CAP
Cap · Ethereum · gru_s2
- token id
- #71
- symbol
- CAP
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0x99991c6aabba5a096f24f250b73580f5179b9999
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-06-26
- predictions
- 330
Track record at +1d
assessed
109
of 110 predictions shown
direction hit
37.6%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.0838
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0105
actual +0.0136
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | oos | 0.069027 | 0.06789 | -1.65% | – | pending | – | – | -0.47 |
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.06897 | 0.067945 | -1.49% | 0.069027 | +0.08% | 0.0170 | ✗ | -0.53 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.068735 | 0.067821 | -1.33% | 0.06897 | +0.34% | 0.0242 | ✗ | -0.57 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.066889 | 0.066214 | -1.01% | 0.068735 | +2.76% | 0.0452 | ✗ | -0.59 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.070477 | 0.069788 | -0.98% | 0.066889 | -5.09% | 0.0437 | ✓ | -0.62 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.073935 | 0.073264 | -0.91% | 0.070477 | -4.68% | 0.0342 | ✓ | -0.60 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.072748 | 0.072203 | -0.75% | 0.073935 | +1.63% | 0.0228 | ✗ | -0.59 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.07849 | 0.077801 | -0.88% | 0.072748 | -7.32% | 0.0719 | ✓ | -0.62 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.073752 | 0.073242 | -0.69% | 0.07849 | +6.42% | 0.0735 | ✗ | -0.63 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.088248 | 0.087331 | -1.04% | 0.073752 | -16.43% | 0.1828 | ✓ | -0.74 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.097059 | 0.095867 | -1.23% | 0.088248 | -9.08% | 0.0710 | ✓ | -0.72 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.092361 | 0.091021 | -1.45% | 0.097059 | +5.09% | 0.0440 | ✗ | -0.86 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.092402 | 0.090709 | -1.83% | 0.092361 | -0.04% | 0.0265 | ✗ | -0.92 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.086635 | 0.085134 | -1.73% | 0.092402 | +6.66% | 0.0860 | ✗ | -0.92 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.073139 | 0.072243 | -1.23% | 0.086635 | +18.45% | 0.1910 | ✗ | -0.90 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.07128 | 0.070102 | -1.65% | 0.073139 | +2.61% | 0.0244 | ✗ | -0.94 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.087975 | 0.085575 | -2.73% | 0.07128 | -18.98% | 0.2141 | ✓ | -1.17 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.073941 | 0.072665 | -1.73% | 0.087975 | +18.98% | 0.1884 | ✗ | -1.17 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.065278 | 0.064488 | -1.21% | 0.073941 | +13.27% | 0.1270 | ✗ | -1.12 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.069035 | 0.067959 | -1.56% | 0.065278 | -5.44% | 0.0176 | ✓ | -1.10 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.074028 | 0.072725 | -1.76% | 0.069035 | -6.74% | 0.0490 | ✓ | -1.10 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.069846 | 0.068788 | -1.51% | 0.074028 | +5.99% | 0.0690 | ✗ | -1.08 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.069306 | 0.068137 | -1.69% | 0.069846 | +0.78% | 0.0419 | ✗ | -1.12 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.059839 | 0.059133 | -1.18% | 0.069306 | +15.82% | 0.1576 | ✗ | -1.12 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.056407 | 0.055858 | -0.97% | 0.059839 | +6.09% | 0.0715 | ✗ | -1.20 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.053595 | 0.053178 | -0.78% | 0.056407 | +5.25% | 0.0445 | ✗ | -1.21 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.051578 | 0.051226 | -0.68% | 0.053595 | +3.91% | 0.0458 | ✗ | -1.20 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.052128 | 0.051758 | -0.71% | 0.051578 | -1.05% | 0.0010 | ✓ | -1.17 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.049949 | 0.049559 | -0.78% | 0.052128 | +4.36% | 0.0465 | ✗ | -1.15 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.053106 | 0.052447 | -1.24% | 0.049949 | -5.94% | 0.0487 | ✓ | -1.16 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.046809 | 0.046234 | -1.23% | 0.053106 | +13.45% | 0.1151 | ✗ | -1.10 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.045872 | 0.045295 | -1.26% | 0.046809 | +2.04% | 0.0278 | ✗ | -1.10 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.044741 | 0.044399 | -0.77% | 0.045872 | +2.53% | 0.1142 | ✗ | -1.26 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.047769 | 0.047347 | -0.88% | 0.044741 | -6.34% | 0.0578 | ✓ | -1.27 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.05581 | 0.055099 | -1.27% | 0.047769 | -14.41% | 0.1372 | ✓ | -1.26 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.054984 | 0.054539 | -0.81% | 0.05581 | +1.50% | 0.1037 | ✗ | -1.40 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.060022 | 0.05942 | -1.00% | 0.054984 | -8.39% | 0.0738 | ✓ | -1.40 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.057324 | 0.056749 | -1.00% | 0.060022 | +4.71% | 0.0665 | ✗ | -1.41 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.064413 | 0.062823 | -2.47% | 0.057324 | -11.01% | 0.1467 | ✓ | -1.64 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.047068 | 0.046888 | -0.38% | 0.064413 | +36.85% | 0.3496 | ✗ | -1.80 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.044869 | 0.044784 | -0.19% | 0.047068 | +4.90% | 0.0390 | ✗ | -1.80 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.04448 | 0.044429 | -0.12% | 0.044869 | +0.87% | 0.0111 | ✗ | -1.80 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.045466 | 0.045397 | -0.15% | 0.04448 | -2.17% | 0.0047 | ✓ | -1.79 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.047448 | 0.0472 | -0.52% | 0.045466 | -4.18% | 0.0799 | ✓ | -1.88 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.046785 | 0.046569 | -0.46% | 0.047448 | +1.42% | 0.0148 | ✗ | -1.88 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.046622 | 0.046452 | -0.37% | 0.046785 | +0.35% | 0.0083 | ✓ | -1.89 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.042957 | 0.043045 | +0.21% | 0.046622 | +8.53% | 0.0507 | ✓ | -1.86 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.044706 | 0.044815 | +0.25% | 0.042957 | -3.91% | 0.0306 | ✗ | -1.86 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.045241 | 0.045313 | +0.16% | 0.044706 | -1.18% | 0.0098 | ✗ | -1.86 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.04878 | 0.048745 | -0.07% | 0.045241 | -7.25% | 0.1136 | ✓ | -1.98 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.072695 | 0.07212 | -0.79% | 0.04878 | -32.90% | 0.3221 | ✓ | -1.38 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 0.070557 | 0.070052 | -0.72% | 0.072695 | +3.03% | 0.0354 | ✗ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 0.068387 | 0.067992 | -0.58% | 0.070557 | +3.17% | 0.0164 | ✗ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-30 | oos | 0.068164 | 0.067763 | -0.59% | 0.068387 | +0.33% | 0.0251 | ✗ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-29 | oos | 0.069214 | 0.068853 | -0.52% | 0.068164 | -1.52% | 0.0203 | ✓ | -1.41 |
| 2026-08-28 | oos | 0.069928 | 0.069582 | -0.49% | 0.069214 | -1.02% | 0.0018 | ✓ | -1.40 |
| 2026-08-27 | oos | 0.066045 | 0.065889 | -0.24% | 0.069928 | +5.88% | 0.0159 | ✗ | -1.41 |
| 2026-08-26 | oos | 0.070614 | 0.070447 | -0.24% | 0.066045 | -6.47% | 0.0429 | ✓ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-25 | oos | 0.069435 | 0.069302 | -0.19% | 0.070614 | +1.70% | 0.0275 | ✗ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-24 | oos | 0.068823 | 0.068782 | -0.06% | 0.069435 | +0.89% | 0.0014 | ✗ | -1.39 |
| 2026-08-23 | oos | 0.069367 | 0.069313 | -0.08% | 0.068823 | -0.78% | 0.0151 | ✗ | -1.39 |
| 2026-08-22 | oos | 0.070097 | 0.070015 | -0.12% | 0.069367 | -1.04% | 0.0028 | ✗ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-21 | oos | 0.067073 | 0.067092 | +0.03% | 0.070097 | +4.51% | 0.0212 | ✓ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-20 | oos | 0.064753 | 0.064389 | -0.56% | 0.067073 | +3.58% | 0.1678 | ✗ | -1.81 |
| 2026-08-19 | oos | 0.067798 | 0.066571 | -1.81% | 0.064753 | -4.49% | 0.0713 | ✗ | -1.90 |
| 2026-08-18 | oos | 0.068975 | 0.067377 | -2.32% | 0.067798 | -1.71% | 0.1780 | ✗ | -2.49 |
| 2026-08-17 | oos | 0.070634 | 0.06893 | -2.41% | 0.068975 | -2.35% | 0.0085 | ✓ | -2.48 |
| 2026-08-16 | oos | 0.067132 | 0.0657 | -2.13% | 0.070634 | +5.22% | 0.1425 | ✗ | -2.72 |
| 2026-08-15 | oos | 0.062121 | 0.060853 | -2.04% | 0.067132 | +8.07% | 0.0904 | ✗ | -2.70 |
| 2026-08-14 | oos | 0.065324 | 0.063648 | -2.57% | 0.062121 | -4.90% | 0.0224 | ✓ | -2.70 |
| 2026-08-13 | oos | 0.056743 | 0.055637 | -1.95% | 0.065324 | +15.12% | 0.1419 | ✗ | -2.62 |
| 2026-08-12 | oos | 0.055292 | 0.054128 | -2.10% | 0.056743 | +2.62% | 0.0477 | ✗ | -2.62 |
| 2026-08-11 | oos | 0.054776 | 0.053228 | -2.83% | 0.055292 | +0.94% | 0.0331 | ✗ | -2.62 |
| 2026-08-10 | oos | 0.046134 | 0.044856 | -2.77% | 0.054776 | +18.73% | 0.1848 | ✗ | -2.52 |
| 2026-08-09 | oos | 0.039386 | 0.038443 | -2.40% | 0.046134 | +17.13% | 0.1485 | ✗ | -2.33 |
| 2026-08-08 | oos | 0.036911 | 0.035927 | -2.67% | 0.039386 | +6.70% | 0.0898 | ✗ | -2.32 |
| 2026-08-07 | oos | 0.035967 | 0.034834 | -3.15% | 0.036911 | +2.62% | 0.0585 | ✗ | -2.31 |
| 2026-08-06 | oos | 0.030811 | 0.03002 | -2.57% | 0.035967 | +16.74% | 0.2045 | ✗ | -2.45 |
| 2026-08-05 | oos | 0.02783 | 0.027341 | -1.76% | 0.030811 | +10.71% | 0.1070 | ✗ | -2.39 |
| 2026-08-04 | oos | 0.025369 | 0.025076 | -1.15% | 0.02783 | +9.70% | 0.1254 | ✗ | -2.47 |
| 2026-08-03 | oos | 0.027598 | 0.027274 | -1.17% | 0.025369 | -8.08% | 0.0502 | ✓ | -2.42 |
| 2026-08-02 | oos | 0.029535 | 0.029122 | -1.40% | 0.027598 | -6.56% | 0.0550 | ✓ | -2.44 |
| 2026-08-01 | oos | 0.027282 | 0.026925 | -1.31% | 0.029535 | +8.26% | 0.1223 | ✗ | -2.55 |
| 2026-07-31 | oos | 0.039226 | 0.03812 | -2.82% | 0.027282 | -30.45% | 0.3371 | ✓ | -2.65 |
| 2026-07-30 | oos | 0.034526 | 0.03355 | -2.83% | 0.039226 | +13.61% | 0.0819 | ✗ | -2.50 |
| 2026-07-29 | oos | 0.026065 | 0.025819 | -0.94% | 0.034526 | +32.46% | 0.3280 | ✗ | -2.91 |
| 2026-07-28 | oos | 0.027298 | 0.026954 | -1.26% | 0.026065 | -4.52% | 0.0313 | ✓ | -2.92 |
| 2026-07-27 | oos | 0.024081 | 0.02388 | -0.84% | 0.027298 | +13.36% | 0.1408 | ✗ | -2.92 |
| 2026-07-26 | oos | 0.022534 | 0.022406 | -0.57% | 0.024081 | +6.87% | 0.0032 | ✓ | -2.95 |
| 2026-07-25 | oos | 0.020987 | 0.020856 | -0.63% | 0.022534 | +7.37% | 0.0612 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-24 | oos | 0.02708 | 0.026802 | -1.03% | 0.020987 | -22.50% | 0.2479 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-23 | oos | 0.023588 | 0.023439 | -0.63% | 0.02708 | +14.81% | 0.1594 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-22 | oos | 0.021176 | 0.021069 | -0.51% | 0.023588 | +11.39% | 0.1287 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-21 | oos | 0.019997 | 0.019901 | -0.48% | 0.021176 | +5.90% | 0.0686 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-20 | oos | 0.02103 | 0.020909 | -0.57% | 0.019997 | -4.91% | 0.0644 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-19 | oos | 0.018488 | 0.018399 | -0.48% | 0.02103 | +13.75% | 0.1255 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-18 | oos | 0.018888 | 0.018795 | -0.49% | 0.018488 | -2.12% | 0.0147 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-17 | oos | 0.018668 | 0.018577 | -0.49% | 0.018888 | +1.18% | 0.0026 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-16 | oos | 0.018416 | 0.01833 | -0.47% | 0.018668 | +1.37% | 0.0163 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-15 | oos | 0.018352 | 0.018278 | -0.40% | 0.018416 | +0.35% | 0.0223 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-14 | oos | 0.016452 | 0.016408 | -0.27% | 0.018352 | +11.55% | 0.1162 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-13 | oos | 0.019108 | 0.019015 | -0.49% | 0.016452 | -13.90% | 0.1876 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-12 | oos | 0.017007 | 0.016959 | -0.28% | 0.019108 | +12.35% | 0.1427 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-11 | oos | 0.015945 | 0.015914 | -0.19% | 0.017007 | +6.66% | 0.0669 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-10 | oos | 0.019616 | 0.019575 | -0.21% | 0.015945 | -18.71% | 0.1995 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-09 | oos | 0.021747 | 0.021692 | -0.25% | 0.019616 | -9.80% | 0.1156 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-08 | oos | 0.022573 | 0.022494 | -0.35% | 0.021747 | -3.66% | 0.0487 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-07 | oos | 0.020944 | 0.020886 | -0.28% | 0.022573 | +7.78% | 0.0950 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-06 | oos | 0.02124 | 0.02118 | -0.28% | 0.020944 | -1.39% | 0.0005 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-05 | oos | 0.023265 | 0.023171 | -0.40% | 0.02124 | -8.70% | 0.0936 | ✓ | 1.00 |