FOLD

The Interfold · Ethereum · gru_s2

token id: #290
symbol: FOLD
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0xe172e9b6cfbeeb5593bdce3f077356fdb33af904
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-25
predictions: 150

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

of 50 predictions shown

direction hit

51.0%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0495

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0092

actual -0.0047

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.04925	0.049005	-0.50%	–	pending	–	–	0.87
2026-10-21	oos	0.05009	0.049873	-0.43%	0.04925	-1.68%	0.0146	✓	0.87
2026-10-20	oos	0.04858	0.048411	-0.35%	0.05009	+3.11%	0.0230	✗	0.85
2026-10-19	oos	0.04751	0.047403	-0.23%	0.04858	+2.25%	0.0134	✗	0.83
2026-10-18	oos	0.04779	0.047674	-0.24%	0.04751	-0.59%	0.0017	✓	0.83
2026-10-17	oos	0.05113	0.050936	-0.38%	0.04779	-6.53%	0.0703	✓	0.86
2026-10-16	oos	0.05269	0.052447	-0.46%	0.05113	-2.96%	0.0242	✓	0.86
2026-10-15	oos	0.05285	0.052554	-0.56%	0.05269	-0.30%	0.0092	✗	0.86
2026-10-14	oos	0.05383	0.053506	-0.60%	0.05285	-1.82%	0.0182	✓	0.87
2026-10-13	oos	0.060215	0.059617	-0.99%	0.05383	-10.60%	0.0876	✓	0.78
2026-10-12	oos	0.059405	0.05884	-0.95%	0.060215	+1.36%	0.0105	✗	0.76
2026-10-11	oos	0.06681	0.06565	-1.74%	0.059405	-11.08%	0.0850	✓	0.64
2026-10-10	oos	0.06538	0.064446	-1.43%	0.06681	+2.19%	0.0303	✗	0.63
2026-10-09	oos	0.064485	0.063657	-1.28%	0.06538	+1.39%	0.0239	✗	0.62
2026-10-08	oos	0.06178	0.061069	-1.15%	0.064485	+4.38%	0.0482	✗	0.60
2026-10-07	oos	0.064415	0.063496	-1.43%	0.06178	-4.09%	0.0164	✓	0.57
2026-10-06	oos	0.06901	0.067809	-1.74%	0.064415	-6.66%	0.0380	✓	0.50
2026-10-05	oos	0.07369	0.072128	-2.12%	0.06901	-6.35%	0.0430	✓	0.48
2026-10-04	oos	0.0701	0.068705	-1.99%	0.07369	+5.12%	0.0747	✗	0.53
2026-10-03	oos	0.072825	0.071109	-2.36%	0.0701	-3.74%	0.0261	✓	0.57
2026-10-02	oos	0.06417	0.062967	-1.87%	0.072825	+13.49%	0.1439	✗	0.57
2026-10-01	oos	0.067655	0.066239	-2.09%	0.06417	-5.15%	0.0295	✓	0.55
2026-09-30	oos	0.069015	0.06737	-2.38%	0.067655	-1.97%	0.0045	✓	0.57
2026-09-29	oos	0.066025	0.064516	-2.29%	0.069015	+4.53%	0.0680	✗	0.58
2026-09-28	oos	0.061035	0.059793	-2.03%	0.066025	+8.18%	0.0979	✗	0.57
2026-09-27	oos	0.06903	0.06717	-2.69%	0.061035	-11.58%	0.0900	✓	0.48
2026-09-26	oos	0.066875	0.064851	-3.03%	0.06903	+3.22%	0.0622	✗	0.48
2026-09-25	oos	0.058715	0.057321	-2.37%	0.066875	+13.90%	0.1524	✗	0.47
2026-09-24	oos	0.0597	0.058199	-2.51%	0.058715	-1.65%	0.0104	✓	0.47
2026-09-23	oos	0.05971	0.058155	-2.60%	0.0597	-0.02%	0.0261	✓	1.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.060325	0.058682	-2.72%	0.05971	-1.02%	0.0387	✗	1.00
2026-09-21	oos	0.06106	0.059384	-2.74%	0.060325	-1.20%	0.0203	✓	1.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.062015	0.060826	-1.92%	0.06106	-1.54%	0.0610	✓	1.00
2026-09-19	oos	0.07045	0.068517	-2.74%	0.062015	-11.97%	0.0988	✓	1.00
2026-09-18	oos	0.066755	0.065152	-2.40%	0.07045	+5.54%	0.0737	✗	1.00
2026-09-17	oos	0.0641	0.06294	-1.81%	0.066755	+4.14%	0.0012	✓	1.00
2026-09-16	oos	0.05471	0.054403	-0.56%	0.0641	+17.16%	0.1614	✗	1.00
2026-09-15	oos	0.043735	0.04421	+1.09%	0.05471	+25.09%	0.2057	✓	1.00
2026-09-14	oos	0.049085	0.049406	+0.65%	0.043735	-10.90%	0.0882	✗	1.00
2026-09-13	oos	0.04818	0.048623	+0.92%	0.049085	+1.88%	0.0083	✓	1.00
2026-09-12	oos	0.050545	0.050993	+0.89%	0.04818	-4.68%	0.0507	✗	1.00
2026-09-11	oos	0.051095	0.051617	+1.02%	0.050545	-1.08%	0.0217	✗	1.00
2026-09-10	oos	0.05233	0.052859	+1.01%	0.051095	-2.36%	0.0427	✗	1.00
2026-09-09	oos	0.05138	0.052017	+1.24%	0.05233	+1.85%	0.0286	✓	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.05349	0.054137	+1.21%	0.05138	-3.94%	0.0502	✗	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.05533	0.056009	+1.23%	0.05349	-3.33%	0.0379	✗	1.00
2026-09-06	oos	0.05607	0.056809	+1.32%	0.05533	-1.32%	0.0107	✓	1.00
2026-09-05	oos	0.055135	0.055913	+1.41%	0.05607	+1.70%	0.0035	✓	1.00
2026-09-04	oos	0.05539	0.056219	+1.50%	0.055135	-0.46%	0.0214	✗	1.00
2026-09-03	oos	0.059025	0.059882	+1.45%	0.05539	-6.16%	0.0582	✗	1.00