BTW
Bitway · Ethereum · gru_s2
- token id
- #40
- symbol
- BTW
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0x3a63de3572c69a1307ff08394f3ee7702c16d25d
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-08-24
- predictions
- 150
Track record at +30d
assessed
20
of 50 predictions shown
direction hit
0.0%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
1.0965
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0543
actual +1.0422
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 2.1044 | 1.8681 | -11.23% | – | pending | – | – | -1.48 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 2.0432 | 1.803 | -11.76% | – | pending | – | – | -1.48 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 1.9664 | 1.7201 | -12.53% | – | pending | – | – | -1.50 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 2.4152 | 2.0982 | -13.13% | – | pending | – | – | -1.54 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 2.4383 | 2.093 | -14.16% | – | pending | – | – | -1.53 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 1.9279 | 1.6284 | -15.53% | – | pending | – | – | -1.51 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 1.8166 | 1.5358 | -15.46% | – | pending | – | – | -1.50 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 2.3803 | 2.0729 | -12.91% | – | pending | – | – | -1.40 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 2.0884 | 1.835 | -12.13% | – | pending | – | – | -1.32 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 1.7495 | 1.5171 | -13.29% | – | pending | – | – | -1.47 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 1.6258 | 1.4265 | -12.26% | – | pending | – | – | -1.46 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 1.5842 | 1.3801 | -12.88% | – | pending | – | – | -1.46 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 1.5753 | 1.3626 | -13.50% | – | pending | – | – | -1.46 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 1.3928 | 1.1944 | -14.25% | – | pending | – | – | -1.52 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 1.2975 | 1.1136 | -14.18% | – | pending | – | – | -1.50 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 1.2135 | 1.048 | -13.64% | – | pending | – | – | -1.50 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 1.2336 | 1.0537 | -14.58% | – | pending | – | – | -1.51 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 1.2458 | 1.0493 | -15.78% | – | pending | – | – | -1.55 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 1.0377 | 0.907833 | -12.51% | – | pending | – | – | -1.77 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 1.3815 | 1.2043 | -12.82% | – | pending | – | – | -1.75 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 1.4183 | 1.2251 | -13.62% | – | pending | – | – | -1.78 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 1.329 | 1.1683 | -12.09% | – | pending | – | – | -1.83 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 1.3887 | 1.212 | -12.73% | – | pending | – | – | -1.85 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 1.1192 | 0.961824 | -14.06% | – | pending | – | – | -1.85 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 1.2207 | 1.0624 | -12.97% | – | pending | – | – | -1.98 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 1.0015 | 0.876183 | -12.52% | – | pending | – | – | -1.96 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 1.3154 | 1.1892 | -9.59% | – | pending | – | – | -1.93 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.9544 | 0.866714 | -9.19% | – | pending | – | – | -1.82 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 1.0378 | 0.952688 | -8.20% | – | pending | – | – | -1.84 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.8978 | 0.841633 | -6.26% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.8007 | 0.751123 | -6.19% | 2.1044 | +162.82% | 1.0763 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.74705 | 0.669997 | -10.31% | 2.0432 | +173.50% | 1.0933 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.5903 | 0.541392 | -8.29% | 1.9664 | +233.12% | 1.2824 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.6302 | 0.576216 | -8.57% | 2.4152 | +283.24% | 1.4191 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.7199 | 0.659109 | -8.44% | 2.4383 | +238.69% | 1.2443 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.7502 | 0.690759 | -7.92% | 1.9279 | +156.98% | 0.9584 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.70505 | 0.65255 | -7.45% | 1.8166 | +157.66% | 0.9409 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.5826 | 0.542302 | -6.92% | 2.3803 | +308.57% | 1.4367 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.73445 | 0.688992 | -6.19% | 2.0884 | +184.34% | 1.0300 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.5503 | 0.517688 | -5.93% | 1.7495 | +217.93% | 1.1614 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.5088 | 0.485517 | -4.58% | 1.6258 | +219.53% | 1.1280 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.50005 | 0.478379 | -4.33% | 1.5842 | +216.81% | 1.1174 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.4511 | 0.4357 | -3.41% | 1.5753 | +249.20% | 1.2322 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.43775 | 0.424962 | -2.92% | 1.3928 | +218.17% | 1.1465 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.45105 | 0.440072 | -2.43% | 1.2975 | +187.67% | 1.0298 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.4474 | 0.438606 | -1.97% | 1.2135 | +171.23% | 0.9549 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.4522 | 0.442114 | -2.23% | 1.2336 | +172.81% | 0.9547 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.45655 | 0.44575 | -2.37% | 1.2458 | +172.87% | 0.9455 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.4544 | 0.447084 | -1.61% | 1.0377 | +128.37% | 0.8001 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.4896 | 0.475275 | -2.93% | 1.3815 | +182.17% | 0.9780 | ✗ | 1.00 |