GENIUS

Genius · Binance Smart Chain · gru_s2

token id: #408
symbol: GENIUS
variant: –
chain: Binance Smart Chain
address: 0x1f12b85aac097e43aa1555b2881e98a51090e9a6
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-15
predictions: 453

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

150

of 151 predictions shown

direction hit

52.0%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0344

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0020

actual -0.0049

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.3071	0.305324	-0.58%	–	pending	–	–	-0.10
2026-10-20	oos	0.3057	0.303892	-0.59%	0.3071	+0.46%	0.0102	✗	-0.10
2026-10-19	oos	0.30015	0.298999	-0.38%	0.3057	+1.85%	0.0235	✗	-0.10
2026-10-18	oos	0.3024	0.30165	-0.25%	0.30015	-0.74%	0.0051	✓	-0.04
2026-10-17	oos	0.29965	0.299407	-0.08%	0.3024	+0.92%	0.0102	✗	-0.04
2026-10-16	oos	0.3056	0.305454	-0.05%	0.29965	-1.95%	0.0192	✓	-0.04
2026-10-15	oos	0.30045	0.300326	-0.04%	0.3056	+1.71%	0.0171	✗	-0.04
2026-10-14	oos	0.31885	0.318351	-0.16%	0.30045	-5.77%	0.0576	✓	-0.03
2026-10-13	oos	0.3176	0.316761	-0.26%	0.31885	+0.39%	0.0060	✗	-0.03
2026-10-12	oos	0.32945	0.328582	-0.26%	0.3176	-3.60%	0.0337	✓	-0.02
2026-10-11	oos	0.3359	0.334525	-0.41%	0.32945	-1.92%	0.0157	✓	-0.02
2026-10-10	oos	0.346	0.344535	-0.42%	0.3359	-2.92%	0.0255	✓	0.01
2026-10-09	oos	0.3428	0.341372	-0.42%	0.346	+0.93%	0.0134	✗	0.01
2026-10-08	oos	0.3213	0.320388	-0.28%	0.3428	+6.69%	0.0676	✗	0.00
2026-10-07	oos	0.324	0.321951	-0.63%	0.3213	-0.83%	0.0021	✓	-0.00
2026-10-06	oos	0.32765	0.324535	-0.95%	0.324	-1.11%	0.0021	✓	-0.02
2026-10-05	oos	0.32845	0.325584	-0.87%	0.32765	-0.24%	0.0064	✓	0.01
2026-10-04	oos	0.31975	0.317803	-0.61%	0.32845	+2.72%	0.0332	✗	0.02
2026-10-03	oos	0.32535	0.323196	-0.66%	0.31975	-1.72%	0.0113	✓	0.03
2026-10-02	oos	0.32695	0.325351	-0.49%	0.32535	-0.49%	0.0001	✓	0.03
2026-10-01	oos	0.31835	0.31749	-0.27%	0.32695	+2.70%	0.0295	✗	0.04
2026-09-30	oos	0.3226	0.321984	-0.19%	0.31835	-1.32%	0.0119	✓	0.04
2026-09-29	oos	0.31945	0.319189	-0.08%	0.3226	+0.99%	0.0107	✗	0.03
2026-09-28	oos	0.3168	0.31665	-0.05%	0.31945	+0.84%	0.0087	✗	0.03
2026-09-27	oos	0.3292	0.329087	-0.03%	0.3168	-3.77%	0.0379	✓	0.01
2026-09-26	oos	0.34275	0.342617	-0.04%	0.3292	-3.95%	0.0400	✓	0.02
2026-09-25	oos	0.349	0.348926	-0.02%	0.34275	-1.79%	0.0179	✓	0.01
2026-09-24	oos	0.35475	0.354777	+0.01%	0.349	-1.62%	0.0164	✗	0.02
2026-09-23	oos	0.3426	0.342953	+0.10%	0.35475	+3.55%	0.0338	✓	0.02
2026-09-22	oos	0.35245	0.352788	+0.10%	0.3426	-2.79%	0.0297	✗	-0.02
2026-09-21	oos	0.35885	0.358928	+0.02%	0.35245	-1.78%	0.0182	✗	-0.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.3747	0.373376	-0.35%	0.35885	-4.23%	0.0454	✓	0.09
2026-09-19	oos	0.34085	0.340523	-0.10%	0.3747	+9.93%	0.0957	✗	0.09
2026-09-18	oos	0.3402	0.339489	-0.21%	0.34085	+0.19%	0.0036	✗	0.10
2026-09-17	oos	0.3605	0.357163	-0.93%	0.3402	-5.63%	0.0609	✓	0.21
2026-09-16	oos	0.3024	0.302251	-0.05%	0.3605	+19.21%	0.1756	✗	0.23
2026-09-15	oos	0.3036	0.303459	-0.05%	0.3024	-0.40%	0.0058	✓	0.31
2026-09-14	oos	0.2988	0.298728	-0.02%	0.3036	+1.61%	0.0280	✗	0.35
2026-09-13	oos	0.29545	0.295434	-0.01%	0.2988	+1.13%	0.0051	✗	0.35
2026-09-12	oos	0.29705	0.297023	-0.01%	0.29545	-0.54%	0.0034	✓	0.33
2026-09-11	oos	0.30415	0.304175	+0.01%	0.29705	-2.33%	0.0240	✗	0.38
2026-09-10	oos	0.2871	0.287471	+0.13%	0.30415	+5.94%	0.0533	✓	0.36
2026-09-09	oos	0.28855	0.289207	+0.23%	0.2871	-0.50%	0.0010	✓	0.37
2026-09-08	oos	0.30395	0.304439	+0.16%	0.28855	-5.07%	0.0528	✗	0.36
2026-09-07	oos	0.2922	0.293189	+0.34%	0.30395	+4.02%	0.0390	✓	0.37
2026-09-06	oos	0.2962	0.297394	+0.40%	0.2922	-1.35%	0.0118	✗	0.37
2026-09-05	oos	0.30035	0.301214	+0.29%	0.2962	-1.38%	0.0192	✗	0.37
2026-09-04	oos	0.2933	0.294459	+0.40%	0.30035	+2.40%	0.0188	✓	0.52
2026-09-03	oos	0.29125	0.292983	+0.60%	0.2933	+0.70%	0.0118	✓	0.54
2026-09-02	oos	0.2859	0.28723	+0.47%	0.29125	+1.87%	0.0104	✗	0.49
2026-09-01	oos	0.2773	0.279059	+0.63%	0.2859	+3.10%	0.0248	✓	0.51
2026-08-31	oos	0.2837	0.285607	+0.67%	0.2773	-2.26%	0.0214	✗	0.54
2026-08-30	oos	0.28175	0.283567	+0.64%	0.2837	+0.69%	0.0023	✓	0.24
2026-08-29	oos	0.2845	0.286272	+0.62%	0.28175	-0.97%	0.0142	✗	0.24
2026-08-28	oos	0.28265	0.284364	+0.61%	0.2845	+0.65%	0.0007	✓	0.24
2026-08-27	oos	0.3045	0.306348	+0.61%	0.28265	-7.18%	0.0744	✗	0.20
2026-08-26	oos	0.30725	0.30885	+0.52%	0.3045	-0.90%	0.0177	✗	0.22
2026-08-25	oos	0.3083	0.309819	+0.49%	0.30725	-0.34%	0.0100	✗	0.26
2026-08-24	oos	0.3126	0.313974	+0.44%	0.3083	-1.38%	0.0170	✗	0.22
2026-08-23	oos	0.324	0.325075	+0.33%	0.3126	-3.52%	0.0423	✗	0.20
2026-08-22	oos	0.3344	0.335225	+0.25%	0.324	-3.11%	0.0358	✗	0.20
2026-08-21	oos	0.34135	0.342251	+0.26%	0.3344	-2.04%	0.0199	✗	0.20
2026-08-20	oos	0.3111	0.312224	+0.36%	0.34135	+9.72%	0.0852	✓	0.06
2026-08-19	oos	0.3291	0.328794	-0.09%	0.3111	-5.47%	0.0481	✓	-0.14
2026-08-18	oos	0.36445	0.363009	-0.40%	0.3291	-9.70%	0.1040	✓	0.09
2026-08-17	oos	0.36775	0.366431	-0.36%	0.36445	-0.90%	0.0057	✓	0.10
2026-08-16	oos	0.36445	0.36367	-0.21%	0.36775	+0.91%	0.0088	✗	0.09
2026-08-15	oos	0.3723	0.37138	-0.25%	0.36445	-2.11%	0.0186	✓	0.09
2026-08-14	oos	0.3686	0.367702	-0.24%	0.3723	+1.00%	0.0124	✗	0.11
2026-08-13	oos	0.3931	0.391541	-0.40%	0.3686	-6.23%	0.0598	✓	0.09
2026-08-12	oos	0.376	0.374624	-0.37%	0.3931	+4.55%	0.0481	✗	0.08
2026-08-11	oos	0.3729	0.371375	-0.41%	0.376	+0.83%	0.0125	✗	0.08
2026-08-10	oos	0.36395	0.362337	-0.44%	0.3729	+2.46%	0.0292	✗	0.09
2026-08-09	oos	0.34505	0.34299	-0.60%	0.36395	+5.48%	0.0609	✗	0.11
2026-08-08	oos	0.34625	0.343476	-0.80%	0.34505	-0.35%	0.0047	✓	0.11
2026-08-07	oos	0.3416	0.338483	-0.91%	0.34625	+1.36%	0.0227	✗	0.11
2026-08-06	oos	0.33865	0.336132	-0.74%	0.3416	+0.87%	0.0151	✗	0.10
2026-08-05	oos	0.3583	0.353874	-1.24%	0.33865	-5.48%	0.0435	✓	0.10
2026-08-04	oos	0.34955	0.345603	-1.13%	0.3583	+2.50%	0.0353	✗	0.09
2026-08-03	oos	0.3431	0.339737	-0.98%	0.34955	+1.88%	0.0278	✗	0.08
2026-08-02	oos	0.32795	0.325232	-0.83%	0.3431	+4.62%	0.0535	✗	0.07
2026-08-01	oos	0.3215	0.319896	-0.50%	0.32795	+2.01%	0.0241	✗	0.06
2026-07-31	oos	0.3287	0.326795	-0.58%	0.3215	-2.19%	0.0163	✓	0.06
2026-07-30	oos	0.3309	0.329933	-0.29%	0.3287	-0.66%	0.0019	✓	0.06
2026-07-29	oos	0.32935	0.3286	-0.23%	0.3309	+0.47%	0.0062	✗	0.06
2026-07-28	oos	0.35	0.348758	-0.35%	0.32935	-5.90%	0.0573	✓	0.07
2026-07-27	oos	0.36775	0.366031	-0.47%	0.35	-4.83%	0.0450	✓	0.08
2026-07-26	oos	0.37585	0.373321	-0.67%	0.36775	-2.16%	0.0135	✓	0.06
2026-07-25	oos	0.37075	0.366757	-1.08%	0.37585	+1.38%	0.0237	✗	0.05
2026-07-24	oos	0.3617	0.358014	-1.02%	0.37075	+2.50%	0.0348	✗	0.04
2026-07-23	oos	0.3527	0.349724	-0.84%	0.3617	+2.55%	0.0345	✗	0.06
2026-07-22	oos	0.35555	0.353698	-0.52%	0.3527	-0.80%	0.0020	✓	0.05
2026-07-21	oos	0.36335	0.361459	-0.52%	0.35555	-2.15%	0.0161	✓	0.05
2026-07-20	oos	0.3239	0.324002	+0.03%	0.36335	+12.18%	0.1158	✓	-0.06
2026-07-19	oos	0.31675	0.317088	+0.11%	0.3239	+2.26%	0.0218	✓	-0.07
2026-07-18	oos	0.31925	0.319575	+0.10%	0.31675	-0.78%	0.0090	✗	-0.07
2026-07-17	oos	0.3248	0.324933	+0.04%	0.31925	-1.71%	0.0168	✗	-0.06
2026-07-16	oos	0.33275	0.332667	-0.03%	0.3248	-2.39%	0.0238	✓	-0.06
2026-07-15	oos	0.3329	0.333123	+0.07%	0.33275	-0.05%	0.0020	✗	-0.06
2026-07-14	oos	0.33125	0.331634	+0.12%	0.3329	+0.50%	0.0036	✓	-0.06
2026-07-13	oos	0.32705	0.326986	-0.02%	0.33125	+1.28%	0.0174	✗	-0.10
2026-07-12	oos	0.3384	0.338606	+0.06%	0.32705	-3.35%	0.0378	✗	-0.13
2026-07-11	oos	0.3452	0.345476	+0.08%	0.3384	-1.97%	0.0208	✗	-0.13
2026-07-10	oos	0.34765	0.348066	+0.12%	0.3452	-0.70%	0.0090	✗	-0.13
2026-07-09	oos	0.3484	0.348676	+0.08%	0.34765	-0.22%	0.0009	✗	-0.13
2026-07-08	oos	0.35555	0.355625	+0.02%	0.3484	-2.01%	0.0187	✗	-0.12
2026-07-07	oos	0.3748	0.374667	-0.04%	0.35555	-5.14%	0.0550	✓	-0.15
2026-07-06	oos	0.3765	0.376367	-0.04%	0.3748	-0.45%	0.0058	✓	-0.15
2026-07-05	oos	0.38175	0.381492	-0.07%	0.3765	-1.38%	0.0122	✓	-0.15
2026-07-04	oos	0.3877	0.387232	-0.12%	0.38175	-1.53%	0.0131	✓	-0.14
2026-07-03	oos	0.384	0.383363	-0.17%	0.3877	+0.96%	0.0126	✗	-0.16
2026-07-02	oos	0.3888	0.387465	-0.34%	0.384	-1.23%	0.0065	✓	-0.15
2026-07-01	oos	0.3947	0.392428	-0.58%	0.3888	-1.49%	0.0058	✓	-0.14
2026-06-30	oos	0.3947	0.392713	-0.50%	0.3947	+0.00%	0.0087	✗	-0.15
2026-06-29	oos	0.39385	0.393323	-0.13%	0.3947	+0.22%	0.0006	✓	-0.15
2026-06-28	oos	0.3783	0.378857	+0.15%	0.39385	+4.11%	0.0411	✓	-0.20
2026-06-27	oos	0.37735	0.377962	+0.16%	0.3783	+0.25%	0.0006	✓	-0.20
2026-06-26	oos	0.39065	0.390748	+0.03%	0.37735	-3.40%	0.0351	✗	-0.19
2026-06-25	oos	0.3913	0.391027	-0.07%	0.39065	-0.17%	0.0000	✓	-0.19
2026-06-24	oos	0.3809	0.380644	-0.07%	0.3913	+2.73%	0.0241	✗	-0.17
2026-06-23	oos	0.3911	0.390697	-0.10%	0.3809	-2.61%	0.0308	✓	-0.20
2026-06-22	oos	0.39995	0.39951	-0.11%	0.3911	-2.21%	0.0258	✓	-0.22
2026-06-21	oos	0.411	0.410511	-0.12%	0.39995	-2.69%	0.0238	✓	-0.20
2026-06-20	oos	0.4169	0.41641	-0.12%	0.411	-1.42%	0.0163	✓	-0.21
2026-06-19	oos	0.40235	0.402085	-0.07%	0.4169	+3.62%	0.0392	✗	-0.26
2026-06-18	oos	0.3724	0.37253	+0.03%	0.40235	+8.04%	0.0803	✓	-0.35
2026-06-17	oos	0.415	0.414737	-0.06%	0.3724	-10.27%	0.1197	✓	-0.49
2026-06-16	oos	0.4273	0.426863	-0.10%	0.415	-2.88%	0.0374	✓	-0.51
2026-06-15	oos	0.4357	0.435136	-0.13%	0.4273	-1.93%	0.0234	✓	-0.52
2026-06-14	oos	0.4935	0.492175	-0.27%	0.4357	-11.71%	0.1184	✓	-0.40
2026-06-13	oos	0.44765	0.446851	-0.18%	0.4935	+10.24%	0.0797	✗	1.00
2026-06-12	oos	0.45495	0.453991	-0.21%	0.44765	-1.60%	0.0280	✓	1.00
2026-06-11	oos	0.4724	0.471003	-0.30%	0.45495	-3.69%	0.0343	✓	1.00
2026-06-10	oos	0.4711	0.469405	-0.36%	0.4724	+0.28%	0.0275	✓	1.00
2026-06-09	oos	0.4527	0.451231	-0.32%	0.4711	+4.06%	0.0470	✗	1.00
2026-06-08	oos	0.4637	0.461751	-0.42%	0.4527	-2.37%	0.0023	✓	1.00
2026-06-07	oos	0.4677	0.465108	-0.55%	0.4637	-0.86%	0.0008	✓	1.00
2026-06-06	oos	0.4055	0.404334	-0.29%	0.4677	+15.34%	0.1061	✗	1.00
2026-06-05	oos	0.4356	0.433538	-0.47%	0.4055	-6.91%	0.0639	✓	1.00
2026-06-04	oos	0.4301	0.428719	-0.32%	0.4356	+1.28%	0.0604	✗	1.00
2026-06-03	oos	0.4796	0.476802	-0.58%	0.4301	-10.32%	0.0994	✓	1.00
2026-06-02	oos	0.509	0.50349	-1.08%	0.4796	-5.78%	0.0085	✓	1.00
2026-06-01	oos	0.4463	0.44438	-0.43%	0.509	+14.05%	0.2033	✗	1.00
2026-05-31	oos	0.4511	0.449177	-0.43%	0.4463	-1.06%	0.0248	✗	1.00
2026-05-30	oos	0.47675	0.475063	-0.35%	0.4511	-5.38%	0.0491	✓	1.00
2026-05-29	oos	0.45355	0.452692	-0.19%	0.47675	+5.12%	0.0463	✗	1.00
2026-05-28	oos	0.62785	0.625741	-0.34%	0.45355	-27.76%	0.3198	✓	1.00
2026-05-27	oos	0.71265	0.709024	-0.51%	0.62785	-11.90%	0.1107	✓	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.67035	0.667431	-0.44%	0.71265	+6.31%	0.0857	✗	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.6361	0.633524	-0.40%	0.67035	+5.38%	0.0751	✗	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.72305	0.7159	-0.99%	0.6361	-12.03%	0.1217	✓	1.00