ERG

Ergo · native · gru_s2

token id: #922
symbol: ERG
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2024-04-29
predictions: 2,670

Track record at +7d

assessed

393

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

59.5%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0628

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0050

actual -0.0075

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.3079	0.30334	-1.48%	–	pending	–	–	1.34
2026-10-21	oos	0.3086	0.305228	-1.09%	–	pending	–	–	1.34
2026-10-20	oos	0.3475	0.340763	-1.94%	–	pending	–	–	1.36
2026-10-19	oos	0.32025	0.315701	-1.42%	–	pending	–	–	1.35
2026-10-18	oos	0.31585	0.311384	-1.41%	–	pending	–	–	1.34
2026-10-17	oos	0.32405	0.318778	-1.63%	–	pending	–	–	1.35
2026-10-16	oos	0.3098	0.305819	-1.29%	–	pending	–	–	1.35
2026-10-15	oos	0.3241	0.318835	-1.62%	0.3079	-5.00%	0.0685	✓	1.33
2026-10-14	oos	0.2956	0.292658	-1.00%	0.3086	+4.40%	0.0137	✗	1.33
2026-10-13	oos	0.311	0.307001	-1.29%	0.3475	+11.74%	0.1265	✗	1.30
2026-10-12	oos	0.3215	0.317189	-1.34%	0.32025	-0.39%	0.0081	✓	1.31
2026-10-11	oos	0.32625	0.321001	-1.61%	0.31585	-3.19%	0.0096	✓	1.28
2026-10-10	oos	0.3262	0.320224	-1.83%	0.32405	-0.66%	0.0360	✗	1.29
2026-10-09	oos	0.2942	0.290845	-1.14%	0.3098	+5.30%	0.0796	✗	1.29
2026-10-08	oos	0.3076	0.303183	-1.44%	0.3241	+5.36%	0.0599	✗	1.30
2026-10-07	oos	0.2978	0.293942	-1.30%	0.2956	-0.74%	0.0332	✗	1.33
2026-10-06	oos	0.32115	0.315587	-1.73%	0.311	-3.16%	0.0225	✗	1.28
2026-10-05	oos	0.3138	0.308579	-1.66%	0.3215	+2.45%	0.1020	✗	1.27
2026-10-04	oos	0.32445	0.317946	-2.00%	0.32625	+0.55%	0.0678	✗	1.26
2026-10-03	oos	0.3062	0.300964	-1.71%	0.3262	+6.53%	0.1079	✗	1.25
2026-10-02	oos	0.3255	0.318827	-2.05%	0.2942	-9.62%	0.0510	✓	1.25
2026-10-01	oos	0.32945	0.322564	-2.09%	0.3076	-6.63%	0.0002	✓	1.25
2026-09-30	oos	0.3314	0.324399	-2.11%	0.2978	-10.14%	0.0813	✓	1.26
2026-09-29	oos	0.3359	0.328148	-2.31%	0.32115	-4.39%	0.0496	✓	1.25
2026-09-28	oos	0.3236	0.316378	-2.23%	0.3138	-3.03%	0.0426	✓	1.27
2026-09-27	oos	0.3311	0.322969	-2.46%	0.32445	-2.01%	0.0263	✓	1.29
2026-09-26	oos	0.3278	0.319964	-2.39%	0.3062	-6.59%	0.0489	✓	1.29
2026-09-25	oos	0.33875	0.330121	-2.55%	0.3255	-3.91%	0.0204	✓	1.29
2026-09-24	oos	0.3396	0.330889	-2.57%	0.32945	-2.99%	0.0114	✓	1.29
2026-09-23	oos	0.3478	0.337599	-2.93%	0.3314	-4.72%	0.0060	✓	1.28
2026-09-22	oos	0.3403	0.330578	-2.86%	0.3359	-1.29%	0.0558	✗	1.32
2026-09-21	oos	0.32345	0.31389	-2.96%	0.3236	+0.05%	0.0788	✗	1.31
2026-09-20	oos	0.2769	0.271666	-1.89%	0.3311	+19.57%	0.1514	✗	1.17
2026-09-19	oos	0.28165	0.275899	-2.04%	0.3278	+16.39%	0.1276	✗	1.16
2026-09-18	oos	0.28615	0.279473	-2.33%	0.33875	+18.38%	0.1473	✗	1.16
2026-09-17	oos	0.2532	0.250892	-0.91%	0.3396	+34.12%	0.1965	✗	1.06
2026-09-16	oos	0.2491	0.247562	-0.62%	0.3478	+39.62%	0.2312	✗	1.06
2026-09-15	oos	0.24205	0.241895	-0.06%	0.3403	+40.59%	0.2023	✗	1.06
2026-09-14	oos	0.2686	0.265133	-1.29%	0.32345	+20.42%	0.0978	✗	0.99
2026-09-13	oos	0.2597	0.257516	-0.84%	0.2769	+6.62%	0.0180	✗	0.99
2026-09-12	oos	0.2606	0.258473	-0.82%	0.28165	+8.08%	0.0361	✗	0.99
2026-09-11	oos	0.2549	0.253757	-0.45%	0.28615	+12.26%	0.0740	✗	0.99
2026-09-10	oos	0.256	0.254708	-0.50%	0.2532	-1.09%	0.0035	✓	0.99
2026-09-09	oos	0.2494	0.249185	-0.09%	0.2491	-0.12%	0.0282	✗	1.03
2026-09-08	oos	0.2522	0.251528	-0.27%	0.24205	-4.02%	0.0003	✓	1.04
2026-09-07	oos	0.2215	0.224627	+1.41%	0.2686	+21.26%	0.1915	✓	1.09
2026-09-06	oos	0.2646	0.263406	-0.45%	0.2597	-1.85%	0.0296	✗	0.97
2026-09-05	oos	0.2593	0.259347	+0.02%	0.2606	+0.50%	0.0365	✓	0.97
2026-09-04	oos	0.2538	0.255298	+0.59%	0.2549	+0.43%	0.0282	✓	0.95
2026-09-03	oos	0.2634	0.265888	+0.94%	0.256	-2.81%	0.0183	✓	0.94
2026-09-02	oos	0.26055	0.261842	+0.50%	0.2494	-4.28%	0.0613	✗	1.01
2026-09-01	oos	0.2516	0.254033	+0.97%	0.2522	+0.24%	0.0209	✗	1.02
2026-08-31	oos	0.2584	0.260963	+0.99%	0.2215	-14.28%	0.1709	✗	1.04
2026-08-30	oos	0.2469	0.249604	+1.10%	0.2646	+7.17%	0.0236	✓	1.03
2026-08-29	oos	0.2507	0.253602	+1.16%	0.2593	+3.43%	0.0018	✓	1.01
2026-08-28	oos	0.2563	0.258279	+0.77%	0.2538	-0.98%	0.0411	✗	1.01
2026-08-27	oos	0.2586	0.262205	+1.39%	0.2634	+1.86%	0.0081	✓	1.04
2026-08-26	oos	0.2625	0.264611	+0.80%	0.26055	-0.74%	0.0075	✓	1.05
2026-08-25	oos	0.2624	0.263896	+0.57%	0.2516	-4.12%	0.0325	✗	1.05
2026-08-24	oos	0.2673	0.268582	+0.48%	0.2584	-3.33%	0.0330	✗	1.07
2026-08-23	oos	0.2667	0.266876	+0.07%	0.2469	-7.42%	0.0769	✗	1.05
2026-08-22	oos	0.2709	0.269892	-0.37%	0.2507	-7.46%	0.0898	✓	1.06
2026-08-21	oos	0.2675	0.26676	-0.28%	0.2563	-4.19%	0.0333	✓	1.07
2026-08-20	oos	0.2429	0.239261	-1.50%	0.2586	+6.46%	0.0189	✓	1.02
2026-08-19	oos	0.2155	0.212648	-1.32%	0.2625	+21.81%	0.0946	✗	0.88
2026-08-18	oos	0.2014	0.19909	-1.15%	0.2624	+30.29%	0.1094	✗	0.86
2026-08-17	oos	0.2026	0.200318	-1.13%	0.2673	+31.93%	0.1140	✗	0.86
2026-08-16	oos	0.2051	0.202989	-1.03%	0.2667	+30.03%	0.0832	✗	0.89
2026-08-15	oos	0.2025	0.200655	-0.91%	0.2709	+33.78%	0.1210	✗	0.89
2026-08-14	oos	0.207	0.204977	-0.98%	0.2675	+29.23%	0.0708	✗	0.90
2026-08-13	oos	0.209	0.206863	-1.02%	0.2429	+16.22%	0.0326	✗	0.91
2026-08-12	oos	0.2159	0.213405	-1.16%	0.2155	-0.19%	0.0701	✓	0.90
2026-08-11	oos	0.2216	0.218836	-1.25%	0.2014	-9.12%	0.0989	✓	0.88
2026-08-10	oos	0.2382	0.234136	-1.71%	0.2026	-14.95%	0.1524	✓	0.87
2026-08-09	oos	0.2358	0.231862	-1.67%	0.2051	-13.02%	0.0944	✓	0.89
2026-08-08	oos	0.2388	0.234546	-1.78%	0.2025	-15.20%	0.1206	✓	0.89
2026-08-07	oos	0.2356	0.231528	-1.73%	0.207	-12.14%	0.0854	✓	0.89
2026-08-06	oos	0.2341	0.229905	-1.79%	0.209	-10.72%	0.0837	✓	0.88
2026-08-05	oos	0.2253	0.221775	-1.56%	0.2159	-4.17%	0.0103	✓	0.89
2026-08-04	oos	0.222	0.218683	-1.49%	0.2216	-0.18%	0.0205	✗	0.89
2026-08-03	oos	0.2162	0.213383	-1.30%	0.2382	+10.18%	0.1039	✗	0.88
2026-08-02	oos	0.2141	0.211349	-1.28%	0.2358	+10.14%	0.0905	✗	0.90
2026-08-01	oos	0.202	0.200439	-0.77%	0.2388	+18.22%	0.1457	✗	0.88
2026-07-31	oos	0.2046	0.202962	-0.80%	0.2356	+15.15%	0.1208	✗	0.88
2026-07-30	oos	0.2073	0.205349	-0.94%	0.2341	+12.93%	0.1373	✗	0.89
2026-07-29	oos	0.2084	0.206497	-0.91%	0.2253	+8.11%	0.0773	✗	0.89
2026-07-28	oos	0.2074	0.205615	-0.86%	0.222	+7.04%	0.0738	✗	0.89
2026-07-27	oos	0.2007	0.199518	-0.59%	0.2162	+7.72%	0.0835	✗	0.89
2026-07-26	oos	0.2085	0.206937	-0.75%	0.2141	+2.69%	0.0590	✗	0.87
2026-07-25	oos	0.2153	0.213466	-0.85%	0.202	-6.18%	0.0334	✓	0.90
2026-07-24	oos	0.2163	0.214506	-0.83%	0.2046	-5.41%	0.0296	✓	0.89
2026-07-23	oos	0.2203	0.218345	-0.89%	0.2073	-5.90%	0.0474	✓	0.89
2026-07-22	oos	0.2181	0.216485	-0.74%	0.2084	-4.45%	0.0076	✓	0.90
2026-07-21	oos	0.2235	0.22168	-0.81%	0.2074	-7.20%	0.0297	✓	0.90
2026-07-20	oos	0.2198	0.218078	-0.78%	0.2007	-8.69%	0.0620	✓	0.89
2026-07-19	oos	0.2206	0.21885	-0.79%	0.2085	-5.49%	0.0575	✓	0.89
2026-07-18	oos	0.2211	0.219363	-0.79%	0.2153	-2.62%	0.0120	✓	0.86
2026-07-17	oos	0.2211	0.219318	-0.81%	0.2163	-2.17%	0.0164	✓	0.86
2026-07-16	oos	0.22	0.218299	-0.77%	0.2203	+0.14%	0.0080	✓	0.86
2026-07-15	oos	0.22	0.218358	-0.75%	0.2181	-0.86%	0.0195	✓	0.87
2026-07-14	oos	0.2129	0.211768	-0.53%	0.2235	+4.98%	0.0335	✗	0.88
2026-07-13	oos	0.2103	0.20938	-0.44%	0.2198	+4.52%	0.0061	✗	0.92
2026-07-12	oos	0.2215	0.220024	-0.67%	0.2206	-0.41%	0.0105	✓	0.90
2026-07-11	oos	0.2202	0.218847	-0.61%	0.2211	+0.41%	0.0034	✓	0.86
2026-07-10	oos	0.2189	0.21773	-0.53%	0.2211	+1.01%	0.0186	✗	0.87
2026-07-09	oos	0.2182	0.217124	-0.49%	0.22	+0.82%	0.0049	✓	0.88
2026-07-08	oos	0.2216	0.220406	-0.54%	0.22	-0.72%	0.0369	✓	0.90
2026-07-07	oos	0.2215	0.220368	-0.51%	0.2129	-3.88%	0.0579	✓	0.90
2026-07-06	oos	0.2231	0.221873	-0.55%	0.2103	-5.74%	0.0289	✓	0.90
2026-07-05	oos	0.2159	0.215111	-0.37%	0.2215	+2.59%	0.0272	✗	0.84
2026-07-04	oos	0.2129	0.212332	-0.27%	0.2202	+3.43%	0.0273	✗	0.84
2026-07-03	oos	0.2128	0.212255	-0.26%	0.2189	+2.87%	0.0098	✗	0.83
2026-07-02	oos	0.2079	0.20771	-0.09%	0.2182	+4.95%	0.0268	✗	0.83
2026-07-01	oos	0.2034	0.203725	+0.16%	0.2216	+8.95%	0.0534	✓	0.82
2026-06-30	oos	0.1904	0.191956	+0.82%	0.2215	+16.33%	0.0810	✓	0.79
2026-06-29	oos	0.2025	0.203187	+0.34%	0.2231	+10.17%	0.0465	✓	0.76
2026-06-28	oos	0.2027	0.203676	+0.48%	0.2159	+6.51%	0.0073	✓	0.76
2026-06-27	oos	0.2048	0.205711	+0.44%	0.2129	+3.96%	0.0049	✗	0.77
2026-06-26	oos	0.2051	0.206163	+0.52%	0.2128	+3.75%	0.0001	✓	0.77
2026-06-25	oos	0.2124	0.213331	+0.44%	0.2079	-2.12%	0.0486	✗	0.78
2026-06-24	oos	0.2201	0.220423	+0.15%	0.2034	-7.59%	0.0677	✗	0.75
2026-06-23	oos	0.2215	0.221474	-0.01%	0.1904	-14.04%	0.1002	✓	0.75
2026-06-22	oos	0.221	0.220872	-0.06%	0.2025	-8.37%	0.0405	✓	0.76
2026-06-21	oos	0.2177	0.21793	+0.11%	0.2027	-6.89%	0.0261	✗	0.76
2026-06-20	oos	0.2176	0.217753	+0.07%	0.2048	-5.88%	0.0081	✗	0.77
2026-06-19	oos	0.2143	0.214857	+0.26%	0.2051	-4.29%	0.0034	✗	0.77
2026-06-18	oos	0.2135	0.214378	+0.41%	0.2124	-0.52%	0.0300	✓	0.76
2026-06-17	oos	0.2198	0.220219	+0.19%	0.2201	+0.14%	0.0404	✓	0.74
2026-06-16	oos	0.2256	0.225685	+0.04%	0.2215	-1.82%	0.0162	✓	0.75
2026-06-15	oos	0.2333	0.232891	-0.18%	0.221	-5.27%	0.0252	✓	0.76
2026-06-14	oos	0.2264	0.226488	+0.04%	0.2177	-3.84%	0.0106	✗	0.76
2026-06-13	oos	0.2221	0.222809	+0.32%	0.2176	-2.03%	0.0212	✗	0.76
2026-06-12	oos	0.2221	0.223217	+0.50%	0.2143	-3.51%	0.0400	✗	0.77
2026-06-11	oos	0.2206	0.221972	+0.62%	0.2135	-3.22%	0.0306	✗	0.77
2026-06-10	oos	0.2103	0.213378	+1.46%	0.2198	+4.52%	0.0061	✓	0.75
2026-06-09	oos	0.2162	0.219262	+1.42%	0.2256	+4.35%	0.0176	✗	0.75
2026-06-08	oos	0.2124	0.215489	+1.45%	0.2333	+9.84%	0.0413	✓	0.77
2026-06-07	oos	0.2127	0.216135	+1.62%	0.2264	+6.44%	0.0180	✓	0.76
2026-06-06	oos	0.2096	0.215018	+2.59%	0.2221	+5.96%	0.0104	✓	0.75
2026-06-05	oos	0.2146	0.220279	+2.65%	0.2221	+3.49%	0.0214	✓	0.74
2026-06-04	oos	0.2273	0.23133	+1.77%	0.2206	-2.95%	0.0448	✗	0.71
2026-06-03	oos	0.2368	0.240664	+1.63%	0.2103	-11.19%	0.1078	✗	0.65
2026-06-02	oos	0.2532	0.254952	+0.69%	0.2162	-14.61%	0.1169	✗	0.62
2026-06-01	oos	0.2713	0.269487	-0.67%	0.2124	-21.71%	0.1801	✓	0.47
2026-05-31	oos	0.2757	0.272626	-1.11%	0.2127	-22.85%	0.1767	✓	0.48
2026-05-30	oos	0.2721	0.26924	-1.05%	0.2096	-22.97%	0.1685	✓	0.43
2026-05-29	oos	0.2634	0.261525	-0.71%	0.2146	-18.53%	0.1185	✓	0.43
2026-05-28	oos	0.2594	0.258061	-0.52%	0.2273	-12.37%	0.0646	✓	0.44
2026-05-27	oos	0.2701	0.267939	-0.80%	0.2368	-12.33%	0.0586	✓	0.44
2026-05-26	oos	0.2839	0.280301	-1.27%	0.2532	-10.81%	0.0481	✓	0.42
2026-05-25	oos	0.2783	0.275044	-1.17%	0.2713	-2.52%	0.0330	✗	0.58
2026-05-24	oos	0.2851	0.281509	-1.26%	0.2757	-3.30%	0.0048	✓	0.57
2026-05-23	oos	0.2851	0.281723	-1.18%	0.2721	-4.56%	0.0146	✓	0.53
2026-05-22	oos	0.2834	0.280776	-0.93%	0.2634	-7.06%	0.0491	✓	0.53
2026-05-21	oos	0.2818	0.278988	-1.00%	0.2594	-7.95%	0.0436	✓	0.55
2026-05-20	oos	0.2889	0.285638	-1.13%	0.2701	-6.51%	0.0335	✓	0.54
2026-05-19	oos	0.2876	0.284753	-0.99%	0.2839	-1.29%	0.0036	✓	0.53
2026-05-18	oos	0.285	0.282612	-0.84%	0.2783	-2.35%	0.0175	✓	0.54
2026-05-17	oos	0.2835	0.28145	-0.72%	0.2851	+0.56%	0.0159	✗	0.53
2026-05-16	oos	0.2893	0.286996	-0.80%	0.2851	-1.45%	0.0034	✓	0.53
2026-05-15	oos	0.3044	0.300981	-1.12%	0.2834	-6.90%	0.0340	✓	0.56
2026-05-14	oos	0.3073	0.304298	-0.98%	0.2818	-8.30%	0.0516	✓	0.57
2026-05-13	oos	0.3072	0.303925	-1.07%	0.2889	-5.96%	0.0374	✓	0.57
2026-05-12	oos	0.3097	0.306699	-0.97%	0.2876	-7.14%	0.0373	✓	0.57
2026-05-11	oos	0.322	0.318422	-1.11%	0.285	-11.49%	0.0757	✓	0.58
2026-05-10	oos	0.312	0.309655	-0.75%	0.2835	-9.13%	0.0529	✓	0.59
2026-05-09	oos	0.3089	0.306249	-0.86%	0.2893	-6.35%	0.0380	✓	0.59
2026-05-08	oos	0.3094	0.306653	-0.89%	0.3044	-1.62%	0.0009	✓	0.58
2026-05-07	oos	0.3081	0.305562	-0.82%	0.3073	-0.26%	0.0021	✓	0.58
2026-05-06	oos	0.3159	0.313592	-0.73%	0.3072	-2.75%	0.0013	✓	0.72
2026-05-05	oos	0.3184	0.315578	-0.89%	0.3097	-2.73%	0.0159	✓	0.55
2026-05-04	oos	0.3008	0.299004	-0.60%	0.322	+7.05%	0.0617	✗	0.54
2026-05-03	oos	0.2986	0.296618	-0.66%	0.312	+4.49%	0.0272	✗	0.51
2026-05-02	oos	0.3012	0.299208	-0.66%	0.3089	+2.56%	0.0190	✗	0.52
2026-05-01	oos	0.3025	0.300337	-0.72%	0.3094	+2.28%	0.0166	✗	0.53
2026-04-30	oos	0.2967	0.294536	-0.73%	0.3081	+3.84%	0.0187	✗	0.55
2026-04-29	oos	0.297	0.294803	-0.74%	0.3159	+6.36%	0.0288	✗	0.56
2026-04-28	oos	0.3045	0.301831	-0.88%	0.3184	+4.56%	0.0208	✗	0.56
2026-04-27	oos	0.3048	0.302557	-0.74%	0.3008	-1.31%	0.0235	✓	0.56
2026-04-26	oos	0.3118	0.309881	-0.62%	0.2986	-4.23%	0.0363	✓	0.56
2026-04-25	oos	0.317	0.314045	-0.93%	0.3012	-4.98%	0.0491	✓	0.56
2026-04-24	oos	0.3129	0.310099	-0.90%	0.3025	-3.32%	0.0303	✓	0.56
2026-04-23	oos	0.3148	0.312494	-0.73%	0.2967	-5.75%	0.0376	✓	0.56
2026-04-22	oos	0.3196	0.316992	-0.82%	0.297	-7.07%	0.0474	✓	0.56
2026-04-21	oos	0.3156	0.312082	-1.11%	0.3045	-3.52%	0.0244	✓	0.56
2026-04-20	oos	0.3163	0.312517	-1.20%	0.3048	-3.64%	0.0360	✓	0.56
2026-04-19	oos	0.3194	0.314656	-1.49%	0.3118	-2.38%	0.0459	✓	0.58
2026-04-18	oos	0.3251	0.320728	-1.34%	0.317	-2.49%	0.0261	✓	0.58
2026-04-17	oos	0.3307	0.326762	-1.19%	0.3129	-5.38%	0.0461	✓	0.58
2026-04-16	oos	0.3227	0.318235	-1.38%	0.3148	-2.45%	0.0343	✓	0.58
2026-04-15	oos	0.3162	0.312045	-1.31%	0.3196	+1.08%	0.0014	✓	0.57
2026-04-14	oos	0.3113	0.307094	-1.35%	0.3156	+1.38%	0.0107	✓	0.58
2026-04-13	oos	0.3071	0.303143	-1.29%	0.3163	+3.00%	0.0312	✗	0.60
2026-04-12	oos	0.3009	0.296627	-1.42%	0.3194	+6.15%	0.0484	✗	0.60
2026-04-11	oos	0.3148	0.309772	-1.60%	0.3251	+3.27%	0.0271	✗	0.59
2026-04-10	oos	0.3055	0.301019	-1.47%	0.3307	+8.25%	0.0617	✗	0.59
2026-04-09	oos	0.2999	0.295626	-1.43%	0.3227	+7.60%	0.0606	✗	0.59
2026-04-08	oos	0.3008	0.296413	-1.46%	0.3162	+5.12%	0.0343	✗	0.59
2026-04-07	oos	0.2992	0.295018	-1.40%	0.3113	+4.04%	0.0354	✗	0.59
2026-04-06	oos	0.2993	0.294849	-1.49%	0.3071	+2.61%	0.0071	✓	0.61
2026-04-05	oos	0.2963	0.292087	-1.42%	0.3009	+1.55%	0.0144	✗	0.61
2026-04-04	oos	0.2965	0.292795	-1.25%	0.3148	+6.17%	0.0215	✗	0.62
2026-04-03	oos	0.2858	0.28333	-0.86%	0.3055	+6.89%	0.0222	✗	0.62
2026-04-02	oos	0.2881	0.285753	-0.81%	0.2999	+4.10%	0.0049	✓	0.61
2026-04-01	oos	0.2941	0.291057	-1.03%	0.3008	+2.28%	0.0066	✓	0.62
2026-03-31	oos	0.2794	0.277694	-0.61%	0.2992	+7.09%	0.0419	✗	0.62
2026-03-30	oos	0.2749	0.274287	-0.22%	0.2993	+8.88%	0.0678	✗	0.62
2026-03-29	oos	0.2709	0.271254	+0.13%	0.2963	+9.38%	0.0599	✓	0.63
2026-03-28	oos	0.2802	0.280154	-0.02%	0.2965	+5.82%	0.0476	✗	0.63
2026-03-27	oos	0.2859	0.285732	-0.06%	0.2858	-0.03%	0.0055	✓	0.63
2026-03-26	oos	0.2899	0.288995	-0.31%	0.2881	-0.62%	0.0145	✗	0.64
2026-03-25	oos	0.2946	0.293304	-0.44%	0.2941	-0.17%	0.0321	✗	0.64
2026-03-24	oos	0.2932	0.292197	-0.34%	0.2794	-4.71%	0.0234	✓	0.64
2026-03-23	oos	0.2964	0.295302	-0.37%	0.2749	-7.25%	0.0330	✓	0.64
2026-03-22	oos	0.2855	0.285732	+0.08%	0.2709	-5.11%	0.0353	✗	0.64
2026-03-21	oos	0.2883	0.288301	+0.00%	0.2802	-2.81%	0.0040	✗	0.64
2026-03-20	oos	0.2895	0.289514	+0.00%	0.2859	-1.24%	0.0261	✓	0.64
2026-03-19	oos	0.2995	0.299275	-0.08%	0.2899	-3.21%	0.0211	✓	0.64
2026-03-18	oos	0.3148	0.314019	-0.25%	0.2946	-6.42%	0.0644	✓	0.66
2026-03-17	oos	0.3292	0.328349	-0.26%	0.2932	-10.94%	0.0824	✓	0.65
2026-03-16	oos	0.3351	0.334384	-0.21%	0.2964	-11.55%	0.0850	✓	0.65
2026-03-15	oos	0.3261	0.325405	-0.21%	0.2855	-12.45%	0.0853	✓	0.64
2026-03-14	oos	0.3161	0.315719	-0.12%	0.2883	-8.79%	0.0695	✓	0.65
2026-03-13	oos	0.3232	0.322531	-0.21%	0.2895	-10.43%	0.1040	✓	0.64
2026-03-12	oos	0.3165	0.316223	-0.09%	0.2995	-5.37%	0.0487	✓	0.64
2026-03-11	oos	0.3187	0.318404	-0.09%	0.3148	-1.22%	0.0208	✓	0.64
2026-03-10	oos	0.3219	0.321524	-0.12%	0.3292	+2.27%	0.0118	✓	0.64
2026-03-09	oos	0.3212	0.32093	-0.08%	0.3351	+4.33%	0.0148	✓	0.64
2026-03-08	oos	0.3212	0.321305	+0.03%	0.3261	+1.53%	0.0493	✗	0.65
2026-03-07	oos	0.3189	0.319028	+0.04%	0.3161	-0.88%	0.0466	✗	0.65
2026-03-06	oos	0.3199	0.31999	+0.03%	0.3232	+1.03%	0.0167	✗	0.65
2026-03-05	oos	0.3148	0.31522	+0.13%	0.3165	+0.54%	0.0075	✓	0.68
2026-03-04	oos	0.3237	0.324097	+0.12%	0.3187	-1.54%	0.0065	✓	0.67
2026-03-03	oos	0.3307	0.330822	+0.04%	0.3219	-2.66%	0.0444	✗	0.72
2026-03-02	oos	0.3376	0.337541	-0.02%	0.3212	-4.86%	0.0455	✓	0.71
2026-03-01	oos	0.3457	0.34569	-0.00%	0.3212	-7.09%	0.0758	✓	0.77
2026-02-28	oos	0.3555	0.354832	-0.19%	0.3189	-10.30%	0.1102	✓	0.79
2026-02-27	oos	0.3473	0.347436	+0.04%	0.3199	-7.89%	0.1089	✗	0.78
2026-02-26	oos	0.3555	0.354887	-0.17%	0.3148	-11.45%	0.1583	✓	0.78
2026-02-25	oos	0.3599	0.358431	-0.41%	0.3237	-10.06%	0.1541	✓	0.78
2026-02-24	oos	0.3165	0.319012	+0.79%	0.3307	+4.49%	0.0094	✗	0.70
2026-02-23	oos	0.2971	0.300727	+1.22%	0.3376	+13.63%	0.0720	✓	0.69
2026-02-22	oos	0.2942	0.297054	+0.97%	0.3457	+17.51%	0.1715	✓	0.71
2026-02-21	oos	0.3041	0.306657	+0.84%	0.3555	+16.90%	0.1581	✓	0.71
2026-02-20	oos	0.3051	0.307891	+0.91%	0.3473	+13.83%	0.1445	✓	0.76
2026-02-19	oos	0.3108	0.314035	+1.04%	0.3555	+14.38%	0.1182	✓	0.76
2026-02-18	oos	0.3208	0.32413	+1.04%	0.3599	+12.19%	0.0868	✓	0.76
2026-02-17	oos	0.3293	0.332085	+0.85%	0.3165	-3.89%	0.0087	✗	0.76
2026-02-16	oos	0.3295	0.332067	+0.78%	0.2971	-9.83%	0.0620	✗	0.78
2026-02-15	oos	0.3322	0.335055	+0.86%	0.2942	-11.44%	0.1166	✗	0.78
2026-02-14	oos	0.3748	0.375514	+0.19%	0.3041	-18.86%	0.1906	✗	0.76
2026-02-13	oos	0.3708	0.372392	+0.43%	0.3051	-17.72%	0.1901	✗	0.76
2026-02-12	oos	0.3621	0.366026	+1.08%	0.3108	-14.17%	0.1723	✗	0.77
2026-02-11	oos	0.3606	0.364806	+1.17%	0.3208	-11.04%	0.1213	✗	0.79
2026-02-10	oos	0.3798	0.382608	+0.74%	0.3293	-13.30%	0.1345	✗	0.79
2026-02-09	oos	0.3844	0.386927	+0.66%	0.3295	-14.28%	0.1464	✗	0.80
2026-02-08	oos	0.3955	0.397979	+0.63%	0.3322	-16.01%	0.1638	✗	0.79
2026-02-07	oos	0.401	0.404534	+0.88%	0.3748	-6.53%	0.0825	✗	0.79
2026-02-06	oos	0.4073	0.409922	+0.64%	0.3708	-8.96%	0.0810	✗	0.78
2026-02-05	oos	0.3562	0.369561	+3.75%	0.3621	+1.66%	0.0573	✗	0.70
2026-02-04	oos	0.3647	0.370725	+1.65%	0.3606	-1.12%	0.0582	✓	1.01
2026-02-03	oos	0.3649	0.369786	+1.34%	0.3798	+4.08%	0.1259	✓	1.04
2026-02-02	oos	0.3573	0.361369	+1.14%	0.3844	+7.58%	0.1958	✓	1.16
2026-02-01	oos	0.3458	0.352654	+1.98%	0.3955	+14.37%	0.2115	✓	1.08
2026-01-31	oos	0.3625	0.367855	+1.48%	0.401	+10.62%	0.2261	✓	1.10
2026-01-30	oos	0.3901	0.390688	+0.15%	0.4073	+4.41%	0.2346	✓	1.10
2026-01-29	oos	0.4085	0.408037	-0.11%	0.3562	-12.80%	0.1892	✗	1.09
2026-01-28	oos	0.424	0.420668	-0.79%	0.3647	-13.99%	0.0810	✗	1.12
2026-01-27	oos	0.4317	0.428036	-0.85%	0.3649	-15.47%	0.0205	✗	1.10
2026-01-26	oos	0.426	0.423308	-0.63%	0.3573	-16.13%	0.0460	✓	1.07
2026-01-25	oos	0.4285	0.426554	-0.45%	0.3458	-19.30%	0.0779	✓	1.11
2026-01-24	oos	0.4337	0.430424	-0.76%	0.3625	-16.42%	0.0307	✓	1.13
2026-01-23	oos	0.4331	0.42978	-0.77%	0.3901	-9.93%	0.0239	✓	1.18
2026-01-22	oos	0.4377	0.434285	-0.78%	0.4085	-6.67%	0.0059	✓	1.18
2026-01-21	oos	0.449	0.444252	-1.06%	0.424	-5.57%	0.0440	✓	1.19
2026-01-20	oos	0.4326	0.429375	-0.75%	0.4317	-0.21%	0.0056	✓	1.21
2026-01-19	oos	0.4542	0.448512	-1.25%	0.426	-6.21%	0.0069	✓	1.23
2026-01-18	oos	0.4629	0.457018	-1.27%	0.4285	-7.43%	0.0327	✗	1.24
2026-01-17	oos	0.474	0.46809	-1.25%	0.4337	-8.50%	0.0036	✓	1.22
2026-01-16	oos	0.4795	0.473592	-1.23%	0.4331	-9.68%	0.0081	✓	1.25
2026-01-15	oos	0.4907	0.484254	-1.31%	0.4377	-10.80%	0.0184	✓	1.25
2026-01-14	oos	0.5107	0.502877	-1.53%	0.449	-12.08%	0.0122	✓	1.24
2026-01-13	oos	0.4585	0.453669	-1.05%	0.4326	-5.65%	0.0454	✗	1.21
2026-01-12	oos	0.4475	0.443089	-0.99%	0.4542	+1.50%	0.0061	✓	1.25
2026-01-11	oos	0.4526	0.448147	-0.98%	0.4629	+2.28%	0.0051	✓	1.25
2026-01-10	oos	0.454	0.449699	-0.95%	0.474	+4.41%	0.0114	✓	1.25
2026-01-09	oos	0.4606	0.45594	-1.01%	0.4795	+4.10%	0.0222	✓	1.35
2026-01-08	oos	0.4526	0.448643	-0.87%	0.4907	+8.42%	0.0251	✗	1.32
2026-01-07	oos	0.4587	0.454653	-0.88%	0.5107	+11.34%	0.0314	✗	1.41
2026-01-06	oos	0.4844	0.47938	-1.04%	0.4585	-5.35%	0.0692	✓	1.40
2026-01-05	oos	0.4995	0.493549	-1.19%	0.4475	-10.41%	0.0574	✓	1.40
2026-01-04	oos	0.4915	0.485822	-1.16%	0.4526	-7.91%	0.0612	✓	1.42
2026-01-03	oos	0.4866	0.481154	-1.12%	0.454	-6.70%	0.0546	✓	1.42
2026-01-02	oos	0.4923	0.486552	-1.17%	0.4606	-6.44%	0.0636	✓	1.42
2026-01-01	oos	0.4832	0.478416	-0.99%	0.4526	-6.33%	0.0916	✓	1.42
2025-12-31	oos	0.4664	0.463335	-0.66%	0.4587	-1.65%	0.0692	✓	1.40
2025-12-30	oos	0.4959	0.490714	-1.05%	0.4844	-2.32%	0.0943	✓	1.39
2025-12-29	oos	0.476	0.472493	-0.74%	0.4995	+4.94%	0.0480	✓	1.39
2025-12-28	oos	0.4782	0.473986	-0.88%	0.4915	+2.78%	0.0197	✓	1.39
2025-12-27	oos	0.4315	0.430547	-0.22%	0.4866	+12.77%	0.0800	✗	1.35
2025-12-26	oos	0.4283	0.42805	-0.06%	0.4923	+14.94%	0.0993	✗	1.35
2025-12-25	oos	0.4313	0.431263	-0.01%	0.4832	+12.03%	0.0896	✗	1.35
2025-12-24	oos	0.4427	0.442131	-0.13%	0.4664	+5.35%	0.0551	✗	1.35
2025-12-23	oos	0.4458	0.445433	-0.08%	0.4959	+11.24%	0.0925	✗	1.35
2025-12-22	oos	0.4655	0.464006	-0.32%	0.476	+2.26%	0.0477	✗	1.35
2025-12-21	oos	0.476	0.474113	-0.40%	0.4782	+0.46%	0.0203	✗	1.35
2025-12-20	oos	0.496	0.493048	-0.60%	0.4315	-13.00%	0.1253	✓	1.37
2025-12-19	oos	0.4871	0.484729	-0.49%	0.4283	-12.07%	0.1114	✓	1.37
2025-12-18	oos	0.4528	0.453939	+0.25%	0.4313	-4.75%	0.0777	✗	1.34
2025-12-17	oos	0.4629	0.463288	+0.08%	0.4427	-4.36%	0.0670	✗	1.34
2025-12-16	oos	0.4552	0.455621	+0.09%	0.4458	-2.07%	0.0152	✗	1.36
2025-12-15	oos	0.4505	0.452223	+0.38%	0.4655	+3.33%	0.0045	✗	1.37
2025-12-14	oos	0.4757	0.475454	-0.05%	0.476	+0.06%	0.0060	✓	1.35
2025-12-13	oos	0.4768	0.476123	-0.14%	0.496	+4.03%	0.0703	✗	1.36
2025-12-12	oos	0.4816	0.481034	-0.12%	0.4871	+1.14%	0.0458	✗	1.36
2025-12-11	oos	0.4952	0.493804	-0.28%	0.4528	-8.56%	0.0218	✗	1.36
2025-12-10	oos	0.5148	0.512494	-0.45%	0.4629	-10.08%	0.0121	✓	1.37
2025-12-09	oos	0.5209	0.518355	-0.49%	0.4552	-12.61%	0.0565	✓	1.37
2025-12-08	oos	0.5243	0.522184	-0.40%	0.4505	-14.08%	0.0817	✓	1.38
2025-12-07	oos	0.5344	0.531822	-0.48%	0.4757	-10.98%	0.0770	✓	1.38
2025-12-06	oos	0.5254	0.523628	-0.34%	0.4768	-9.25%	0.1089	✓	1.38
2025-12-05	oos	0.5042	0.503958	-0.05%	0.4816	-4.48%	0.0597	✓	1.38
2025-12-04	oos	0.51	0.50913	-0.17%	0.4952	-2.90%	0.0346	✓	1.41
2025-12-03	oos	0.5193	0.518074	-0.24%	0.5148	-0.87%	0.0152	✗	1.41
2025-12-02	oos	0.5385	0.536666	-0.34%	0.5209	-3.27%	0.0516	✓	1.45
2025-12-01	oos	0.5006	0.502819	+0.44%	0.5243	+4.73%	0.0301	✗	1.46
2025-11-30	oos	0.5414	0.540578	-0.15%	0.5344	-1.29%	0.0120	✓	1.45
2025-11-29	oos	0.5481	0.547241	-0.16%	0.5254	-4.14%	0.0158	✓	1.44
2025-11-28	oos	0.5844	0.581869	-0.43%	0.5042	-13.72%	0.1183	✓	1.44
2025-11-27	oos	0.6029	0.599287	-0.60%	0.51	-15.41%	0.1735	✓	1.44
2025-11-26	oos	0.6179	0.613317	-0.74%	0.5193	-15.96%	0.2128	✓	1.43
2025-11-25	oos	0.6249	0.620612	-0.69%	0.5385	-13.83%	0.2081	✓	1.48
2025-11-24	oos	0.6041	0.601545	-0.42%	0.5006	-17.13%	0.1497	✓	1.49
2025-11-23	oos	0.62	0.615556	-0.72%	0.5414	-12.68%	0.1894	✓	1.52
2025-11-22	oos	0.5308	0.535295	+0.85%	0.5481	+3.26%	0.0781	✗	1.45
2025-11-21	oos	0.4518	0.462345	+2.33%	0.5844	+29.35%	0.1384	✓	1.44
2025-11-20	oos	0.4514	0.461984	+2.34%	0.6029	+33.56%	0.1877	✓	1.46
2025-11-19	oos	0.4723	0.479123	+1.44%	0.6179	+30.83%	0.2712	✓	1.54
2025-11-18	oos	0.5104	0.514618	+0.83%	0.6249	+22.43%	0.2889	✓	1.53
2025-11-17	oos	0.501	0.50702	+1.20%	0.6041	+20.58%	0.2400	✓	1.52
2025-11-16	oos	0.514	0.518458	+0.87%	0.62	+20.62%	0.3055	✓	1.55
2025-11-15	oos	0.5203	0.524295	+0.77%	0.5308	+2.02%	0.1999	✓	1.55
2025-11-14	oos	0.5215	0.526914	+1.04%	0.4518	-13.37%	0.0103	✓	1.56
2025-11-13	oos	0.5679	0.567909	+0.00%	0.4514	-20.51%	0.0099	✗	1.56
2025-11-12	oos	0.597	0.594719	-0.38%	0.4723	-20.89%	0.0666	✓	1.55
2025-11-11	oos	0.6214	0.617295	-0.66%	0.5104	-17.86%	0.0306	✓	1.55
2025-11-10	oos	0.6228	0.617928	-0.78%	0.501	-19.56%	0.0126	✗	1.58
2025-11-09	oos	0.6417	0.636007	-0.89%	0.514	-19.90%	0.0433	✓	1.60
2025-11-08	oos	0.6406	0.635968	-0.72%	0.5203	-18.78%	0.0897	✓	1.63
2025-11-07	oos	0.6439	0.638361	-0.86%	0.5215	-19.01%	0.0572	✓	1.63
2025-11-06	oos	0.6153	0.613096	-0.36%	0.5679	-7.70%	0.0495	✓	1.62
2025-11-05	oos	0.6439	0.637193	-1.04%	0.597	-7.28%	0.0301	✓	1.61
2025-11-04	oos	0.5716	0.572018	+0.07%	0.6214	+8.71%	0.0597	✓	1.53
2025-11-03	oos	0.5617	0.55998	-0.31%	0.6228	+10.88%	0.1156	✗	1.70
2025-11-02	oos	0.6098	0.603746	-0.99%	0.6417	+5.23%	0.1526	✗	1.69
2025-11-01	oos	0.6287	0.622058	-1.06%	0.6406	+1.89%	0.1539	✗	1.70
2025-10-31	oos	0.6247	0.619079	-0.90%	0.6439	+3.07%	0.1397	✗	1.70
2025-10-30	oos	0.6303	0.624555	-0.91%	0.6153	-2.38%	0.0998	✗	1.71
2025-10-29	oos	0.609	0.603918	-0.83%	0.6439	+5.73%	0.1652	✗	1.75
2025-10-28	oos	0.603	0.597925	-0.84%	0.5716	-5.21%	0.1439	✗	1.77
2025-10-27	oos	0.69	0.679726	-1.49%	0.5617	-18.59%	0.0727	✓	1.73
2025-10-26	oos	0.7419	0.726348	-2.10%	0.6098	-17.81%	0.1135	✓	1.72
2025-10-25	oos	0.6788	0.668786	-1.48%	0.6287	-7.38%	0.0373	✓	1.68
2025-10-24	oos	0.6829	0.672939	-1.46%	0.6247	-8.52%	0.0519	✓	1.67
2025-10-23	oos	0.6635	0.655758	-1.17%	0.6303	-5.00%	0.0121	✓	1.66
2025-10-22	oos	0.6152	0.612723	-0.40%	0.609	-1.01%	0.0425	✓	1.62
2025-10-21	oos	0.6325	0.629263	-0.51%	0.603	-4.66%	0.1090	✓	1.62
2025-10-20	oos	0.6661	0.659294	-1.02%	0.69	+3.59%	0.0058	✓	1.64
2025-10-19	oos	0.6731	0.666522	-0.98%	0.7419	+10.22%	0.0211	✗	1.64
2025-10-18	oos	0.6227	0.621778	-0.15%	0.6788	+9.01%	0.0226	✗	1.60
2025-10-17	oos	0.6126	0.613869	+0.21%	0.6829	+11.48%	0.0395	✓	1.59
2025-10-16	oos	0.6252	0.625183	-0.00%	0.6635	+6.13%	0.0314	✗	1.60
2025-10-15	oos	0.6547	0.651398	-0.50%	0.6152	-6.03%	0.0108	✓	1.57
2025-10-14	oos	0.6761	0.6701	-0.89%	0.6325	-6.45%	0.0096	✗	1.58
2025-10-13	oos	0.6991	0.690068	-1.29%	0.6661	-4.72%	0.0316	✗	1.61
2025-10-12	oos	0.7064	0.695259	-1.58%	0.6731	-4.71%	0.0604	✗	1.62
2025-10-11	oos	0.6166	0.616184	-0.07%	0.6227	+0.99%	0.0600	✗	1.52
2025-10-10	oos	0.5866	0.587144	+0.09%	0.6126	+4.43%	0.1383	✓	1.61
2025-10-09	oos	0.6817	0.674685	-1.03%	0.6252	-8.29%	0.1016	✗	1.51
2025-10-08	oos	0.7125	0.704486	-1.12%	0.6547	-8.11%	0.0850	✗	1.48
2025-10-07	oos	0.7047	0.696165	-1.21%	0.6761	-4.06%	0.0740	✗	1.45
2025-10-06	oos	0.736	0.729114	-0.94%	0.6991	-5.01%	0.0719	✗	1.45
2025-10-05	oos	0.7141	0.707138	-0.97%	0.7064	-1.08%	0.1007	✗	1.44
2025-10-04	oos	0.7215	0.7134	-1.12%	0.6166	-14.54%	0.0026	✓	1.43
2025-10-03	oos	0.7328	0.723924	-1.21%	0.5866	-19.95%	0.0961	✓	1.44
2025-10-02	oos	0.7458	0.734815	-1.47%	0.6817	-8.59%	0.0882	✓	1.46
2025-10-01	oos	0.728	0.716586	-1.57%	0.7125	-2.13%	0.0624	✓	1.46
2025-09-30	oos	0.6868	0.678561	-1.20%	0.7047	+2.61%	0.0524	✓	1.45
2025-09-29	oos	0.693	0.684646	-1.21%	0.736	+6.20%	0.0608	✓	1.54
2025-09-28	oos	0.7095	0.701387	-1.14%	0.7141	+0.65%	0.1398	✓	1.64
2025-09-27	oos	0.6949	0.689846	-0.73%	0.7215	+3.83%	0.1375	✓	1.66
2025-09-26	oos	0.6826	0.67901	-0.53%	0.7328	+7.35%	0.1039	✓	1.65
2025-09-25	oos	0.6951	0.691938	-0.45%	0.7458	+7.29%	0.0943	✓	1.68
2025-09-24	oos	0.7374	0.72955	-1.06%	0.728	-1.27%	0.0799	✓	1.70
2025-09-23	oos	0.7157	0.71067	-0.70%	0.6868	-4.04%	0.0651	✓	1.70
2025-09-22	oos	0.7471	0.740878	-0.83%	0.693	-7.24%	0.0922	✓	1.77
2025-09-21	oos	0.7844	0.775817	-1.09%	0.7095	-9.55%	0.0405	✓	1.80
2025-09-20	oos	0.8044	0.795295	-1.13%	0.6949	-13.61%	0.0428	✓	1.71
2025-09-19	oos	0.8018	0.792977	-1.10%	0.6826	-14.87%	0.0576	✓	1.74
2025-09-18	oos	0.813	0.803501	-1.17%	0.6951	-14.50%	0.0211	✓	1.73

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.