CTR

Citrea · Base · gru_s2

token id: #590
symbol: CTR
variant: –
chain: Base
address: 0x11030f79109269d796fd0fb956d6244e502757f7
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-26
predictions: 420

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

139

of 140 predictions shown

direction hit

52.5%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0407

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0045

actual -0.0012

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.018489	0.018316	-0.94%	–	pending	–	–	0.20
2026-10-20	oos	0.017857	0.017603	-1.42%	0.018489	+3.54%	0.0498	✗	0.26
2026-10-19	oos	0.017291	0.016937	-2.05%	0.017857	+3.28%	0.0496	✗	0.25
2026-10-18	oos	0.013308	0.013236	-0.55%	0.017291	+29.92%	0.2678	✗	0.27
2026-10-17	oos	0.013303	0.013245	-0.44%	0.013308	+0.04%	0.0027	✓	0.27
2026-10-16	oos	0.013935	0.013869	-0.47%	0.013303	-4.53%	0.0412	✓	0.27
2026-10-15	oos	0.013058	0.013003	-0.42%	0.013935	+6.72%	0.0715	✗	0.30
2026-10-14	oos	0.013763	0.013699	-0.47%	0.013058	-5.12%	0.0500	✓	0.31
2026-10-13	oos	0.014573	0.014462	-0.76%	0.013763	-5.55%	0.0441	✓	0.29
2026-10-12	oos	0.013765	0.013674	-0.66%	0.014573	+5.87%	0.0591	✗	0.28
2026-10-11	oos	0.012887	0.012803	-0.65%	0.013765	+6.81%	0.0803	✗	0.34
2026-10-10	oos	0.012848	0.012768	-0.62%	0.012887	+0.30%	0.0062	✓	0.33
2026-10-09	oos	0.012519	0.012452	-0.54%	0.012848	+2.62%	0.0298	✗	0.34
2026-10-08	oos	0.012738	0.012668	-0.54%	0.012519	-1.71%	0.0156	✓	0.36
2026-10-07	oos	0.012589	0.012478	-0.87%	0.012738	+1.18%	0.0282	✗	0.40
2026-10-06	oos	0.012659	0.0125	-1.26%	0.012589	-0.56%	0.0175	✗	0.39
2026-10-05	oos	0.012707	0.012553	-1.21%	0.012659	-0.38%	0.0095	✓	0.42
2026-10-04	oos	0.012899	0.012769	-1.01%	0.012707	-1.49%	0.0007	✓	0.47
2026-10-03	oos	0.012956	0.012796	-1.23%	0.012899	-0.44%	0.0016	✓	0.47
2026-10-02	oos	0.011884	0.011791	-0.79%	0.012956	+9.01%	0.0929	✗	0.47
2026-10-01	oos	0.012313	0.012217	-0.77%	0.011884	-3.48%	0.0257	✓	0.46
2026-09-30	oos	0.012909	0.012799	-0.85%	0.012313	-4.62%	0.0460	✓	0.47
2026-09-29	oos	0.012601	0.012507	-0.74%	0.012909	+2.45%	0.0321	✗	0.42
2026-09-28	oos	0.012023	0.011943	-0.66%	0.012601	+4.80%	0.0526	✗	0.45
2026-09-27	oos	0.012241	0.012169	-0.59%	0.012023	-1.78%	0.0066	✓	0.45
2026-09-26	oos	0.012434	0.01237	-0.51%	0.012241	-1.56%	0.0108	✓	0.47
2026-09-25	oos	0.011831	0.011791	-0.34%	0.012434	+5.10%	0.0514	✗	0.47
2026-09-24	oos	0.012256	0.012221	-0.28%	0.011831	-3.47%	0.0309	✓	0.45
2026-09-23	oos	0.01249	0.012456	-0.27%	0.012256	-1.87%	0.0162	✓	0.45
2026-09-22	oos	0.01223	0.012221	-0.07%	0.01249	+2.13%	0.0314	✗	0.45
2026-09-21	oos	0.011974	0.011965	-0.07%	0.01223	+2.13%	0.0242	✗	0.52
2026-09-20	oos	0.011331	0.011285	-0.41%	0.011974	+5.67%	0.0288	✗	0.47
2026-09-19	oos	0.011508	0.011459	-0.43%	0.011331	-1.54%	0.0107	✓	0.48
2026-09-18	oos	0.011775	0.011715	-0.51%	0.011508	-2.26%	0.0200	✓	0.50
2026-09-17	oos	0.011548	0.011489	-0.51%	0.011775	+1.97%	0.0061	✓	0.53
2026-09-16	oos	0.011539	0.011473	-0.57%	0.011548	+0.08%	0.0051	✓	0.54
2026-09-15	oos	0.012138	0.012024	-0.94%	0.011539	-4.93%	0.0458	✓	0.63
2026-09-14	oos	0.010906	0.010859	-0.43%	0.012138	+11.30%	0.1366	✗	0.75
2026-09-13	oos	0.010455	0.010412	-0.41%	0.010906	+4.32%	0.0331	✗	0.75
2026-09-12	oos	0.00994	0.009915	-0.25%	0.010455	+5.18%	0.0576	✗	0.75
2026-09-11	oos	0.009771	0.009758	-0.13%	0.00994	+1.72%	0.0179	✗	0.75
2026-09-10	oos	0.009272	0.009273	+0.02%	0.009771	+5.39%	0.0459	✓	0.73
2026-09-09	oos	0.01026	0.010245	-0.14%	0.009272	-9.63%	0.0848	✓	0.67
2026-09-08	oos	0.010186	0.010176	-0.10%	0.01026	+0.73%	0.0097	✗	0.69
2026-09-07	oos	0.010375	0.010374	-0.01%	0.010186	-1.82%	0.0124	✓	0.72
2026-09-06	oos	0.00945	0.009483	+0.35%	0.010375	+9.78%	0.1010	✓	0.71
2026-09-05	oos	0.009865	0.009887	+0.22%	0.00945	-4.21%	0.0498	✗	0.72
2026-09-04	oos	0.009869	0.009887	+0.18%	0.009865	-0.04%	0.0035	✗	0.67
2026-09-03	oos	0.010077	0.010097	+0.20%	0.009869	-2.06%	0.0100	✗	0.65
2026-09-02	oos	0.010039	0.010027	-0.12%	0.010077	+0.38%	0.0411	✓	0.92
2026-09-01	oos	0.00967	0.009675	+0.05%	0.010039	+3.82%	0.0380	✓	0.93
2026-08-31	oos	0.009508	0.009535	+0.28%	0.00967	+1.70%	0.0275	✓	0.90
2026-08-30	oos	0.009343	0.009368	+0.26%	0.009508	+1.77%	0.0046	✓	0.89
2026-08-29	oos	0.009572	0.009599	+0.27%	0.009343	-2.40%	0.0206	✗	0.87
2026-08-28	oos	0.009431	0.009457	+0.27%	0.009572	+1.50%	0.0078	✓	0.86
2026-08-27	oos	0.009239	0.009281	+0.46%	0.009431	+2.08%	0.0437	✓	0.90
2026-08-26	oos	0.009325	0.009347	+0.24%	0.009239	-0.92%	0.0259	✗	0.90
2026-08-25	oos	0.008563	0.008583	+0.24%	0.009325	+8.91%	0.0775	✓	0.86
2026-08-24	oos	0.008554	0.008557	+0.03%	0.008563	+0.09%	0.0062	✓	0.96
2026-08-23	oos	0.007924	0.007939	+0.19%	0.008554	+7.96%	0.0597	✓	0.94
2026-08-22	oos	0.008046	0.008053	+0.09%	0.007924	-1.52%	0.0244	✗	0.94
2026-08-21	oos	0.00872	0.008711	-0.11%	0.008046	-7.73%	0.0644	✓	0.92
2026-08-20	oos	0.008193	0.008195	+0.03%	0.00872	+6.43%	0.0011	✗	0.90
2026-08-19	oos	0.008446	0.008405	-0.48%	0.008193	-3.00%	0.0784	✓	1.01
2026-08-18	oos	0.008435	0.008387	-0.57%	0.008446	+0.13%	0.0734	✓	1.17
2026-08-17	oos	0.008381	0.00834	-0.49%	0.008435	+0.64%	0.0076	✗	1.17
2026-08-16	oos	0.008785	0.008747	-0.44%	0.008381	-4.60%	0.0746	✓	1.24
2026-08-15	oos	0.008704	0.008671	-0.38%	0.008785	+0.93%	0.0166	✗	1.24
2026-08-14	oos	0.008496	0.008471	-0.30%	0.008704	+2.45%	0.0263	✗	1.24
2026-08-13	oos	0.008806	0.00877	-0.40%	0.008496	-3.51%	0.0230	✓	1.23
2026-08-12	oos	0.00827	0.008246	-0.29%	0.008806	+6.48%	0.0654	✗	1.23
2026-08-11	oos	0.00837	0.008337	-0.39%	0.00827	-1.19%	0.0058	✓	1.23
2026-08-10	oos	0.00778	0.007753	-0.35%	0.00837	+7.58%	0.0840	✗	1.24
2026-08-09	oos	0.0081	0.00804	-0.74%	0.00778	-3.95%	0.0150	✓	1.23
2026-08-08	oos	0.00833	0.008244	-1.03%	0.0081	-2.76%	0.0165	✓	1.23
2026-08-07	oos	0.00791	0.007813	-1.23%	0.00833	+5.31%	0.0637	✗	1.23
2026-08-06	oos	0.00782	0.007731	-1.14%	0.00791	+1.15%	0.0111	✓	1.22
2026-08-05	oos	0.0077	0.00758	-1.56%	0.00782	+1.56%	0.0376	✗	1.23
2026-08-04	oos	0.007285	0.007192	-1.27%	0.0077	+5.70%	0.0579	✗	1.20
2026-08-03	oos	0.007235	0.007145	-1.24%	0.007285	+0.69%	0.0084	✓	1.20
2026-08-02	oos	0.00739	0.007273	-1.58%	0.007235	-2.10%	0.0047	✓	1.20
2026-08-01	oos	0.00733	0.007251	-1.07%	0.00739	+0.82%	0.0050	✓	1.20
2026-07-31	oos	0.00747	0.007379	-1.22%	0.00733	-1.87%	0.0055	✓	1.20
2026-07-30	oos	0.00749	0.007435	-0.74%	0.00747	-0.27%	0.0418	✗	1.25
2026-07-29	oos	0.00744	0.007376	-0.85%	0.00749	+0.67%	0.0007	✓	1.24
2026-07-28	oos	0.007265	0.007231	-0.46%	0.00744	+2.41%	0.0275	✗	1.24
2026-07-27	oos	0.007205	0.007173	-0.45%	0.007265	+0.83%	0.0098	✗	1.24
2026-07-26	oos	0.007935	0.007875	-0.75%	0.007205	-9.20%	0.0587	✓	1.19
2026-07-25	oos	0.00816	0.00808	-0.98%	0.007935	-2.76%	0.0377	✓	1.21
2026-07-24	oos	0.00766	0.007605	-0.72%	0.00816	+6.53%	0.0665	✗	1.20
2026-07-23	oos	0.007535	0.007523	-0.15%	0.00766	+1.66%	0.0363	✗	1.22
2026-07-22	oos	0.008285	0.008285	+0.00%	0.007535	-9.05%	0.0762	✗	1.18
2026-07-21	oos	0.008235	0.008244	+0.11%	0.008285	+0.61%	0.0126	✓	1.19
2026-07-20	oos	0.00835	0.008357	+0.08%	0.008235	-1.38%	0.0387	✗	1.21
2026-07-19	oos	0.008165	0.008175	+0.13%	0.00835	+2.27%	0.0113	✓	1.20
2026-07-18	oos	0.00831	0.008317	+0.09%	0.008165	-1.74%	0.0164	✗	1.20
2026-07-17	oos	0.007805	0.007819	+0.17%	0.00831	+6.47%	0.0447	✓	1.16
2026-07-16	oos	0.00805	0.008057	+0.09%	0.007805	-3.04%	0.0340	✗	1.16
2026-07-15	oos	0.00832	0.008329	+0.11%	0.00805	-3.25%	0.0170	✗	1.16
2026-07-14	oos	0.008335	0.008349	+0.17%	0.00832	-0.18%	0.0014	✓	1.16
2026-07-13	oos	0.00812	0.008123	+0.04%	0.008335	+2.65%	0.0250	✗	1.18
2026-07-12	oos	0.00811	0.008125	+0.19%	0.00812	+0.12%	0.0280	✓	1.23
2026-07-11	oos	0.00844	0.008453	+0.15%	0.00811	-3.91%	0.0407	✗	1.23
2026-07-10	oos	0.00916	0.009163	+0.03%	0.00844	-7.86%	0.0754	✗	1.22
2026-07-09	oos	0.008405	0.008418	+0.16%	0.00916	+8.98%	0.0673	✓	1.15
2026-07-08	oos	0.008595	0.008606	+0.13%	0.008405	-2.21%	0.0411	✗	1.17
2026-07-07	oos	0.00918	0.009187	+0.08%	0.008595	-6.37%	0.0467	✗	1.15
2026-07-06	oos	0.01039	0.010373	-0.16%	0.00918	-11.65%	0.1103	✓	1.12
2026-07-05	oos	0.01091	0.010879	-0.28%	0.01039	-4.77%	0.0535	✓	1.14
2026-07-04	oos	0.01107	0.011034	-0.33%	0.01091	-1.45%	0.0203	✓	1.15
2026-07-03	oos	0.01067	0.010645	-0.23%	0.01107	+3.75%	0.0290	✗	1.12
2026-07-02	oos	0.01102	0.010981	-0.36%	0.01067	-3.18%	0.0484	✓	1.18
2026-07-01	oos	0.01197	0.011828	-1.19%	0.01102	-7.94%	0.1051	✓	1.37
2026-06-30	oos	0.01117	0.011056	-1.02%	0.01197	+7.16%	0.0482	✗	1.29
2026-06-29	oos	0.01143	0.011344	-0.75%	0.01117	-2.27%	0.0208	✗	1.31
2026-06-28	oos	0.010725	0.010662	-0.59%	0.01143	+6.57%	0.0552	✗	1.25
2026-06-27	oos	0.01078	0.010721	-0.54%	0.010725	-0.51%	0.0100	✗	1.25
2026-06-26	oos	0.01009	0.01006	-0.30%	0.01078	+6.84%	0.0705	✗	1.21
2026-06-25	oos	0.01044	0.010385	-0.53%	0.01009	-3.35%	0.0350	✓	1.24
2026-06-24	oos	0.0103	0.010271	-0.28%	0.01044	+1.36%	0.0375	✗	1.00
2026-06-23	oos	0.011325	0.011287	-0.34%	0.0103	-9.05%	0.0646	✓	1.00
2026-06-22	oos	0.01124	0.011203	-0.33%	0.011325	+0.76%	0.0315	✗	1.00
2026-06-21	oos	0.01069	0.010662	-0.26%	0.01124	+5.14%	0.0416	✗	1.00
2026-06-20	oos	0.01125	0.01121	-0.35%	0.01069	-4.98%	0.0320	✓	1.00
2026-06-19	oos	0.01065	0.010619	-0.29%	0.01125	+5.63%	0.0460	✗	1.00
2026-06-18	oos	0.010465	0.010438	-0.26%	0.01065	+1.77%	0.0107	✗	1.00
2026-06-17	oos	0.01182	0.01177	-0.42%	0.010465	-11.46%	0.0929	✓	1.00
2026-06-16	oos	0.01149	0.011446	-0.39%	0.01182	+2.87%	0.0502	✗	1.00
2026-06-15	oos	0.0121	0.012044	-0.46%	0.01149	-5.04%	0.0371	✓	1.00
2026-06-14	oos	0.01255	0.012484	-0.52%	0.0121	-3.59%	0.0399	✓	1.00
2026-06-13	oos	0.012475	0.012405	-0.56%	0.01255	+0.60%	0.0080	✓	1.00
2026-06-12	oos	0.012795	0.012715	-0.62%	0.012475	-2.50%	0.0330	✓	1.00
2026-06-11	oos	0.01296	0.012869	-0.70%	0.012795	-1.27%	0.0054	✓	1.00
2026-06-10	oos	0.0125	0.012428	-0.58%	0.01296	+3.68%	0.0081	✗	1.00
2026-06-09	oos	0.01515	0.014988	-1.07%	0.0125	-17.49%	0.1776	✓	1.00
2026-06-08	oos	0.01411	0.013975	-0.95%	0.01515	+7.37%	0.1028	✗	1.00
2026-06-07	oos	0.01453	0.014368	-1.11%	0.01411	-2.89%	0.0144	✓	1.00
2026-06-06	oos	0.01496	0.014747	-1.42%	0.01453	-2.87%	0.0544	✓	1.00
2026-06-05	oos	0.01366	0.01353	-0.95%	0.01496	+9.52%	0.1034	✗	1.00
2026-06-04	oos	0.01688	0.016646	-1.38%	0.01366	-19.08%	0.1533	✓	1.00