DARK
Darkwoods · Robinhood · gru_s2
- token id
- #795
- symbol
- DARK
- variant
- –
- chain
- Robinhood
- address
- 0xdc45b71d7203c2e8baafc43a19bca0eb993bb54e
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2023-11-23
- predictions
- 456
Track record at +30d
assessed
87
of 152 predictions shown
direction hit
95.4%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.7533
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.1417
actual -0.8949
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.001307 | 0.001052 | -19.49% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.000949 | 0.00080913 | -14.74% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.001397 | 0.001181 | -15.48% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.001845 | 0.001473 | -20.15% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.002037 | 0.001628 | -20.09% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2025-08-04 | oos | 0.002796 | 0.002454 | -12.24% | – | pending | – | – | 3.62 |
| 2025-08-03 | oos | 0.00239 | 0.002128 | -10.96% | – | pending | – | – | 3.45 |
| 2025-08-02 | oos | 0.002305 | 0.002054 | -10.90% | – | pending | – | – | 3.43 |
| 2025-08-01 | oos | 0.002374 | 0.002135 | -10.05% | – | pending | – | – | 3.37 |
| 2025-07-31 | oos | 0.002516 | 0.002331 | -7.36% | – | pending | – | – | 3.55 |
| 2025-07-30 | oos | 0.002592 | 0.002489 | -3.97% | – | pending | – | – | 3.63 |
| 2025-07-29 | oos | 0.00286 | 0.002801 | -2.07% | – | pending | – | – | 3.37 |
| 2025-07-28 | oos | 0.003153 | 0.003094 | -1.87% | – | pending | – | – | 3.38 |
| 2025-07-27 | oos | 0.003054 | 0.003027 | -0.90% | – | pending | – | – | 3.44 |
| 2025-07-26 | oos | 0.002947 | 0.002822 | -4.23% | – | pending | – | – | 3.34 |
| 2025-07-25 | oos | 0.003035 | 0.002863 | -5.68% | – | pending | – | – | 3.37 |
| 2025-07-24 | oos | 0.003066 | 0.002918 | -4.83% | – | pending | – | – | 3.35 |
| 2025-07-23 | oos | 0.003233 | 0.003077 | -4.83% | – | pending | – | – | 3.29 |
| 2025-07-22 | oos | 0.003309 | 0.003187 | -3.69% | – | pending | – | – | 3.32 |
| 2025-07-21 | oos | 0.003192 | 0.002974 | -6.83% | – | pending | – | – | 3.32 |
| 2025-07-20 | oos | 0.002797 | 0.002647 | -5.37% | – | pending | – | – | 4.40 |
| 2025-07-19 | oos | 0.002741 | 0.002636 | -3.82% | – | pending | – | – | 4.02 |
| 2025-07-18 | oos | 0.002851 | 0.002753 | -3.45% | – | pending | – | – | 4.05 |
| 2025-07-17 | oos | 0.002938 | 0.002918 | -0.70% | – | pending | – | – | 4.07 |
| 2025-07-16 | oos | 0.002999 | 0.002989 | -0.32% | – | pending | – | – | 4.02 |
| 2025-07-15 | oos | 0.002946 | 0.00296 | +0.47% | – | pending | – | – | 4.02 |
| 2025-07-14 | oos | 0.002694 | 0.002789 | +3.51% | – | pending | – | – | 4.17 |
| 2025-07-13 | oos | 0.002897 | 0.002982 | +2.95% | – | pending | – | – | 4.18 |
| 2025-07-12 | oos | 0.003098 | 0.0031 | +0.05% | – | pending | – | – | 4.21 |
| 2025-07-11 | oos | 0.003358 | 0.003293 | -1.94% | – | pending | – | – | 4.20 |
| 2025-07-10 | oos | 0.003002 | 0.002971 | -1.05% | – | pending | – | – | 4.17 |
| 2025-07-09 | oos | 0.002724 | 0.00278 | +2.05% | – | pending | – | – | 4.22 |
| 2025-07-08 | oos | 0.002578 | 0.002652 | +2.88% | – | pending | – | – | 4.21 |
| 2025-07-07 | oos | 0.002644 | 0.002683 | +1.47% | – | pending | – | – | 4.21 |
| 2025-07-06 | oos | 0.002814 | 0.002793 | -0.74% | – | pending | – | – | 4.22 |
| 2025-07-05 | oos | 0.002657 | 0.002572 | -3.21% | 0.002796 | +5.25% | 0.1726 | ✓ | 4.21 |
| 2025-07-04 | oos | 0.002586 | 0.002496 | -3.49% | 0.00239 | -7.60% | 0.2779 | ✓ | 4.21 |
| 2025-07-03 | oos | 0.002754 | 0.002631 | -4.47% | 0.002305 | -16.30% | 0.2434 | ✓ | 4.24 |
| 2025-07-02 | oos | 0.002885 | 0.002763 | -4.24% | 0.002374 | -17.71% | 0.3183 | ✓ | 4.24 |
| 2025-07-01 | oos | 0.002573 | 0.002471 | -3.95% | 0.002516 | -2.22% | 0.3641 | ✓ | 4.21 |
| 2025-06-30 | oos | 0.003278 | 0.002999 | -8.52% | 0.002592 | -20.93% | 0.5352 | ✓ | 4.11 |
| 2025-06-29 | oos | 0.003167 | 0.002886 | -8.87% | 0.00286 | -9.69% | 0.3625 | ✓ | 4.19 |
| 2025-06-28 | oos | 0.002957 | 0.002774 | -6.19% | 0.003153 | +6.63% | 0.2684 | ✓ | 4.17 |
| 2025-06-27 | oos | 0.003523 | 0.003203 | -9.07% | 0.003054 | -13.31% | 0.5018 | ✓ | 4.16 |
| 2025-06-26 | oos | 0.004013 | 0.003533 | -11.96% | 0.002947 | -26.56% | 0.5853 | ✓ | 4.15 |
| 2025-06-25 | oos | 0.004036 | 0.003582 | -11.24% | 0.003035 | -24.80% | 0.5449 | ✓ | 4.17 |
| 2025-06-24 | oos | 0.004267 | 0.003785 | -11.29% | 0.003066 | -28.15% | 0.6683 | ✓ | 4.19 |
| 2025-06-23 | oos | 0.004368 | 0.003814 | -12.69% | 0.003233 | -25.98% | 0.6661 | ✓ | 4.19 |
| 2025-06-22 | oos | 0.004004 | 0.003783 | -5.52% | 0.003309 | -17.36% | 0.8724 | ✓ | 4.28 |
| 2025-06-21 | oos | 0.003983 | 0.003811 | -4.31% | 0.003192 | -19.86% | 0.7822 | ✓ | 4.34 |
| 2025-06-20 | oos | 0.004445 | 0.00406 | -8.66% | 0.002797 | -37.08% | 0.9230 | ✓ | 4.33 |
| 2025-06-19 | oos | 0.004911 | 0.004125 | -16.01% | 0.002741 | -44.19% | 0.9248 | ✓ | 4.33 |
| 2025-06-18 | oos | 0.005086 | 0.00406 | -20.18% | 0.002851 | -43.94% | 0.8642 | ✓ | 4.34 |
| 2025-06-17 | oos | 0.005041 | 0.004 | -20.64% | 0.002938 | -41.72% | 0.8787 | ✓ | 4.34 |
| 2025-06-16 | oos | 0.005281 | 0.004106 | -22.24% | 0.002999 | -43.21% | 0.7816 | ✓ | 4.45 |
| 2025-06-15 | oos | 0.005917 | 0.00447 | -24.46% | 0.002946 | -50.21% | 0.9080 | ✓ | 4.50 |
| 2025-06-14 | oos | 0.006217 | 0.004402 | -29.20% | 0.002694 | -56.67% | 1.0665 | ✓ | 4.50 |
| 2025-06-13 | oos | 0.005012 | 0.00368 | -26.58% | 0.002897 | -42.20% | 0.7761 | ✓ | 4.64 |
| 2025-06-12 | oos | 0.005304 | 0.003848 | -27.46% | 0.003098 | -41.59% | 0.7057 | ✓ | 4.64 |
| 2025-06-11 | oos | 0.006633 | 0.004674 | -29.53% | 0.003358 | -49.37% | 0.6907 | ✓ | 4.57 |
| 2025-06-10 | oos | 0.005894 | 0.004249 | -27.92% | 0.003002 | -49.07% | 0.5910 | ✓ | 4.81 |
| 2025-06-09 | oos | 0.006098 | 0.004444 | -27.12% | 0.002724 | -55.33% | 0.5322 | ✓ | 4.82 |
| 2025-06-08 | oos | 0.005929 | 0.00452 | -23.76% | 0.002578 | -56.52% | 0.7113 | ✓ | 5.07 |
| 2025-06-07 | oos | 0.005997 | 0.004649 | -22.47% | 0.002644 | -55.91% | 0.6902 | ✓ | 5.07 |
| 2025-06-06 | oos | 0.005891 | 0.004689 | -20.41% | 0.002814 | -52.23% | 0.7392 | ✓ | 5.07 |
| 2025-06-05 | oos | 0.005238 | 0.004507 | -13.95% | 0.002657 | -49.27% | 0.8480 | ✓ | 5.02 |
| 2025-06-04 | oos | 0.00631 | 0.005197 | -17.64% | 0.002586 | -59.02% | 0.8542 | ✓ | 5.07 |
| 2025-06-03 | oos | 0.00767 | 0.006072 | -20.84% | 0.002754 | -64.09% | 0.9850 | ✓ | 5.00 |
| 2025-06-02 | oos | 0.007135 | 0.00587 | -17.73% | 0.002885 | -59.57% | 0.8517 | ✓ | 5.09 |
| 2025-06-01 | oos | 0.007398 | 0.006108 | -17.44% | 0.002573 | -65.22% | 0.8652 | ✓ | 5.09 |
| 2025-05-31 | oos | 0.006696 | 0.005856 | -12.54% | 0.003278 | -51.05% | 0.7008 | ✓ | 5.05 |
| 2025-05-30 | oos | 0.006587 | 0.005962 | -9.49% | 0.003167 | -51.92% | 0.8395 | ✓ | 5.05 |
| 2025-05-29 | oos | 0.007919 | 0.007214 | -8.90% | 0.002957 | -62.66% | 0.9752 | ✓ | 4.98 |
| 2025-05-28 | oos | 0.00946 | 0.00922 | -2.53% | 0.003523 | -62.76% | 0.9295 | ✓ | 4.96 |
| 2025-05-27 | oos | 0.010931 | 0.010946 | +0.14% | 0.004013 | -63.29% | 0.9146 | ✗ | 4.92 |
| 2025-05-26 | oos | 0.01142 | 0.011481 | +0.53% | 0.004036 | -64.66% | 0.9512 | ✗ | 4.95 |
| 2025-05-25 | oos | 0.011277 | 0.011279 | +0.02% | 0.004267 | -62.16% | 0.8380 | ✗ | 4.96 |
| 2025-05-24 | oos | 0.012084 | 0.011502 | -4.82% | 0.004368 | -63.85% | 0.8571 | ✓ | 4.99 |
| 2025-05-23 | oos | 0.012392 | 0.011458 | -7.54% | 0.004004 | -67.69% | 0.7481 | ✓ | 4.99 |
| 2025-05-22 | oos | 0.015393 | 0.014721 | -4.37% | 0.003983 | -74.12% | 0.8452 | ✓ | 5.16 |
| 2025-05-21 | oos | 0.012423 | 0.011745 | -5.46% | 0.004445 | -64.22% | 0.6723 | ✓ | 4.99 |
| 2025-05-20 | oos | 0.011758 | 0.010602 | -9.83% | 0.004911 | -58.23% | 0.6649 | ✓ | 5.01 |
| 2025-05-19 | oos | 0.012125 | 0.010558 | -12.92% | 0.005086 | -58.05% | 0.6970 | ✓ | 5.02 |
| 2025-05-18 | oos | 0.011663 | 0.010216 | -12.41% | 0.005041 | -56.78% | 0.6131 | ✓ | 5.22 |
| 2025-05-17 | oos | 0.011383 | 0.009687 | -14.90% | 0.005281 | -53.61% | 0.7961 | ✓ | 5.39 |
| 2025-05-16 | oos | 0.011643 | 0.009613 | -17.44% | 0.005917 | -49.18% | 0.5053 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-15 | oos | 0.012234 | 0.00967 | -20.96% | 0.006217 | -49.18% | 0.4578 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-14 | oos | 0.013635 | 0.010328 | -24.25% | 0.005012 | -63.24% | 0.7476 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-13 | oos | 0.016633 | 0.012392 | -25.50% | 0.005304 | -68.11% | 0.8637 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-12 | oos | 0.018853 | 0.014308 | -24.11% | 0.006633 | -64.82% | 0.8243 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-11 | oos | 0.017499 | 0.013933 | -20.38% | 0.005894 | -66.32% | 0.9178 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-10 | oos | 0.016775 | 0.013846 | -17.46% | 0.006098 | -63.65% | 0.8710 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-09 | oos | 0.01342 | 0.011872 | -11.53% | 0.005929 | -55.82% | 0.7212 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-08 | in | 0.015819 | 0.013927 | -11.96% | 0.005997 | -62.09% | 0.8652 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-07 | in | 0.011052 | 0.009641 | -12.77% | 0.005891 | -46.70% | 0.5654 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-06 | in | 0.01415 | 0.011914 | -15.80% | 0.005238 | -62.98% | 0.8695 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-05 | in | 0.015996 | 0.013297 | -16.87% | 0.00631 | -60.55% | 0.8459 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-04 | in | 0.017052 | 0.014256 | -16.39% | 0.00767 | -55.02% | 0.7319 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-03 | in | 0.01703 | 0.014234 | -16.42% | 0.007135 | -58.10% | 0.7903 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-02 | in | 0.023187 | 0.018585 | -19.85% | 0.007398 | -68.09% | 1.0077 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-01 | in | 0.0163 | 0.014008 | -14.06% | 0.006696 | -58.92% | 0.8189 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-04-30 | in | 0.02036 | 0.017414 | -14.47% | 0.006587 | -67.65% | 1.0717 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-04-29 | in | 0.024322 | 0.019932 | -18.05% | 0.007919 | -67.44% | 1.0363 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-04-28 | in | 0.025719 | 0.020538 | -20.15% | 0.00946 | -63.22% | 0.9013 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-04-27 | in | 0.030589 | 0.023277 | -23.90% | 0.010931 | -64.26% | 0.9060 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-04-26 | in | 0.03442 | 0.026719 | -22.37% | 0.01142 | -66.82% | 0.9952 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2024-01-16 | in | 0.000009 | 0.000009802 | +8.91% | – | pending | – | – | -1.27 |
| 2024-01-15 | in | 0.0000157 | 0.000015285 | -2.64% | – | pending | – | – | -1.09 |
| 2024-01-14 | in | 0.0000149 | 0.000015054 | +1.04% | – | pending | – | – | -1.13 |
| 2024-01-13 | in | 0.00001622 | 0.000016149 | -0.44% | – | pending | – | – | -1.21 |
| 2024-01-12 | in | 0.0000257 | 0.000023781 | -7.47% | – | pending | – | – | -1.23 |
| 2024-01-11 | in | 0.00002504 | 0.000022219 | -11.27% | – | pending | – | – | -1.41 |
| 2024-01-10 | in | 0.00002673 | 0.000024035 | -10.08% | – | pending | – | – | -1.44 |
| 2024-01-09 | in | 0.00003347 | 0.000029996 | -10.38% | – | pending | – | – | -1.38 |
| 2024-01-08 | in | 0.00002866 | 0.000026685 | -6.89% | – | pending | – | – | -1.26 |
| 2024-01-07 | in | 0.00002885 | 0.000025382 | -12.02% | – | pending | – | – | -1.51 |
| 2024-01-06 | in | 0.00003261 | 0.000028387 | -12.95% | – | pending | – | – | -1.54 |
| 2024-01-05 | in | 0.0000316 | 0.000027384 | -13.34% | – | pending | – | – | -1.52 |
| 2024-01-04 | in | 0.000032 | 0.000027597 | -13.76% | – | pending | – | – | -1.52 |
| 2024-01-03 | in | 0.00003349 | 0.00002813 | -16.00% | – | pending | – | – | -1.54 |
| 2024-01-02 | in | 0.0000337 | 0.000029709 | -11.84% | – | pending | – | – | -1.73 |
| 2024-01-01 | in | 0.00003166 | 0.000027389 | -13.49% | – | pending | – | – | -1.80 |
| 2023-12-31 | in | 0.00003167 | 0.000025991 | -17.93% | – | pending | – | – | -2.01 |
| 2023-12-30 | in | 0.00003168 | 0.000025702 | -18.87% | – | pending | – | – | -2.02 |
| 2023-12-29 | in | 0.00003798 | 0.000031603 | -16.79% | – | pending | – | – | -2.03 |
| 2023-12-28 | in | 0.0000381 | 0.00003207 | -15.83% | – | pending | – | – | -2.05 |
| 2023-12-27 | in | 0.00002929 | 0.000024342 | -16.89% | – | pending | – | – | -1.70 |
| 2023-12-26 | in | 0.00003903 | 0.000034026 | -12.82% | – | pending | – | – | -1.43 |
| 2023-12-25 | in | 0.00004557 | 0.000042056 | -7.71% | – | pending | – | – | -1.79 |
| 2023-12-24 | in | 0.00005145 | 0.000047975 | -6.75% | – | pending | – | – | -1.73 |
| 2023-12-23 | in | 0.00004727 | 0.000045764 | -3.19% | – | pending | – | – | -1.65 |
| 2023-12-22 | in | 0.00003765 | 0.00003646 | -3.16% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-21 | in | 0.00004179 | 0.000042633 | +2.02% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-20 | in | 0.00004502 | 0.000046182 | +2.58% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-19 | in | 0.00005 | 0.000048336 | -3.33% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-18 | in | 0.000056 | 0.000053365 | -4.71% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-17 | in | 0.00005097 | 0.000046769 | -8.24% | 0.000009 | -82.34% | 1.6902 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-16 | in | 0.000045 | 0.000041069 | -8.74% | 0.0000157 | -65.11% | 0.9676 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-15 | in | 0.00004838 | 0.000044376 | -8.28% | 0.0000149 | -69.20% | 1.0857 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-14 | in | 0.00004328 | 0.000040428 | -6.59% | 0.00001622 | -62.52% | 0.9089 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-13 | in | 0.00004588 | 0.000043328 | -5.56% | 0.0000257 | -43.98% | 0.5197 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-12 | in | 0.00006089 | 0.000057411 | -5.71% | 0.00002504 | -58.88% | 0.9407 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-11 | in | 0.00006109 | 0.000057317 | -6.18% | 0.00002673 | -56.24% | 0.8867 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-10 | in | 0.00006163 | 0.000058387 | -5.26% | 0.00003347 | -45.69% | 0.6083 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-09 | in | 0.00005702 | 0.000053758 | -5.72% | 0.00002866 | -49.74% | 0.7012 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-08 | in | 0.00005751 | 0.000054843 | -4.64% | 0.00002885 | -49.83% | 0.6369 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-07 | in | 0.00006009 | 0.000057836 | -3.75% | 0.00003261 | -45.73% | 0.5893 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-06 | in | 0.0000579 | 0.000055488 | -4.17% | 0.0000316 | -45.42% | 0.5726 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-05 | in | 0.00005568 | 0.00005272 | -5.32% | 0.000032 | -42.53% | 0.5017 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-04 | in | 0.00006001 | 0.000057394 | -4.36% | 0.00003349 | -44.19% | 0.5593 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-03 | in | 0.00006997 | 0.000069974 | +0.01% | 0.0000337 | -51.84% | 0.8482 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-02 | in | 0.00006388 | 0.000063691 | -0.30% | 0.00003166 | -50.44% | 0.8124 | ✓ | 1.00 |