CAP
Cap · Ethereum · gru_s2
- token id
- #71
- symbol
- CAP
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0x99991c6aabba5a096f24f250b73580f5179b9999
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-06-26
- predictions
- 327
Track record at +30d
assessed
79
of 109 predictions shown
direction hit
13.9%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.7804
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.1299
actual +0.6198
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.066581 | 0.058024 | -12.85% | – | pending | – | – | -0.52 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.068735 | 0.059617 | -13.27% | – | pending | – | – | -0.57 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.066889 | 0.057528 | -14.00% | – | pending | – | – | -0.59 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.070477 | 0.060747 | -13.81% | – | pending | – | – | -0.62 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.073935 | 0.064095 | -13.31% | – | pending | – | – | -0.60 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.072748 | 0.063677 | -12.47% | – | pending | – | – | -0.59 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.07849 | 0.069278 | -11.74% | – | pending | – | – | -0.62 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.073752 | 0.065422 | -11.30% | – | pending | – | – | -0.63 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.088248 | 0.078261 | -11.32% | – | pending | – | – | -0.74 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.097059 | 0.086608 | -10.77% | – | pending | – | – | -0.72 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.092361 | 0.081768 | -11.47% | – | pending | – | – | -0.86 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.092402 | 0.081372 | -11.94% | – | pending | – | – | -0.92 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.086635 | 0.075793 | -12.51% | – | pending | – | – | -0.92 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.073139 | 0.064085 | -12.38% | – | pending | – | – | -0.90 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.07128 | 0.062149 | -12.81% | – | pending | – | – | -0.94 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.087975 | 0.075321 | -14.38% | – | pending | – | – | -1.17 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.073941 | 0.063615 | -13.96% | – | pending | – | – | -1.17 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.065278 | 0.05688 | -12.86% | – | pending | – | – | -1.12 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.069035 | 0.058948 | -14.61% | – | pending | – | – | -1.10 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.074028 | 0.06262 | -15.41% | – | pending | – | – | -1.10 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.069846 | 0.058949 | -15.60% | – | pending | – | – | -1.08 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.069306 | 0.058303 | -15.88% | – | pending | – | – | -1.12 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.059839 | 0.05094 | -14.87% | – | pending | – | – | -1.12 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.056407 | 0.048892 | -13.32% | – | pending | – | – | -1.20 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.053595 | 0.046823 | -12.64% | – | pending | – | – | -1.21 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.051578 | 0.044761 | -13.22% | – | pending | – | – | -1.20 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.052128 | 0.045098 | -13.49% | – | pending | – | – | -1.17 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.049949 | 0.04258 | -14.75% | – | pending | – | – | -1.15 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.053106 | 0.044717 | -15.80% | – | pending | – | – | -1.16 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.046809 | 0.038396 | -17.97% | – | pending | – | – | -1.10 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.045872 | 0.037442 | -18.38% | 0.066581 | +45.14% | 0.5251 | ✗ | -1.10 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.044741 | 0.036464 | -18.50% | 0.068735 | +53.63% | 0.6612 | ✗ | -1.26 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.047769 | 0.039087 | -18.17% | 0.066889 | +40.02% | 0.5466 | ✗ | -1.27 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.05581 | 0.04507 | -19.25% | 0.070477 | +26.28% | 0.4646 | ✗ | -1.26 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.054984 | 0.046165 | -16.04% | 0.073935 | +34.47% | 0.5604 | ✗ | -1.40 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.060022 | 0.050783 | -15.39% | 0.072748 | +21.20% | 0.4547 | ✗ | -1.40 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.057324 | 0.049098 | -14.35% | 0.07849 | +36.92% | 0.5860 | ✗ | -1.41 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.064413 | 0.054446 | -15.47% | 0.073752 | +14.50% | 0.3730 | ✗ | -1.64 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.047068 | 0.041047 | -12.79% | 0.088248 | +87.49% | 0.9077 | ✗ | -1.80 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.044869 | 0.039245 | -12.53% | 0.097059 | +116.32% | 1.0067 | ✗ | -1.80 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.04448 | 0.038975 | -12.38% | 0.092361 | +107.64% | 1.0073 | ✗ | -1.80 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.045466 | 0.040056 | -11.90% | 0.092402 | +103.23% | 0.9792 | ✗ | -1.79 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.047448 | 0.041235 | -13.09% | 0.086635 | +82.59% | 0.8421 | ✗ | -1.88 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.046785 | 0.040569 | -13.29% | 0.073139 | +56.33% | 0.6656 | ✗ | -1.88 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.046622 | 0.040305 | -13.55% | 0.07128 | +52.89% | 0.6677 | ✗ | -1.89 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.042957 | 0.037329 | -13.10% | 0.087975 | +104.80% | 0.9742 | ✗ | -1.86 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.044706 | 0.038955 | -12.86% | 0.073941 | +65.39% | 0.7739 | ✗ | -1.86 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.045241 | 0.039876 | -11.86% | 0.065278 | +44.29% | 0.6461 | ✗ | -1.86 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.04878 | 0.04391 | -9.98% | 0.069035 | +41.52% | 0.5353 | ✗ | -1.98 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.072695 | 0.064764 | -10.91% | 0.074028 | +1.83% | 0.2566 | ✗ | -1.38 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 0.070557 | 0.062907 | -10.84% | 0.069846 | -1.01% | 0.2313 | ✗ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 0.068387 | 0.061582 | -9.95% | 0.069306 | +1.34% | 0.2035 | ✗ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-30 | oos | 0.068164 | 0.061179 | -10.25% | 0.059839 | -12.21% | 0.0804 | ✓ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-29 | oos | 0.069214 | 0.062492 | -9.71% | 0.056407 | -18.50% | 0.0116 | ✓ | -1.41 |
| 2026-08-28 | oos | 0.069928 | 0.063152 | -9.69% | 0.053595 | -23.36% | 0.0494 | ✓ | -1.40 |
| 2026-08-27 | oos | 0.066045 | 0.060961 | -7.70% | 0.051578 | -21.90% | 0.0960 | ✓ | -1.41 |
| 2026-08-26 | oos | 0.070614 | 0.065156 | -7.73% | 0.052128 | -26.18% | 0.1372 | ✓ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-25 | oos | 0.069435 | 0.064101 | -7.68% | 0.049949 | -28.06% | 0.1500 | ✓ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-24 | oos | 0.068823 | 0.064456 | -6.35% | 0.053106 | -22.84% | 0.1017 | ✓ | -1.39 |
| 2026-08-23 | oos | 0.069367 | 0.064597 | -6.88% | 0.046809 | -32.52% | 0.1786 | ✓ | -1.39 |
| 2026-08-22 | oos | 0.070097 | 0.064943 | -7.35% | 0.045872 | -34.56% | 0.1861 | ✓ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-21 | oos | 0.067073 | 0.063488 | -5.34% | 0.044741 | -33.30% | 0.3008 | ✓ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-20 | oos | 0.064753 | 0.055753 | -13.90% | 0.047769 | -26.23% | 0.0383 | ✓ | -1.81 |
| 2026-08-19 | oos | 0.067798 | 0.052923 | -21.94% | 0.05581 | -17.68% | 0.3462 | ✗ | -1.90 |
| 2026-08-18 | oos | 0.068975 | 0.053364 | -22.63% | 0.054984 | -20.28% | 0.4429 | ✗ | -2.49 |
| 2026-08-17 | oos | 0.070634 | 0.054049 | -23.48% | 0.060022 | -15.02% | 0.5181 | ✗ | -2.48 |
| 2026-08-16 | oos | 0.067132 | 0.052483 | -21.82% | 0.057324 | -14.61% | 0.5906 | ✗ | -2.72 |
| 2026-08-15 | oos | 0.062121 | 0.048276 | -22.29% | 0.064413 | +3.69% | 0.8703 | ✗ | -2.70 |
| 2026-08-14 | oos | 0.065324 | 0.050192 | -23.16% | 0.047068 | -27.95% | 0.4720 | ✗ | -2.70 |
| 2026-08-13 | oos | 0.056743 | 0.044011 | -22.44% | 0.044869 | -20.93% | 0.5356 | ✗ | -2.62 |
| 2026-08-12 | oos | 0.055292 | 0.042904 | -22.40% | 0.04448 | -19.55% | 0.5510 | ✗ | -2.62 |
| 2026-08-11 | oos | 0.054776 | 0.042647 | -22.14% | 0.045466 | -17.00% | 0.5518 | ✗ | -2.62 |
| 2026-08-10 | oos | 0.046134 | 0.037223 | -19.31% | 0.047448 | +2.85% | 0.7529 | ✗ | -2.52 |
| 2026-08-09 | oos | 0.039386 | 0.032352 | -17.86% | 0.046785 | +18.79% | 0.8127 | ✗ | -2.33 |
| 2026-08-08 | oos | 0.036911 | 0.030793 | -16.58% | 0.046622 | +26.31% | 0.8726 | ✗ | -2.32 |
| 2026-08-07 | oos | 0.035967 | 0.03029 | -15.79% | 0.042957 | +19.43% | 0.8434 | ✗ | -2.31 |
| 2026-08-06 | oos | 0.030811 | 0.026348 | -14.48% | 0.044706 | +45.10% | 1.0611 | ✗ | -2.45 |
| 2026-08-05 | oos | 0.02783 | 0.023711 | -14.80% | 0.045241 | +62.57% | 1.1478 | ✗ | -2.39 |
| 2026-08-04 | oos | 0.025369 | 0.02171 | -14.42% | 0.04878 | +92.28% | 1.3982 | ✗ | -2.47 |
| 2026-08-03 | oos | 0.027598 | 0.023674 | -14.22% | 0.072695 | +163.41% | 1.5997 | ✗ | -2.42 |
| 2026-08-02 | oos | 0.029535 | 0.025411 | -13.96% | 0.070557 | +138.90% | 1.5038 | ✗ | -2.44 |
| 2026-08-01 | oos | 0.027282 | 0.023851 | -12.58% | 0.068387 | +150.67% | 1.6269 | ✗ | -2.55 |
| 2026-07-31 | oos | 0.039226 | 0.033422 | -14.79% | 0.068164 | +73.77% | 1.2737 | ✗ | -2.65 |
| 2026-07-30 | oos | 0.034526 | 0.030465 | -11.76% | 0.069214 | +100.47% | 1.2950 | ✗ | -2.50 |
| 2026-07-29 | oos | 0.026065 | 0.023841 | -8.53% | 0.069928 | +168.28% | 1.6502 | ✗ | -2.91 |
| 2026-07-28 | oos | 0.027298 | 0.025043 | -8.26% | 0.066045 | +141.93% | 1.6373 | ✗ | -2.92 |
| 2026-07-27 | oos | 0.024081 | 0.022435 | -6.84% | 0.070614 | +193.23% | 1.7771 | ✗ | -2.92 |
| 2026-07-26 | oos | 0.022534 | 0.021286 | -5.54% | 0.069435 | +208.14% | 1.7250 | ✗ | -2.95 |
| 2026-07-25 | oos | 0.020987 | 0.019946 | -4.96% | 0.068823 | +227.92% | 1.0328 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-24 | oos | 0.02708 | 0.025268 | -6.69% | 0.069367 | +156.16% | 0.8168 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-23 | oos | 0.023588 | 0.022229 | -5.76% | 0.070097 | +197.18% | 0.9791 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-22 | oos | 0.021176 | 0.019829 | -6.36% | 0.067073 | +216.74% | 1.0487 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-21 | oos | 0.019997 | 0.018637 | -6.80% | 0.064753 | +223.81% | 1.1523 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-20 | oos | 0.02103 | 0.01959 | -6.85% | 0.067798 | +222.39% | 1.1807 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-19 | oos | 0.018488 | 0.017156 | -7.20% | 0.068975 | +273.09% | 1.3914 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-18 | oos | 0.018888 | 0.01747 | -7.51% | 0.070634 | +273.96% | 1.4019 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-17 | oos | 0.018668 | 0.017249 | -7.60% | 0.067132 | +259.62% | 1.3756 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-16 | oos | 0.018416 | 0.016988 | -7.76% | 0.062121 | +237.32% | 1.3084 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-15 | oos | 0.018352 | 0.016973 | -7.51% | 0.065324 | +255.95% | 1.3750 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-14 | oos | 0.016452 | 0.015189 | -7.68% | 0.056743 | +244.90% | 1.3423 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-13 | oos | 0.019108 | 0.017628 | -7.74% | 0.055292 | +189.36% | 1.1249 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-12 | oos | 0.017007 | 0.015708 | -7.64% | 0.054776 | +222.08% | 1.2524 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-11 | oos | 0.015945 | 0.01475 | -7.49% | 0.046134 | +189.33% | 1.1381 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-10 | oos | 0.019616 | 0.018452 | -5.93% | 0.039386 | +100.79% | 0.7471 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-09 | oos | 0.021747 | 0.020578 | -5.38% | 0.036911 | +69.73% | 0.5573 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-08 | oos | 0.022573 | 0.021353 | -5.40% | 0.035967 | +59.34% | 0.4797 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-07 | oos | 0.020944 | 0.019723 | -5.83% | 0.030811 | +47.11% | 0.4313 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-06 | oos | 0.02124 | 0.019992 | -5.88% | 0.02783 | +31.02% | 0.3214 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-05 | oos | 0.023265 | 0.02194 | -5.69% | 0.025369 | +9.04% | 0.1379 | ✗ | 1.00 |