BTW
Bitway · Ethereum · gru_s2
- token id
- #40
- symbol
- BTW
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0x3a63de3572c69a1307ff08394f3ee7702c16d25d
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-08-24
- predictions
- 150
Track record at +7d
assessed
43
of 50 predictions shown
direction hit
27.9%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.2700
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0271
actual +0.2329
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 2.1044 | 1.9854 | -5.66% | – | pending | – | – | -1.48 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 2.0432 | 1.9297 | -5.56% | – | pending | – | – | -1.48 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 1.9664 | 1.8631 | -5.25% | – | pending | – | – | -1.50 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 2.4152 | 2.2555 | -6.61% | – | pending | – | – | -1.54 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 2.4383 | 2.2673 | -7.01% | – | pending | – | – | -1.53 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 1.9279 | 1.8078 | -6.23% | – | pending | – | – | -1.51 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 1.8166 | 1.7103 | -5.85% | – | pending | – | – | -1.50 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 2.3803 | 2.2441 | -5.72% | 2.1044 | -11.59% | 0.0450 | ✓ | -1.40 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 2.0884 | 1.9718 | -5.58% | 2.0432 | -2.16% | 0.0329 | ✓ | -1.32 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 1.7495 | 1.6615 | -5.03% | 1.9664 | +12.39% | 0.1702 | ✗ | -1.47 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 1.6258 | 1.5498 | -4.67% | 2.4152 | +48.56% | 0.4143 | ✗ | -1.46 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 1.5842 | 1.5138 | -4.44% | 2.4383 | +53.91% | 0.4495 | ✗ | -1.46 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 1.5753 | 1.5048 | -4.47% | 1.9279 | +22.38% | 0.2292 | ✗ | -1.46 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 1.3928 | 1.3399 | -3.80% | 1.8166 | +30.43% | 0.3124 | ✗ | -1.52 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 1.2975 | 1.248 | -3.82% | 2.3803 | +83.45% | 0.6146 | ✗ | -1.50 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 1.2135 | 1.1655 | -3.95% | 2.0884 | +72.09% | 0.5399 | ✗ | -1.50 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 1.2336 | 1.1764 | -4.64% | 1.7495 | +41.82% | 0.3246 | ✗ | -1.51 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 1.2458 | 1.1706 | -6.04% | 1.6258 | +30.50% | 0.2771 | ✗ | -1.55 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 1.0377 | 1.0074 | -2.92% | 1.5842 | +52.66% | 0.4140 | ✗ | -1.77 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 1.3815 | 1.321 | -4.38% | 1.5753 | +14.02% | 0.1349 | ✗ | -1.75 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 1.4183 | 1.3448 | -5.18% | 1.3928 | -1.80% | 0.0324 | ✓ | -1.78 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 1.329 | 1.2729 | -4.22% | 1.2975 | -2.36% | 0.0130 | ✓ | -1.83 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 1.3887 | 1.3177 | -5.12% | 1.2135 | -12.62% | 0.0409 | ✓ | -1.85 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 1.1192 | 1.0668 | -4.68% | 1.2336 | +10.23% | 0.1955 | ✗ | -1.85 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 1.2207 | 1.1709 | -4.08% | 1.2458 | +2.06% | 0.1094 | ✗ | -1.98 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 1.0015 | 0.973616 | -2.79% | 1.0377 | +3.61% | 0.0713 | ✗ | -1.96 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 1.3154 | 1.2791 | -2.76% | 1.3815 | +5.03% | 0.0864 | ✗ | -1.93 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.9544 | 0.942243 | -1.27% | 1.4183 | +48.61% | 0.4189 | ✗ | -1.82 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 1.0378 | 1.0233 | -1.40% | 1.329 | +28.05% | 0.2433 | ✗ | -1.84 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.8978 | 0.893908 | -0.43% | 1.3887 | +54.68% | 0.4707 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.8007 | 0.797665 | -0.38% | 1.1192 | +39.78% | 0.3756 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.74705 | 0.721827 | -3.38% | 1.2207 | +63.40% | 0.4855 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.5903 | 0.581591 | -1.48% | 1.0015 | +69.67% | 0.5051 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.6302 | 0.618834 | -1.80% | 1.3154 | +108.72% | 0.7150 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.7199 | 0.696461 | -3.26% | 0.9544 | +32.57% | 0.2150 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.7502 | 0.723709 | -3.53% | 1.0378 | +38.34% | 0.2578 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.70505 | 0.682084 | -3.26% | 0.8978 | +27.34% | 0.1434 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.5826 | 0.570404 | -2.09% | 0.8007 | +37.44% | 0.2369 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.73445 | 0.708861 | -3.48% | 0.74705 | +1.72% | 0.0027 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.5503 | 0.538421 | -2.16% | 0.5903 | +7.27% | 0.0419 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.5088 | 0.502538 | -1.23% | 0.6302 | +23.86% | 0.1800 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.50005 | 0.495193 | -0.97% | 0.7199 | +43.97% | 0.3766 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.4511 | 0.450795 | -0.07% | 0.7502 | +66.30% | 0.5370 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.43775 | 0.440379 | +0.60% | 0.70505 | +61.06% | 0.5078 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.45105 | 0.454316 | +0.72% | 0.5826 | +29.17% | 0.2604 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.4474 | 0.451361 | +0.89% | 0.73445 | +64.16% | 0.5319 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.4522 | 0.45632 | +0.91% | 0.5503 | +21.69% | 0.2200 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.45655 | 0.46004 | +0.76% | 0.5088 | +11.44% | 0.1322 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.4544 | 0.457079 | +0.59% | 0.50005 | +10.05% | 0.1498 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.4896 | 0.4898 | +0.04% | 0.4511 | -7.86% | 0.0949 | ✗ | 1.00 |