CSPR

Casper Network · native · gru_s2

token id: #586
symbol: CSPR
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-07-21
predictions: 252

Track record at +1d

assessed

83

of 84 predictions shown

direction hit

53.0%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0378

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0052

actual +0.0008

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.002257	0.002238	-0.82%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-10-20	oos	0.002253	0.002235	-0.78%	0.002257	+0.17%	0.0111	✗	0.56
2026-10-19	oos	0.002189	0.002175	-0.66%	0.002253	+2.90%	0.0277	✗	0.56
2026-10-18	oos	0.002275	0.002258	-0.75%	0.002189	-3.76%	0.0297	✓	0.55
2026-10-17	oos	0.002348	0.002333	-0.66%	0.002275	-3.12%	0.0293	✓	0.56
2026-10-16	oos	0.002345	0.002332	-0.55%	0.002348	+0.14%	0.0077	✗	0.56
2026-10-15	oos	0.002311	0.002298	-0.57%	0.002345	+1.45%	0.0244	✗	0.56
2026-10-14	oos	0.002449	0.002433	-0.65%	0.002311	-5.62%	0.0552	✓	0.57
2026-10-13	oos	0.00249	0.002468	-0.89%	0.002449	-1.64%	0.0029	✓	0.56
2026-10-12	oos	0.002435	0.00242	-0.64%	0.00249	+2.24%	0.0193	✗	0.56
2026-10-11	oos	0.002483	0.002457	-1.02%	0.002435	-1.91%	0.0039	✓	0.55
2026-10-10	oos	0.002443	0.002423	-0.83%	0.002483	+1.62%	0.0193	✗	0.55
2026-10-09	oos	0.002498	0.002475	-0.92%	0.002443	-2.19%	0.0154	✓	0.55
2026-10-08	oos	0.002343	0.00233	-0.56%	0.002498	+6.59%	0.0638	✗	0.54
2026-10-07	oos	0.002432	0.002397	-1.42%	0.002343	-3.63%	0.0127	✓	0.52
2026-10-06	oos	0.002499	0.002459	-1.60%	0.002432	-2.70%	0.0022	✓	0.50
2026-10-05	oos	0.002604	0.00257	-1.30%	0.002499	-4.02%	0.0268	✓	0.50
2026-10-04	oos	0.00258	0.002563	-0.68%	0.002604	+0.91%	0.0203	✗	0.50
2026-10-03	oos	0.002571	0.002546	-0.94%	0.00258	+0.38%	0.0028	✓	0.51
2026-10-02	oos	0.002537	0.002521	-0.65%	0.002571	+1.31%	0.0181	✗	0.51
2026-10-01	oos	0.002563	0.002551	-0.47%	0.002537	-0.99%	0.0032	✓	0.50
2026-09-30	oos	0.002648	0.002632	-0.60%	0.002563	-3.21%	0.0346	✓	0.52
2026-09-29	oos	0.002717	0.002702	-0.57%	0.002648	-2.55%	0.0196	✓	0.52
2026-09-28	oos	0.002731	0.002715	-0.60%	0.002717	-0.52%	0.0003	✓	0.52
2026-09-27	oos	0.00279	0.002775	-0.55%	0.002731	-2.12%	0.0098	✓	0.50
2026-09-26	oos	0.002743	0.00273	-0.47%	0.00279	+1.73%	0.0216	✗	0.51
2026-09-25	oos	0.002707	0.002696	-0.40%	0.002743	+1.34%	0.0154	✗	0.51
2026-09-24	oos	0.002674	0.002666	-0.32%	0.002707	+1.21%	0.0170	✗	0.51
2026-09-23	oos	0.00273	0.002719	-0.41%	0.002674	-2.05%	0.0166	✓	0.50
2026-09-22	oos	0.002788	0.002783	-0.20%	0.00273	-2.07%	0.0085	✓	0.49
2026-09-21	oos	0.002786	0.002781	-0.16%	0.002788	+0.09%	0.0047	✗	0.49
2026-09-20	oos	0.002651	0.002635	-0.59%	0.002786	+5.08%	0.0254	✗	0.46
2026-09-19	oos	0.00285	0.002824	-0.90%	0.002651	-6.98%	0.0629	✓	0.45
2026-09-18	oos	0.002697	0.002683	-0.51%	0.00285	+5.68%	0.0584	✗	0.45
2026-09-17	oos	0.002583	0.002575	-0.32%	0.002697	+4.38%	0.0215	✗	0.43
2026-09-16	oos	0.002491	0.002487	-0.17%	0.002583	+3.71%	0.0369	✗	0.43
2026-09-15	oos	0.002579	0.002574	-0.20%	0.002491	-3.40%	0.0358	✓	0.44
2026-09-14	oos	0.00289	0.002876	-0.48%	0.002579	-10.76%	0.1002	✓	0.26
2026-09-13	oos	0.002902	0.002889	-0.43%	0.00289	-0.41%	0.0047	✓	0.27
2026-09-12	oos	0.003038	0.003024	-0.47%	0.002902	-4.50%	0.0398	✓	0.25
2026-09-11	oos	0.002933	0.002923	-0.33%	0.003038	+3.60%	0.0385	✗	0.26
2026-09-10	oos	0.002973	0.002964	-0.30%	0.002933	-1.36%	0.0130	✓	0.26
2026-09-09	oos	0.003018	0.00301	-0.27%	0.002973	-1.49%	0.0070	✓	0.24
2026-09-08	oos	0.002894	0.002889	-0.16%	0.003018	+4.31%	0.0443	✗	0.25
2026-09-07	oos	0.002854	0.002849	-0.18%	0.002894	+1.39%	0.0176	✗	0.25
2026-09-06	oos	0.002809	0.002803	-0.20%	0.002854	+1.62%	0.0221	✗	0.26
2026-09-05	oos	0.002845	0.002835	-0.37%	0.002809	-1.29%	0.0109	✓	0.26
2026-09-04	oos	0.002662	0.002661	-0.01%	0.002845	+6.90%	0.0663	✗	0.26
2026-09-03	oos	0.002657	0.00266	+0.12%	0.002662	+0.18%	0.0058	✓	0.26
2026-09-02	oos	0.002679	0.002679	-0.01%	0.002657	-0.83%	0.0253	✓	0.34
2026-09-01	oos	0.002757	0.002755	-0.07%	0.002679	-2.83%	0.0276	✓	0.33
2026-08-31	oos	0.002768	0.002769	+0.02%	0.002757	-0.40%	0.0005	✓	0.32
2026-08-30	oos	0.002631	0.002636	+0.18%	0.002768	+5.22%	0.0456	✓	0.30
2026-08-29	oos	0.00288	0.002882	+0.06%	0.002631	-8.66%	0.0894	✗	0.24
2026-08-28	oos	0.002962	0.002964	+0.05%	0.00288	-2.76%	0.0297	✗	0.24
2026-08-27	oos	0.002917	0.002926	+0.28%	0.002962	+1.53%	0.0204	✓	0.26
2026-08-26	oos	0.002761	0.002771	+0.36%	0.002917	+5.68%	0.0480	✓	0.23
2026-08-25	oos	0.003037	0.003036	-0.06%	0.002761	-9.12%	0.0965	✓	0.24
2026-08-24	oos	0.002855	0.002856	+0.03%	0.003037	+6.39%	0.0633	✓	0.28
2026-08-23	oos	0.00248	0.00249	+0.43%	0.002855	+15.13%	0.1336	✓	0.19
2026-08-22	oos	0.002637	0.002645	+0.30%	0.00248	-5.98%	0.0664	✗	0.21
2026-08-21	oos	0.002832	0.002834	+0.08%	0.002637	-6.87%	0.0705	✗	0.09
2026-08-20	oos	0.002643	0.002647	+0.15%	0.002832	+7.13%	0.0797	✓	-0.17
2026-08-19	oos	0.002541	0.002535	-0.25%	0.002643	+4.01%	0.0104	✓	1.00
2026-08-18	oos	0.002767	0.002735	-1.16%	0.002541	-8.16%	0.1424	✓	1.00
2026-08-17	oos	0.003116	0.003066	-1.61%	0.002767	-11.20%	0.1057	✓	1.00
2026-08-16	oos	0.002687	0.002663	-0.88%	0.003116	+15.99%	0.1314	✗	1.00
2026-08-15	oos	0.002798	0.002765	-1.16%	0.002687	-3.98%	0.0260	✓	1.00
2026-08-14	oos	0.002543	0.00252	-0.89%	0.002798	+10.03%	0.1038	✗	1.00
2026-08-13	oos	0.002369	0.002351	-0.76%	0.002543	+7.34%	0.0856	✗	1.00
2026-08-12	oos	0.002229	0.002215	-0.64%	0.002369	+6.27%	0.0670	✗	1.00
2026-08-11	oos	0.0022	0.002185	-0.69%	0.002229	+1.34%	0.0221	✗	1.00
2026-08-10	oos	0.002055	0.002041	-0.67%	0.0022	+7.05%	0.0809	✗	1.00
2026-08-09	oos	0.001954	0.001938	-0.81%	0.002055	+5.18%	0.0732	✗	1.00
2026-08-08	oos	0.001931	0.001913	-0.94%	0.001954	+1.19%	0.0222	✗	1.00
2026-08-07	oos	0.002011	0.001986	-1.24%	0.001931	-4.01%	0.0286	✓	1.00
2026-08-06	oos	0.001839	0.001823	-0.88%	0.002011	+9.38%	0.0889	✗	1.00
2026-08-05	oos	0.00184	0.001822	-1.00%	0.001839	-0.08%	0.0145	✗	1.00
2026-08-04	oos	0.001926	0.001907	-1.00%	0.00184	-4.46%	0.0442	✓	1.00
2026-08-03	oos	0.001892	0.001876	-0.83%	0.001926	+1.83%	0.0173	✗	1.00
2026-08-02	oos	0.001897	0.001881	-0.83%	0.001892	-0.28%	0.0060	✓	1.00
2026-08-01	oos	0.00193	0.001915	-0.76%	0.001897	-1.69%	0.0210	✓	1.00
2026-07-31	oos	0.00186	0.001849	-0.59%	0.00193	+3.74%	0.0436	✗	1.00
2026-07-30	oos	0.001836	0.001829	-0.41%	0.00186	+1.29%	0.0467	✗	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.