ERG

Ergo · native · gru_s2

token id: #922
symbol: ERG
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2024-04-29
predictions: 2,667

Track record at +30d

assessed

370

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

64.3%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0911

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0303

actual -0.0220

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.31945	0.302682	-5.25%	–	pending	–	–	1.39
2026-10-20	oos	0.3475	0.327011	-5.90%	–	pending	–	–	1.36
2026-10-19	oos	0.32025	0.301111	-5.98%	–	pending	–	–	1.35
2026-10-18	oos	0.31585	0.295849	-6.33%	–	pending	–	–	1.34
2026-10-17	oos	0.32405	0.304496	-6.03%	–	pending	–	–	1.35
2026-10-16	oos	0.3098	0.292062	-5.73%	–	pending	–	–	1.35
2026-10-15	oos	0.3241	0.305075	-5.87%	–	pending	–	–	1.33
2026-10-14	oos	0.2956	0.280782	-5.01%	–	pending	–	–	1.33
2026-10-13	oos	0.311	0.293194	-5.73%	–	pending	–	–	1.30
2026-10-12	oos	0.3215	0.302814	-5.81%	–	pending	–	–	1.31
2026-10-11	oos	0.32625	0.304636	-6.62%	–	pending	–	–	1.28
2026-10-10	oos	0.3262	0.304192	-6.75%	–	pending	–	–	1.29
2026-10-09	oos	0.2942	0.276726	-5.94%	–	pending	–	–	1.29
2026-10-08	oos	0.3076	0.288924	-6.07%	–	pending	–	–	1.30
2026-10-07	oos	0.2978	0.280557	-5.79%	–	pending	–	–	1.33
2026-10-06	oos	0.32115	0.299648	-6.70%	–	pending	–	–	1.28
2026-10-05	oos	0.3138	0.293614	-6.43%	–	pending	–	–	1.27
2026-10-04	oos	0.32445	0.302933	-6.63%	–	pending	–	–	1.26
2026-10-03	oos	0.3062	0.288464	-5.79%	–	pending	–	–	1.25
2026-10-02	oos	0.3255	0.304768	-6.37%	–	pending	–	–	1.25
2026-10-01	oos	0.32945	0.307937	-6.53%	–	pending	–	–	1.25
2026-09-30	oos	0.3314	0.310929	-6.18%	–	pending	–	–	1.26
2026-09-29	oos	0.3359	0.314489	-6.37%	–	pending	–	–	1.25
2026-09-28	oos	0.3236	0.304418	-5.93%	–	pending	–	–	1.27
2026-09-27	oos	0.3311	0.31051	-6.22%	–	pending	–	–	1.29
2026-09-26	oos	0.3278	0.308029	-6.03%	–	pending	–	–	1.29
2026-09-25	oos	0.33875	0.318324	-6.03%	–	pending	–	–	1.29
2026-09-24	oos	0.3396	0.319619	-5.88%	–	pending	–	–	1.29
2026-09-23	oos	0.3478	0.327943	-5.71%	–	pending	–	–	1.28
2026-09-22	oos	0.3403	0.325157	-4.45%	–	pending	–	–	1.32
2026-09-21	oos	0.32345	0.311066	-3.83%	0.31945	-1.24%	0.0870	✗	1.31
2026-09-20	oos	0.2769	0.26597	-3.95%	0.3475	+25.50%	0.2421	✗	1.17
2026-09-19	oos	0.28165	0.269686	-4.25%	0.32025	+13.70%	0.1632	✗	1.16
2026-09-18	oos	0.28615	0.273039	-4.58%	0.31585	+10.38%	0.1296	✗	1.16
2026-09-17	oos	0.2532	0.241966	-4.44%	0.32405	+27.98%	0.2243	✗	1.06
2026-09-16	oos	0.2491	0.238291	-4.34%	0.3098	+24.37%	0.1904	✗	1.06
2026-09-15	oos	0.24205	0.232165	-4.08%	0.3241	+33.90%	0.2458	✗	1.06
2026-09-14	oos	0.2686	0.256641	-4.45%	0.2956	+10.05%	0.0994	✗	0.99
2026-09-13	oos	0.2597	0.248525	-4.30%	0.311	+19.75%	0.1463	✗	0.99
2026-09-12	oos	0.2606	0.249414	-4.29%	0.3215	+23.37%	0.1979	✗	0.99
2026-09-11	oos	0.2549	0.245095	-3.85%	0.32625	+27.99%	0.2060	✗	0.99
2026-09-10	oos	0.256	0.24618	-3.84%	0.3262	+27.42%	0.2021	✗	0.99
2026-09-09	oos	0.2494	0.240678	-3.50%	0.2942	+17.96%	0.1463	✗	1.03
2026-09-08	oos	0.2522	0.244104	-3.21%	0.3076	+21.97%	0.1890	✗	1.04
2026-09-07	oos	0.2215	0.21898	-1.14%	0.2978	+34.45%	0.2512	✗	1.09
2026-09-06	oos	0.2646	0.259782	-1.82%	0.32115	+21.37%	0.1511	✗	0.97
2026-09-05	oos	0.2593	0.256176	-1.20%	0.3138	+21.02%	0.1336	✗	0.97
2026-09-04	oos	0.2538	0.252807	-0.39%	0.32445	+27.84%	0.1717	✗	0.95
2026-09-03	oos	0.2634	0.264623	+0.46%	0.3062	+16.25%	0.1067	✓	0.94
2026-09-02	oos	0.26055	0.260288	-0.10%	0.3255	+24.93%	0.1339	✗	1.01
2026-09-01	oos	0.2516	0.254522	+1.16%	0.32945	+30.94%	0.1646	✓	1.02
2026-08-31	oos	0.2584	0.262179	+1.46%	0.3314	+28.25%	0.1701	✓	1.04
2026-08-30	oos	0.2469	0.253119	+2.52%	0.3359	+36.05%	0.2068	✓	1.03
2026-08-29	oos	0.2507	0.257011	+2.52%	0.3236	+29.08%	0.1650	✓	1.01
2026-08-28	oos	0.2563	0.259648	+1.31%	0.3311	+29.18%	0.1603	✓	1.01
2026-08-27	oos	0.2586	0.265663	+2.73%	0.3278	+26.76%	0.1581	✓	1.04
2026-08-26	oos	0.2625	0.266367	+1.47%	0.33875	+29.05%	0.1754	✓	1.05
2026-08-25	oos	0.2624	0.2656	+1.22%	0.3396	+29.42%	0.1699	✓	1.05
2026-08-24	oos	0.2673	0.271876	+1.71%	0.3478	+30.12%	0.1758	✓	1.07
2026-08-23	oos	0.2667	0.269744	+1.14%	0.3403	+27.60%	0.1235	✓	1.05
2026-08-22	oos	0.2709	0.273298	+0.89%	0.32345	+19.40%	0.0453	✓	1.06
2026-08-21	oos	0.2675	0.274774	+2.72%	0.2769	+3.51%	0.0303	✗	1.07
2026-08-20	oos	0.2429	0.242764	-0.06%	0.28165	+15.95%	0.0399	✗	1.02
2026-08-19	oos	0.2155	0.210608	-2.27%	0.28615	+32.78%	0.1701	✗	0.88
2026-08-18	oos	0.2014	0.195509	-2.93%	0.2532	+25.72%	0.1161	✗	0.86
2026-08-17	oos	0.2026	0.196884	-2.82%	0.2491	+22.95%	0.0922	✗	0.86
2026-08-16	oos	0.2051	0.200814	-2.09%	0.24205	+18.02%	0.0219	✗	0.89
2026-08-15	oos	0.2025	0.199252	-1.60%	0.2686	+32.64%	0.1066	✗	0.89
2026-08-14	oos	0.207	0.203409	-1.73%	0.2597	+25.46%	0.0665	✗	0.90
2026-08-13	oos	0.209	0.204805	-2.01%	0.2606	+24.69%	0.0615	✗	0.91
2026-08-12	oos	0.2159	0.210252	-2.62%	0.2549	+18.06%	0.0154	✓	0.90
2026-08-11	oos	0.2216	0.214462	-3.22%	0.256	+15.52%	0.0123	✓	0.88
2026-08-10	oos	0.2382	0.228045	-4.26%	0.2494	+4.70%	0.0879	✓	0.87
2026-08-09	oos	0.2358	0.225307	-4.45%	0.2522	+6.96%	0.0576	✓	0.89
2026-08-08	oos	0.2388	0.227245	-4.84%	0.2215	-7.24%	0.2018	✓	0.89
2026-08-07	oos	0.2356	0.223692	-5.05%	0.2646	+12.31%	0.0212	✓	0.89
2026-08-06	oos	0.2341	0.222515	-4.95%	0.2593	+10.76%	0.0388	✓	0.88
2026-08-05	oos	0.2253	0.213785	-5.11%	0.2538	+12.65%	0.0149	✓	0.89
2026-08-04	oos	0.222	0.210796	-5.05%	0.2634	+18.65%	0.0109	✓	0.89
2026-08-03	oos	0.2162	0.207058	-4.23%	0.26055	+20.51%	0.0565	✗	0.88
2026-08-02	oos	0.2141	0.205681	-3.93%	0.2516	+17.52%	0.0229	✓	0.90
2026-08-01	oos	0.202	0.195088	-3.42%	0.2584	+27.92%	0.0845	✗	0.88
2026-07-31	oos	0.2046	0.19783	-3.31%	0.2469	+20.67%	0.0359	✗	0.88
2026-07-30	oos	0.2073	0.1997	-3.67%	0.2507	+20.94%	0.0591	✗	0.89
2026-07-29	oos	0.2084	0.201795	-3.17%	0.2563	+22.98%	0.0625	✗	0.89
2026-07-28	oos	0.2074	0.200933	-3.12%	0.2586	+24.69%	0.0480	✗	0.89
2026-07-27	oos	0.2007	0.195056	-2.81%	0.2625	+30.79%	0.1049	✗	0.89
2026-07-26	oos	0.2085	0.203857	-2.23%	0.2624	+25.85%	0.0916	✗	0.87
2026-07-25	oos	0.2153	0.208683	-3.07%	0.2673	+24.15%	0.0614	✗	0.90
2026-07-24	oos	0.2163	0.209447	-3.17%	0.2667	+23.30%	0.0694	✗	0.89
2026-07-23	oos	0.2203	0.215244	-2.29%	0.2709	+22.97%	0.0787	✗	0.89
2026-07-22	oos	0.2181	0.215278	-1.29%	0.2675	+22.65%	0.0636	✗	0.90
2026-07-21	oos	0.2235	0.220013	-1.56%	0.2429	+8.68%	0.0151	✓	0.90
2026-07-20	oos	0.2198	0.215517	-1.95%	0.2155	-1.96%	0.0544	✓	0.89
2026-07-19	oos	0.2206	0.215574	-2.28%	0.2014	-8.70%	0.0680	✓	0.89
2026-07-18	oos	0.2211	0.215293	-2.63%	0.2026	-8.37%	0.0565	✓	0.86
2026-07-17	oos	0.2211	0.214497	-2.99%	0.2051	-7.24%	0.0304	✓	0.86
2026-07-16	oos	0.22	0.212677	-3.33%	0.2025	-7.95%	0.0388	✓	0.86
2026-07-15	oos	0.22	0.212436	-3.44%	0.207	-5.91%	0.0021	✓	0.87
2026-07-14	oos	0.2129	0.206536	-2.99%	0.209	-1.83%	0.0333	✗	0.88
2026-07-13	oos	0.2103	0.202621	-3.65%	0.2159	+2.66%	0.0467	✗	0.92
2026-07-12	oos	0.2215	0.214113	-3.33%	0.2216	+0.05%	0.0373	✗	0.90
2026-07-11	oos	0.2202	0.213569	-3.01%	0.2382	+8.17%	0.1073	✗	0.86
2026-07-10	oos	0.2189	0.213007	-2.69%	0.2358	+7.72%	0.0919	✗	0.87
2026-07-09	oos	0.2182	0.212556	-2.59%	0.2388	+9.44%	0.0926	✗	0.88
2026-07-08	oos	0.2216	0.215258	-2.86%	0.2356	+6.32%	0.0528	✗	0.90
2026-07-07	oos	0.2215	0.215918	-2.52%	0.2341	+5.69%	0.0675	✗	0.90
2026-07-06	oos	0.2231	0.216839	-2.81%	0.2253	+0.99%	0.0299	✗	0.90
2026-07-05	oos	0.2159	0.210392	-2.55%	0.222	+2.83%	0.0475	✗	0.84
2026-07-04	oos	0.2129	0.20786	-2.37%	0.2162	+1.55%	0.0343	✗	0.84
2026-07-03	oos	0.2128	0.207779	-2.36%	0.2141	+0.61%	0.0171	✓	0.83
2026-07-02	oos	0.2079	0.203556	-2.09%	0.202	-2.84%	0.0247	✓	0.83
2026-07-01	oos	0.2034	0.199849	-1.75%	0.2046	+0.59%	0.0150	✓	0.82
2026-06-30	oos	0.1904	0.189113	-0.68%	0.2073	+8.88%	0.0125	✗	0.79
2026-06-29	oos	0.2025	0.199783	-1.34%	0.2084	+2.91%	0.0035	✓	0.76
2026-06-28	oos	0.2027	0.199792	-1.43%	0.2074	+2.32%	0.0168	✓	0.76
2026-06-27	oos	0.2048	0.200723	-1.99%	0.2007	-2.00%	0.0467	✓	0.77
2026-06-26	oos	0.2051	0.199871	-2.55%	0.2085	+1.66%	0.0233	✓	0.77
2026-06-25	oos	0.2124	0.205533	-3.23%	0.2153	+1.37%	0.0111	✓	0.78
2026-06-24	oos	0.2201	0.211507	-3.90%	0.2163	-1.73%	0.0148	✓	0.75
2026-06-23	oos	0.2215	0.21126	-4.62%	0.2203	-0.54%	0.0137	✓	0.75
2026-06-22	oos	0.221	0.209769	-5.08%	0.2181	-1.31%	0.0140	✓	0.76
2026-06-21	oos	0.2177	0.207556	-4.66%	0.2235	+2.66%	0.0357	✓	0.76
2026-06-20	oos	0.2176	0.206768	-4.98%	0.2198	+1.01%	0.0493	✓	0.77
2026-06-19	oos	0.2143	0.204474	-4.58%	0.2206	+2.94%	0.0615	✗	0.77
2026-06-18	oos	0.2135	0.204272	-4.32%	0.2211	+3.56%	0.0564	✗	0.76
2026-06-17	oos	0.2198	0.209026	-4.90%	0.2211	+0.59%	0.0625	✗	0.74
2026-06-16	oos	0.2256	0.214376	-4.98%	0.22	-2.48%	0.0474	✓	0.75
2026-06-15	oos	0.2333	0.221568	-5.03%	0.22	-5.70%	0.0110	✓	0.76
2026-06-14	oos	0.2264	0.215214	-4.94%	0.2129	-5.96%	0.0025	✓	0.76
2026-06-13	oos	0.2221	0.211405	-4.82%	0.2103	-5.31%	0.0207	✓	0.76
2026-06-12	oos	0.2221	0.211853	-4.61%	0.2215	-0.27%	0.0421	✓	0.77
2026-06-11	oos	0.2206	0.210269	-4.68%	0.2202	-0.18%	0.0436	✓	0.77
2026-06-10	oos	0.2103	0.202549	-3.69%	0.2189	+4.09%	0.0456	✗	0.75
2026-06-09	oos	0.2162	0.20745	-4.05%	0.2182	+0.93%	0.0327	✓	0.75
2026-06-08	oos	0.2124	0.202517	-4.65%	0.2216	+4.33%	0.1002	✗	0.77
2026-06-07	oos	0.2127	0.202406	-4.84%	0.2215	+4.14%	0.0899	✗	0.76
2026-06-06	oos	0.2096	0.200184	-4.49%	0.2231	+6.44%	0.0706	✗	0.75
2026-06-05	oos	0.2146	0.203961	-4.96%	0.2159	+0.61%	0.0268	✓	0.74
2026-06-04	oos	0.2273	0.21492	-5.45%	0.2129	-6.34%	0.0014	✓	0.71
2026-06-03	oos	0.2368	0.224023	-5.40%	0.2128	-10.14%	0.0357	✓	0.65
2026-06-02	oos	0.2532	0.240171	-5.15%	0.2079	-17.89%	0.0943	✓	0.62
2026-06-01	oos	0.2713	0.257826	-4.97%	0.2034	-25.03%	0.1554	✓	0.47
2026-05-31	oos	0.2757	0.263658	-4.37%	0.1904	-30.94%	0.2167	✓	0.48
2026-05-30	oos	0.2721	0.26092	-4.11%	0.2025	-25.58%	0.1667	✓	0.43
2026-05-29	oos	0.2634	0.252902	-3.99%	0.2027	-23.04%	0.1309	✓	0.43
2026-05-28	oos	0.2594	0.249322	-3.88%	0.2048	-21.05%	0.1068	✓	0.44
2026-05-27	oos	0.2701	0.259463	-3.94%	0.2051	-24.07%	0.1418	✓	0.44
2026-05-26	oos	0.2839	0.271661	-4.31%	0.2124	-25.18%	0.1466	✓	0.42
2026-05-25	oos	0.2783	0.266234	-4.34%	0.2201	-20.91%	0.0520	✓	0.58
2026-05-24	oos	0.2851	0.272674	-4.36%	0.2215	-22.31%	0.0911	✓	0.57
2026-05-23	oos	0.2851	0.272421	-4.45%	0.221	-22.48%	0.1139	✓	0.53
2026-05-22	oos	0.2834	0.271308	-4.27%	0.2177	-23.18%	0.1264	✓	0.53
2026-05-21	oos	0.2818	0.270936	-3.86%	0.2176	-22.78%	0.1162	✓	0.55
2026-05-20	oos	0.2889	0.27825	-3.69%	0.2143	-25.82%	0.1540	✓	0.54
2026-05-19	oos	0.2876	0.275423	-4.23%	0.2135	-25.76%	0.1485	✓	0.53
2026-05-18	oos	0.285	0.274437	-3.71%	0.2198	-22.88%	0.1264	✓	0.54
2026-05-17	oos	0.2835	0.274462	-3.19%	0.2256	-20.42%	0.1077	✓	0.53
2026-05-16	oos	0.2893	0.278205	-3.84%	0.2333	-19.36%	0.0887	✓	0.53
2026-05-15	oos	0.3044	0.291054	-4.38%	0.2264	-25.62%	0.1477	✓	0.56
2026-05-14	oos	0.3073	0.300334	-2.27%	0.2221	-27.73%	0.1716	✓	0.57
2026-05-13	oos	0.3072	0.2976	-3.13%	0.2221	-27.70%	0.1653	✓	0.57
2026-05-12	oos	0.3097	0.303994	-1.84%	0.2206	-28.77%	0.1857	✓	0.57
2026-05-11	oos	0.322	0.314475	-2.34%	0.2103	-34.69%	0.2361	✓	0.58
2026-05-10	oos	0.312	0.305996	-1.92%	0.2162	-30.71%	0.1784	✓	0.59
2026-05-09	oos	0.3089	0.301889	-2.27%	0.2124	-31.24%	0.2064	✓	0.59
2026-05-08	oos	0.3094	0.301239	-2.64%	0.2127	-31.25%	0.2099	✓	0.58
2026-05-07	oos	0.3081	0.298663	-3.06%	0.2096	-31.97%	0.1941	✓	0.58
2026-05-06	oos	0.3159	0.304542	-3.60%	0.2146	-32.07%	0.1418	✓	0.72
2026-05-05	oos	0.3184	0.306052	-3.88%	0.2273	-28.61%	0.1661	✓	0.55
2026-05-04	oos	0.3008	0.290778	-3.33%	0.2368	-21.28%	0.0871	✓	0.54
2026-05-03	oos	0.2986	0.287616	-3.68%	0.2532	-15.20%	0.0429	✓	0.51
2026-05-02	oos	0.3012	0.292267	-2.97%	0.2713	-9.93%	0.0233	✓	0.52
2026-05-01	oos	0.3025	0.29357	-2.95%	0.2757	-8.86%	0.0303	✓	0.53
2026-04-30	oos	0.2967	0.289265	-2.51%	0.2721	-8.29%	0.0424	✓	0.55
2026-04-29	oos	0.297	0.288278	-2.94%	0.2634	-11.31%	0.0724	✓	0.56
2026-04-28	oos	0.3045	0.296957	-2.48%	0.2594	-14.81%	0.1143	✓	0.56
2026-04-27	oos	0.3048	0.299125	-1.86%	0.2701	-11.38%	0.0796	✓	0.56
2026-04-26	oos	0.3118	0.308317	-1.12%	0.2839	-8.95%	0.0619	✓	0.56
2026-04-25	oos	0.317	0.310919	-1.92%	0.2783	-12.21%	0.1079	✓	0.56
2026-04-24	oos	0.3129	0.307358	-1.77%	0.2851	-8.88%	0.0717	✓	0.56
2026-04-23	oos	0.3148	0.31293	-0.59%	0.2851	-9.43%	0.0814	✓	0.56
2026-04-22	oos	0.3196	0.316359	-1.01%	0.2834	-11.33%	0.0900	✓	0.56
2026-04-21	oos	0.3156	0.306928	-2.75%	0.2818	-10.71%	0.0941	✓	0.56
2026-04-20	oos	0.3163	0.306313	-3.16%	0.2889	-8.66%	0.0703	✓	0.56
2026-04-19	oos	0.3194	0.305761	-4.27%	0.2876	-9.96%	0.0838	✓	0.58
2026-04-18	oos	0.3251	0.312988	-3.73%	0.285	-12.33%	0.1028	✓	0.58
2026-04-17	oos	0.3307	0.321341	-2.83%	0.2835	-14.27%	0.1276	✓	0.58
2026-04-16	oos	0.3227	0.308508	-4.40%	0.2893	-10.35%	0.0864	✓	0.58
2026-04-15	oos	0.3162	0.30127	-4.72%	0.3044	-3.73%	0.0212	✓	0.57
2026-04-14	oos	0.3113	0.295344	-5.13%	0.3073	-1.28%	0.0115	✓	0.58
2026-04-13	oos	0.3071	0.292686	-4.69%	0.3072	+0.03%	0.0107	✓	0.60
2026-04-12	oos	0.3009	0.287543	-4.44%	0.3097	+2.92%	0.0033	✓	0.60
2026-04-11	oos	0.3148	0.299527	-4.85%	0.322	+2.29%	0.0060	✓	0.59
2026-04-10	oos	0.3055	0.292606	-4.22%	0.312	+2.13%	0.0061	✓	0.59
2026-04-09	oos	0.2999	0.289376	-3.51%	0.3089	+3.00%	0.0033	✓	0.59
2026-04-08	oos	0.3008	0.291239	-3.18%	0.3094	+2.86%	0.0105	✓	0.59
2026-04-07	oos	0.2992	0.290549	-2.89%	0.3081	+2.97%	0.0044	✓	0.59
2026-04-06	oos	0.2993	0.289301	-3.34%	0.3159	+5.55%	0.0149	✓	0.61
2026-04-05	oos	0.2963	0.287401	-3.00%	0.3184	+7.46%	0.0050	✓	0.61
2026-04-04	oos	0.2965	0.289079	-2.50%	0.3008	+1.45%	0.0659	✓	0.62
2026-04-03	oos	0.2858	0.281132	-1.63%	0.2986	+4.48%	0.0380	✓	0.62
2026-04-02	oos	0.2881	0.282833	-1.83%	0.3012	+4.55%	0.0367	✓	0.61
2026-04-01	oos	0.2941	0.287731	-2.17%	0.3025	+2.86%	0.0352	✓	0.62
2026-03-31	oos	0.2794	0.274966	-1.59%	0.2967	+6.19%	0.0066	✓	0.62
2026-03-30	oos	0.2749	0.269725	-1.88%	0.297	+8.04%	0.0174	✓	0.62
2026-03-29	oos	0.2709	0.26531	-2.06%	0.3045	+12.40%	0.0461	✗	0.63
2026-03-28	oos	0.2802	0.272826	-2.63%	0.3048	+8.78%	0.0142	✓	0.63
2026-03-27	oos	0.2859	0.277482	-2.94%	0.3118	+9.06%	0.0088	✓	0.63
2026-03-26	oos	0.2899	0.28098	-3.08%	0.317	+9.35%	0.0432	✗	0.64
2026-03-25	oos	0.2946	0.288319	-2.13%	0.3129	+6.21%	0.0287	✗	0.64
2026-03-24	oos	0.2932	0.286295	-2.35%	0.3148	+7.37%	0.0280	✗	0.64
2026-03-23	oos	0.2964	0.289937	-2.18%	0.3196	+7.83%	0.0342	✗	0.64
2026-03-22	oos	0.2855	0.278054	-2.61%	0.3156	+10.54%	0.0513	✗	0.64
2026-03-21	oos	0.2883	0.280438	-2.73%	0.3163	+9.71%	0.0590	✗	0.64
2026-03-20	oos	0.2895	0.283296	-2.14%	0.3194	+10.33%	0.0905	✗	0.64
2026-03-19	oos	0.2995	0.291923	-2.53%	0.3251	+8.55%	0.0561	✗	0.64
2026-03-18	oos	0.3148	0.30832	-2.06%	0.3307	+5.05%	0.0179	✓	0.66
2026-03-17	oos	0.3292	0.322412	-2.06%	0.3227	-1.97%	0.0099	✓	0.65
2026-03-16	oos	0.3351	0.327655	-2.22%	0.3162	-5.64%	0.0352	✓	0.65
2026-03-15	oos	0.3261	0.32049	-1.72%	0.3113	-4.54%	0.0409	✓	0.64
2026-03-14	oos	0.3161	0.312561	-1.12%	0.3071	-2.85%	0.0461	✓	0.65
2026-03-13	oos	0.3232	0.319049	-1.28%	0.3009	-6.90%	0.0569	✓	0.64
2026-03-12	oos	0.3165	0.313573	-0.92%	0.3148	-0.54%	0.0189	✓	0.64
2026-03-11	oos	0.3187	0.315543	-0.99%	0.3055	-4.14%	0.0574	✓	0.64
2026-03-10	oos	0.3219	0.318257	-1.13%	0.2999	-6.83%	0.0760	✓	0.64
2026-03-09	oos	0.3212	0.318924	-0.71%	0.3008	-6.35%	0.0830	✓	0.64
2026-03-08	oos	0.3212	0.31876	-0.76%	0.2992	-6.85%	0.1192	✓	0.65
2026-03-07	oos	0.3189	0.313843	-1.59%	0.2993	-6.15%	0.0627	✓	0.65
2026-03-06	oos	0.3199	0.312519	-2.31%	0.2963	-7.38%	0.0619	✓	0.65
2026-03-05	oos	0.3148	0.30918	-1.79%	0.2965	-5.81%	0.0066	✓	0.68
2026-03-04	oos	0.3237	0.3182	-1.70%	0.2858	-11.71%	0.0523	✓	0.67
2026-03-03	oos	0.3307	0.322619	-2.44%	0.2881	-12.88%	0.0977	✓	0.72
2026-03-02	oos	0.3376	0.329915	-2.28%	0.2941	-12.89%	0.1075	✓	0.71
2026-03-01	oos	0.3457	0.333007	-3.67%	0.2794	-19.18%	0.2036	✓	0.77
2026-02-28	oos	0.3555	0.344654	-3.05%	0.2749	-22.67%	0.2234	✓	0.79
2026-02-27	oos	0.3473	0.335426	-3.42%	0.2709	-22.00%	0.2148	✓	0.78
2026-02-26	oos	0.3555	0.345742	-2.74%	0.2802	-21.18%	0.1965	✓	0.78
2026-02-25	oos	0.3599	0.350334	-2.66%	0.2859	-20.56%	0.1841	✓	0.78
2026-02-24	oos	0.3165	0.304864	-3.68%	0.2899	-8.40%	0.1002	✓	0.70
2026-02-23	oos	0.2971	0.287183	-3.34%	0.2946	-0.84%	0.0426	✓	0.69
2026-02-22	oos	0.2942	0.287142	-2.40%	0.2932	-0.34%	0.0093	✓	0.71
2026-02-21	oos	0.3041	0.296504	-2.50%	0.2964	-2.53%	0.0300	✓	0.71
2026-02-20	oos	0.3051	0.297506	-2.49%	0.2855	-6.42%	0.0396	✓	0.76
2026-02-19	oos	0.3108	0.30233	-2.73%	0.2883	-7.24%	0.0692	✓	0.76
2026-02-18	oos	0.3208	0.31156	-2.88%	0.2895	-9.76%	0.1189	✓	0.76
2026-02-17	oos	0.3293	0.320029	-2.82%	0.2995	-9.05%	0.0935	✓	0.76
2026-02-16	oos	0.3295	0.320643	-2.69%	0.3148	-4.46%	0.0448	✓	0.78
2026-02-15	oos	0.3322	0.323324	-2.67%	0.3292	-0.90%	0.0381	✓	0.78
2026-02-14	oos	0.3748	0.363145	-3.11%	0.3351	-10.59%	0.1343	✓	0.76
2026-02-13	oos	0.3708	0.359471	-3.06%	0.3261	-12.06%	0.1408	✓	0.76
2026-02-12	oos	0.3621	0.351576	-2.91%	0.3161	-12.70%	0.1623	✓	0.77
2026-02-11	oos	0.3606	0.350374	-2.84%	0.3232	-10.37%	0.1259	✓	0.79
2026-02-10	oos	0.3798	0.367888	-3.14%	0.3165	-16.67%	0.1701	✓	0.79
2026-02-09	oos	0.3844	0.371236	-3.42%	0.3187	-17.09%	0.1538	✓	0.80
2026-02-08	oos	0.3955	0.380908	-3.69%	0.3219	-18.61%	0.1647	✓	0.79
2026-02-07	oos	0.401	0.386147	-3.70%	0.3212	-19.90%	0.1749	✓	0.79
2026-02-06	oos	0.4073	0.389305	-4.42%	0.3212	-21.14%	0.1400	✓	0.78
2026-02-05	oos	0.3562	0.361309	+1.43%	0.3189	-10.47%	0.1727	✗	0.70
2026-02-04	oos	0.3647	0.345068	-5.38%	0.3199	-12.28%	0.0060	✓	1.01
2026-02-03	oos	0.3649	0.345317	-5.37%	0.3148	-13.73%	0.0245	✓	1.04
2026-02-02	oos	0.3573	0.342893	-4.03%	0.3237	-9.40%	0.0344	✓	1.16
2026-02-01	oos	0.3458	0.329893	-4.60%	0.3307	-4.37%	0.1295	✗	1.08
2026-01-31	oos	0.3625	0.348872	-3.76%	0.3376	-6.87%	0.1136	✗	1.10
2026-01-30	oos	0.3901	0.382489	-1.95%	0.3457	-11.38%	0.1683	✗	1.10
2026-01-29	oos	0.4085	0.399964	-2.09%	0.3555	-12.97%	0.1368	✗	1.09
2026-01-28	oos	0.424	0.415855	-1.92%	0.3473	-18.09%	0.1587	✗	1.12
2026-01-27	oos	0.4317	0.421749	-2.30%	0.3555	-17.65%	0.1350	✗	1.10
2026-01-26	oos	0.426	0.415594	-2.44%	0.3599	-15.52%	0.1364	✗	1.07
2026-01-25	oos	0.4285	0.416974	-2.69%	0.3165	-26.14%	0.0597	✗	1.11
2026-01-24	oos	0.4337	0.417618	-3.71%	0.2971	-31.50%	0.0229	✓	1.13
2026-01-23	oos	0.4331	0.415219	-4.13%	0.2942	-32.07%	0.0141	✓	1.18
2026-01-22	oos	0.4377	0.418919	-4.29%	0.3041	-30.52%	0.0036	✓	1.18
2026-01-21	oos	0.449	0.428002	-4.68%	0.3051	-32.05%	0.0141	✓	1.19
2026-01-20	oos	0.4326	0.414909	-4.09%	0.3108	-28.16%	0.0459	✗	1.21
2026-01-19	oos	0.4542	0.431594	-4.98%	0.3208	-29.37%	0.1099	✗	1.23
2026-01-18	oos	0.4629	0.445997	-3.65%	0.3293	-28.86%	0.1022	✗	1.24
2026-01-17	oos	0.474	0.460794	-2.79%	0.3295	-30.49%	0.0589	✗	1.22
2026-01-16	oos	0.4795	0.466911	-2.63%	0.3322	-30.72%	0.0684	✗	1.25
2026-01-15	oos	0.4907	0.475129	-3.17%	0.3748	-23.62%	0.1555	✗	1.25
2026-01-14	oos	0.5107	0.49045	-3.97%	0.3708	-27.39%	0.1457	✗	1.24
2026-01-13	oos	0.4585	0.443583	-3.25%	0.3621	-21.03%	0.2377	✗	1.21
2026-01-12	oos	0.4475	0.436423	-2.48%	0.3606	-19.42%	0.1933	✗	1.25
2026-01-11	oos	0.4526	0.442694	-2.19%	0.3798	-16.08%	0.1956	✗	1.25
2026-01-10	oos	0.454	0.445809	-1.80%	0.3844	-15.33%	0.1705	✗	1.25
2026-01-09	oos	0.4606	0.452786	-1.70%	0.3955	-14.13%	0.2071	✗	1.35
2026-01-08	oos	0.4526	0.44607	-1.44%	0.401	-11.40%	0.2543	✗	1.32
2026-01-07	oos	0.4587	0.449732	-1.96%	0.4073	-11.21%	0.2639	✗	1.41
2026-01-06	oos	0.4844	0.472215	-2.52%	0.3562	-26.47%	0.2804	✗	1.40
2026-01-05	oos	0.4995	0.487091	-2.48%	0.3647	-26.99%	0.0627	✗	1.40
2026-01-04	oos	0.4915	0.477772	-2.79%	0.3649	-25.76%	0.0003	✓	1.42
2026-01-03	oos	0.4866	0.473451	-2.70%	0.3573	-26.57%	0.0805	✓	1.42
2026-01-02	oos	0.4923	0.478095	-2.89%	0.3458	-29.76%	0.1008	✓	1.42
2026-01-01	oos	0.4832	0.468795	-2.98%	0.3625	-24.98%	0.0856	✓	1.42
2025-12-31	oos	0.4664	0.452696	-2.94%	0.3901	-16.36%	0.0936	✓	1.40
2025-12-30	oos	0.4959	0.480522	-3.10%	0.4085	-17.62%	0.0999	✓	1.39
2025-12-29	oos	0.476	0.461089	-3.13%	0.424	-10.92%	0.1161	✓	1.39
2025-12-28	oos	0.4782	0.465491	-2.66%	0.4317	-9.72%	0.0948	✓	1.39
2025-12-27	oos	0.4315	0.426424	-1.18%	0.426	-1.27%	0.0078	✓	1.35
2025-12-26	oos	0.4283	0.423152	-1.20%	0.4285	+0.05%	0.0240	✗	1.35
2025-12-25	oos	0.4313	0.425806	-1.27%	0.4337	+0.56%	0.0109	✓	1.35
2025-12-24	oos	0.4427	0.436612	-1.38%	0.4331	-2.17%	0.0364	✓	1.35
2025-12-23	oos	0.4458	0.439446	-1.43%	0.4377	-1.82%	0.0350	✓	1.35
2025-12-22	oos	0.4655	0.457141	-1.80%	0.449	-3.54%	0.0302	✓	1.35
2025-12-21	oos	0.476	0.465558	-2.19%	0.4326	-9.12%	0.0684	✓	1.35
2025-12-20	oos	0.496	0.482524	-2.72%	0.4542	-8.43%	0.1245	✓	1.37
2025-12-19	oos	0.4871	0.472932	-2.91%	0.4629	-4.97%	0.1047	✓	1.37
2025-12-18	oos	0.4528	0.443734	-2.00%	0.474	+4.68%	0.0775	✓	1.34
2025-12-17	oos	0.4629	0.452477	-2.25%	0.4795	+3.59%	0.0791	✓	1.34
2025-12-16	oos	0.4552	0.442969	-2.69%	0.4907	+7.80%	0.0125	✓	1.36
2025-12-15	oos	0.4505	0.444901	-1.24%	0.5107	+13.36%	0.0192	✓	1.37
2025-12-14	oos	0.4757	0.462257	-2.83%	0.4585	-3.62%	0.1140	✓	1.35
2025-12-13	oos	0.4768	0.461038	-3.31%	0.4475	-6.15%	0.0438	✓	1.36
2025-12-12	oos	0.4816	0.465159	-3.41%	0.4526	-6.02%	0.0363	✓	1.36
2025-12-11	oos	0.4952	0.473341	-4.41%	0.454	-8.32%	0.0094	✓	1.36
2025-12-10	oos	0.5148	0.48805	-5.20%	0.4606	-10.53%	0.0350	✓	1.37
2025-12-09	oos	0.5209	0.491674	-5.61%	0.4526	-13.11%	0.0580	✓	1.37
2025-12-08	oos	0.5243	0.4941	-5.76%	0.4587	-12.51%	0.0838	✓	1.38
2025-12-07	oos	0.5344	0.502321	-6.00%	0.4844	-9.36%	0.0861	✓	1.38
2025-12-06	oos	0.5254	0.49608	-5.58%	0.4995	-4.93%	0.0625	✓	1.38
2025-12-05	oos	0.5042	0.478167	-5.16%	0.4915	-2.52%	0.0054	✓	1.38
2025-12-04	oos	0.51	0.480715	-5.74%	0.4866	-4.59%	0.0352	✓	1.41
2025-12-03	oos	0.5193	0.489916	-5.66%	0.4923	-5.20%	0.0585	✗	1.41
2025-12-02	oos	0.5385	0.509366	-5.41%	0.4832	-10.27%	0.0114	✓	1.45
2025-12-01	oos	0.5006	0.48428	-3.26%	0.4664	-6.83%	0.0580	✓	1.46
2025-11-30	oos	0.5414	0.514847	-4.90%	0.4959	-8.40%	0.0056	✓	1.45
2025-11-29	oos	0.5481	0.52059	-5.02%	0.476	-13.15%	0.0293	✓	1.44
2025-11-28	oos	0.5844	0.554181	-5.17%	0.4782	-18.17%	0.0986	✓	1.44
2025-11-27	oos	0.6029	0.571147	-5.27%	0.4315	-28.43%	0.2239	✓	1.44
2025-11-26	oos	0.6179	0.585286	-5.28%	0.4283	-30.68%	0.2612	✓	1.43
2025-11-25	oos	0.6249	0.594708	-4.83%	0.4313	-30.98%	0.3187	✓	1.48
2025-11-24	oos	0.6041	0.573712	-5.03%	0.4427	-26.72%	0.2481	✓	1.49
2025-11-23	oos	0.62	0.588797	-5.03%	0.4458	-28.10%	0.2890	✓	1.52
2025-11-22	oos	0.5308	0.510045	-3.91%	0.4655	-12.30%	0.1564	✓	1.45
2025-11-21	oos	0.4518	0.437828	-3.09%	0.476	+5.36%	0.0242	✓	1.44
2025-11-20	oos	0.4514	0.435061	-3.62%	0.496	+9.88%	0.1012	✗	1.46
2025-11-19	oos	0.4723	0.450447	-4.63%	0.4871	+3.13%	0.1359	✗	1.54
2025-11-18	oos	0.5104	0.485846	-4.81%	0.4528	-11.29%	0.0572	✗	1.53
2025-11-17	oos	0.501	0.477333	-4.72%	0.4629	-7.60%	0.0701	✗	1.52
2025-11-16	oos	0.514	0.488683	-4.93%	0.4552	-11.44%	0.0370	✓	1.55
2025-11-15	oos	0.5203	0.494476	-4.96%	0.4505	-13.42%	0.0630	✗	1.55
2025-11-14	oos	0.5215	0.496357	-4.82%	0.4757	-8.78%	0.0657	✗	1.56
2025-11-13	oos	0.5679	0.543887	-4.23%	0.4768	-16.04%	0.0224	✓	1.56
2025-11-12	oos	0.597	0.574411	-3.78%	0.4816	-19.33%	0.0078	✓	1.55
2025-11-11	oos	0.6214	0.599384	-3.54%	0.4952	-20.31%	0.0251	✓	1.55
2025-11-10	oos	0.6228	0.603915	-3.03%	0.5148	-17.34%	0.0639	✗	1.58
2025-11-09	oos	0.6417	0.61871	-3.58%	0.5209	-18.82%	0.0232	✓	1.60
2025-11-08	oos	0.6406	0.614283	-4.11%	0.5243	-18.15%	0.0382	✓	1.63
2025-11-07	oos	0.6439	0.61729	-4.13%	0.5344	-17.01%	0.0732	✗	1.63
2025-11-06	oos	0.6153	0.594382	-3.40%	0.5254	-14.61%	0.0815	✗	1.62
2025-11-05	oos	0.6439	0.620196	-3.68%	0.5042	-21.70%	0.0362	✓	1.61
2025-11-04	oos	0.5716	0.562238	-1.64%	0.51	-10.78%	0.0513	✗	1.53
2025-11-03	oos	0.5617	0.546647	-2.68%	0.5193	-7.55%	0.1711	✗	1.70
2025-11-02	oos	0.6098	0.582155	-4.53%	0.5385	-11.69%	0.2447	✗	1.69
2025-11-01	oos	0.6287	0.598475	-4.81%	0.5006	-20.38%	0.2353	✗	1.70
2025-10-31	oos	0.6247	0.594654	-4.81%	0.5414	-13.33%	0.2341	✗	1.70
2025-10-30	oos	0.6303	0.599568	-4.88%	0.5481	-13.04%	0.2117	✗	1.71
2025-10-29	oos	0.609	0.582548	-4.34%	0.5844	-4.04%	0.3383	✗	1.75
2025-10-28	oos	0.603	0.583698	-3.20%	0.6029	-0.02%	0.4078	✗	1.77
2025-10-27	oos	0.69	0.671137	-2.73%	0.6179	-10.45%	0.3184	✗	1.73
2025-10-26	oos	0.7419	0.721914	-2.69%	0.6249	-15.77%	0.3227	✗	1.72
2025-10-25	oos	0.6788	0.659904	-2.78%	0.6041	-11.00%	0.3074	✗	1.68
2025-10-24	oos	0.6829	0.662975	-2.92%	0.62	-9.21%	0.3438	✗	1.67
2025-10-23	oos	0.6635	0.646173	-2.61%	0.5308	-20.00%	0.2403	✗	1.66
2025-10-22	oos	0.6152	0.600479	-2.39%	0.4518	-26.56%	0.0954	✗	1.62
2025-10-21	oos	0.6325	0.620445	-1.91%	0.4514	-28.63%	0.0452	✗	1.62
2025-10-20	oos	0.6661	0.654889	-1.68%	0.4723	-29.09%	0.0163	✓	1.64
2025-10-19	oos	0.6731	0.658437	-2.18%	0.5104	-24.17%	0.0016	✓	1.64
2025-10-18	oos	0.6227	0.611508	-1.80%	0.501	-19.54%	0.0437	✗	1.60
2025-10-17	oos	0.6126	0.602563	-1.64%	0.514	-16.10%	0.0362	✗	1.59
2025-10-16	oos	0.6252	0.61713	-1.29%	0.5203	-16.78%	0.0282	✗	1.60
2025-10-15	oos	0.6547	0.647735	-1.06%	0.5215	-20.35%	0.0336	✗	1.57
2025-10-14	oos	0.6761	0.668969	-1.05%	0.5679	-16.00%	0.0370	✗	1.58
2025-10-13	oos	0.6991	0.687333	-1.68%	0.597	-14.60%	0.0614	✗	1.61
2025-10-12	oos	0.7064	0.698431	-1.13%	0.6214	-12.03%	0.0629	✗	1.62
2025-10-11	oos	0.6166	0.633834	+2.80%	0.6228	+1.01%	0.0494	✓	1.52
2025-10-10	oos	0.5866	0.605962	+3.30%	0.6417	+9.39%	0.1802	✓	1.61
2025-10-09	oos	0.6817	0.664434	-2.53%	0.6406	-6.03%	0.2260	✗	1.51
2025-10-08	oos	0.7125	0.691515	-2.95%	0.6439	-9.63%	0.1907	✗	1.48
2025-10-07	oos	0.7047	0.683434	-3.02%	0.6153	-12.69%	0.1581	✗	1.45
2025-10-06	oos	0.736	0.719173	-2.29%	0.6439	-12.51%	0.1541	✗	1.45
2025-10-05	oos	0.7141	0.692802	-2.98%	0.5716	-19.96%	0.0900	✗	1.44
2025-10-04	oos	0.7215	0.696814	-3.42%	0.5617	-22.15%	0.0171	✓	1.43
2025-10-03	oos	0.7328	0.706692	-3.56%	0.6098	-16.78%	0.0017	✓	1.44
2025-10-02	oos	0.7458	0.716386	-3.94%	0.6287	-15.70%	0.0034	✓	1.46
2025-10-01	oos	0.728	0.69795	-4.13%	0.6247	-14.19%	0.0059	✓	1.46
2025-09-30	oos	0.6868	0.662804	-3.49%	0.6303	-8.23%	0.0248	✓	1.45
2025-09-29	oos	0.693	0.668412	-3.55%	0.609	-12.12%	0.0338	✓	1.54
2025-09-28	oos	0.7095	0.684064	-3.59%	0.603	-15.01%	0.1365	✓	1.64
2025-09-27	oos	0.6949	0.672524	-3.22%	0.69	-0.71%	0.0395	✓	1.66
2025-09-26	oos	0.6826	0.660816	-3.19%	0.7419	+8.69%	0.0442	✗	1.65
2025-09-25	oos	0.6951	0.673332	-3.13%	0.6788	-2.34%	0.0319	✓	1.68
2025-09-24	oos	0.7374	0.712085	-3.43%	0.6829	-7.39%	0.0069	✓	1.70
2025-09-23	oos	0.7157	0.694163	-3.01%	0.6635	-7.29%	0.0160	✓	1.70
2025-09-22	oos	0.7471	0.725816	-2.85%	0.6152	-17.65%	0.0825	✓	1.77
2025-09-21	oos	0.7844	0.762999	-2.73%	0.6325	-19.37%	0.0762	✓	1.80
2025-09-20	oos	0.8044	0.782645	-2.70%	0.6661	-17.19%	0.0829	✓	1.71
2025-09-19	oos	0.8018	0.781322	-2.55%	0.6731	-16.05%	0.0406	✓	1.74
2025-09-18	oos	0.813	0.788551	-3.01%	0.6227	-23.41%	0.0831	✓	1.73
2025-09-17	oos	0.778	0.760036	-2.31%	0.6126	-21.26%	0.0603	✓	1.73

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.