FOLD

The Interfold · Ethereum · gru_s2

token id: #290
symbol: FOLD
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0xe172e9b6cfbeeb5593bdce3f077356fdb33af904
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-25
predictions: 147

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +7d

assessed

of 49 predictions shown

direction hit

66.7%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1232

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0077

actual -0.0241

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.04772	0.04741	-0.65%	–	pending	–	–	0.85
2026-10-20	oos	0.04858	0.048092	-1.00%	–	pending	–	–	0.85
2026-10-19	oos	0.04751	0.047255	-0.54%	–	pending	–	–	0.83
2026-10-18	oos	0.04779	0.047504	-0.60%	–	pending	–	–	0.83
2026-10-17	oos	0.05113	0.050989	-0.28%	–	pending	–	–	0.86
2026-10-16	oos	0.05269	0.052747	+0.11%	–	pending	–	–	0.86
2026-10-15	oos	0.05285	0.053071	+0.42%	–	pending	–	–	0.86
2026-10-14	oos	0.05383	0.054144	+0.58%	0.04772	-11.35%	0.1382	✗	0.87
2026-10-13	oos	0.060215	0.059439	-1.29%	0.04858	-19.32%	0.2002	✓	0.78
2026-10-12	oos	0.059405	0.059057	-0.59%	0.04751	-20.02%	0.2185	✓	0.76
2026-10-11	oos	0.06681	0.064537	-3.40%	0.04779	-28.47%	0.2875	✓	0.64
2026-10-10	oos	0.06538	0.063108	-3.47%	0.05113	-21.80%	0.1988	✓	0.63
2026-10-09	oos	0.064485	0.062589	-2.94%	0.05269	-18.29%	0.1642	✓	0.62
2026-10-08	oos	0.06178	0.06073	-1.70%	0.05285	-14.45%	0.1421	✓	0.60
2026-10-07	oos	0.064415	0.062903	-2.35%	0.05383	-16.43%	0.1439	✓	0.57
2026-10-06	oos	0.06901	0.06711	-2.75%	0.060215	-12.74%	0.0940	✓	0.50
2026-10-05	oos	0.07369	0.070804	-3.92%	0.059405	-19.39%	0.1525	✓	0.48
2026-10-04	oos	0.0701	0.067674	-3.46%	0.06681	-4.69%	0.0047	✓	0.53
2026-10-03	oos	0.072825	0.069638	-4.38%	0.06538	-10.22%	0.0506	✓	0.57
2026-10-02	oos	0.06417	0.062155	-3.14%	0.064485	+0.49%	0.0501	✗	0.57
2026-10-01	oos	0.067655	0.064844	-4.15%	0.06178	-8.68%	0.0275	✓	0.55
2026-09-30	oos	0.069015	0.066059	-4.28%	0.064415	-6.67%	0.0233	✓	0.57
2026-09-29	oos	0.066025	0.063785	-3.39%	0.06901	+4.52%	0.0658	✗	0.58
2026-09-28	oos	0.061035	0.059838	-1.96%	0.07369	+20.73%	0.1927	✗	0.57
2026-09-27	oos	0.06903	0.067612	-2.05%	0.0701	+1.55%	0.0247	✗	0.48
2026-09-26	oos	0.066875	0.065952	-1.38%	0.072825	+8.90%	0.0973	✗	0.48
2026-09-25	oos	0.058715	0.058712	-0.00%	0.06417	+9.29%	0.0866	✗	0.47
2026-09-24	oos	0.0597	0.059875	+0.29%	0.067655	+13.32%	0.1196	✓	0.47
2026-09-23	oos	0.05971	0.060119	+0.69%	0.069015	+15.58%	0.1478	✓	1.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.060325	0.06067	+0.57%	0.066025	+9.45%	0.1147	✓	1.00
2026-09-21	oos	0.06106	0.06129	+0.38%	0.061035	-0.04%	0.0328	✓	1.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.062015	0.062107	+0.15%	0.06903	+11.31%	0.0658	✓	1.00
2026-09-19	oos	0.07045	0.06968	-1.09%	0.066875	-5.07%	0.0795	✓	1.00
2026-09-18	oos	0.066755	0.06578	-1.46%	0.058715	-12.04%	0.1526	✓	1.00
2026-09-17	oos	0.0641	0.061983	-3.30%	0.0597	-6.86%	0.1376	✓	1.00
2026-09-16	oos	0.05471	0.053436	-2.33%	0.05971	+9.14%	0.0083	✓	1.00
2026-09-15	oos	0.043735	0.044117	+0.87%	0.060325	+37.93%	0.1815	✓	1.00
2026-09-14	oos	0.049085	0.049078	-0.01%	0.06106	+24.40%	0.1162	✗	1.00
2026-09-13	oos	0.04818	0.048446	+0.55%	0.062015	+28.72%	0.1917	✓	1.00
2026-09-12	oos	0.050545	0.050879	+0.66%	0.07045	+39.38%	0.2753	✓	1.00
2026-09-11	oos	0.051095	0.051695	+1.17%	0.066755	+30.65%	0.2093	✓	1.00
2026-09-10	oos	0.05233	0.053071	+1.42%	0.0641	+22.49%	0.1913	✓	1.00
2026-09-09	oos	0.05138	0.052561	+2.30%	0.05471	+6.48%	0.0678	✓	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.05349	0.05487	+2.58%	0.043735	-18.24%	0.1896	✗	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.05533	0.056896	+2.83%	0.049085	-11.29%	0.1360	✗	1.00
2026-09-06	oos	0.05607	0.057719	+2.94%	0.04818	-14.07%	0.1356	✗	1.00
2026-09-05	oos	0.055135	0.057032	+3.44%	0.050545	-8.33%	0.0880	✗	1.00
2026-09-04	oos	0.05539	0.057325	+3.49%	0.051095	-7.75%	0.0836	✗	1.00
2026-09-03	oos	0.059025	0.060627	+2.71%	0.05233	-11.34%	0.0872	✗	1.00