DARK
Darkwoods · Robinhood · gru_s2
- token id
- #795
- symbol
- DARK
- variant
- –
- chain
- Robinhood
- address
- 0xdc45b71d7203c2e8baafc43a19bca0eb993bb54e
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2023-11-23
- predictions
- 456
Track record at +7d
assessed
133
of 152 predictions shown
direction hit
72.2%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.2087
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0358
actual -0.2049
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.001307 | 0.001239 | -5.23% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.000949 | 0.000950084 | +0.11% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.001397 | 0.001378 | -1.37% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.001845 | 0.001756 | -4.78% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.002037 | 0.001897 | -6.89% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2025-08-04 | oos | 0.002796 | 0.002628 | -6.03% | – | pending | – | – | 3.62 |
| 2025-08-03 | oos | 0.00239 | 0.002303 | -3.62% | – | pending | – | – | 3.45 |
| 2025-08-02 | oos | 0.002305 | 0.00224 | -2.80% | – | pending | – | – | 3.43 |
| 2025-08-01 | oos | 0.002374 | 0.00231 | -2.71% | – | pending | – | – | 3.37 |
| 2025-07-31 | oos | 0.002516 | 0.002462 | -2.15% | – | pending | – | – | 3.55 |
| 2025-07-30 | oos | 0.002592 | 0.002583 | -0.34% | – | pending | – | – | 3.63 |
| 2025-07-29 | oos | 0.00286 | 0.002848 | -0.40% | – | pending | – | – | 3.37 |
| 2025-07-28 | oos | 0.003153 | 0.003112 | -1.29% | 0.002796 | -11.31% | 0.0195 | ✓ | 3.38 |
| 2025-07-27 | oos | 0.003054 | 0.003058 | +0.15% | 0.00239 | -21.76% | 0.0924 | ✗ | 3.44 |
| 2025-07-26 | oos | 0.002947 | 0.002902 | -1.52% | 0.002305 | -21.78% | 0.0730 | ✓ | 3.34 |
| 2025-07-25 | oos | 0.003035 | 0.002963 | -2.38% | 0.002374 | -21.78% | 0.0937 | ✓ | 3.37 |
| 2025-07-24 | oos | 0.003066 | 0.00302 | -1.52% | 0.002516 | -17.94% | 0.1070 | ✓ | 3.35 |
| 2025-07-23 | oos | 0.003233 | 0.00318 | -1.65% | 0.002592 | -19.83% | 0.1771 | ✓ | 3.29 |
| 2025-07-22 | oos | 0.003309 | 0.003268 | -1.23% | 0.00286 | -13.57% | 0.0751 | ✓ | 3.32 |
| 2025-07-21 | oos | 0.003192 | 0.003106 | -2.71% | 0.003153 | -1.22% | 0.0029 | ✓ | 3.32 |
| 2025-07-20 | oos | 0.002797 | 0.002728 | -2.46% | 0.003054 | +9.19% | 0.0328 | ✗ | 4.40 |
| 2025-07-19 | oos | 0.002741 | 0.002682 | -2.16% | 0.002947 | +7.52% | 0.0924 | ✗ | 4.02 |
| 2025-07-18 | oos | 0.002851 | 0.002777 | -2.59% | 0.003035 | +6.45% | 0.1022 | ✗ | 4.05 |
| 2025-07-17 | oos | 0.002938 | 0.002865 | -2.47% | 0.003066 | +4.36% | 0.0977 | ✗ | 4.07 |
| 2025-07-16 | oos | 0.002999 | 0.00291 | -2.96% | 0.003233 | +7.80% | 0.1009 | ✗ | 4.02 |
| 2025-07-15 | oos | 0.002946 | 0.002864 | -2.78% | 0.003309 | +12.32% | 0.0686 | ✗ | 4.02 |
| 2025-07-14 | oos | 0.002694 | 0.002719 | +0.93% | 0.003192 | +18.49% | 0.2460 | ✓ | 4.17 |
| 2025-07-13 | oos | 0.002897 | 0.002901 | +0.15% | 0.002797 | -3.45% | 0.0276 | ✓ | 4.18 |
| 2025-07-12 | oos | 0.003098 | 0.003048 | -1.62% | 0.002741 | -11.52% | 0.1219 | ✓ | 4.21 |
| 2025-07-11 | oos | 0.003358 | 0.003264 | -2.79% | 0.002851 | -15.10% | 0.1511 | ✓ | 4.20 |
| 2025-07-10 | oos | 0.003002 | 0.002965 | -1.24% | 0.002938 | -2.13% | 0.1240 | ✓ | 4.17 |
| 2025-07-09 | oos | 0.002724 | 0.002754 | +1.09% | 0.002999 | +10.10% | 0.1861 | ✗ | 4.22 |
| 2025-07-08 | oos | 0.002578 | 0.00265 | +2.79% | 0.002946 | +14.27% | 0.2220 | ✗ | 4.21 |
| 2025-07-07 | oos | 0.002644 | 0.002705 | +2.32% | 0.002694 | +1.89% | 0.4327 | ✗ | 4.21 |
| 2025-07-06 | oos | 0.002814 | 0.002845 | +1.09% | 0.002897 | +2.95% | 0.3484 | ✗ | 4.22 |
| 2025-07-05 | oos | 0.002657 | 0.002658 | +0.05% | 0.003098 | +16.60% | 0.1909 | ✗ | 4.21 |
| 2025-07-04 | oos | 0.002586 | 0.002584 | -0.08% | 0.003358 | +29.85% | 0.0946 | ✓ | 4.21 |
| 2025-07-03 | oos | 0.002754 | 0.002721 | -1.20% | 0.003002 | +9.01% | 0.1424 | ✓ | 4.24 |
| 2025-07-02 | oos | 0.002885 | 0.002838 | -1.63% | 0.002724 | -5.58% | 0.1333 | ✓ | 4.24 |
| 2025-07-01 | oos | 0.002573 | 0.002562 | -0.45% | 0.002578 | +0.19% | 0.1208 | ✓ | 4.21 |
| 2025-06-30 | oos | 0.003278 | 0.003159 | -3.62% | 0.002644 | -19.34% | 0.2199 | ✓ | 4.11 |
| 2025-06-29 | oos | 0.003167 | 0.003042 | -3.96% | 0.002814 | -11.15% | 0.1098 | ✓ | 4.19 |
| 2025-06-28 | oos | 0.002957 | 0.002908 | -1.67% | 0.002657 | -10.15% | 0.1247 | ✓ | 4.17 |
| 2025-06-27 | oos | 0.003523 | 0.003409 | -3.24% | 0.002586 | -26.60% | 0.3117 | ✓ | 4.16 |
| 2025-06-26 | oos | 0.004013 | 0.003824 | -4.71% | 0.002754 | -31.37% | 0.4278 | ✓ | 4.15 |
| 2025-06-25 | oos | 0.004036 | 0.003848 | -4.66% | 0.002885 | -28.52% | 0.3453 | ✓ | 4.17 |
| 2025-06-24 | oos | 0.004267 | 0.00404 | -5.32% | 0.002573 | -39.70% | 0.4342 | ✓ | 4.19 |
| 2025-06-23 | oos | 0.004368 | 0.004048 | -7.32% | 0.003278 | -24.95% | 0.2802 | ✓ | 4.19 |
| 2025-06-22 | oos | 0.004004 | 0.003844 | -3.99% | 0.003167 | -20.90% | 0.4959 | ✓ | 4.28 |
| 2025-06-21 | oos | 0.003983 | 0.003913 | -1.75% | 0.002957 | -25.76% | 0.4955 | ✓ | 4.34 |
| 2025-06-20 | oos | 0.004445 | 0.004278 | -3.75% | 0.003523 | -20.74% | 0.3505 | ✓ | 4.33 |
| 2025-06-19 | oos | 0.004911 | 0.004559 | -7.17% | 0.004013 | -18.29% | 0.2240 | ✓ | 4.33 |
| 2025-06-18 | oos | 0.005086 | 0.004732 | -6.95% | 0.004036 | -20.64% | 0.2607 | ✓ | 4.34 |
| 2025-06-17 | oos | 0.005041 | 0.004789 | -5.00% | 0.004267 | -15.35% | 0.1793 | ✓ | 4.34 |
| 2025-06-16 | oos | 0.005281 | 0.005011 | -5.11% | 0.004368 | -17.29% | 0.0772 | ✓ | 4.45 |
| 2025-06-15 | oos | 0.005917 | 0.005565 | -5.95% | 0.004004 | -32.33% | 0.1287 | ✓ | 4.50 |
| 2025-06-14 | oos | 0.006217 | 0.005736 | -7.73% | 0.003983 | -35.93% | 0.2216 | ✓ | 4.50 |
| 2025-06-13 | oos | 0.005012 | 0.004756 | -5.10% | 0.004445 | -11.31% | 0.0562 | ✗ | 4.64 |
| 2025-06-12 | oos | 0.005304 | 0.005014 | -5.47% | 0.004911 | -7.41% | 0.0255 | ✓ | 4.64 |
| 2025-06-11 | oos | 0.006633 | 0.006116 | -7.79% | 0.005086 | -23.32% | 0.0239 | ✓ | 4.57 |
| 2025-06-10 | oos | 0.005894 | 0.005517 | -6.39% | 0.005041 | -14.47% | 0.1654 | ✗ | 4.81 |
| 2025-06-09 | oos | 0.006098 | 0.005749 | -5.72% | 0.005281 | -13.40% | 0.0679 | ✗ | 4.82 |
| 2025-06-08 | oos | 0.005929 | 0.005772 | -2.65% | 0.005917 | -0.20% | 0.0337 | ✗ | 5.07 |
| 2025-06-07 | oos | 0.005997 | 0.005885 | -1.87% | 0.006217 | +3.67% | 0.0623 | ✗ | 5.07 |
| 2025-06-06 | oos | 0.005891 | 0.005852 | -0.67% | 0.005012 | -14.92% | 0.2375 | ✓ | 5.07 |
| 2025-06-05 | oos | 0.005238 | 0.0054 | +3.09% | 0.005304 | +1.26% | 0.2189 | ✗ | 5.02 |
| 2025-06-04 | oos | 0.00631 | 0.006367 | +0.91% | 0.006633 | +5.12% | 0.1454 | ✗ | 5.07 |
| 2025-06-03 | oos | 0.00767 | 0.007494 | -2.30% | 0.005894 | -23.16% | 0.4650 | ✓ | 5.00 |
| 2025-06-02 | oos | 0.007135 | 0.00711 | -0.35% | 0.006098 | -14.53% | 0.3604 | ✓ | 5.09 |
| 2025-06-01 | oos | 0.007398 | 0.007371 | -0.37% | 0.005929 | -19.86% | 0.2218 | ✓ | 5.09 |
| 2025-05-31 | oos | 0.006696 | 0.006934 | +3.56% | 0.005997 | -10.44% | 0.1920 | ✗ | 5.05 |
| 2025-05-30 | oos | 0.006587 | 0.006954 | +5.57% | 0.005891 | -10.57% | 0.1835 | ✗ | 5.05 |
| 2025-05-29 | oos | 0.007919 | 0.008197 | +3.51% | 0.005238 | -33.86% | 0.2552 | ✗ | 4.98 |
| 2025-05-28 | oos | 0.00946 | 0.009561 | +1.07% | 0.00631 | -33.30% | 0.2724 | ✗ | 4.96 |
| 2025-05-27 | oos | 0.010931 | 0.010785 | -1.34% | 0.00767 | -29.83% | 0.1787 | ✓ | 4.92 |
| 2025-05-26 | oos | 0.01142 | 0.011146 | -2.40% | 0.007135 | -37.52% | 0.2824 | ✓ | 4.95 |
| 2025-05-25 | oos | 0.011277 | 0.010977 | -2.66% | 0.007398 | -34.40% | 0.2398 | ✓ | 4.96 |
| 2025-05-24 | oos | 0.012084 | 0.011544 | -4.47% | 0.006696 | -44.59% | 0.3969 | ✓ | 4.99 |
| 2025-05-23 | oos | 0.012392 | 0.011683 | -5.72% | 0.006587 | -46.84% | 0.4174 | ✓ | 4.99 |
| 2025-05-22 | oos | 0.015393 | 0.013788 | -10.43% | 0.007919 | -48.55% | 0.2622 | ✓ | 5.16 |
| 2025-05-21 | oos | 0.012423 | 0.011366 | -8.50% | 0.00946 | -23.85% | 0.0972 | ✓ | 4.99 |
| 2025-05-20 | oos | 0.011758 | 0.010867 | -7.58% | 0.010931 | -7.03% | 0.0914 | ✓ | 5.01 |
| 2025-05-19 | oos | 0.012125 | 0.011102 | -8.44% | 0.01142 | -5.81% | 0.1514 | ✓ | 5.02 |
| 2025-05-18 | oos | 0.011663 | 0.010694 | -8.31% | 0.011277 | -3.31% | 0.0717 | ✓ | 5.22 |
| 2025-05-17 | oos | 0.011383 | 0.010682 | -6.15% | 0.012084 | +6.16% | 0.1134 | ✓ | 5.39 |
| 2025-05-16 | oos | 0.011643 | 0.010881 | -6.55% | 0.012392 | +6.43% | 0.0937 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-15 | oos | 0.012234 | 0.01135 | -7.22% | 0.015393 | +25.82% | 0.2310 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-14 | oos | 0.013635 | 0.012479 | -8.48% | 0.012423 | -8.89% | 0.0623 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-13 | oos | 0.016633 | 0.014819 | -10.90% | 0.011758 | -29.31% | 0.2575 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-12 | oos | 0.018853 | 0.016747 | -11.17% | 0.012125 | -35.69% | 0.3500 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-11 | oos | 0.017499 | 0.015302 | -12.55% | 0.011663 | -33.35% | 0.2937 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-10 | oos | 0.016775 | 0.014555 | -13.24% | 0.011383 | -32.14% | 0.2299 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-09 | oos | 0.01342 | 0.012401 | -7.59% | 0.011643 | -13.24% | 0.0680 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-08 | in | 0.015819 | 0.014171 | -10.42% | 0.012234 | -22.66% | 0.1521 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-07 | in | 0.011052 | 0.011353 | +2.72% | 0.013635 | +23.37% | 0.1185 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-06 | in | 0.01415 | 0.014075 | -0.53% | 0.016633 | +17.55% | 0.0944 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-05 | in | 0.015996 | 0.01575 | -1.54% | 0.018853 | +17.86% | 0.0981 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-04 | in | 0.017052 | 0.016632 | -2.46% | 0.017499 | +2.62% | 0.0487 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-03 | in | 0.01703 | 0.016541 | -2.87% | 0.016775 | -1.50% | 0.0753 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-02 | in | 0.023187 | 0.021164 | -8.72% | 0.01342 | -42.12% | 0.5162 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-01 | in | 0.0163 | 0.015958 | -2.10% | 0.015819 | -2.95% | 0.0761 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-04-30 | in | 0.02036 | 0.01946 | -4.42% | 0.011052 | -45.72% | 0.5958 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-04-29 | in | 0.024322 | 0.022545 | -7.31% | 0.01415 | -41.82% | 0.4927 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-04-28 | in | 0.025719 | 0.023579 | -8.32% | 0.015996 | -37.80% | 0.3848 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-04-27 | in | 0.030589 | 0.027249 | -10.92% | 0.017052 | -44.25% | 0.4740 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-04-26 | in | 0.03442 | 0.030684 | -10.85% | 0.01703 | -50.52% | 0.6013 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2024-01-16 | in | 0.000009 | 0.00000978 | +8.66% | – | pending | – | – | -1.27 |
| 2024-01-15 | in | 0.0000157 | 0.000016116 | +2.65% | – | pending | – | – | -1.09 |
| 2024-01-14 | in | 0.0000149 | 0.00001564 | +4.97% | – | pending | – | – | -1.13 |
| 2024-01-13 | in | 0.00001622 | 0.000016771 | +3.40% | – | pending | – | – | -1.21 |
| 2024-01-12 | in | 0.0000257 | 0.000024422 | -4.97% | – | pending | – | – | -1.23 |
| 2024-01-11 | in | 0.00002504 | 0.000023934 | -4.42% | – | pending | – | – | -1.41 |
| 2024-01-10 | in | 0.00002673 | 0.000025524 | -4.51% | – | pending | – | – | -1.44 |
| 2024-01-09 | in | 0.00003347 | 0.000031784 | -5.04% | 0.000009 | -73.11% | 1.3547 | ✓ | -1.38 |
| 2024-01-08 | in | 0.00002866 | 0.000027341 | -4.60% | 0.0000157 | -45.22% | 0.6820 | ✓ | -1.26 |
| 2024-01-07 | in | 0.00002885 | 0.000027291 | -5.40% | 0.0000149 | -48.35% | 0.6847 | ✓ | -1.51 |
| 2024-01-06 | in | 0.00003261 | 0.000030584 | -6.21% | 0.00001622 | -50.26% | 0.6750 | ✓ | -1.54 |
| 2024-01-05 | in | 0.0000316 | 0.000029632 | -6.23% | 0.0000257 | -18.67% | 0.1919 | ✓ | -1.52 |
| 2024-01-04 | in | 0.000032 | 0.000029879 | -6.63% | 0.00002504 | -21.75% | 0.1043 | ✓ | -1.52 |
| 2024-01-03 | in | 0.00003349 | 0.000030984 | -7.48% | 0.00002673 | -20.19% | 0.0170 | ✓ | -1.54 |
| 2024-01-02 | in | 0.0000337 | 0.000031283 | -7.17% | 0.00003347 | -0.68% | 0.1114 | ✗ | -1.73 |
| 2024-01-01 | in | 0.00003166 | 0.000029626 | -6.42% | 0.00002866 | -9.48% | 0.0763 | ✗ | -1.80 |
| 2023-12-31 | in | 0.00003167 | 0.000029754 | -6.05% | 0.00002885 | -8.90% | 0.0468 | ✓ | -2.01 |
| 2023-12-30 | in | 0.00003168 | 0.000029983 | -5.36% | 0.00003261 | +2.94% | 0.1706 | ✗ | -2.02 |
| 2023-12-29 | in | 0.00003798 | 0.000035696 | -6.01% | 0.0000316 | -16.80% | 0.0219 | ✓ | -2.03 |
| 2023-12-28 | in | 0.0000381 | 0.000036239 | -4.88% | 0.000032 | -16.01% | 0.0482 | ✓ | -2.05 |
| 2023-12-27 | in | 0.00002929 | 0.000028707 | -1.99% | 0.00003349 | +14.34% | 0.1300 | ✗ | -1.70 |
| 2023-12-26 | in | 0.00003903 | 0.000038196 | -2.14% | 0.0000337 | -13.66% | 0.0451 | ✓ | -1.43 |
| 2023-12-25 | in | 0.00004557 | 0.000044663 | -1.99% | 0.00003166 | -30.52% | 0.3184 | ✓ | -1.79 |
| 2023-12-24 | in | 0.00005145 | 0.000049898 | -3.02% | 0.00003167 | -38.45% | 0.4845 | ✓ | -1.73 |
| 2023-12-23 | in | 0.00004727 | 0.00004667 | -1.27% | 0.00003168 | -32.98% | 0.4484 | ✓ | -1.65 |
| 2023-12-22 | in | 0.00003765 | 0.00003857 | +2.44% | 0.00003798 | +0.88% | 0.0299 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-21 | in | 0.00004179 | 0.000042946 | +2.77% | 0.0000381 | -8.83% | 0.0898 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-20 | in | 0.00004502 | 0.000045711 | +1.54% | 0.00002929 | -34.94% | 0.4405 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-19 | in | 0.00005 | 0.000049516 | -0.97% | 0.00003903 | -21.94% | 0.2439 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-18 | in | 0.000056 | 0.000054339 | -2.97% | 0.00004557 | -18.62% | 0.1978 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-17 | in | 0.00005097 | 0.000049434 | -3.01% | 0.00005145 | +0.94% | 0.0003 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-16 | in | 0.000045 | 0.000043712 | -2.86% | 0.00004727 | +5.04% | 0.0436 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-15 | in | 0.00004838 | 0.000046577 | -3.73% | 0.00003765 | -22.18% | 0.2612 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-14 | in | 0.00004328 | 0.00004217 | -2.57% | 0.00004179 | -3.44% | 0.0286 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-13 | in | 0.00004588 | 0.000044659 | -2.66% | 0.00004502 | -1.87% | 0.0102 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-12 | in | 0.00006089 | 0.000058903 | -3.26% | 0.00005 | -17.88% | 0.1827 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-11 | in | 0.00006109 | 0.000059035 | -3.36% | 0.000056 | -8.33% | 0.0866 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-10 | in | 0.00006163 | 0.00006124 | -0.63% | 0.00005097 | -17.30% | 0.1261 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-09 | in | 0.00005702 | 0.000056736 | -0.50% | 0.000045 | -21.08% | 0.1972 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-08 | in | 0.00005751 | 0.000057722 | +0.37% | 0.00004838 | -15.88% | 0.1241 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-07 | in | 0.00006009 | 0.000060036 | -0.09% | 0.00004328 | -27.97% | 0.3214 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-06 | in | 0.0000579 | 0.000057509 | -0.68% | 0.00004588 | -20.76% | 0.2056 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-05 | in | 0.00005568 | 0.000055254 | -0.77% | 0.00006089 | +9.36% | 0.1581 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-04 | in | 0.00006001 | 0.000058991 | -1.70% | 0.00006109 | +1.80% | 0.0532 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-03 | in | 0.00006997 | 0.000068258 | -2.45% | 0.00006163 | -11.92% | 0.1931 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-02 | in | 0.00006388 | 0.000061997 | -2.95% | 0.00005702 | -10.74% | 0.1858 | ✓ | 1.00 |