FOLD
The Interfold · Ethereum · gru_s2
- token id
- #290
- symbol
- FOLD
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0xe172e9b6cfbeeb5593bdce3f077356fdb33af904
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-08-25
- predictions
- 147
Track record at +30d
assessed
19
of 49 predictions shown
direction hit
31.6%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.1859
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0481
actual +0.0099
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.04772 | 0.04744 | -0.59% | – | pending | – | – | 0.85 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.04858 | 0.048096 | -1.00% | – | pending | – | – | 0.85 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.04751 | 0.046872 | -1.34% | – | pending | – | – | 0.83 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.04779 | 0.04687 | -1.92% | – | pending | – | – | 0.83 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.05113 | 0.049795 | -2.61% | – | pending | – | – | 0.86 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.05269 | 0.051416 | -2.42% | – | pending | – | – | 0.86 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.05285 | 0.051941 | -1.72% | – | pending | – | – | 0.86 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.05383 | 0.052981 | -1.58% | – | pending | – | – | 0.87 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.060215 | 0.057735 | -4.12% | – | pending | – | – | 0.78 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.059405 | 0.057531 | -3.15% | – | pending | – | – | 0.76 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.06681 | 0.062705 | -6.14% | – | pending | – | – | 0.64 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.06538 | 0.06133 | -6.19% | – | pending | – | – | 0.63 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.064485 | 0.06074 | -5.81% | – | pending | – | – | 0.62 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.06178 | 0.058829 | -4.78% | – | pending | – | – | 0.60 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.064415 | 0.060432 | -6.18% | – | pending | – | – | 0.57 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.06901 | 0.06386 | -7.46% | – | pending | – | – | 0.50 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.07369 | 0.066716 | -9.46% | – | pending | – | – | 0.48 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.0701 | 0.064134 | -8.51% | – | pending | – | – | 0.53 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.072825 | 0.064715 | -11.14% | – | pending | – | – | 0.57 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.06417 | 0.058258 | -9.21% | – | pending | – | – | 0.57 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.067655 | 0.061077 | -9.72% | – | pending | – | – | 0.55 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.069015 | 0.062521 | -9.41% | – | pending | – | – | 0.57 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.066025 | 0.06098 | -7.64% | – | pending | – | – | 0.58 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.061035 | 0.057727 | -5.42% | – | pending | – | – | 0.57 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.06903 | 0.063755 | -7.64% | – | pending | – | – | 0.48 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.066875 | 0.062294 | -6.85% | – | pending | – | – | 0.48 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.058715 | 0.056056 | -4.53% | – | pending | – | – | 0.47 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.0597 | 0.056785 | -4.88% | – | pending | – | – | 0.47 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.05971 | 0.056994 | -4.55% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.060325 | 0.057088 | -5.37% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.06106 | 0.057584 | -5.69% | 0.04772 | -21.85% | 0.1418 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.062015 | 0.059303 | -4.37% | 0.04858 | -21.66% | 0.2211 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.07045 | 0.066353 | -5.82% | 0.04751 | -32.56% | 0.3415 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.066755 | 0.062639 | -6.17% | 0.04779 | -28.41% | 0.2845 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.0641 | 0.058694 | -8.43% | 0.05113 | -20.23% | 0.2018 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.05471 | 0.050415 | -7.85% | 0.05269 | -3.69% | 0.0238 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.043735 | 0.041317 | -5.53% | 0.05285 | +20.84% | 0.1632 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.049085 | 0.045692 | -6.91% | 0.05383 | +9.67% | 0.1214 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.04818 | 0.045244 | -6.09% | 0.060215 | +24.98% | 0.2070 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.050545 | 0.047587 | -5.85% | 0.059405 | +17.53% | 0.1655 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.051095 | 0.048724 | -4.64% | 0.06681 | +30.76% | 0.2352 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.05233 | 0.050273 | -3.93% | 0.06538 | +24.94% | 0.1827 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.05138 | 0.049503 | -3.65% | 0.064485 | +25.51% | 0.2114 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.05349 | 0.051671 | -3.40% | 0.06178 | +15.50% | 0.1381 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.05533 | 0.053566 | -3.19% | 0.064415 | +16.42% | 0.1329 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.05607 | 0.054374 | -3.02% | 0.06901 | +23.08% | 0.1756 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.055135 | 0.053711 | -2.58% | 0.07369 | +33.65% | 0.2448 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.05539 | 0.054573 | -1.47% | 0.0701 | +26.56% | 0.1681 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.059025 | 0.058878 | -0.25% | 0.072825 | +23.38% | 0.1707 | ✗ | 1.00 |