CSPR

Casper Network · native · gru_s2

token id: #586
symbol: CSPR
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-07-21
predictions: 252

Track record at +7d

assessed

77

of 84 predictions shown

direction hit

64.9%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0882

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0185

actual -0.0015

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.002257	0.002204	-2.31%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-10-20	oos	0.002253	0.002205	-2.13%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-10-19	oos	0.002189	0.002144	-2.07%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-10-18	oos	0.002275	0.002221	-2.38%	–	pending	–	–	0.55
2026-10-17	oos	0.002348	0.002298	-2.13%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-10-16	oos	0.002345	0.002306	-1.66%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-10-15	oos	0.002311	0.002275	-1.59%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-10-14	oos	0.002449	0.002396	-2.14%	0.002257	-7.85%	0.0680	✓	0.57
2026-10-13	oos	0.00249	0.002414	-3.03%	0.002253	-9.52%	0.0681	✓	0.56
2026-10-12	oos	0.002435	0.002376	-2.43%	0.002189	-10.10%	0.0824	✓	0.56
2026-10-11	oos	0.002483	0.002402	-3.25%	0.002275	-8.36%	0.0432	✓	0.55
2026-10-10	oos	0.002443	0.00237	-2.97%	0.002348	-3.87%	0.0009	✓	0.55
2026-10-09	oos	0.002498	0.00242	-3.12%	0.002345	-6.12%	0.0244	✓	0.55
2026-10-08	oos	0.002343	0.002304	-1.69%	0.002311	-1.36%	0.0005	✓	0.54
2026-10-07	oos	0.002432	0.002371	-2.47%	0.002449	+0.71%	0.0429	✗	0.52
2026-10-06	oos	0.002499	0.002404	-3.80%	0.00249	-0.37%	0.0496	✗	0.50
2026-10-05	oos	0.002604	0.00247	-5.15%	0.002435	-6.48%	0.0097	✓	0.50
2026-10-04	oos	0.00258	0.00245	-5.05%	0.002483	-3.79%	0.0298	✓	0.50
2026-10-03	oos	0.002571	0.002444	-4.92%	0.002443	-4.96%	0.0106	✓	0.51
2026-10-02	oos	0.002537	0.002426	-4.40%	0.002498	-1.56%	0.0411	✓	0.51
2026-10-01	oos	0.002563	0.002463	-3.91%	0.002343	-8.56%	0.0306	✓	0.50
2026-09-30	oos	0.002648	0.002545	-3.87%	0.002432	-8.16%	0.0439	✓	0.52
2026-09-29	oos	0.002717	0.002621	-3.53%	0.002499	-8.02%	0.0593	✓	0.52
2026-09-28	oos	0.002731	0.002643	-3.25%	0.002604	-4.67%	0.0288	✓	0.52
2026-09-27	oos	0.00279	0.002729	-2.21%	0.00258	-7.53%	0.0680	✓	0.50
2026-09-26	oos	0.002743	0.002703	-1.46%	0.002571	-6.28%	0.0521	✓	0.51
2026-09-25	oos	0.002707	0.002682	-0.90%	0.002537	-6.26%	0.0580	✓	0.51
2026-09-24	oos	0.002674	0.002669	-0.20%	0.002563	-4.18%	0.0434	✓	0.51
2026-09-23	oos	0.00273	0.002724	-0.25%	0.002648	-3.03%	0.0233	✓	0.50
2026-09-22	oos	0.002788	0.002811	+0.81%	0.002717	-2.55%	0.0192	✗	0.49
2026-09-21	oos	0.002786	0.002811	+0.90%	0.002731	-1.95%	0.0105	✗	0.49
2026-09-20	oos	0.002651	0.002612	-1.47%	0.00279	+5.25%	0.0474	✗	0.46
2026-09-19	oos	0.00285	0.002776	-2.60%	0.002743	-3.76%	0.0293	✓	0.45
2026-09-18	oos	0.002697	0.002658	-1.45%	0.002707	+0.37%	0.0008	✓	0.45
2026-09-17	oos	0.002583	0.002545	-1.49%	0.002674	+3.52%	0.0068	✓	0.43
2026-09-16	oos	0.002491	0.002469	-0.90%	0.00273	+9.61%	0.0568	✗	0.43
2026-09-15	oos	0.002579	0.002553	-0.99%	0.002788	+8.13%	0.0306	✗	0.44
2026-09-14	oos	0.00289	0.002836	-1.86%	0.002786	-3.60%	0.0446	✓	0.26
2026-09-13	oos	0.002902	0.002846	-1.90%	0.002651	-8.63%	0.0862	✓	0.27
2026-09-12	oos	0.003038	0.002975	-2.09%	0.00285	-6.20%	0.0556	✓	0.25
2026-09-11	oos	0.002933	0.002891	-1.44%	0.002697	-8.05%	0.0813	✓	0.26
2026-09-10	oos	0.002973	0.002934	-1.33%	0.002583	-13.11%	0.1265	✓	0.26
2026-09-09	oos	0.003018	0.002992	-0.86%	0.002491	-17.47%	0.1767	✓	0.24
2026-09-08	oos	0.002894	0.002891	-0.08%	0.002579	-10.88%	0.1053	✓	0.25
2026-09-07	oos	0.002854	0.002866	+0.40%	0.00289	+1.25%	0.0112	✓	0.25
2026-09-06	oos	0.002809	0.002831	+0.81%	0.002902	+3.31%	0.0360	✓	0.26
2026-09-05	oos	0.002845	0.002857	+0.41%	0.003038	+6.79%	0.0701	✓	0.26
2026-09-04	oos	0.002662	0.002697	+1.34%	0.002933	+10.19%	0.0920	✓	0.26
2026-09-03	oos	0.002657	0.002688	+1.19%	0.002973	+11.91%	0.1163	✓	0.26
2026-09-02	oos	0.002679	0.002703	+0.87%	0.003018	+12.66%	0.1062	✓	0.34
2026-09-01	oos	0.002757	0.002765	+0.30%	0.002894	+4.95%	0.0408	✓	0.33
2026-08-31	oos	0.002768	0.00277	+0.07%	0.002854	+3.10%	0.0276	✓	0.32
2026-08-30	oos	0.002631	0.002648	+0.63%	0.002809	+6.75%	0.0487	✓	0.30
2026-08-29	oos	0.00288	0.00289	+0.33%	0.002845	-1.22%	0.0204	✗	0.24
2026-08-28	oos	0.002962	0.002976	+0.47%	0.002662	-10.15%	0.1173	✗	0.24
2026-08-27	oos	0.002917	0.002968	+1.72%	0.002657	-8.94%	0.1138	✗	0.26
2026-08-26	oos	0.002761	0.002822	+2.22%	0.002679	-2.95%	0.0468	✗	0.23
2026-08-25	oos	0.003037	0.003078	+1.34%	0.002757	-9.23%	0.1066	✗	0.24
2026-08-24	oos	0.002855	0.002901	+1.63%	0.002768	-3.04%	0.0455	✗	0.28
2026-08-23	oos	0.00248	0.002543	+2.56%	0.002631	+6.10%	0.0341	✓	0.19
2026-08-22	oos	0.002637	0.00269	+2.01%	0.00288	+9.21%	0.0650	✓	0.21
2026-08-21	oos	0.002832	0.002872	+1.40%	0.002962	+4.60%	0.0317	✓	0.09
2026-08-20	oos	0.002643	0.002684	+1.54%	0.002917	+10.37%	0.0999	✓	-0.17
2026-08-19	oos	0.002541	0.002542	+0.00%	0.002761	+8.62%	0.0487	✗	1.00
2026-08-18	oos	0.002767	0.002634	-4.80%	0.003037	+9.77%	0.0515	✓	1.00
2026-08-17	oos	0.003116	0.002927	-6.08%	0.002855	-8.38%	0.2276	✓	1.00
2026-08-16	oos	0.002687	0.002581	-3.91%	0.00248	-7.70%	0.2529	✓	1.00
2026-08-15	oos	0.002798	0.00267	-4.56%	0.002637	-5.74%	0.2135	✓	1.00
2026-08-14	oos	0.002543	0.002438	-4.13%	0.002832	+11.36%	0.0683	✓	1.00
2026-08-13	oos	0.002369	0.002272	-4.08%	0.002643	+11.58%	0.0105	✓	1.00
2026-08-12	oos	0.002229	0.002147	-3.70%	0.002541	+14.00%	0.0799	✗	1.00
2026-08-11	oos	0.0022	0.002116	-3.83%	0.002767	+25.79%	0.2506	✗	1.00
2026-08-10	oos	0.002055	0.001989	-3.20%	0.003116	+51.64%	0.4401	✗	1.00
2026-08-09	oos	0.001954	0.001895	-2.98%	0.002687	+37.51%	0.3803	✗	1.00
2026-08-08	oos	0.001931	0.001864	-3.46%	0.002798	+44.91%	0.4358	✗	1.00
2026-08-07	oos	0.002011	0.001916	-4.74%	0.002543	+26.43%	0.3130	✗	1.00
2026-08-06	oos	0.001839	0.001768	-3.88%	0.002369	+28.84%	0.3061	✗	1.00
2026-08-05	oos	0.00184	0.001757	-4.52%	0.002229	+21.14%	0.2567	✗	1.00
2026-08-04	oos	0.001926	0.001835	-4.74%	0.0022	+14.21%	0.1895	✗	1.00
2026-08-03	oos	0.001892	0.00181	-4.29%	0.002055	+8.63%	0.1197	✗	1.00
2026-08-02	oos	0.001897	0.00181	-4.57%	0.001954	+2.98%	0.0551	✗	1.00
2026-08-01	oos	0.00193	0.001851	-4.08%	0.001931	+0.06%	0.0086	✓	1.00
2026-07-31	oos	0.00186	0.001801	-3.20%	0.002011	+8.13%	0.0784	✗	1.00
2026-07-30	oos	0.001836	0.001819	-0.97%	0.001839	+0.13%	0.0182	✗	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.