DARK
Darkwoods · Robinhood · gru_s2
- token id
- #795
- symbol
- DARK
- variant
- –
- chain
- Robinhood
- address
- 0xdc45b71d7203c2e8baafc43a19bca0eb993bb54e
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2023-11-23
- predictions
- 456
Track record at +1d
assessed
149
of 152 predictions shown
direction hit
60.4%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.0978
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0108
actual -0.0378
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.001307 | 0.001281 | -2.01% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.000949 | 0.000956381 | +0.78% | 0.001307 | +37.72% | 0.3153 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.001397 | 0.001394 | -0.24% | 0.000949 | -32.07% | 0.3976 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.001845 | 0.001817 | -1.47% | 0.001397 | -24.26% | 0.2610 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.002037 | 0.002 | -1.84% | 0.001845 | -9.45% | 0.0884 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-08-04 | oos | 0.002796 | 0.002746 | -1.79% | – | pending | – | – | 3.62 |
| 2025-08-03 | oos | 0.00239 | 0.002368 | -0.88% | 0.002796 | +17.03% | 0.1410 | ✗ | 3.45 |
| 2025-08-02 | oos | 0.002305 | 0.002293 | -0.52% | 0.00239 | +3.67% | 0.0094 | ✓ | 3.43 |
| 2025-08-01 | oos | 0.002374 | 0.00236 | -0.58% | 0.002305 | -2.91% | 0.0026 | ✓ | 3.37 |
| 2025-07-31 | oos | 0.002516 | 0.002501 | -0.60% | 0.002374 | -5.64% | 0.0258 | ✗ | 3.55 |
| 2025-07-30 | oos | 0.002592 | 0.002586 | -0.22% | 0.002516 | -2.93% | 0.0368 | ✗ | 3.63 |
| 2025-07-29 | oos | 0.00286 | 0.002852 | -0.28% | 0.002592 | -9.37% | 0.0926 | ✓ | 3.37 |
| 2025-07-28 | oos | 0.003153 | 0.003134 | -0.59% | 0.00286 | -9.29% | 0.0877 | ✓ | 3.38 |
| 2025-07-27 | oos | 0.003054 | 0.003046 | -0.25% | 0.003153 | +3.24% | 0.0748 | ✗ | 3.44 |
| 2025-07-26 | oos | 0.002947 | 0.002921 | -0.87% | 0.003054 | +3.63% | 0.0023 | ✓ | 3.34 |
| 2025-07-25 | oos | 0.003035 | 0.002998 | -1.21% | 0.002947 | -2.90% | 0.0269 | ✓ | 3.37 |
| 2025-07-24 | oos | 0.003066 | 0.003031 | -1.16% | 0.003035 | -1.01% | 0.0231 | ✗ | 3.35 |
| 2025-07-23 | oos | 0.003233 | 0.003181 | -1.60% | 0.003066 | -5.17% | 0.0255 | ✓ | 3.29 |
| 2025-07-22 | oos | 0.003309 | 0.003241 | -2.05% | 0.003233 | -2.30% | 0.0312 | ✗ | 3.32 |
| 2025-07-21 | oos | 0.003192 | 0.003108 | -2.64% | 0.003309 | +3.67% | 0.0098 | ✓ | 3.32 |
| 2025-07-20 | oos | 0.002797 | 0.00273 | -2.41% | 0.003192 | +14.12% | 0.1522 | ✗ | 4.40 |
| 2025-07-19 | oos | 0.002741 | 0.002691 | -1.82% | 0.002797 | +2.04% | 0.0592 | ✗ | 4.02 |
| 2025-07-18 | oos | 0.002851 | 0.002808 | -1.50% | 0.002741 | -3.86% | 0.0205 | ✓ | 4.05 |
| 2025-07-17 | oos | 0.002938 | 0.002922 | -0.54% | 0.002851 | -2.96% | 0.0182 | ✗ | 4.07 |
| 2025-07-16 | oos | 0.002999 | 0.002987 | -0.40% | 0.002938 | -2.03% | 0.0365 | ✓ | 4.02 |
| 2025-07-15 | oos | 0.002946 | 0.002939 | -0.24% | 0.002999 | +1.80% | 0.0104 | ✓ | 4.02 |
| 2025-07-14 | oos | 0.002694 | 0.002702 | +0.29% | 0.002946 | +9.35% | 0.1597 | ✓ | 4.17 |
| 2025-07-13 | oos | 0.002897 | 0.0029 | +0.09% | 0.002694 | -7.01% | 0.0992 | ✗ | 4.18 |
| 2025-07-12 | oos | 0.003098 | 0.003089 | -0.29% | 0.002897 | -6.49% | 0.1232 | ✓ | 4.21 |
| 2025-07-11 | oos | 0.003358 | 0.003331 | -0.80% | 0.003098 | -7.74% | 0.0686 | ✓ | 4.20 |
| 2025-07-10 | oos | 0.003002 | 0.002993 | -0.31% | 0.003358 | +11.86% | 0.0598 | ✗ | 4.17 |
| 2025-07-09 | oos | 0.002724 | 0.002729 | +0.17% | 0.003002 | +10.21% | 0.0807 | ✗ | 4.22 |
| 2025-07-08 | oos | 0.002578 | 0.002587 | +0.34% | 0.002724 | +5.66% | 0.0372 | ✗ | 4.21 |
| 2025-07-07 | oos | 0.002644 | 0.00265 | +0.21% | 0.002578 | -2.50% | 0.0541 | ✗ | 4.21 |
| 2025-07-06 | oos | 0.002814 | 0.002813 | -0.03% | 0.002644 | -6.04% | 0.0252 | ✓ | 4.22 |
| 2025-07-05 | oos | 0.002657 | 0.00265 | -0.24% | 0.002814 | +5.91% | 0.0223 | ✗ | 4.21 |
| 2025-07-04 | oos | 0.002586 | 0.002579 | -0.29% | 0.002657 | +2.75% | 0.0215 | ✗ | 4.21 |
| 2025-07-03 | oos | 0.002754 | 0.002736 | -0.65% | 0.002586 | -6.10% | 0.0060 | ✓ | 4.24 |
| 2025-07-02 | oos | 0.002885 | 0.00286 | -0.86% | 0.002754 | -4.54% | 0.0666 | ✓ | 4.24 |
| 2025-07-01 | oos | 0.002573 | 0.002562 | -0.42% | 0.002885 | +12.13% | 0.0059 | ✓ | 4.21 |
| 2025-06-30 | oos | 0.003278 | 0.003224 | -1.65% | 0.002573 | -21.51% | 0.1691 | ✓ | 4.11 |
| 2025-06-29 | oos | 0.003167 | 0.003111 | -1.78% | 0.003278 | +3.50% | 0.0995 | ✗ | 4.19 |
| 2025-06-28 | oos | 0.002957 | 0.002929 | -0.93% | 0.003167 | +7.10% | 0.0380 | ✗ | 4.17 |
| 2025-06-27 | oos | 0.003523 | 0.003469 | -1.53% | 0.002957 | -16.07% | 0.1691 | ✓ | 4.16 |
| 2025-06-26 | oos | 0.004013 | 0.003928 | -2.11% | 0.003523 | -12.21% | 0.1121 | ✓ | 4.15 |
| 2025-06-25 | oos | 0.004036 | 0.003945 | -2.26% | 0.004013 | -0.57% | 0.0316 | ✗ | 4.17 |
| 2025-06-24 | oos | 0.004267 | 0.004152 | -2.69% | 0.004036 | -5.41% | 0.0777 | ✓ | 4.19 |
| 2025-06-23 | oos | 0.004368 | 0.004251 | -2.68% | 0.004267 | -2.31% | 0.0248 | ✓ | 4.19 |
| 2025-06-22 | oos | 0.004004 | 0.004018 | +0.35% | 0.004368 | +9.09% | 0.0999 | ✗ | 4.28 |
| 2025-06-21 | oos | 0.003983 | 0.004011 | +0.70% | 0.004004 | +0.53% | 0.0480 | ✓ | 4.34 |
| 2025-06-20 | oos | 0.004445 | 0.004461 | +0.37% | 0.003983 | -10.39% | 0.0646 | ✗ | 4.33 |
| 2025-06-19 | oos | 0.004911 | 0.004898 | -0.26% | 0.004445 | -9.49% | 0.0406 | ✓ | 4.33 |
| 2025-06-18 | oos | 0.005086 | 0.005062 | -0.48% | 0.004911 | -3.44% | 0.0202 | ✓ | 4.34 |
| 2025-06-17 | oos | 0.005041 | 0.005018 | -0.45% | 0.005086 | +0.89% | 0.0001 | ✓ | 4.34 |
| 2025-06-16 | oos | 0.005281 | 0.005236 | -0.85% | 0.005041 | -4.54% | 0.0573 | ✗ | 4.45 |
| 2025-06-15 | oos | 0.005917 | 0.005848 | -1.17% | 0.005281 | -10.75% | 0.1550 | ✓ | 4.50 |
| 2025-06-14 | oos | 0.006217 | 0.00612 | -1.56% | 0.005917 | -4.83% | 0.0394 | ✓ | 4.50 |
| 2025-06-13 | oos | 0.005012 | 0.004977 | -0.71% | 0.006217 | +24.04% | 0.2510 | ✗ | 4.64 |
| 2025-06-12 | oos | 0.005304 | 0.005265 | -0.74% | 0.005012 | -5.51% | 0.0665 | ✓ | 4.64 |
| 2025-06-11 | oos | 0.006633 | 0.006526 | -1.62% | 0.005304 | -20.04% | 0.0817 | ✓ | 4.57 |
| 2025-06-10 | oos | 0.005894 | 0.00583 | -1.08% | 0.006633 | +12.54% | 0.2007 | ✗ | 4.81 |
| 2025-06-09 | oos | 0.006098 | 0.006043 | -0.91% | 0.005894 | -3.35% | 0.0249 | ✓ | 4.82 |
| 2025-06-08 | oos | 0.005929 | 0.005938 | +0.15% | 0.006098 | +2.85% | 0.1853 | ✗ | 5.07 |
| 2025-06-07 | oos | 0.005997 | 0.006016 | +0.31% | 0.005929 | -1.13% | 0.0225 | ✗ | 5.07 |
| 2025-06-06 | oos | 0.005891 | 0.005933 | +0.70% | 0.005997 | +1.80% | 0.0481 | ✗ | 5.07 |
| 2025-06-05 | oos | 0.005238 | 0.005342 | +1.99% | 0.005891 | +12.47% | 0.0400 | ✗ | 5.02 |
| 2025-06-04 | oos | 0.00631 | 0.006371 | +0.97% | 0.005238 | -16.99% | 0.0393 | ✗ | 5.07 |
| 2025-06-03 | oos | 0.00767 | 0.007613 | -0.75% | 0.00631 | -17.73% | 0.1547 | ✓ | 5.00 |
| 2025-06-02 | oos | 0.007135 | 0.007133 | -0.02% | 0.00767 | +7.50% | 0.0945 | ✗ | 5.09 |
| 2025-06-01 | oos | 0.007398 | 0.007393 | -0.07% | 0.007135 | -3.56% | 0.0454 | ✓ | 5.09 |
| 2025-05-31 | oos | 0.006696 | 0.006821 | +1.86% | 0.007398 | +10.48% | 0.0307 | ✓ | 5.05 |
| 2025-05-30 | oos | 0.006587 | 0.006769 | +2.77% | 0.006696 | +1.65% | 0.0405 | ✗ | 5.05 |
| 2025-05-29 | oos | 0.007919 | 0.00804 | +1.53% | 0.006587 | -16.82% | 0.1261 | ✗ | 4.98 |
| 2025-05-28 | oos | 0.00946 | 0.009419 | -0.43% | 0.007919 | -16.29% | 0.0690 | ✓ | 4.96 |
| 2025-05-27 | oos | 0.010931 | 0.010742 | -1.73% | 0.00946 | -13.46% | 0.0744 | ✓ | 4.92 |
| 2025-05-26 | oos | 0.01142 | 0.011198 | -1.95% | 0.010931 | -4.28% | 0.0021 | ✓ | 4.95 |
| 2025-05-25 | oos | 0.011277 | 0.011049 | -2.02% | 0.01142 | +1.27% | 0.0142 | ✓ | 4.96 |
| 2025-05-24 | oos | 0.012084 | 0.011764 | -2.65% | 0.011277 | -6.68% | 0.0999 | ✓ | 4.99 |
| 2025-05-23 | oos | 0.012392 | 0.012012 | -3.06% | 0.012084 | -2.49% | 0.0156 | ✓ | 4.99 |
| 2025-05-22 | oos | 0.015393 | 0.015166 | -1.47% | 0.012392 | -19.50% | 0.0051 | ✓ | 5.16 |
| 2025-05-21 | oos | 0.012423 | 0.012238 | -1.49% | 0.015393 | +23.91% | 0.1381 | ✗ | 4.99 |
| 2025-05-20 | oos | 0.011758 | 0.011497 | -2.22% | 0.012423 | +5.66% | 0.0528 | ✓ | 5.01 |
| 2025-05-19 | oos | 0.012125 | 0.011878 | -2.04% | 0.011758 | -3.03% | 0.0700 | ✓ | 5.02 |
| 2025-05-18 | oos | 0.011663 | 0.01152 | -1.23% | 0.012125 | +3.96% | 0.0934 | ✗ | 5.22 |
| 2025-05-17 | oos | 0.011383 | 0.011261 | -1.07% | 0.011663 | +2.46% | 0.1352 | ✓ | 5.39 |
| 2025-05-16 | oos | 0.011643 | 0.011512 | -1.12% | 0.011383 | -2.23% | 0.0080 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-15 | oos | 0.012234 | 0.012051 | -1.50% | 0.011643 | -4.83% | 0.0317 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-14 | oos | 0.013635 | 0.013347 | -2.11% | 0.012234 | -10.28% | 0.0894 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-13 | oos | 0.016633 | 0.016121 | -3.08% | 0.013635 | -18.02% | 0.1619 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-12 | oos | 0.018853 | 0.018125 | -3.86% | 0.016633 | -11.78% | 0.0987 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-11 | oos | 0.017499 | 0.016755 | -4.25% | 0.018853 | +7.74% | 0.1309 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-10 | oos | 0.016775 | 0.016072 | -4.19% | 0.017499 | +4.32% | 0.0915 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-09 | oos | 0.01342 | 0.013027 | -2.93% | 0.016775 | +25.00% | 0.2353 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-08 | in | 0.015819 | 0.015286 | -3.37% | 0.01342 | -15.17% | 0.1276 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-07 | in | 0.011052 | 0.011175 | +1.11% | 0.015819 | +43.13% | 0.2856 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-06 | in | 0.01415 | 0.014056 | -0.66% | 0.011052 | -21.89% | 0.2427 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-05 | in | 0.015996 | 0.015821 | -1.09% | 0.01415 | -11.54% | 0.1336 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-04 | in | 0.017052 | 0.016729 | -1.90% | 0.015996 | -6.19% | 0.0497 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-03 | in | 0.01703 | 0.016669 | -2.12% | 0.017052 | +0.13% | 0.0394 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-02 | in | 0.023187 | 0.022178 | -4.35% | 0.01703 | -26.55% | 0.2530 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-01 | in | 0.0163 | 0.016197 | -0.63% | 0.023187 | +42.25% | 0.3546 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-04-30 | in | 0.02036 | 0.019941 | -2.06% | 0.0163 | -19.94% | 0.2262 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-04-29 | in | 0.024322 | 0.0237 | -2.56% | 0.02036 | -16.29% | 0.1510 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-04-28 | in | 0.025719 | 0.025183 | -2.09% | 0.024322 | -5.43% | 0.0266 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-04-27 | in | 0.030589 | 0.029761 | -2.71% | 0.025719 | -15.92% | 0.1593 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-04-26 | in | 0.03442 | 0.033408 | -2.94% | 0.030589 | -11.13% | 0.0787 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2024-01-16 | in | 0.000009 | 0.000009272 | +3.02% | – | pending | – | – | -1.27 |
| 2024-01-15 | in | 0.0000157 | 0.00001591 | +1.34% | 0.000009 | -42.68% | 0.5535 | ✗ | -1.09 |
| 2024-01-14 | in | 0.0000149 | 0.000015317 | +2.80% | 0.0000157 | +5.37% | 0.0461 | ✓ | -1.13 |
| 2024-01-13 | in | 0.00001622 | 0.000016586 | +2.26% | 0.0000149 | -8.14% | 0.1400 | ✗ | -1.21 |
| 2024-01-12 | in | 0.0000257 | 0.00002521 | -1.91% | 0.00001622 | -36.89% | 0.4391 | ✓ | -1.23 |
| 2024-01-11 | in | 0.00002504 | 0.00002477 | -1.08% | 0.0000257 | +2.64% | 0.0762 | ✓ | -1.41 |
| 2024-01-10 | in | 0.00002673 | 0.000026383 | -1.30% | 0.00002504 | -6.32% | 0.0622 | ✓ | -1.44 |
| 2024-01-09 | in | 0.00003347 | 0.000032933 | -1.60% | 0.00002673 | -20.14% | 0.1925 | ✓ | -1.38 |
| 2024-01-08 | in | 0.00002866 | 0.000028364 | -1.03% | 0.00003347 | +16.78% | 0.1419 | ✗ | -1.26 |
| 2024-01-07 | in | 0.00002885 | 0.000028448 | -1.39% | 0.00002866 | -0.66% | 0.1087 | ✗ | -1.51 |
| 2024-01-06 | in | 0.00003261 | 0.000031958 | -2.00% | 0.00002885 | -11.53% | 0.1038 | ✓ | -1.54 |
| 2024-01-05 | in | 0.0000316 | 0.000030889 | -2.25% | 0.00003261 | +3.20% | 0.0475 | ✗ | -1.52 |
| 2024-01-04 | in | 0.000032 | 0.000031239 | -2.38% | 0.0000316 | -1.25% | 0.0113 | ✓ | -1.52 |
| 2024-01-03 | in | 0.00003349 | 0.000032878 | -1.83% | 0.000032 | -4.45% | 0.0199 | ✗ | -1.54 |
| 2024-01-02 | in | 0.0000337 | 0.000032808 | -2.65% | 0.00003349 | -0.62% | 0.0627 | ✓ | -1.73 |
| 2024-01-01 | in | 0.00003166 | 0.000031086 | -1.81% | 0.0000337 | +6.44% | 0.1111 | ✗ | -1.80 |
| 2023-12-31 | in | 0.00003167 | 0.000031422 | -0.78% | 0.00003166 | -0.03% | 0.0976 | ✗ | -2.01 |
| 2023-12-30 | in | 0.00003168 | 0.000031477 | -0.64% | 0.00003167 | -0.03% | 0.0131 | ✗ | -2.02 |
| 2023-12-29 | in | 0.00003798 | 0.000037608 | -0.98% | 0.00003168 | -16.59% | 0.1678 | ✓ | -2.03 |
| 2023-12-28 | in | 0.0000381 | 0.00003777 | -0.87% | 0.00003798 | -0.31% | 0.0195 | ✓ | -2.05 |
| 2023-12-27 | in | 0.00002929 | 0.000029265 | -0.08% | 0.0000381 | +30.08% | 0.2286 | ✗ | -1.70 |
| 2023-12-26 | in | 0.00003903 | 0.000038845 | -0.47% | 0.00002929 | -24.96% | 0.2505 | ✓ | -1.43 |
| 2023-12-25 | in | 0.00004557 | 0.000045154 | -0.91% | 0.00003903 | -14.35% | 0.1903 | ✓ | -1.79 |
| 2023-12-24 | in | 0.00005145 | 0.000050694 | -1.47% | 0.00004557 | -11.43% | 0.0840 | ✓ | -1.73 |
| 2023-12-23 | in | 0.00004727 | 0.000046718 | -1.17% | 0.00005145 | +8.84% | 0.0698 | ✗ | -1.65 |
| 2023-12-22 | in | 0.00003765 | 0.000037698 | +0.13% | 0.00004727 | +25.55% | 0.2328 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-21 | in | 0.00004179 | 0.00004165 | -0.34% | 0.00003765 | -9.91% | 0.1041 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-20 | in | 0.00004502 | 0.000044451 | -1.26% | 0.00004179 | -7.17% | 0.0663 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-19 | in | 0.00005 | 0.000048802 | -2.40% | 0.00004502 | -9.96% | 0.1134 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-18 | in | 0.000056 | 0.000054047 | -3.49% | 0.00005 | -10.71% | 0.0688 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-17 | in | 0.00005097 | 0.000049378 | -3.12% | 0.000056 | +9.87% | 0.0949 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-16 | in | 0.000045 | 0.000043852 | -2.55% | 0.00005097 | +13.27% | 0.1717 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-15 | in | 0.00004838 | 0.000046956 | -2.94% | 0.000045 | -6.99% | 0.0498 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-14 | in | 0.00004328 | 0.000042746 | -1.23% | 0.00004838 | +11.78% | 0.1496 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-13 | in | 0.00004588 | 0.000045505 | -0.82% | 0.00004328 | -5.67% | 0.0535 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-12 | in | 0.00006089 | 0.000060388 | -0.83% | 0.00004588 | -24.65% | 0.3081 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-11 | in | 0.00006109 | 0.000060557 | -0.87% | 0.00006089 | -0.33% | 0.0005 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-10 | in | 0.00006163 | 0.000061349 | -0.46% | 0.00006109 | -0.88% | 0.0561 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-09 | in | 0.00005702 | 0.000056735 | -0.50% | 0.00006163 | +8.08% | 0.0812 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-08 | in | 0.00005751 | 0.00005729 | -0.38% | 0.00005702 | -0.85% | 0.0060 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-07 | in | 0.00006009 | 0.000059666 | -0.71% | 0.00005751 | -4.29% | 0.0577 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-06 | in | 0.0000579 | 0.000057449 | -0.78% | 0.00006009 | +3.78% | 0.0561 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-05 | in | 0.00005568 | 0.000055356 | -0.58% | 0.0000579 | +3.99% | 0.0522 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-04 | in | 0.00006001 | 0.000059402 | -1.01% | 0.00005568 | -7.22% | 0.1134 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-03 | in | 0.00006997 | 0.000069134 | -1.19% | 0.00006001 | -14.23% | 0.1904 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-02 | in | 0.00006388 | 0.000063441 | -0.69% | 0.00006997 | +9.53% | 0.0852 | ✗ | 1.00 |