CAP
Cap · Ethereum · gru_s2
- token id
- #71
- symbol
- CAP
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0x99991c6aabba5a096f24f250b73580f5179b9999
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-06-26
- predictions
- 327
Track record at +7d
assessed
102
of 109 predictions shown
direction hit
31.4%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.2688
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0407
actual +0.1246
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.066581 | 0.063136 | -5.17% | – | pending | – | – | -0.52 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.068735 | 0.065176 | -5.18% | – | pending | – | – | -0.57 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.066889 | 0.063629 | -4.87% | – | pending | – | – | -0.59 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.070477 | 0.067086 | -4.81% | – | pending | – | – | -0.62 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.073935 | 0.070704 | -4.37% | – | pending | – | – | -0.60 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.072748 | 0.070148 | -3.57% | – | pending | – | – | -0.59 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.07849 | 0.075718 | -3.53% | – | pending | – | – | -0.62 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.073752 | 0.071645 | -2.86% | 0.066581 | -9.72% | 0.0647 | ✓ | -0.63 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.088248 | 0.085093 | -3.58% | 0.068735 | -22.11% | 0.2149 | ✓ | -0.74 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.097059 | 0.093379 | -3.79% | 0.066889 | -31.08% | 0.3328 | ✓ | -0.72 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.092361 | 0.088308 | -4.39% | 0.070477 | -23.69% | 0.2430 | ✓ | -0.86 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.092402 | 0.087938 | -4.83% | 0.073935 | -19.99% | 0.1905 | ✓ | -0.92 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.086635 | 0.082179 | -5.14% | 0.072748 | -16.03% | 0.1336 | ✓ | -0.92 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.073139 | 0.070054 | -4.22% | 0.07849 | +7.31% | 0.1184 | ✗ | -0.90 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.07128 | 0.067973 | -4.64% | 0.073752 | +3.47% | 0.0621 | ✗ | -0.94 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.087975 | 0.082503 | -6.22% | 0.088248 | +0.31% | 0.0335 | ✓ | -1.17 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.073941 | 0.069424 | -6.11% | 0.097059 | +31.27% | 0.2793 | ✗ | -1.17 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.065278 | 0.061644 | -5.57% | 0.092361 | +41.49% | 0.3673 | ✗ | -1.12 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.069035 | 0.065097 | -5.70% | 0.092402 | +33.85% | 0.3262 | ✗ | -1.10 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.074028 | 0.069594 | -5.99% | 0.086635 | +17.03% | 0.1932 | ✗ | -1.10 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.069846 | 0.065621 | -6.05% | 0.073139 | +4.72% | 0.0677 | ✗ | -1.08 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.069306 | 0.064715 | -6.62% | 0.07128 | +2.85% | 0.0929 | ✗ | -1.12 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.059839 | 0.056496 | -5.59% | 0.087975 | +47.02% | 0.4681 | ✗ | -1.12 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.056407 | 0.053739 | -4.73% | 0.073941 | +31.08% | 0.3516 | ✗ | -1.20 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.053595 | 0.051673 | -3.59% | 0.065278 | +21.80% | 0.2627 | ✗ | -1.21 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.051578 | 0.050061 | -2.94% | 0.069035 | +33.85% | 0.3260 | ✗ | -1.20 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.052128 | 0.050665 | -2.81% | 0.074028 | +42.01% | 0.3849 | ✗ | -1.17 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.049949 | 0.04853 | -2.84% | 0.069846 | +39.83% | 0.3704 | ✗ | -1.15 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.053106 | 0.051064 | -3.85% | 0.069306 | +30.50% | 0.2941 | ✗ | -1.16 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.046809 | 0.044824 | -4.24% | 0.059839 | +27.84% | 0.2558 | ✗ | -1.10 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.045872 | 0.043815 | -4.48% | 0.056407 | +22.97% | 0.2121 | ✗ | -1.10 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.044741 | 0.043114 | -3.64% | 0.053595 | +19.79% | 0.2678 | ✗ | -1.26 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.047769 | 0.045912 | -3.89% | 0.051578 | +7.97% | 0.1651 | ✗ | -1.27 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.05581 | 0.052943 | -5.14% | 0.052128 | -6.60% | 0.0338 | ✓ | -1.26 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.054984 | 0.052753 | -4.06% | 0.049949 | -9.16% | 0.0856 | ✗ | -1.40 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.060022 | 0.057425 | -4.33% | 0.053106 | -11.52% | 0.0657 | ✗ | -1.40 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.057324 | 0.055057 | -3.96% | 0.046809 | -18.34% | 0.0228 | ✓ | -1.41 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.064413 | 0.060826 | -5.57% | 0.045872 | -28.78% | 0.1149 | ✓ | -1.64 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.047068 | 0.04616 | -1.93% | 0.044741 | -4.94% | 0.0684 | ✗ | -1.80 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.044869 | 0.044389 | -1.07% | 0.047769 | +6.46% | 0.1634 | ✗ | -1.80 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.04448 | 0.044219 | -0.59% | 0.05581 | +25.47% | 0.3161 | ✗ | -1.80 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.045466 | 0.045258 | -0.46% | 0.054984 | +20.93% | 0.1903 | ✗ | -1.79 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.047448 | 0.046965 | -1.02% | 0.060022 | +26.50% | 0.1932 | ✗ | -1.88 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.046785 | 0.046401 | -0.82% | 0.057324 | +22.53% | 0.1414 | ✗ | -1.88 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.046622 | 0.046259 | -0.78% | 0.064413 | +38.16% | 0.3090 | ✗ | -1.89 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.042957 | 0.04309 | +0.31% | 0.047068 | +9.57% | 0.0043 | ✓ | -1.86 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.044706 | 0.044814 | +0.24% | 0.044869 | +0.37% | 0.0596 | ✗ | -1.86 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.045241 | 0.045141 | -0.22% | 0.04448 | -1.68% | 0.0733 | ✓ | -1.86 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.04878 | 0.048442 | -0.69% | 0.045466 | -6.79% | 0.1819 | ✓ | -1.98 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.072695 | 0.070725 | -2.71% | 0.047448 | -34.73% | 0.3818 | ✓ | -1.38 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 0.070557 | 0.068503 | -2.91% | 0.046785 | -33.69% | 0.3628 | ✓ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 0.068387 | 0.066616 | -2.59% | 0.046622 | -31.83% | 0.3476 | ✓ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-30 | oos | 0.068164 | 0.066272 | -2.78% | 0.042957 | -36.98% | 0.3867 | ✓ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-29 | oos | 0.069214 | 0.067535 | -2.43% | 0.044706 | -35.41% | 0.3841 | ✓ | -1.41 |
| 2026-08-28 | oos | 0.069928 | 0.068336 | -2.28% | 0.045241 | -35.30% | 0.3797 | ✓ | -1.40 |
| 2026-08-27 | oos | 0.066045 | 0.065518 | -0.80% | 0.04878 | -26.14% | 0.2777 | ✓ | -1.41 |
| 2026-08-26 | oos | 0.070614 | 0.070097 | -0.73% | 0.072695 | +2.95% | 0.0060 | ✓ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-25 | oos | 0.069435 | 0.069107 | -0.47% | 0.070557 | +1.62% | 0.0008 | ✓ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-24 | oos | 0.068823 | 0.069018 | +0.28% | 0.068387 | -0.63% | 0.0166 | ✗ | -1.39 |
| 2026-08-23 | oos | 0.069367 | 0.069453 | +0.12% | 0.068164 | -1.73% | 0.0199 | ✗ | -1.39 |
| 2026-08-22 | oos | 0.070097 | 0.070033 | -0.09% | 0.069214 | -1.26% | 0.0093 | ✗ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-21 | oos | 0.067073 | 0.067494 | +0.63% | 0.069928 | +4.26% | 0.0268 | ✓ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-20 | oos | 0.064753 | 0.062911 | -2.84% | 0.066045 | +2.00% | 0.2200 | ✗ | -1.81 |
| 2026-08-19 | oos | 0.067798 | 0.062748 | -7.45% | 0.070614 | +4.15% | 0.3673 | ✗ | -1.90 |
| 2026-08-18 | oos | 0.068975 | 0.062044 | -10.05% | 0.069435 | +0.67% | 0.5956 | ✗ | -2.49 |
| 2026-08-17 | oos | 0.070634 | 0.063397 | -10.25% | 0.068823 | -2.56% | 0.5862 | ✗ | -2.48 |
| 2026-08-16 | oos | 0.067132 | 0.060616 | -9.71% | 0.069367 | +3.33% | 0.7134 | ✗ | -2.72 |
| 2026-08-15 | oos | 0.062121 | 0.056484 | -9.07% | 0.070097 | +12.84% | 0.7588 | ✗ | -2.70 |
| 2026-08-14 | oos | 0.065324 | 0.058936 | -9.78% | 0.067073 | +2.68% | 0.7187 | ✗ | -2.70 |
| 2026-08-13 | oos | 0.056743 | 0.051765 | -8.77% | 0.064753 | +14.12% | 0.5921 | ✗ | -2.62 |
| 2026-08-12 | oos | 0.055292 | 0.050444 | -8.77% | 0.067798 | +22.62% | 0.5279 | ✗ | -2.62 |
| 2026-08-11 | oos | 0.054776 | 0.049582 | -9.48% | 0.068975 | +25.92% | 0.3771 | ✗ | -2.62 |
| 2026-08-10 | oos | 0.046134 | 0.042306 | -8.30% | 0.070634 | +53.11% | 0.5347 | ✗ | -2.52 |
| 2026-08-09 | oos | 0.039386 | 0.036455 | -7.44% | 0.067132 | +70.45% | 0.5371 | ✗ | -2.33 |
| 2026-08-08 | oos | 0.036911 | 0.034198 | -7.35% | 0.062121 | +68.30% | 0.5285 | ✗ | -2.32 |
| 2026-08-07 | oos | 0.035967 | 0.033117 | -7.93% | 0.065324 | +81.62% | 0.6100 | ✗ | -2.31 |
| 2026-08-06 | oos | 0.030811 | 0.02848 | -7.57% | 0.056743 | +84.16% | 0.6569 | ✗ | -2.45 |
| 2026-08-05 | oos | 0.02783 | 0.025749 | -7.48% | 0.055292 | +98.68% | 0.7197 | ✗ | -2.39 |
| 2026-08-04 | oos | 0.025369 | 0.023804 | -6.17% | 0.054776 | +115.92% | 0.8133 | ✗ | -2.47 |
| 2026-08-03 | oos | 0.027598 | 0.025835 | -6.39% | 0.046134 | +67.17% | 0.5968 | ✗ | -2.42 |
| 2026-08-02 | oos | 0.029535 | 0.027513 | -6.85% | 0.039386 | +33.36% | 0.4100 | ✗ | -2.44 |
| 2026-08-01 | oos | 0.027282 | 0.025673 | -5.90% | 0.036911 | +35.30% | 0.4489 | ✗ | -2.55 |
| 2026-07-31 | oos | 0.039226 | 0.035739 | -8.89% | 0.035967 | -8.31% | 0.0920 | ✓ | -2.65 |
| 2026-07-30 | oos | 0.034526 | 0.03187 | -7.69% | 0.030811 | -10.76% | 0.0514 | ✓ | -2.50 |
| 2026-07-29 | oos | 0.026065 | 0.024657 | -5.40% | 0.02783 | +6.77% | 0.1530 | ✗ | -2.91 |
| 2026-07-28 | oos | 0.027298 | 0.025682 | -5.92% | 0.025369 | -7.07% | 0.0030 | ✓ | -2.92 |
| 2026-07-27 | oos | 0.024081 | 0.022917 | -4.84% | 0.027598 | +14.60% | 0.1754 | ✗ | -2.92 |
| 2026-07-26 | oos | 0.022534 | 0.021648 | -3.93% | 0.029535 | +31.07% | 0.2262 | ✗ | -2.95 |
| 2026-07-25 | oos | 0.020987 | 0.020277 | -3.38% | 0.027282 | +29.99% | 0.3208 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-24 | oos | 0.02708 | 0.025829 | -4.62% | 0.039226 | +44.85% | 0.4377 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-23 | oos | 0.023588 | 0.022731 | -3.63% | 0.034526 | +46.37% | 0.4230 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-22 | oos | 0.021176 | 0.020572 | -2.85% | 0.026065 | +23.09% | 0.2704 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-21 | oos | 0.019997 | 0.019528 | -2.35% | 0.027298 | +36.51% | 0.3760 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-20 | oos | 0.02103 | 0.020417 | -2.91% | 0.024081 | +14.51% | 0.1886 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-19 | oos | 0.018488 | 0.018026 | -2.50% | 0.022534 | +21.89% | 0.2131 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-18 | oos | 0.018888 | 0.018458 | -2.27% | 0.020987 | +11.12% | 0.1362 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-17 | oos | 0.018668 | 0.01826 | -2.18% | 0.02708 | +45.06% | 0.3911 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-16 | oos | 0.018416 | 0.018047 | -2.00% | 0.023588 | +28.08% | 0.2479 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-15 | oos | 0.018352 | 0.018042 | -1.69% | 0.021176 | +15.39% | 0.1392 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-14 | oos | 0.016452 | 0.016248 | -1.24% | 0.019997 | +21.55% | 0.1844 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-13 | oos | 0.019108 | 0.018717 | -2.04% | 0.02103 | +10.06% | 0.0702 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-12 | oos | 0.017007 | 0.01678 | -1.34% | 0.018488 | +8.71% | 0.0823 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-11 | oos | 0.015945 | 0.015782 | -1.02% | 0.018888 | +18.46% | 0.1637 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-10 | oos | 0.019616 | 0.019435 | -0.92% | 0.018668 | -4.83% | 0.0366 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-09 | oos | 0.021747 | 0.021518 | -1.05% | 0.018416 | -15.32% | 0.1650 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-08 | oos | 0.022573 | 0.02227 | -1.34% | 0.018352 | -18.70% | 0.2325 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-07 | oos | 0.020944 | 0.020701 | -1.16% | 0.016452 | -21.45% | 0.2557 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-06 | oos | 0.02124 | 0.020993 | -1.16% | 0.019108 | -10.04% | 0.0666 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-05 | oos | 0.023265 | 0.022931 | -1.43% | 0.017007 | -26.90% | 0.3013 | ✓ | 1.00 |