	-3.94%	0.01949	-34.20%	0.3405	✓	1.59
2026-06-14	oos	0.03074	0.029544	-3.89%	0.02091	-31.98%	0.3281	✓	1.60
2026-06-13	oos	0.032005	0.031083	-2.88%	0.020185	-36.93%	0.3751	✓	1.66
2026-06-12	oos	0.03101	0.030513	-1.60%	0.02075	-33.09%	0.3907	✓	1.60
2026-06-11	oos	0.03033	0.029795	-1.76%	0.02053	-32.31%	0.3776	✓	1.57
2026-06-10	oos	0.031025	0.031509	+1.56%	0.02095	-32.47%	0.4798	✗	1.68
2026-06-09	oos	0.03148	0.031597	+0.37%	0.020245	-35.69%	0.4850	✗	1.67
2026-06-08	oos	0.0324	0.031508	-2.75%	0.019995	-38.29%	0.4321	✓	1.72
2026-06-07	oos	0.03466	0.032954	-4.92%	0.021025	-39.34%	0.4500	✓	1.73
2026-06-06	oos	0.03785	0.035985	-4.93%	0.02209	-41.64%	0.6011	✓	2.24
2026-06-05	oos	0.02799	0.028105	+0.41%	0.02136	-23.69%	0.3578	✗	2.04
2026-06-04	oos	0.03417	0.031943	-6.52%	0.020275	-40.66%	0.4432	✓	1.00
2026-06-03	oos	0.03762	0.034583	-8.07%	0.02124	-43.54%	0.4635	✓	1.00
2026-06-02	oos	0.03679	0.033856	-7.98%	0.022865	-37.85%	0.3117	✓	1.00
2026-06-01	oos	0.04181	0.038157	-8.74%	0.02291	-45.20%	0.3367	✓	1.00
2026-05-31	oos	0.05	0.045021	-9.96%	0.02383	-52.34%	0.4073	✓	1.00
2026-05-30	oos	0.06753	0.057968	-14.16%	0.026745	-60.40%	0.5696	✓	1.00
2026-05-29	oos	0.03825	0.036253	-5.22%	0.026145	-31.65%	0.1169	✓	1.00
2026-05-28	oos	0.03677	0.035177	-4.33%	0.025275	-31.26%	0.1264	✓	1.00
2026-05-27	oos	0.03918	0.03758	-4.08%	0.02648	-32.41%	0.1361	✓	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.04436	0.042055	-5.20%	0.02528	-43.01%	0.2699	✓	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.051465	0.047843	-7.04%	0.02414	-53.09%	0.4476	✓	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.05471	0.050981	-6.82%	0.02557	-53.26%	0.4840	✓	1.00
2026-05-23	oos	0.05338	0.050313	-5.74%	0.029675	-44.41%	0.3468	✓	1.00
2026-05-22	oos	0.056	0.053003	-5.35%	0.03032	-45.86%	0.3820	✓	1.00
2026-05-21	oos	0.053555	0.050758	-5.22%	0.03034	-43.35%	0.3261	✓	1.00
2026-05-20	oos	0.05371	0.051398	-4.30%	0.02745	-48.89%	0.4279	✓	1.00
2026-05-19	oos	0.062095	0.058419	-5.92%	0.02631	-57.63%	0.5981	✓	1.00
2026-05-18	oos	0.061165	0.058215	-4.82%	0.02856	-53.31%	0.5349	✓	1.00
2026-05-17	oos	0.07421	0.068527	-7.66%	0.02937	-60.42%	0.6820	✓	1.00
2026-05-16	oos	0.0765	0.070766	-7.50%	0.02962	-61.28%	0.7067	✓	1.00
2026-05-15	oos	0.09405	0.086065	-8.49%	0.03074	-67.32%	0.8445	✓	1.00