GENIUS

Genius · Binance Smart Chain · gru_s2

token id: #408
symbol: GENIUS
variant: –
chain: Binance Smart Chain
address: 0x1f12b85aac097e43aa1555b2881e98a51090e9a6
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-15
predictions: 456

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +30d

assessed

122

of 152 predictions shown

direction hit

82.0%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1148

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0247

actual -0.0868

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.3105	0.30082	-3.12%	–	pending	–	–	-0.08
2026-10-21	oos	0.3103	0.299955	-3.33%	–	pending	–	–	-0.10
2026-10-20	oos	0.3057	0.292783	-4.23%	–	pending	–	–	-0.10
2026-10-19	oos	0.30015	0.288623	-3.84%	–	pending	–	–	-0.10
2026-10-18	oos	0.3024	0.294346	-2.66%	–	pending	–	–	-0.04
2026-10-17	oos	0.29965	0.295438	-1.41%	–	pending	–	–	-0.04
2026-10-16	oos	0.3056	0.303732	-0.61%	–	pending	–	–	-0.04
2026-10-15	oos	0.30045	0.298674	-0.59%	–	pending	–	–	-0.04
2026-10-14	oos	0.31885	0.315052	-1.19%	–	pending	–	–	-0.03
2026-10-13	oos	0.3176	0.312733	-1.53%	–	pending	–	–	-0.03
2026-10-12	oos	0.32945	0.323239	-1.89%	–	pending	–	–	-0.02
2026-10-11	oos	0.3359	0.328153	-2.31%	–	pending	–	–	-0.02
2026-10-10	oos	0.346	0.336801	-2.66%	–	pending	–	–	0.01
2026-10-09	oos	0.3428	0.333245	-2.79%	–	pending	–	–	0.01
2026-10-08	oos	0.3213	0.314586	-2.09%	–	pending	–	–	0.00
2026-10-07	oos	0.324	0.316559	-2.30%	–	pending	–	–	-0.00
2026-10-06	oos	0.32765	0.316929	-3.27%	–	pending	–	–	-0.02
2026-10-05	oos	0.32845	0.316287	-3.70%	–	pending	–	–	0.01
2026-10-04	oos	0.31975	0.306934	-4.01%	–	pending	–	–	0.02
2026-10-03	oos	0.32535	0.314053	-3.47%	–	pending	–	–	0.03
2026-10-02	oos	0.32695	0.317078	-3.02%	–	pending	–	–	0.03
2026-10-01	oos	0.31835	0.31076	-2.38%	–	pending	–	–	0.04
2026-09-30	oos	0.3226	0.318875	-1.15%	–	pending	–	–	0.04
2026-09-29	oos	0.31945	0.317498	-0.61%	–	pending	–	–	0.03
2026-09-28	oos	0.3168	0.31511	-0.53%	–	pending	–	–	0.03
2026-09-27	oos	0.3292	0.327199	-0.61%	–	pending	–	–	0.01
2026-09-26	oos	0.34275	0.340502	-0.66%	–	pending	–	–	0.02
2026-09-25	oos	0.349	0.346757	-0.64%	–	pending	–	–	0.01
2026-09-24	oos	0.35475	0.352002	-0.77%	–	pending	–	–	0.02
2026-09-23	oos	0.3426	0.340019	-0.75%	–	pending	–	–	0.02
2026-09-22	oos	0.35245	0.349657	-0.79%	0.3105	-11.90%	0.1192	✓	-0.02
2026-09-21	oos	0.35885	0.356558	-0.64%	0.3103	-13.53%	0.1390	✓	-0.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.3747	0.371092	-0.96%	0.3057	-18.41%	0.1958	✓	0.09
2026-09-19	oos	0.34085	0.337135	-1.09%	0.30015	-11.94%	0.1169	✓	0.09
2026-09-18	oos	0.3402	0.336083	-1.21%	0.3024	-11.11%	0.1070	✓	0.10
2026-09-17	oos	0.3605	0.361355	+0.24%	0.29965	-16.88%	0.2008	✗	0.21
2026-09-16	oos	0.3024	0.30253	+0.04%	0.3056	+1.06%	0.0053	✗	0.23
2026-09-15	oos	0.3036	0.304411	+0.27%	0.30045	-1.04%	0.0385	✗	0.31
2026-09-14	oos	0.2988	0.296818	-0.66%	0.31885	+6.71%	0.0567	✗	0.35
2026-09-13	oos	0.29545	0.294958	-0.17%	0.3176	+7.50%	0.0463	✗	0.35
2026-09-12	oos	0.29705	0.295081	-0.66%	0.32945	+10.91%	0.0918	✗	0.33
2026-09-11	oos	0.30415	0.30354	-0.20%	0.3359	+10.44%	0.0709	✗	0.38
2026-09-10	oos	0.2871	0.288627	+0.53%	0.346	+20.52%	0.1526	✓	0.36
2026-09-09	oos	0.28855	0.289934	+0.48%	0.3428	+18.80%	0.1480	✓	0.37
2026-09-08	oos	0.30395	0.305366	+0.47%	0.3213	+5.71%	0.0363	✓	0.36
2026-09-07	oos	0.2922	0.295181	+1.02%	0.324	+10.88%	0.0743	✓	0.37
2026-09-06	oos	0.2962	0.300525	+1.46%	0.32765	+10.62%	0.0631	✓	0.37
2026-09-05	oos	0.30035	0.304472	+1.37%	0.32845	+9.36%	0.0491	✓	0.37
2026-09-04	oos	0.2933	0.299898	+2.25%	0.31975	+9.02%	0.0217	✓	0.52
2026-09-03	oos	0.29125	0.302221	+3.77%	0.32535	+11.71%	0.0510	✓	0.54
2026-09-02	oos	0.2859	0.298797	+4.51%	0.32695	+14.36%	0.0467	✓	0.49
2026-09-01	oos	0.2773	0.29472	+6.28%	0.31835	+14.80%	0.0305	✓	0.51
2026-08-31	oos	0.2837	0.304849	+7.45%	0.3226	+13.71%	0.0233	✓	0.54
2026-08-30	oos	0.28175	0.304824	+8.19%	0.31945	+13.38%	0.0290	✓	0.24
2026-08-29	oos	0.2845	0.307498	+8.08%	0.3168	+11.35%	0.0144	✓	0.24
2026-08-28	oos	0.28265	0.305858	+8.21%	0.3292	+16.47%	0.0538	✓	0.24
2026-08-27	oos	0.3045	0.33182	+8.97%	0.34275	+12.56%	0.0224	✓	0.20
2026-08-26	oos	0.30725	0.333273	+8.47%	0.349	+13.59%	0.0322	✓	0.22
2026-08-25	oos	0.3083	0.335265	+8.75%	0.35475	+15.07%	0.0380	✓	0.26
2026-08-24	oos	0.3126	0.342025	+9.41%	0.3426	+9.60%	0.0127	✓	0.22
2026-08-23	oos	0.324	0.353481	+9.10%	0.35245	+8.78%	0.0236	✓	0.20
2026-08-22	oos	0.3344	0.363562	+8.72%	0.35885	+7.31%	0.0358	✓	0.20
2026-08-21	oos	0.34135	0.374664	+9.76%	0.3747	+9.77%	0.0071	✓	0.20
2026-08-20	oos	0.3111	0.330253	+6.16%	0.34085	+9.56%	0.0256	✓	0.06
2026-08-19	oos	0.3291	0.326774	-0.71%	0.3402	+3.37%	0.0616	✗	-0.14
2026-08-18	oos	0.36445	0.348858	-4.28%	0.3605	-1.08%	0.0187	✓	0.09
2026-08-17	oos	0.36775	0.351785	-4.34%	0.3024	-17.77%	0.1679	✓	0.10
2026-08-16	oos	0.36445	0.35286	-3.18%	0.3036	-16.70%	0.1674	✓	0.09
2026-08-15	oos	0.3723	0.359011	-3.57%	0.2988	-19.74%	0.2021	✓	0.09
2026-08-14	oos	0.3686	0.355419	-3.58%	0.29545	-19.85%	0.2066	✓	0.11
2026-08-13	oos	0.3931	0.374758	-4.67%	0.29705	-24.43%	0.2494	✓	0.09
2026-08-12	oos	0.376	0.359913	-4.28%	0.30415	-19.11%	0.1845	✓	0.08
2026-08-11	oos	0.3729	0.357062	-4.25%	0.2871	-23.01%	0.2333	✓	0.08
2026-08-10	oos	0.36395	0.349753	-3.90%	0.28855	-20.72%	0.2096	✓	0.09
2026-08-09	oos	0.34505	0.330988	-4.08%	0.30395	-11.91%	0.1062	✓	0.11
2026-08-08	oos	0.34625	0.328974	-4.99%	0.2922	-15.61%	0.1404	✓	0.11
2026-08-07	oos	0.3416	0.322859	-5.49%	0.2962	-13.29%	0.1094	✓	0.11
2026-08-06	oos	0.33865	0.322779	-4.69%	0.30035	-11.31%	0.0946	✓	0.10
2026-08-05	oos	0.3583	0.332757	-7.13%	0.2933	-18.14%	0.1469	✓	0.10
2026-08-04	oos	0.34955	0.325104	-6.99%	0.29125	-16.68%	0.1309	✓	0.09
2026-08-03	oos	0.3431	0.323031	-5.85%	0.2859	-16.67%	0.1376	✓	0.08
2026-08-02	oos	0.32795	0.312003	-4.86%	0.2773	-15.44%	0.1327	✓	0.07
2026-08-01	oos	0.3215	0.309148	-3.84%	0.2837	-11.76%	0.0998	✓	0.06
2026-07-31	oos	0.3287	0.315987	-3.87%	0.28175	-14.28%	0.1281	✓	0.06
2026-07-30	oos	0.3309	0.320524	-3.14%	0.2845	-14.02%	0.1312	✓	0.06
2026-07-29	oos	0.32935	0.3197	-2.93%	0.28265	-14.18%	0.1346	✓	0.06
2026-07-28	oos	0.35	0.336503	-3.86%	0.3045	-13.00%	0.1150	✓	0.07
2026-07-27	oos	0.36775	0.351556	-4.40%	0.30725	-16.45%	0.1509	✓	0.08
2026-07-26	oos	0.37585	0.362355	-3.59%	0.3083	-17.97%	0.1726	✓	0.06
2026-07-25	oos	0.37075	0.353278	-4.71%	0.3126	-15.68%	0.1323	✓	0.05
2026-07-24	oos	0.3617	0.344016	-4.89%	0.324	-10.42%	0.0680	✓	0.04
2026-07-23	oos	0.3527	0.339315	-3.80%	0.3344	-5.19%	0.0240	✓	0.06
2026-07-22	oos	0.35555	0.343657	-3.34%	0.34135	-3.99%	0.0159	✓	0.05
2026-07-21	oos	0.36335	0.351623	-3.23%	0.3111	-14.38%	0.1272	✓	0.05
2026-07-20	oos	0.3239	0.318853	-1.56%	0.3291	+1.61%	0.0352	✗	-0.06
2026-07-19	oos	0.31675	0.313089	-1.16%	0.36445	+15.06%	0.1519	✗	-0.07
2026-07-18	oos	0.31925	0.315854	-1.06%	0.36775	+15.19%	0.1518	✗	-0.07
2026-07-17	oos	0.3248	0.318495	-1.94%	0.36445	+12.21%	0.1337	✗	-0.06
2026-07-16	oos	0.33275	0.323528	-2.77%	0.3723	+11.89%	0.1397	✗	-0.06
2026-07-15	oos	0.3329	0.326849	-1.82%	0.3686	+10.72%	0.1186	✗	-0.06
2026-07-14	oos	0.33125	0.32714	-1.24%	0.3931	+18.67%	0.1823	✗	-0.06
2026-07-13	oos	0.32705	0.316759	-3.15%	0.376	+14.97%	0.1733	✗	-0.10
2026-07-12	oos	0.3384	0.332268	-1.81%	0.3729	+10.20%	0.1149	✗	-0.13
2026-07-11	oos	0.3452	0.339649	-1.61%	0.36395	+5.43%	0.0694	✗	-0.13
2026-07-10	oos	0.34765	0.343737	-1.13%	0.34505	-0.75%	0.0053	✓	-0.13
2026-07-09	oos	0.3484	0.343358	-1.45%	0.34625	-0.62%	0.0120	✓	-0.13
2026-07-08	oos	0.35555	0.348848	-1.89%	0.3416	-3.92%	0.0159	✓	-0.12
2026-07-07	oos	0.3748	0.366514	-2.21%	0.33865	-9.65%	0.0768	✓	-0.15
2026-07-06	oos	0.3765	0.36788	-2.29%	0.3583	-4.83%	0.0249	✓	-0.15
2026-07-05	oos	0.38175	0.372376	-2.46%	0.34955	-8.43%	0.0622	✓	-0.15
2026-07-04	oos	0.3877	0.377397	-2.66%	0.3431	-11.50%	0.0944	✓	-0.14
2026-07-03	oos	0.384	0.373803	-2.66%	0.32795	-14.60%	0.1285	✓	-0.16
2026-07-02	oos	0.3888	0.376992	-3.04%	0.3215	-17.31%	0.1561	✓	-0.15
2026-07-01	oos	0.3947	0.380621	-3.57%	0.3287	-16.72%	0.1402	✓	-0.14
2026-06-30	oos	0.3947	0.377029	-4.48%	0.3309	-16.16%	0.1152	✓	-0.15
2026-06-29	oos	0.39385	0.382282	-2.94%	0.32935	-16.38%	0.1401	✓	-0.15
2026-06-28	oos	0.3783	0.368973	-2.47%	0.35	-7.48%	0.0387	✓	-0.20
2026-06-27	oos	0.37735	0.366894	-2.77%	0.36775	-2.54%	0.0144	✓	-0.20
2026-06-26	oos	0.39065	0.375917	-3.77%	0.37585	-3.79%	0.0160	✓	-0.19
2026-06-25	oos	0.3913	0.373798	-4.47%	0.37075	-5.25%	0.0061	✓	-0.19
2026-06-24	oos	0.3809	0.361252	-5.16%	0.3617	-5.04%	0.0095	✓	-0.17
2026-06-23	oos	0.3911	0.367555	-6.02%	0.3527	-9.82%	0.0337	✓	-0.20
2026-06-22	oos	0.39995	0.375126	-6.21%	0.35555	-11.10%	0.0464	✓	-0.22
2026-06-21	oos	0.411	0.386735	-5.90%	0.36335	-11.59%	0.0524	✓	-0.20
2026-06-20	oos	0.4169	0.392422	-5.87%	0.3239	-22.31%	0.1888	✓	-0.21
2026-06-19	oos	0.40235	0.380067	-5.54%	0.31675	-21.28%	0.1774	✓	-0.26
2026-06-18	oos	0.3724	0.354041	-4.93%	0.31925	-14.27%	0.0929	✓	-0.35
2026-06-17	oos	0.415	0.393653	-5.14%	0.3248	-21.73%	0.1964	✓	-0.49
2026-06-16	oos	0.4273	0.405723	-5.05%	0.33275	-22.13%	0.2129	✓	-0.51
2026-06-15	oos	0.4357	0.414204	-4.93%	0.3329	-23.59%	0.2309	✓	-0.52
2026-06-14	oos	0.4935	0.469806	-4.80%	0.33125	-32.88%	0.3538	✓	-0.40
2026-06-13	oos	0.44765	0.425406	-4.97%	0.32705	-26.94%	0.2288	✓	1.00
2026-06-12	oos	0.45495	0.431753	-5.10%	0.3384	-25.62%	0.2468	✓	1.00
2026-06-11	oos	0.4724	0.447091	-5.36%	0.3452	-26.93%	0.2619	✓	1.00
2026-06-10	oos	0.4711	0.443801	-5.79%	0.34765	-26.20%	0.2869	✓	1.00
2026-06-09	oos	0.4527	0.424908	-6.14%	0.3484	-23.04%	0.2224	✓	1.00
2026-06-08	oos	0.4637	0.435039	-6.18%	0.35555	-23.32%	0.1886	✓	1.00
2026-06-07	oos	0.4677	0.438134	-6.32%	0.3748	-19.86%	0.1565	✓	1.00
2026-06-06	oos	0.4055	0.378177	-6.74%	0.3765	-7.15%	0.0549	✓	1.00
2026-06-05	oos	0.4356	0.404604	-7.12%	0.38175	-12.36%	0.0991	✓	1.00
2026-06-04	oos	0.4301	0.40153	-6.64%	0.3877	-9.86%	0.0237	✓	1.00
2026-06-03	oos	0.4796	0.449932	-6.19%	0.384	-19.93%	0.1344	✓	1.00
2026-06-02	oos	0.509	0.473767	-6.92%	0.3888	-23.61%	0.1168	✓	1.00
2026-06-01	oos	0.4463	0.400448	-10.27%	0.3947	-11.56%	0.1589	✗	1.00
2026-05-31	oos	0.4511	0.398584	-11.64%	0.3947	-12.50%	0.2191	✗	1.00
2026-05-30	oos	0.47675	0.427419	-10.35%	0.39385	-17.39%	0.1221	✗	1.00
2026-05-29	oos	0.45355	0.411982	-9.17%	0.3783	-16.59%	0.1246	✗	1.00
2026-05-28	oos	0.62785	0.583936	-6.99%	0.37735	-39.90%	0.2324	✓	1.00
2026-05-27	oos	0.71265	0.656281	-7.91%	0.39065	-45.18%	0.3048	✓	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.67035	0.612158	-8.68%	0.3913	-41.63%	0.2085	✓	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.6361	0.588169	-7.54%	0.3809	-40.12%	0.1980	✓	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.72305	0.666146	-7.87%	0.3911	-45.91%	0.3265	✓	1.00