CTR

Citrea · Base · gru_s2

token id: #590
symbol: CTR
variant: –
chain: Base
address: 0x11030f79109269d796fd0fb956d6244e502757f7
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-26
predictions: 423

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +7d

assessed

134

of 141 predictions shown

direction hit

47.8%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0993

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0143

actual -0.0148

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.015367	0.014982	-2.50%	–	pending	–	–	0.16
2026-10-21	oos	0.0152	0.014883	-2.09%	–	pending	–	–	0.15
2026-10-20	oos	0.017857	0.017188	-3.75%	–	pending	–	–	0.26
2026-10-19	oos	0.017291	0.016316	-5.64%	–	pending	–	–	0.25
2026-10-18	oos	0.013308	0.013049	-1.95%	–	pending	–	–	0.27
2026-10-17	oos	0.013303	0.013046	-1.93%	–	pending	–	–	0.27
2026-10-16	oos	0.013935	0.013619	-2.27%	–	pending	–	–	0.27
2026-10-15	oos	0.013058	0.012818	-1.84%	0.015367	+17.68%	0.1737	✗	0.30
2026-10-14	oos	0.013763	0.013467	-2.15%	0.0152	+10.44%	0.1118	✗	0.31
2026-10-13	oos	0.014573	0.014174	-2.74%	0.017857	+22.54%	0.2316	✗	0.29
2026-10-12	oos	0.013765	0.013377	-2.82%	0.017291	+25.61%	0.2563	✗	0.28
2026-10-11	oos	0.012887	0.012601	-2.22%	0.013308	+3.27%	0.0615	✗	0.34
2026-10-10	oos	0.012848	0.012565	-2.20%	0.013303	+3.55%	0.0633	✗	0.33
2026-10-09	oos	0.012519	0.01227	-1.99%	0.013935	+11.31%	0.1315	✗	0.34
2026-10-08	oos	0.012738	0.012473	-2.08%	0.013058	+2.52%	0.0439	✗	0.36
2026-10-07	oos	0.012589	0.01232	-2.13%	0.013763	+9.33%	0.1190	✗	0.40
2026-10-06	oos	0.012659	0.012381	-2.20%	0.014573	+15.12%	0.1742	✗	0.39
2026-10-05	oos	0.012707	0.012429	-2.18%	0.013765	+8.33%	0.1223	✗	0.42
2026-10-04	oos	0.012899	0.012611	-2.23%	0.012887	-0.09%	0.0371	✗	0.47
2026-10-03	oos	0.012956	0.012623	-2.56%	0.012848	-0.83%	0.0279	✗	0.47
2026-10-02	oos	0.011884	0.011647	-2.00%	0.012519	+5.34%	0.0832	✗	0.47
2026-10-01	oos	0.012313	0.012038	-2.23%	0.012738	+3.45%	0.0741	✗	0.46
2026-09-30	oos	0.012909	0.012564	-2.67%	0.012589	-2.48%	0.0035	✓	0.47
2026-09-29	oos	0.012601	0.012274	-2.59%	0.012659	+0.46%	0.0215	✓	0.42
2026-09-28	oos	0.012023	0.01175	-2.27%	0.012707	+5.69%	0.0661	✗	0.45
2026-09-27	oos	0.012241	0.011945	-2.42%	0.012899	+5.38%	0.0660	✗	0.45
2026-09-26	oos	0.012434	0.012099	-2.70%	0.012956	+4.19%	0.0666	✗	0.47
2026-09-25	oos	0.011831	0.011565	-2.25%	0.011884	+0.45%	0.0250	✗	0.47
2026-09-24	oos	0.012256	0.011974	-2.30%	0.012313	+0.46%	0.0254	✗	0.45
2026-09-23	oos	0.01249	0.01215	-2.72%	0.012909	+3.35%	0.0650	✗	0.45
2026-09-22	oos	0.01223	0.011927	-2.48%	0.012601	+3.03%	0.0686	✗	0.45
2026-09-21	oos	0.011974	0.011693	-2.35%	0.012023	+0.41%	0.0471	✗	0.52
2026-09-20	oos	0.011331	0.011092	-2.12%	0.012241	+8.03%	0.0799	✗	0.47
2026-09-19	oos	0.011508	0.011266	-2.10%	0.012434	+8.05%	0.0802	✗	0.48
2026-09-18	oos	0.011775	0.011508	-2.27%	0.011831	+0.48%	0.0081	✓	0.50
2026-09-17	oos	0.011548	0.011295	-2.19%	0.012256	+6.13%	0.0283	✗	0.53
2026-09-16	oos	0.011539	0.011298	-2.09%	0.01249	+8.24%	0.0453	✗	0.54
2026-09-15	oos	0.012138	0.011722	-3.43%	0.01223	+0.75%	0.0405	✓	0.63
2026-09-14	oos	0.010906	0.010716	-1.74%	0.011974	+9.79%	0.0345	✗	0.75
2026-09-13	oos	0.010455	0.010246	-2.00%	0.011331	+8.39%	0.0594	✗	0.75
2026-09-12	oos	0.00994	0.009838	-1.02%	0.011508	+15.79%	0.1191	✗	0.75
2026-09-11	oos	0.009771	0.009696	-0.77%	0.011775	+20.51%	0.1594	✗	0.75
2026-09-10	oos	0.009272	0.009246	-0.28%	0.011548	+24.55%	0.2241	✗	0.73
2026-09-09	oos	0.01026	0.010161	-0.97%	0.011539	+12.47%	0.1457	✗	0.67
2026-09-08	oos	0.010186	0.0101	-0.84%	0.012138	+19.17%	0.2094	✗	0.69
2026-09-07	oos	0.010375	0.010274	-0.96%	0.010906	+5.12%	0.0681	✗	0.72
2026-09-06	oos	0.00945	0.009465	+0.15%	0.010455	+10.63%	0.1316	✓	0.71
2026-09-05	oos	0.009865	0.00985	-0.15%	0.00994	+0.76%	0.0326	✗	0.72
2026-09-04	oos	0.009869	0.009859	-0.10%	0.009771	-0.99%	0.0120	✗	0.67
2026-09-03	oos	0.010077	0.0101	+0.23%	0.009272	-7.99%	0.0467	✗	0.65
2026-09-02	oos	0.010039	0.00998	-0.59%	0.01026	+2.20%	0.0161	✗	0.92
2026-09-01	oos	0.00967	0.009636	-0.35%	0.010186	+5.33%	0.0429	✗	0.93
2026-08-31	oos	0.009508	0.009514	+0.06%	0.010375	+9.11%	0.0805	✓	0.90
2026-08-30	oos	0.009343	0.00934	-0.03%	0.00945	+1.15%	0.0186	✓	0.89
2026-08-29	oos	0.009572	0.009565	-0.08%	0.009865	+3.06%	0.0133	✗	0.87
2026-08-28	oos	0.009431	0.009401	-0.32%	0.009869	+4.64%	0.0286	✗	0.86
2026-08-27	oos	0.009239	0.009282	+0.47%	0.010077	+9.07%	0.0712	✓	0.90
2026-08-26	oos	0.009325	0.009326	+0.01%	0.010039	+7.66%	0.0936	✓	0.90
2026-08-25	oos	0.008563	0.008583	+0.24%	0.00967	+12.93%	0.1317	✓	0.86
2026-08-24	oos	0.008554	0.008578	+0.27%	0.009508	+11.15%	0.1081	✓	0.96
2026-08-23	oos	0.007924	0.007946	+0.27%	0.009343	+17.91%	0.1628	✓	0.94
2026-08-22	oos	0.008046	0.008055	+0.11%	0.009572	+18.97%	0.1583	✓	0.94
2026-08-21	oos	0.00872	0.008724	+0.04%	0.009431	+8.15%	0.0836	✓	0.92
2026-08-20	oos	0.008193	0.008091	-1.25%	0.009239	+12.77%	0.0474	✗	0.90
2026-08-19	oos	0.008446	0.008248	-2.35%	0.009325	+10.41%	0.0101	✓	1.01
2026-08-18	oos	0.008435	0.00821	-2.67%	0.008563	+1.51%	0.1843	✓	1.17
2026-08-17	oos	0.008381	0.008169	-2.53%	0.008554	+2.07%	0.1903	✓	1.17
2026-08-16	oos	0.008785	0.008549	-2.69%	0.007924	-9.80%	0.3393	✓	1.24
2026-08-15	oos	0.008704	0.008478	-2.60%	0.008046	-7.56%	0.3015	✓	1.24
2026-08-14	oos	0.008496	0.008293	-2.39%	0.00872	+2.64%	0.2194	✓	1.24
2026-08-13	oos	0.008806	0.008568	-2.70%	0.008193	-6.96%	0.2182	✓	1.23
2026-08-12	oos	0.00827	0.008077	-2.33%	0.008446	+2.13%	0.0641	✓	1.23
2026-08-11	oos	0.00837	0.008135	-2.81%	0.008435	+0.78%	0.0143	✓	1.23
2026-08-10	oos	0.00778	0.007606	-2.23%	0.008381	+7.72%	0.0861	✗	1.24
2026-08-09	oos	0.0081	0.007896	-2.52%	0.008785	+8.46%	0.1455	✗	1.23
2026-08-08	oos	0.00833	0.008106	-2.69%	0.008704	+4.49%	0.1076	✗	1.23
2026-08-07	oos	0.00791	0.007712	-2.51%	0.008496	+7.41%	0.1336	✗	1.23
2026-08-06	oos	0.00782	0.007632	-2.41%	0.008806	+12.60%	0.1592	✗	1.22
2026-08-05	oos	0.0077	0.007512	-2.44%	0.00827	+7.40%	0.1189	✗	1.23
2026-08-04	oos	0.007285	0.007134	-2.07%	0.00837	+14.89%	0.1695	✗	1.20
2026-08-03	oos	0.007235	0.007106	-1.78%	0.00778	+7.53%	0.0822	✗	1.20
2026-08-02	oos	0.00739	0.007253	-1.85%	0.0081	+9.61%	0.0852	✗	1.20
2026-08-01	oos	0.00733	0.007218	-1.53%	0.00833	+13.64%	0.1030	✗	1.20
2026-07-31	oos	0.00747	0.007366	-1.40%	0.00791	+5.89%	0.0325	✗	1.20
2026-07-30	oos	0.00749	0.007374	-1.55%	0.00782	+4.41%	0.0675	✗	1.25
2026-07-29	oos	0.00744	0.00734	-1.34%	0.0077	+3.49%	0.0342	✗	1.24
2026-07-28	oos	0.007265	0.007185	-1.10%	0.007285	+0.28%	0.0099	✓	1.24
2026-07-27	oos	0.007205	0.007132	-1.01%	0.007235	+0.42%	0.0187	✗	1.24
2026-07-26	oos	0.007935	0.007801	-1.69%	0.00739	-6.87%	0.0202	✓	1.19
2026-07-25	oos	0.00816	0.00803	-1.60%	0.00733	-10.17%	0.0619	✓	1.21
2026-07-24	oos	0.00766	0.007575	-1.11%	0.00747	-2.48%	0.0098	✓	1.20
2026-07-23	oos	0.007535	0.007451	-1.12%	0.00749	-0.60%	0.0114	✗	1.22
2026-07-22	oos	0.008285	0.008149	-1.64%	0.00744	-10.20%	0.0511	✓	1.18
2026-07-21	oos	0.008235	0.008108	-1.54%	0.007265	-11.78%	0.0611	✓	1.19
2026-07-20	oos	0.00835	0.008226	-1.48%	0.007205	-13.71%	0.1040	✓	1.21
2026-07-19	oos	0.008165	0.008061	-1.27%	0.007935	-2.82%	0.0280	✓	1.20
2026-07-18	oos	0.00831	0.008195	-1.39%	0.00816	-1.81%	0.0051	✓	1.20
2026-07-17	oos	0.007805	0.007731	-0.95%	0.00766	-1.86%	0.0127	✓	1.16
2026-07-16	oos	0.00805	0.007968	-1.02%	0.007535	-6.40%	0.0789	✓	1.16
2026-07-15	oos	0.00832	0.008224	-1.15%	0.008285	-0.42%	0.0169	✓	1.16
2026-07-14	oos	0.008335	0.008245	-1.08%	0.008235	-1.20%	0.0282	✓	1.16
2026-07-13	oos	0.00812	0.008082	-0.47%	0.00835	+2.83%	0.0221	✓	1.18
2026-07-12	oos	0.00811	0.00806	-0.62%	0.008165	+0.68%	0.0050	✓	1.23
2026-07-11	oos	0.00844	0.008376	-0.75%	0.00831	-1.54%	0.0276	✓	1.23
2026-07-10	oos	0.00916	0.009053	-1.17%	0.007805	-14.79%	0.1439	✓	1.22
2026-07-09	oos	0.008405	0.008347	-0.70%	0.00805	-4.22%	0.0469	✓	1.15
2026-07-08	oos	0.008595	0.008534	-0.71%	0.00832	-3.20%	0.0711	✓	1.17
2026-07-07	oos	0.00918	0.009069	-1.21%	0.008335	-9.20%	0.1142	✓	1.15
2026-07-06	oos	0.01039	0.010204	-1.79%	0.00812	-21.85%	0.1977	✓	1.12
2026-07-05	oos	0.01091	0.010709	-1.85%	0.00811	-25.66%	0.2808	✓	1.14
2026-07-04	oos	0.01107	0.01087	-1.80%	0.00844	-23.76%	0.2655	✓	1.15
2026-07-03	oos	0.01067	0.010509	-1.51%	0.00916	-14.15%	0.1659	✓	1.12
2026-07-02	oos	0.01102	0.010863	-1.43%	0.008405	-23.73%	0.2884	✓	1.18
2026-07-01	oos	0.01197	0.011761	-1.74%	0.008595	-28.20%	0.3647	✓	1.37
2026-06-30	oos	0.01117	0.01105	-1.08%	0.00918	-17.82%	0.2870	✓	1.29
2026-06-29	oos	0.01143	0.011259	-1.49%	0.01039	-9.10%	0.1617	✓	1.31
2026-06-28	oos	0.010725	0.010627	-0.91%	0.01091	+1.72%	0.0570	✓	1.25
2026-06-27	oos	0.01078	0.010683	-0.90%	0.01107	+2.69%	0.0283	✓	1.25
2026-06-26	oos	0.01009	0.010059	-0.31%	0.01067	+5.75%	0.0091	✗	1.21
2026-06-25	oos	0.01044	0.010401	-0.37%	0.01102	+5.56%	0.0214	✗	1.24
2026-06-24	oos	0.0103	0.010253	-0.46%	0.01197	+16.21%	0.1717	✗	1.00
2026-06-23	oos	0.011325	0.011179	-1.29%	0.01117	-1.37%	0.0672	✗	1.00
2026-06-22	oos	0.01124	0.011077	-1.45%	0.01143	+1.69%	0.0925	✗	1.00
2026-06-21	oos	0.01069	0.010592	-0.91%	0.010725	+0.33%	0.0738	✗	1.00
2026-06-20	oos	0.01125	0.011093	-1.39%	0.01078	-4.18%	0.0405	✗	1.00
2026-06-19	oos	0.01065	0.010565	-0.80%	0.01009	-5.26%	0.0103	✗	1.00
2026-06-18	oos	0.010465	0.010416	-0.46%	0.01044	-0.24%	0.0541	✗	1.00
2026-06-17	oos	0.01182	0.011654	-1.40%	0.0103	-12.86%	0.0683	✓	1.00
2026-06-16	oos	0.01149	0.011331	-1.39%	0.011325	-1.44%	0.0458	✗	1.00
2026-06-15	oos	0.0121	0.011903	-1.63%	0.01124	-7.11%	0.0216	✓	1.00
2026-06-14	oos	0.01255	0.012355	-1.55%	0.01069	-14.82%	0.1064	✓	1.00
2026-06-13	oos	0.012475	0.012334	-1.13%	0.01125	-9.82%	0.0888	✓	1.00
2026-06-12	oos	0.012795	0.012686	-0.85%	0.01065	-16.76%	0.1739	✓	1.00
2026-06-11	oos	0.01296	0.012868	-0.71%	0.010465	-19.25%	0.1959	✓	1.00
2026-06-10	oos	0.0125	0.012513	+0.11%	0.01182	-5.44%	0.1046	✗	1.00
2026-06-09	oos	0.01515	0.015001	-0.98%	0.01149	-24.16%	0.3284	✓	1.00
2026-06-08	oos	0.01411	0.01403	-0.57%	0.0121	-14.25%	0.1977	✓	1.00
2026-06-07	oos	0.01453	0.014444	-0.59%	0.01255	-13.63%	0.1778	✓	1.00
2026-06-06	oos	0.01496	0.014951	-0.06%	0.012475	-16.61%	0.2382	✓	1.00
2026-06-05	oos	0.01366	0.013711	+0.37%	0.012795	-6.33%	0.1094	✗	1.00
2026-06-04	oos	0.01688	0.016712	-0.99%	0.01296	-23.22%	0.2505	✓	1.00