FOLD

The Interfold · Ethereum · gru_s2

token id: #290
symbol: FOLD
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0xe172e9b6cfbeeb5593bdce3f077356fdb33af904
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-25
predictions: 147

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

of 49 predictions shown

direction hit

50.0%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0473

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0035

actual -0.0051

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.04772	0.047516	-0.43%	–	pending	–	–	0.85
2026-10-20	oos	0.04858	0.048354	-0.47%	0.04772	-1.77%	0.0107	✓	0.85
2026-10-19	oos	0.04751	0.047447	-0.13%	0.04858	+2.25%	0.0125	✗	0.83
2026-10-18	oos	0.04779	0.047756	-0.07%	0.04751	-0.59%	0.0035	✓	0.83
2026-10-17	oos	0.05113	0.051067	-0.12%	0.04779	-6.53%	0.0729	✓	0.86
2026-10-16	oos	0.05269	0.052665	-0.05%	0.05113	-2.96%	0.0283	✓	0.86
2026-10-15	oos	0.05285	0.05287	+0.04%	0.05269	-0.30%	0.0032	✓	0.86
2026-10-14	oos	0.05383	0.053878	+0.09%	0.05285	-1.82%	0.0252	✗	0.87
2026-10-13	oos	0.060215	0.059906	-0.51%	0.05383	-10.60%	0.0925	✓	0.78
2026-10-12	oos	0.059405	0.059223	-0.31%	0.060215	+1.36%	0.0040	✗	0.76
2026-10-11	oos	0.06681	0.066053	-1.13%	0.059405	-11.08%	0.0911	✓	0.64
2026-10-10	oos	0.06538	0.064748	-0.97%	0.06681	+2.19%	0.0256	✗	0.63
2026-10-09	oos	0.064485	0.06396	-0.81%	0.06538	+1.39%	0.0192	✗	0.62
2026-10-08	oos	0.06178	0.061425	-0.58%	0.064485	+4.38%	0.0424	✗	0.60
2026-10-07	oos	0.064415	0.063682	-1.14%	0.06178	-4.09%	0.0193	✓	0.57
2026-10-06	oos	0.06901	0.067874	-1.65%	0.064415	-6.66%	0.0390	✓	0.50
2026-10-05	oos	0.07369	0.072197	-2.03%	0.06901	-6.35%	0.0440	✓	0.48
2026-10-04	oos	0.0701	0.068875	-1.75%	0.07369	+5.12%	0.0722	✗	0.53
2026-10-03	oos	0.072825	0.071208	-2.22%	0.0701	-3.74%	0.0275	✓	0.57
2026-10-02	oos	0.06417	0.063117	-1.64%	0.072825	+13.49%	0.1415	✗	0.57
2026-10-01	oos	0.067655	0.066867	-1.17%	0.06417	-5.15%	0.0389	✓	0.55
2026-09-30	oos	0.069015	0.06846	-0.80%	0.067655	-1.97%	0.0205	✓	0.57
2026-09-29	oos	0.066025	0.065729	-0.45%	0.069015	+4.53%	0.0494	✗	0.58
2026-09-28	oos	0.061035	0.060929	-0.17%	0.066025	+8.18%	0.0791	✗	0.57
2026-09-27	oos	0.06903	0.06873	-0.43%	0.061035	-11.58%	0.1130	✓	0.48
2026-09-26	oos	0.066875	0.066623	-0.38%	0.06903	+3.22%	0.0352	✗	0.48
2026-09-25	oos	0.058715	0.05869	-0.04%	0.066875	+13.90%	0.1288	✗	0.47
2026-09-24	oos	0.0597	0.05968	-0.03%	0.058715	-1.65%	0.0147	✓	0.47
2026-09-23	oos	0.05971	0.059739	+0.05%	0.0597	-0.02%	0.0007	✗	1.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.060325	0.060263	-0.10%	0.05971	-1.02%	0.0121	✗	1.00
2026-09-21	oos	0.06106	0.060948	-0.18%	0.060325	-1.20%	0.0057	✓	1.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.062015	0.061957	-0.09%	0.06106	-1.54%	0.0794	✓	1.00
2026-09-19	oos	0.07045	0.070055	-0.56%	0.062015	-11.97%	0.1210	✓	1.00
2026-09-18	oos	0.066755	0.066296	-0.69%	0.07045	+5.54%	0.0563	✗	1.00
2026-09-17	oos	0.0641	0.0633	-1.25%	0.066755	+4.14%	0.0045	✓	1.00
2026-09-16	oos	0.05471	0.054338	-0.68%	0.0641	+17.16%	0.1625	✗	1.00
2026-09-15	oos	0.043735	0.043911	+0.40%	0.05471	+25.09%	0.2125	✓	1.00
2026-09-14	oos	0.049085	0.04912	+0.07%	0.043735	-10.90%	0.0824	✗	1.00
2026-09-13	oos	0.04818	0.048296	+0.24%	0.049085	+1.88%	0.0015	✓	1.00
2026-09-12	oos	0.050545	0.050669	+0.25%	0.04818	-4.68%	0.0444	✗	1.00
2026-09-11	oos	0.051095	0.05129	+0.38%	0.050545	-1.08%	0.0153	✗	1.00
2026-09-10	oos	0.05233	0.052539	+0.40%	0.051095	-2.36%	0.0366	✗	1.00
2026-09-09	oos	0.05138	0.051661	+0.55%	0.05233	+1.85%	0.0354	✓	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.05349	0.053765	+0.51%	0.05138	-3.94%	0.0433	✗	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.05533	0.055588	+0.47%	0.05349	-3.33%	0.0303	✗	1.00
2026-09-06	oos	0.05607	0.05633	+0.46%	0.05533	-1.32%	0.0023	✓	1.00
2026-09-05	oos	0.055135	0.055524	+0.70%	0.05607	+1.70%	0.0035	✓	1.00
2026-09-04	oos	0.05539	0.055819	+0.77%	0.055135	-0.46%	0.0143	✗	1.00
2026-09-03	oos	0.059025	0.059406	+0.64%	0.05539	-6.16%	0.0502	✗	1.00