CSPR

Casper Network · native · gru_s2

token id: #586
symbol: CSPR
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-07-21
predictions: 252

Track record at +30d

assessed

54

of 84 predictions shown

direction hit

61.1%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1278

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0494

actual -0.0477

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.002257	0.002131	-5.58%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-10-20	oos	0.002253	0.00212	-5.89%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-10-19	oos	0.002189	0.002042	-6.73%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-10-18	oos	0.002275	0.002107	-7.39%	–	pending	–	–	0.55
2026-10-17	oos	0.002348	0.002199	-6.35%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-10-16	oos	0.002345	0.002222	-5.25%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-10-15	oos	0.002311	0.002212	-4.32%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-10-14	oos	0.002449	0.002354	-3.88%	–	pending	–	–	0.57
2026-10-13	oos	0.00249	0.002382	-4.32%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-10-12	oos	0.002435	0.00235	-3.51%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-10-11	oos	0.002483	0.002366	-4.71%	–	pending	–	–	0.55
2026-10-10	oos	0.002443	0.002336	-4.40%	–	pending	–	–	0.55
2026-10-09	oos	0.002498	0.002382	-4.62%	–	pending	–	–	0.55
2026-10-08	oos	0.002343	0.002255	-3.76%	–	pending	–	–	0.54
2026-10-07	oos	0.002432	0.002315	-4.81%	–	pending	–	–	0.52
2026-10-06	oos	0.002499	0.002382	-4.67%	–	pending	–	–	0.50
2026-10-05	oos	0.002604	0.002454	-5.76%	–	pending	–	–	0.50
2026-10-04	oos	0.00258	0.002457	-4.78%	–	pending	–	–	0.50
2026-10-03	oos	0.002571	0.002422	-5.77%	–	pending	–	–	0.51
2026-10-02	oos	0.002537	0.002408	-5.10%	–	pending	–	–	0.51
2026-10-01	oos	0.002563	0.002441	-4.76%	–	pending	–	–	0.50
2026-09-30	oos	0.002648	0.002508	-5.29%	–	pending	–	–	0.52
2026-09-29	oos	0.002717	0.002566	-5.58%	–	pending	–	–	0.52
2026-09-28	oos	0.002731	0.002574	-5.76%	–	pending	–	–	0.52
2026-09-27	oos	0.00279	0.00262	-6.09%	–	pending	–	–	0.50
2026-09-26	oos	0.002743	0.002583	-5.84%	–	pending	–	–	0.51
2026-09-25	oos	0.002707	0.002563	-5.30%	–	pending	–	–	0.51
2026-09-24	oos	0.002674	0.002535	-5.23%	–	pending	–	–	0.51
2026-09-23	oos	0.00273	0.002574	-5.73%	–	pending	–	–	0.50
2026-09-22	oos	0.002788	0.002645	-5.14%	–	pending	–	–	0.49
2026-09-21	oos	0.002786	0.002649	-4.92%	0.002257	-18.99%	0.1377	✓	0.49
2026-09-20	oos	0.002651	0.002486	-6.22%	0.002253	-15.02%	0.1087	✓	0.46
2026-09-19	oos	0.00285	0.002635	-7.55%	0.002189	-23.18%	0.1886	✓	0.45
2026-09-18	oos	0.002697	0.002515	-6.75%	0.002275	-15.64%	0.1064	✓	0.45
2026-09-17	oos	0.002583	0.002412	-6.63%	0.002348	-9.10%	0.0541	✓	0.43
2026-09-16	oos	0.002491	0.002336	-6.22%	0.002345	-5.87%	0.0253	✓	0.43
2026-09-15	oos	0.002579	0.002425	-5.95%	0.002311	-10.37%	0.0844	✓	0.44
2026-09-14	oos	0.00289	0.002703	-6.44%	0.002449	-15.25%	0.1100	✓	0.26
2026-09-13	oos	0.002902	0.002717	-6.35%	0.00249	-14.19%	0.1091	✓	0.27
2026-09-12	oos	0.003038	0.002837	-6.64%	0.002435	-19.85%	0.1668	✓	0.25
2026-09-11	oos	0.002933	0.002756	-6.01%	0.002483	-15.35%	0.1252	✓	0.26
2026-09-10	oos	0.002973	0.002803	-5.73%	0.002443	-17.83%	0.1584	✓	0.26
2026-09-09	oos	0.003018	0.002852	-5.50%	0.002498	-17.25%	0.1453	✓	0.24
2026-09-08	oos	0.002894	0.002747	-5.06%	0.002343	-19.02%	0.1690	✓	0.25
2026-09-07	oos	0.002854	0.002705	-5.22%	0.002432	-14.80%	0.1194	✓	0.25
2026-09-06	oos	0.002809	0.00266	-5.30%	0.002499	-11.02%	0.0783	✓	0.26
2026-09-05	oos	0.002845	0.002683	-5.71%	0.002604	-8.48%	0.0483	✓	0.26
2026-09-04	oos	0.002662	0.00254	-4.56%	0.00258	-3.05%	0.0061	✓	0.26
2026-09-03	oos	0.002657	0.002555	-3.82%	0.002571	-3.24%	0.0049	✓	0.26
2026-09-02	oos	0.002679	0.002583	-3.58%	0.002537	-5.29%	0.0483	✓	0.34
2026-09-01	oos	0.002757	0.002668	-3.23%	0.002563	-7.05%	0.0707	✓	0.33
2026-08-31	oos	0.002768	0.0027	-2.46%	0.002648	-4.36%	0.0393	✓	0.32
2026-08-30	oos	0.002631	0.002609	-0.83%	0.002717	+3.27%	0.0179	✗	0.30
2026-08-29	oos	0.00288	0.002846	-1.20%	0.002731	-5.17%	0.0565	✓	0.24
2026-08-28	oos	0.002962	0.002927	-1.20%	0.00279	-5.80%	0.0674	✓	0.24
2026-08-27	oos	0.002917	0.002934	+0.58%	0.002743	-5.98%	0.0805	✗	0.26
2026-08-26	oos	0.002761	0.002802	+1.50%	0.002707	-1.95%	0.0491	✗	0.23
2026-08-25	oos	0.003037	0.003071	+1.10%	0.002674	-11.95%	0.1559	✗	0.24
2026-08-24	oos	0.002855	0.002915	+2.09%	0.00273	-4.36%	0.0835	✗	0.28
2026-08-23	oos	0.00248	0.002547	+2.70%	0.002788	+12.44%	0.0710	✓	0.19
2026-08-22	oos	0.002637	0.002703	+2.47%	0.002786	+5.62%	0.0058	✓	0.21
2026-08-21	oos	0.002832	0.002926	+3.32%	0.002651	-6.39%	0.1020	✗	0.09
2026-08-20	oos	0.002643	0.002647	+0.13%	0.00285	+7.81%	0.0925	✓	-0.17
2026-08-19	oos	0.002541	0.002423	-4.67%	0.002697	+6.10%	0.0474	✓	1.00
2026-08-18	oos	0.002767	0.002509	-9.33%	0.002583	-6.64%	0.1366	✓	1.00
2026-08-17	oos	0.003116	0.002775	-10.95%	0.002491	-20.06%	0.2743	✓	1.00
2026-08-16	oos	0.002687	0.00249	-7.34%	0.002579	-4.02%	0.1495	✓	1.00
2026-08-15	oos	0.002798	0.002571	-8.11%	0.00289	+3.28%	0.0987	✓	1.00
2026-08-14	oos	0.002543	0.002368	-6.89%	0.002902	+14.10%	0.0049	✓	1.00
2026-08-13	oos	0.002369	0.002222	-6.23%	0.003038	+28.25%	0.1158	✗	1.00
2026-08-12	oos	0.002229	0.002108	-5.46%	0.002933	+31.55%	0.1336	✗	1.00
2026-08-11	oos	0.0022	0.002077	-5.60%	0.002973	+35.15%	0.1726	✗	1.00
2026-08-10	oos	0.002055	0.001946	-5.32%	0.003018	+46.88%	0.2363	✗	1.00
2026-08-09	oos	0.001954	0.001837	-5.95%	0.002894	+48.11%	0.2638	✗	1.00
2026-08-08	oos	0.001931	0.001802	-6.67%	0.002854	+47.82%	0.2622	✗	1.00
2026-08-07	oos	0.002011	0.001854	-7.80%	0.002809	+39.63%	0.2015	✗	1.00
2026-08-06	oos	0.001839	0.001704	-7.31%	0.002845	+54.73%	0.2955	✗	1.00
2026-08-05	oos	0.00184	0.001683	-8.54%	0.002662	+44.63%	0.2486	✗	1.00
2026-08-04	oos	0.001926	0.001752	-9.07%	0.002657	+37.93%	0.1786	✗	1.00
2026-08-03	oos	0.001892	0.001732	-8.46%	0.002679	+41.63%	0.2391	✗	1.00
2026-08-02	oos	0.001897	0.001744	-8.07%	0.002757	+45.33%	0.2601	✗	1.00
2026-08-01	oos	0.00193	0.001796	-6.92%	0.002768	+43.46%	0.2081	✗	1.00
2026-07-31	oos	0.00186	0.001753	-5.75%	0.002631	+41.44%	0.1939	✗	1.00
2026-07-30	oos	0.001836	0.001773	-3.43%	0.00288	+56.85%	0.2954	✗	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.