GENIUS

Genius · Binance Smart Chain · gru_s2

token id: #408
symbol: GENIUS
variant: –
chain: Binance Smart Chain
address: 0x1f12b85aac097e43aa1555b2881e98a51090e9a6
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-15
predictions: 453

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +7d

assessed

144

of 151 predictions shown

direction hit

56.9%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0859

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0090

actual -0.0284

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.3071	0.301682	-1.76%	–	pending	–	–	-0.10
2026-10-20	oos	0.3057	0.299875	-1.91%	–	pending	–	–	-0.10
2026-10-19	oos	0.30015	0.296216	-1.31%	–	pending	–	–	-0.10
2026-10-18	oos	0.3024	0.300077	-0.77%	–	pending	–	–	-0.04
2026-10-17	oos	0.29965	0.29959	-0.02%	–	pending	–	–	-0.04
2026-10-16	oos	0.3056	0.306269	+0.22%	–	pending	–	–	-0.04
2026-10-15	oos	0.30045	0.301287	+0.28%	–	pending	–	–	-0.04
2026-10-14	oos	0.31885	0.318004	-0.27%	0.3071	-3.69%	0.0344	✓	-0.03
2026-10-13	oos	0.3176	0.315878	-0.54%	0.3057	-3.75%	0.0328	✓	-0.03
2026-10-12	oos	0.32945	0.326919	-0.77%	0.30015	-8.89%	0.0854	✓	-0.02
2026-10-11	oos	0.3359	0.332135	-1.12%	0.3024	-9.97%	0.0941	✓	-0.02
2026-10-10	oos	0.346	0.341099	-1.42%	0.29965	-13.40%	0.1293	✓	0.01
2026-10-09	oos	0.3428	0.337986	-1.40%	0.3056	-10.85%	0.1005	✓	0.01
2026-10-08	oos	0.3213	0.318639	-0.83%	0.30045	-6.49%	0.0588	✓	0.00
2026-10-07	oos	0.324	0.320252	-1.16%	0.31885	-1.59%	0.0044	✓	-0.00
2026-10-06	oos	0.32765	0.319351	-2.53%	0.3176	-3.07%	0.0060	✓	-0.02
2026-10-05	oos	0.32845	0.317525	-3.33%	0.32945	+0.30%	0.0374	✗	0.01
2026-10-04	oos	0.31975	0.308372	-3.56%	0.3359	+5.05%	0.0863	✗	0.02
2026-10-03	oos	0.32535	0.313831	-3.54%	0.346	+6.35%	0.0982	✗	0.03
2026-10-02	oos	0.32695	0.315076	-3.63%	0.3428	+4.85%	0.0850	✗	0.03
2026-10-01	oos	0.31835	0.308546	-3.08%	0.3213	+0.93%	0.0418	✗	0.04
2026-09-30	oos	0.3226	0.315332	-2.25%	0.324	+0.43%	0.0272	✗	0.04
2026-09-29	oos	0.31945	0.314182	-1.65%	0.32765	+2.57%	0.0413	✗	0.03
2026-09-28	oos	0.3168	0.313308	-1.10%	0.32845	+3.68%	0.0464	✗	0.03
2026-09-27	oos	0.3292	0.327648	-0.47%	0.31975	-2.87%	0.0247	✓	0.01
2026-09-26	oos	0.34275	0.342315	-0.13%	0.32535	-5.08%	0.0509	✓	0.02
2026-09-25	oos	0.349	0.349534	+0.15%	0.32695	-6.32%	0.0669	✗	0.01
2026-09-24	oos	0.35475	0.356311	+0.44%	0.31835	-10.26%	0.1127	✗	0.02
2026-09-23	oos	0.3426	0.345378	+0.81%	0.3226	-5.84%	0.0680	✗	0.02
2026-09-22	oos	0.35245	0.356039	+1.02%	0.31945	-9.36%	0.1090	✗	-0.02
2026-09-21	oos	0.35885	0.36217	+0.93%	0.3168	-11.72%	0.1339	✗	-0.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.3747	0.373202	-0.40%	0.3292	-12.14%	0.1290	✓	0.09
2026-09-19	oos	0.34085	0.341502	+0.19%	0.34275	+0.56%	0.0001	✓	0.09
2026-09-18	oos	0.3402	0.340004	-0.06%	0.349	+2.59%	0.0223	✗	0.10
2026-09-17	oos	0.3605	0.356707	-1.05%	0.35475	-1.60%	0.0267	✓	0.21
2026-09-16	oos	0.3024	0.302608	+0.07%	0.3426	+13.29%	0.1009	✓	0.23
2026-09-15	oos	0.3036	0.303677	+0.03%	0.35245	+16.09%	0.1087	✓	0.31
2026-09-14	oos	0.2988	0.299154	+0.12%	0.35885	+20.10%	0.1460	✓	0.35
2026-09-13	oos	0.29545	0.295536	+0.03%	0.3747	+26.82%	0.2180	✓	0.35
2026-09-12	oos	0.29705	0.296844	-0.07%	0.34085	+14.74%	0.1219	✗	0.33
2026-09-11	oos	0.30415	0.303996	-0.05%	0.3402	+11.85%	0.0950	✗	0.38
2026-09-10	oos	0.2871	0.288775	+0.58%	0.3605	+25.57%	0.2227	✓	0.36
2026-09-09	oos	0.28855	0.292296	+1.30%	0.3024	+4.80%	0.0442	✓	0.37
2026-09-08	oos	0.30395	0.307493	+1.17%	0.3036	-0.12%	0.0006	✓	0.36
2026-09-07	oos	0.2922	0.298429	+2.13%	0.2988	+2.26%	0.0055	✓	0.37
2026-09-06	oos	0.2962	0.304547	+2.82%	0.29545	-0.25%	0.0136	✓	0.37
2026-09-05	oos	0.30035	0.308717	+2.79%	0.29705	-1.10%	0.0263	✓	0.37
2026-09-04	oos	0.2933	0.303838	+3.59%	0.30415	+3.70%	0.0172	✓	0.52
2026-09-03	oos	0.29125	0.304074	+4.40%	0.2871	-1.42%	0.0250	✓	0.54
2026-09-02	oos	0.2859	0.297175	+3.94%	0.28855	+0.93%	0.0356	✓	0.49
2026-09-01	oos	0.2773	0.28935	+4.35%	0.30395	+9.61%	0.0424	✓	0.51
2026-08-31	oos	0.2837	0.295359	+4.11%	0.2922	+3.00%	0.0144	✓	0.54
2026-08-30	oos	0.28175	0.291762	+3.55%	0.2962	+5.13%	0.0070	✓	0.24
2026-08-29	oos	0.2845	0.293599	+3.20%	0.30035	+5.57%	0.0179	✓	0.24
2026-08-28	oos	0.28265	0.291796	+3.24%	0.2933	+3.77%	0.0005	✓	0.24
2026-08-27	oos	0.3045	0.315975	+3.77%	0.29125	-4.35%	0.0839	✗	0.20
2026-08-26	oos	0.30725	0.317597	+3.37%	0.2859	-6.95%	0.1002	✗	0.22
2026-08-25	oos	0.3083	0.317717	+3.05%	0.2773	-10.06%	0.1323	✗	0.26
2026-08-24	oos	0.3126	0.319974	+2.36%	0.2837	-9.25%	0.1192	✗	0.22
2026-08-23	oos	0.324	0.329495	+1.70%	0.28175	-13.04%	0.1564	✗	0.20
2026-08-22	oos	0.3344	0.338524	+1.23%	0.2845	-14.92%	0.1768	✗	0.20
2026-08-21	oos	0.34135	0.344962	+1.06%	0.28265	-17.20%	0.1980	✗	0.20
2026-08-20	oos	0.3111	0.316686	+1.80%	0.3045	-2.12%	0.0446	✗	0.06
2026-08-19	oos	0.3291	0.330715	+0.49%	0.30725	-6.64%	0.0554	✗	-0.14
2026-08-18	oos	0.36445	0.348913	-4.26%	0.3083	-15.41%	0.1403	✓	0.09
2026-08-17	oos	0.36775	0.353162	-3.97%	0.3126	-15.00%	0.1422	✓	0.10
2026-08-16	oos	0.36445	0.354996	-2.59%	0.324	-11.10%	0.1110	✓	0.09
2026-08-15	oos	0.3723	0.362445	-2.65%	0.3344	-10.18%	0.0978	✓	0.09
2026-08-14	oos	0.3686	0.360101	-2.31%	0.34135	-7.39%	0.0774	✓	0.11
2026-08-13	oos	0.3931	0.383427	-2.46%	0.3111	-20.86%	0.2212	✓	0.09
2026-08-12	oos	0.376	0.368558	-1.98%	0.3291	-12.47%	0.1205	✓	0.08
2026-08-11	oos	0.3729	0.366515	-1.71%	0.36445	-2.27%	0.0071	✓	0.08
2026-08-10	oos	0.36395	0.35859	-1.47%	0.36775	+1.04%	0.0245	✗	0.09
2026-08-09	oos	0.34505	0.33941	-1.63%	0.36445	+5.62%	0.0747	✗	0.11
2026-08-08	oos	0.34625	0.338517	-2.23%	0.3723	+7.52%	0.0984	✗	0.11
2026-08-07	oos	0.3416	0.33289	-2.55%	0.3686	+7.90%	0.1052	✗	0.11
2026-08-06	oos	0.33865	0.331415	-2.14%	0.3931	+16.08%	0.1721	✗	0.10
2026-08-05	oos	0.3583	0.345301	-3.63%	0.376	+4.94%	0.0870	✗	0.10
2026-08-04	oos	0.34955	0.337412	-3.47%	0.3729	+6.68%	0.1007	✗	0.09
2026-08-03	oos	0.3431	0.332216	-3.17%	0.36395	+6.08%	0.0907	✗	0.08
2026-08-02	oos	0.32795	0.315071	-3.93%	0.34505	+5.21%	0.0893	✗	0.07
2026-08-01	oos	0.3215	0.311199	-3.20%	0.34625	+7.70%	0.1046	✗	0.06
2026-07-31	oos	0.3287	0.316294	-3.77%	0.3416	+3.92%	0.0749	✗	0.06
2026-07-30	oos	0.3309	0.32371	-2.17%	0.33865	+2.34%	0.0456	✗	0.06
2026-07-29	oos	0.32935	0.320011	-2.84%	0.3583	+8.79%	0.1124	✗	0.06
2026-07-28	oos	0.35	0.339257	-3.07%	0.34955	-0.13%	0.0297	✓	0.07
2026-07-27	oos	0.36775	0.356062	-3.18%	0.3431	-6.70%	0.0368	✓	0.08
2026-07-26	oos	0.37585	0.367225	-2.29%	0.32795	-12.74%	0.1114	✓	0.06
2026-07-25	oos	0.37075	0.358111	-3.41%	0.3215	-13.28%	0.1067	✓	0.05
2026-07-24	oos	0.3617	0.348021	-3.78%	0.3287	-9.12%	0.0563	✓	0.04
2026-07-23	oos	0.3527	0.339328	-3.79%	0.3309	-6.18%	0.0249	✓	0.06
2026-07-22	oos	0.35555	0.342177	-3.76%	0.32935	-7.37%	0.0364	✓	0.05
2026-07-21	oos	0.36335	0.350328	-3.58%	0.35	-3.67%	0.0012	✓	0.05
2026-07-20	oos	0.3239	0.317974	-1.83%	0.36775	+13.54%	0.1441	✗	-0.06
2026-07-19	oos	0.31675	0.313232	-1.11%	0.37585	+18.66%	0.1830	✗	-0.07
2026-07-18	oos	0.31925	0.318078	-0.37%	0.37075	+16.13%	0.1527	✗	-0.07
2026-07-17	oos	0.3248	0.323297	-0.46%	0.3617	+11.36%	0.1124	✗	-0.06
2026-07-16	oos	0.33275	0.331828	-0.28%	0.3527	+6.00%	0.0622	✗	-0.06
2026-07-15	oos	0.3329	0.334929	+0.61%	0.35555	+6.80%	0.0610	✓	-0.06
2026-07-14	oos	0.33125	0.334172	+0.88%	0.36335	+9.69%	0.0850	✓	-0.06
2026-07-13	oos	0.32705	0.327395	+0.11%	0.3239	-0.96%	0.0060	✗	-0.10
2026-07-12	oos	0.3384	0.339745	+0.40%	0.31675	-6.40%	0.0682	✗	-0.13
2026-07-11	oos	0.3452	0.346552	+0.39%	0.31925	-7.52%	0.0800	✗	-0.13
2026-07-10	oos	0.34765	0.349449	+0.52%	0.3248	-6.57%	0.0736	✗	-0.13
2026-07-09	oos	0.3484	0.349507	+0.32%	0.33275	-4.49%	0.0479	✗	-0.13
2026-07-08	oos	0.35555	0.355786	+0.07%	0.3329	-6.37%	0.0617	✗	-0.12
2026-07-07	oos	0.3748	0.37437	-0.11%	0.33125	-11.62%	0.1184	✓	-0.15
2026-07-06	oos	0.3765	0.37599	-0.14%	0.32705	-13.13%	0.1437	✓	-0.15
2026-07-05	oos	0.38175	0.380834	-0.24%	0.3384	-11.36%	0.1178	✓	-0.15
2026-07-04	oos	0.3877	0.386249	-0.37%	0.3452	-10.96%	0.1108	✓	-0.14
2026-07-03	oos	0.384	0.382308	-0.44%	0.34765	-9.47%	0.0911	✓	-0.16
2026-07-02	oos	0.3888	0.384938	-0.99%	0.3484	-10.39%	0.0957	✓	-0.15
2026-07-01	oos	0.3947	0.383109	-2.94%	0.35555	-9.92%	0.0695	✓	-0.14
2026-06-30	oos	0.3947	0.373138	-5.46%	0.3748	-5.04%	0.0165	✓	-0.15
2026-06-29	oos	0.39385	0.37853	-3.89%	0.3765	-4.41%	0.0038	✓	-0.15
2026-06-28	oos	0.3783	0.365304	-3.44%	0.38175	+0.91%	0.0573	✗	-0.20
2026-06-27	oos	0.37735	0.367578	-2.59%	0.3877	+2.74%	0.0635	✗	-0.20
2026-06-26	oos	0.39065	0.381878	-2.25%	0.384	-1.70%	0.0133	✓	-0.19
2026-06-25	oos	0.3913	0.384846	-1.65%	0.3888	-0.64%	0.0159	✓	-0.19
2026-06-24	oos	0.3809	0.377933	-0.78%	0.3947	+3.62%	0.0406	✗	-0.17
2026-06-23	oos	0.3911	0.388572	-0.65%	0.3947	+0.92%	0.0021	✓	-0.20
2026-06-22	oos	0.39995	0.397517	-0.61%	0.39385	-1.53%	0.0226	✓	-0.22
2026-06-21	oos	0.411	0.40853	-0.60%	0.3783	-7.96%	0.0890	✓	-0.20
2026-06-20	oos	0.4169	0.414361	-0.61%	0.37735	-9.49%	0.1077	✓	-0.21
2026-06-19	oos	0.40235	0.400709	-0.41%	0.39065	-2.91%	0.0398	✓	-0.26
2026-06-18	oos	0.3724	0.372195	-0.05%	0.3913	+5.08%	0.0319	✗	-0.35
2026-06-17	oos	0.415	0.413276	-0.42%	0.3809	-8.22%	0.1085	✓	-0.49
2026-06-16	oos	0.4273	0.424754	-0.60%	0.3911	-8.47%	0.1063	✓	-0.51
2026-06-15	oos	0.4357	0.432559	-0.72%	0.39995	-8.21%	0.0969	✓	-0.52
2026-06-14	oos	0.4935	0.488401	-1.03%	0.411	-16.72%	0.1878	✓	-0.40
2026-06-13	oos	0.44765	0.444078	-0.80%	0.4169	-6.87%	0.0599	✓	1.00
2026-06-12	oos	0.45495	0.451064	-0.85%	0.40235	-11.56%	0.1133	✓	1.00
2026-06-11	oos	0.4724	0.467164	-1.11%	0.3724	-21.17%	0.2159	✓	1.00
2026-06-10	oos	0.4711	0.465572	-1.17%	0.415	-11.91%	0.1626	✓	1.00
2026-06-09	oos	0.4527	0.447592	-1.13%	0.4273	-5.61%	0.1082	✓	1.00
2026-06-08	oos	0.4637	0.456855	-1.48%	0.4357	-6.04%	0.0971	✓	1.00
2026-06-07	oos	0.4677	0.459169	-1.82%	0.4935	+5.52%	0.0348	✗	1.00
2026-06-06	oos	0.4055	0.400123	-1.33%	0.44765	+10.39%	0.0551	✗	1.00
2026-06-05	oos	0.4356	0.42653	-2.08%	0.45495	+4.44%	0.0243	✗	1.00
2026-06-04	oos	0.4301	0.423146	-1.62%	0.4724	+9.83%	0.1139	✗	1.00
2026-06-03	oos	0.4796	0.468923	-2.23%	0.4711	-1.77%	0.0460	✗	1.00
2026-06-02	oos	0.509	0.492774	-3.19%	0.4527	-11.06%	0.0073	✓	1.00
2026-06-01	oos	0.4463	0.432871	-3.01%	0.4637	+3.90%	0.1918	✗	1.00
2026-05-31	oos	0.4511	0.437194	-3.08%	0.4677	+3.68%	0.2178	✗	1.00
2026-05-30	oos	0.47675	0.464435	-2.58%	0.4055	-14.94%	0.0568	✗	1.00
2026-05-29	oos	0.45355	0.445116	-1.86%	0.4356	-3.96%	0.1625	✗	1.00
2026-05-28	oos	0.62785	0.617014	-1.73%	0.4301	-31.50%	0.2193	✓	1.00
2026-05-27	oos	0.71265	0.697502	-2.13%	0.4796	-32.70%	0.2257	✓	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.67035	0.657515	-1.91%	0.509	-24.07%	0.1272	✓	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.6361	0.627158	-1.41%	0.4463	-29.84%	0.2603	✓	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.72305	0.706776	-2.25%	0.4511	-37.61%	0.4038	✓	1.00