CTR

Citrea · Base · gru_s2

token id: #590
symbol: CTR
variant: –
chain: Base
address: 0x11030f79109269d796fd0fb956d6244e502757f7
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-26
predictions: 420

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +30d

assessed

110

of 140 predictions shown

direction hit

62.7%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.2021

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0246

actual -0.0614

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.018489	0.017362	-6.10%	–	pending	–	–	0.20
2026-10-20	oos	0.017857	0.016735	-6.28%	–	pending	–	–	0.26
2026-10-19	oos	0.017291	0.016005	-7.43%	–	pending	–	–	0.25
2026-10-18	oos	0.013308	0.012444	-6.50%	–	pending	–	–	0.27
2026-10-17	oos	0.013303	0.012592	-5.35%	–	pending	–	–	0.27
2026-10-16	oos	0.013935	0.013222	-5.11%	–	pending	–	–	0.27
2026-10-15	oos	0.013058	0.012437	-4.76%	–	pending	–	–	0.30
2026-10-14	oos	0.013763	0.013064	-5.08%	–	pending	–	–	0.31
2026-10-13	oos	0.014573	0.013677	-6.15%	–	pending	–	–	0.29
2026-10-12	oos	0.013765	0.012959	-5.86%	–	pending	–	–	0.28
2026-10-11	oos	0.012887	0.012143	-5.78%	–	pending	–	–	0.34
2026-10-10	oos	0.012848	0.012063	-6.11%	–	pending	–	–	0.33
2026-10-09	oos	0.012519	0.01177	-5.98%	–	pending	–	–	0.34
2026-10-08	oos	0.012738	0.011901	-6.57%	–	pending	–	–	0.36
2026-10-07	oos	0.012589	0.011737	-6.76%	–	pending	–	–	0.40
2026-10-06	oos	0.012659	0.011697	-7.60%	–	pending	–	–	0.39
2026-10-05	oos	0.012707	0.011651	-8.31%	–	pending	–	–	0.42
2026-10-04	oos	0.012899	0.011729	-9.07%	–	pending	–	–	0.47
2026-10-03	oos	0.012956	0.011766	-9.19%	–	pending	–	–	0.47
2026-10-02	oos	0.011884	0.010912	-8.19%	–	pending	–	–	0.47
2026-10-01	oos	0.012313	0.011161	-9.35%	–	pending	–	–	0.46
2026-09-30	oos	0.012909	0.011654	-9.72%	–	pending	–	–	0.47
2026-09-29	oos	0.012601	0.01139	-9.60%	–	pending	–	–	0.42
2026-09-28	oos	0.012023	0.010905	-9.30%	–	pending	–	–	0.45
2026-09-27	oos	0.012241	0.01111	-9.24%	–	pending	–	–	0.45
2026-09-26	oos	0.012434	0.011363	-8.62%	–	pending	–	–	0.47
2026-09-25	oos	0.011831	0.010937	-7.56%	–	pending	–	–	0.47
2026-09-24	oos	0.012256	0.01129	-7.88%	–	pending	–	–	0.45
2026-09-23	oos	0.01249	0.011617	-6.99%	–	pending	–	–	0.45
2026-09-22	oos	0.01223	0.011668	-4.59%	–	pending	–	–	0.45
2026-09-21	oos	0.011974	0.011474	-4.17%	0.018489	+54.41%	0.5012	✗	0.52
2026-09-20	oos	0.011331	0.010623	-6.25%	0.017857	+57.59%	0.5092	✗	0.47
2026-09-19	oos	0.011508	0.010754	-6.56%	0.017291	+50.24%	0.4713	✗	0.48
2026-09-18	oos	0.011775	0.010963	-6.90%	0.013308	+13.02%	0.1869	✗	0.50
2026-09-17	oos	0.011548	0.010867	-5.90%	0.013303	+15.20%	0.1683	✗	0.53
2026-09-16	oos	0.011539	0.01083	-6.14%	0.013935	+20.76%	0.2157	✗	0.54
2026-09-15	oos	0.012138	0.011417	-5.94%	0.013058	+7.58%	0.0820	✗	0.63
2026-09-14	oos	0.010906	0.010291	-5.64%	0.013763	+26.20%	0.2589	✗	0.75
2026-09-13	oos	0.010455	0.009876	-5.53%	0.014573	+39.39%	0.3300	✗	0.75
2026-09-12	oos	0.00994	0.009443	-4.99%	0.013765	+38.49%	0.3344	✗	0.75
2026-09-11	oos	0.009771	0.009364	-4.16%	0.012887	+31.89%	0.2589	✗	0.75
2026-09-10	oos	0.009272	0.008952	-3.44%	0.012848	+38.58%	0.3029	✗	0.73
2026-09-09	oos	0.01026	0.009809	-4.40%	0.012519	+22.02%	0.2086	✗	0.67
2026-09-08	oos	0.010186	0.009773	-4.05%	0.012738	+25.06%	0.2371	✗	0.69
2026-09-07	oos	0.010375	0.01009	-2.74%	0.012589	+21.34%	0.1841	✗	0.72
2026-09-06	oos	0.00945	0.009444	-0.07%	0.012659	+33.96%	0.2483	✗	0.71
2026-09-05	oos	0.009865	0.009832	-0.33%	0.012707	+28.81%	0.2049	✗	0.72
2026-09-04	oos	0.009869	0.009854	-0.16%	0.012899	+30.70%	0.2144	✗	0.67
2026-09-03	oos	0.010077	0.010252	+1.74%	0.012956	+28.57%	0.2068	✓	0.65
2026-09-02	oos	0.010039	0.010062	+0.23%	0.011884	+18.38%	0.0842	✓	0.92
2026-09-01	oos	0.00967	0.009929	+2.68%	0.012313	+27.33%	0.1295	✓	0.93
2026-08-31	oos	0.009508	0.009962	+4.77%	0.012909	+35.76%	0.2039	✓	0.90
2026-08-30	oos	0.009343	0.009825	+5.16%	0.012601	+34.87%	0.1825	✓	0.89
2026-08-29	oos	0.009572	0.010076	+5.27%	0.012023	+25.60%	0.1203	✓	0.87
2026-08-28	oos	0.009431	0.009945	+5.45%	0.012241	+29.80%	0.1376	✓	0.86
2026-08-27	oos	0.009239	0.009904	+7.20%	0.012434	+34.59%	0.1823	✓	0.90
2026-08-26	oos	0.009325	0.009922	+6.40%	0.011831	+26.87%	0.1198	✓	0.90
2026-08-25	oos	0.008563	0.009147	+6.83%	0.012256	+43.14%	0.2309	✓	0.86
2026-08-24	oos	0.008554	0.009105	+6.44%	0.01249	+46.01%	0.2524	✓	0.96
2026-08-23	oos	0.007924	0.008453	+6.68%	0.01223	+54.33%	0.2726	✓	0.94
2026-08-22	oos	0.008046	0.008583	+6.68%	0.011974	+48.82%	0.2234	✓	0.94
2026-08-21	oos	0.00872	0.009317	+6.85%	0.011331	+29.95%	0.1632	✓	0.92
2026-08-20	oos	0.008193	0.008529	+4.10%	0.011508	+40.47%	0.2037	✓	0.90
2026-08-19	oos	0.008446	0.008276	-2.01%	0.011775	+39.42%	0.1964	✗	1.01
2026-08-18	oos	0.008435	0.00822	-2.55%	0.011548	+36.91%	0.1464	✗	1.17
2026-08-17	oos	0.008381	0.008173	-2.48%	0.011539	+37.68%	0.1511	✗	1.17
2026-08-16	oos	0.008785	0.008533	-2.87%	0.012138	+38.17%	0.1236	✗	1.24
2026-08-15	oos	0.008704	0.008472	-2.67%	0.010906	+25.30%	0.0145	✓	1.24
2026-08-14	oos	0.008496	0.008308	-2.22%	0.010455	+23.05%	0.0154	✓	1.24
2026-08-13	oos	0.008806	0.008543	-2.98%	0.00994	+12.88%	0.0918	✓	1.23
2026-08-12	oos	0.00827	0.008107	-1.97%	0.009771	+18.15%	0.0546	✓	1.23
2026-08-11	oos	0.00837	0.008175	-2.33%	0.009272	+10.77%	0.1024	✓	1.23
2026-08-10	oos	0.00778	0.007668	-1.44%	0.01026	+31.88%	0.0401	✗	1.24
2026-08-09	oos	0.0081	0.007826	-3.39%	0.010186	+25.75%	0.0291	✓	1.23
2026-08-08	oos	0.00833	0.00792	-4.93%	0.010375	+24.54%	0.0264	✓	1.23
2026-08-07	oos	0.00791	0.007496	-5.24%	0.00945	+19.47%	0.0303	✓	1.23
2026-08-06	oos	0.00782	0.00745	-4.73%	0.009865	+26.15%	0.0156	✓	1.22
2026-08-05	oos	0.0077	0.007252	-5.81%	0.009869	+28.17%	0.0509	✓	1.23
2026-08-04	oos	0.007285	0.00692	-5.02%	0.010077	+38.33%	0.0896	✗	1.20
2026-08-03	oos	0.007235	0.006902	-4.61%	0.010039	+38.76%	0.1380	✗	1.20
2026-08-02	oos	0.00739	0.007027	-4.92%	0.00967	+30.85%	0.0817	✗	1.20
2026-08-01	oos	0.00733	0.00707	-3.55%	0.009508	+29.72%	0.0275	✓	1.20
2026-07-31	oos	0.00747	0.007259	-2.82%	0.009343	+25.07%	0.0017	✓	1.20
2026-07-30	oos	0.00749	0.007402	-1.17%	0.009572	+27.80%	0.0207	✗	1.25
2026-07-29	oos	0.00744	0.007386	-0.72%	0.009431	+26.76%	0.0013	✓	1.24
2026-07-28	oos	0.007265	0.007299	+0.47%	0.009239	+27.17%	0.0482	✗	1.24
2026-07-27	oos	0.007205	0.007277	+0.99%	0.009325	+29.42%	0.0186	✗	1.24
2026-07-26	oos	0.007935	0.008049	+1.43%	0.008563	+7.91%	0.1561	✗	1.19
2026-07-25	oos	0.00816	0.008274	+1.39%	0.008554	+4.83%	0.2164	✗	1.21
2026-07-24	oos	0.00766	0.007817	+2.05%	0.007924	+3.45%	0.2172	✗	1.20
2026-07-23	oos	0.007535	0.007851	+4.20%	0.008046	+6.78%	0.1822	✗	1.22
2026-07-22	oos	0.008285	0.008656	+4.47%	0.00872	+5.25%	0.1939	✗	1.18
2026-07-21	oos	0.008235	0.008621	+4.69%	0.008193	-0.51%	0.1617	✗	1.19
2026-07-20	oos	0.00835	0.008679	+3.94%	0.008446	+1.15%	0.1010	✗	1.21
2026-07-19	oos	0.008165	0.008462	+3.64%	0.008435	+3.31%	0.0032	✓	1.20
2026-07-18	oos	0.00831	0.008543	+2.81%	0.008381	+0.85%	0.0132	✓	1.20
2026-07-17	oos	0.007805	0.008034	+2.94%	0.008785	+12.56%	0.1086	✓	1.16
2026-07-16	oos	0.00805	0.008192	+1.76%	0.008704	+8.12%	0.0744	✓	1.16
2026-07-15	oos	0.00832	0.008427	+1.28%	0.008496	+2.12%	0.0398	✓	1.16
2026-07-14	oos	0.008335	0.008434	+1.18%	0.008806	+5.64%	0.0714	✓	1.16
2026-07-13	oos	0.00812	0.008145	+0.30%	0.00827	+1.85%	0.0063	✗	1.18
2026-07-12	oos	0.00811	0.008199	+1.10%	0.00837	+3.21%	0.0246	✓	1.23
2026-07-11	oos	0.00844	0.008497	+0.67%	0.00778	-7.82%	0.0908	✗	1.23
2026-07-10	oos	0.00916	0.009135	-0.27%	0.0081	-11.57%	0.1339	✓	1.22
2026-07-09	oos	0.008405	0.008466	+0.72%	0.00833	-0.89%	0.0472	✗	1.15
2026-07-08	oos	0.008595	0.008646	+0.60%	0.00791	-7.97%	0.1379	✗	1.17
2026-07-07	oos	0.00918	0.009185	+0.05%	0.00782	-14.81%	0.1779	✗	1.15
2026-07-06	oos	0.01039	0.010178	-2.04%	0.0077	-25.89%	0.2894	✓	1.12
2026-07-05	oos	0.01091	0.010631	-2.55%	0.007285	-33.23%	0.3863	✓	1.14
2026-07-04	oos	0.01107	0.010797	-2.47%	0.007235	-34.64%	0.4073	✓	1.15
2026-07-03	oos	0.01067	0.010508	-1.52%	0.00739	-30.74%	0.3694	✓	1.12
2026-07-02	oos	0.01102	0.010782	-2.16%	0.00733	-33.48%	0.4101	✓	1.18
2026-07-01	oos	0.01197	0.011315	-5.48%	0.00747	-37.59%	0.4791	✓	1.37
2026-06-30	oos	0.01117	0.010479	-6.19%	0.00749	-32.95%	0.4656	✓	1.29
2026-06-29	oos	0.01143	0.010909	-4.56%	0.00744	-34.91%	0.4618	✓	1.31
2026-06-28	oos	0.010725	0.01025	-4.43%	0.007265	-32.26%	0.4326	✓	1.25
2026-06-27	oos	0.01078	0.0103	-4.46%	0.007205	-33.16%	0.4332	✓	1.25
2026-06-26	oos	0.01009	0.009676	-4.10%	0.007935	-21.36%	0.3018	✓	1.21
2026-06-25	oos	0.01044	0.009953	-4.66%	0.00816	-21.84%	0.2904	✓	1.24
2026-06-24	oos	0.0103	0.009795	-4.91%	0.00766	-25.63%	0.2954	✓	1.00
2026-06-23	oos	0.011325	0.010604	-6.37%	0.007535	-33.47%	0.3793	✓	1.00
2026-06-22	oos	0.01124	0.010366	-7.77%	0.008285	-26.29%	0.2570	✓	1.00
2026-06-21	oos	0.01069	0.009915	-7.25%	0.008235	-22.97%	0.2363	✓	1.00
2026-06-20	oos	0.01125	0.010345	-8.04%	0.00835	-25.78%	0.2296	✓	1.00
2026-06-19	oos	0.01065	0.009834	-7.66%	0.008165	-23.33%	0.2048	✓	1.00
2026-06-18	oos	0.010465	0.009707	-7.24%	0.00831	-20.59%	0.1855	✓	1.00
2026-06-17	oos	0.01182	0.010831	-8.37%	0.007805	-33.97%	0.3190	✓	1.00
2026-06-16	oos	0.01149	0.010458	-8.98%	0.00805	-29.94%	0.2332	✓	1.00
2026-06-15	oos	0.0121	0.010966	-9.37%	0.00832	-31.24%	0.2523	✓	1.00
2026-06-14	oos	0.01255	0.011385	-9.29%	0.008335	-33.59%	0.3008	✓	1.00
2026-06-13	oos	0.012475	0.011354	-8.99%	0.00812	-34.91%	0.3010	✓	1.00
2026-06-12	oos	0.012795	0.01165	-8.95%	0.00811	-36.62%	0.3654	✓	1.00
2026-06-11	oos	0.01296	0.011749	-9.34%	0.00844	-34.88%	0.3341	✓	1.00
2026-06-10	oos	0.0125	0.011504	-7.97%	0.00916	-26.72%	0.2705	✓	1.00
2026-06-09	oos	0.01515	0.013851	-8.57%	0.008405	-44.52%	0.5234	✓	1.00
2026-06-08	oos	0.01411	0.012729	-9.79%	0.008595	-39.09%	0.3795	✓	1.00
2026-06-07	oos	0.01453	0.013049	-10.19%	0.00918	-36.82%	0.3520	✓	1.00
2026-06-06	oos	0.01496	0.013571	-9.28%	0.01039	-30.55%	0.3176	✓	1.00
2026-06-05	oos	0.01366	0.012369	-9.45%	0.01091	-20.13%	0.1664	✓	1.00
2026-06-04	oos	0.01688	0.014986	-11.22%	0.01107	-34.42%	0.2915	✓	1.00