ALIGN
Aligned · Ethereum · gru_s2
- token id
- #369
- symbol
- ALIGN
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0x50614cc8e44f7814549c223aa31db9296e58057c
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-08-20
- predictions
- 162
Track record at +7d
assessed
47
of 54 predictions shown
direction hit
48.9%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.1261
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
+0.0025
actual -0.1189
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.004775 | 0.004797 | +0.47% | – | pending | – | – | -0.65 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.004405 | 0.004451 | +1.04% | – | pending | – | – | -0.63 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.004435 | 0.004479 | +1.00% | – | pending | – | – | -0.64 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.004845 | 0.004779 | -1.37% | – | pending | – | – | -0.65 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.004885 | 0.0048 | -1.75% | – | pending | – | – | -0.66 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.005015 | 0.0049 | -2.29% | – | pending | – | – | -0.66 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.004595 | 0.004586 | -0.20% | – | pending | – | – | -0.61 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.00456 | 0.004595 | +0.77% | 0.004775 | +4.71% | 0.0470 | ✓ | -0.62 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.004635 | 0.004671 | +0.78% | 0.004405 | -4.96% | 0.0599 | ✗ | -0.62 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.004785 | 0.00484 | +1.15% | 0.004435 | -7.31% | 0.0867 | ✗ | -0.63 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.004985 | 0.00502 | +0.70% | 0.004845 | -2.81% | 0.0488 | ✗ | -0.66 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.00511 | 0.005155 | +0.88% | 0.004885 | -4.40% | 0.0661 | ✗ | -0.66 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.005055 | 0.005123 | +1.35% | 0.005015 | -0.79% | 0.0298 | ✗ | -0.66 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.00526 | 0.005308 | +0.92% | 0.004595 | -12.64% | 0.1408 | ✗ | -0.66 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.00572 | 0.005668 | -0.91% | 0.00456 | -20.28% | 0.2327 | ✓ | -0.73 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.00581 | 0.005712 | -1.68% | 0.004635 | -20.22% | 0.2305 | ✓ | -0.75 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.005875 | 0.005692 | -3.11% | 0.004785 | -18.55% | 0.2091 | ✓ | -0.74 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.005995 | 0.005733 | -4.38% | 0.004985 | -16.85% | 0.1644 | ✓ | -0.74 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.006145 | 0.005763 | -6.21% | 0.00511 | -16.84% | 0.1369 | ✓ | -0.76 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.00596 | 0.005599 | -6.05% | 0.005055 | -15.18% | 0.1200 | ✓ | -0.75 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.005915 | 0.005617 | -5.04% | 0.00526 | -11.07% | 0.0938 | ✓ | -0.74 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.00622 | 0.005956 | -4.24% | 0.00572 | -8.04% | 0.0429 | ✓ | -0.74 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.00631 | 0.006098 | -3.36% | 0.00581 | -7.92% | 0.0319 | ✓ | -0.73 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.006435 | 0.00627 | -2.57% | 0.005875 | -8.70% | 0.0452 | ✓ | -0.73 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.00652 | 0.006421 | -1.53% | 0.005995 | -8.05% | 0.0512 | ✓ | -0.73 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.006415 | 0.00639 | -0.39% | 0.006145 | -4.21% | 0.0363 | ✓ | -0.72 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.006405 | 0.006427 | +0.34% | 0.00596 | -6.95% | 0.0719 | ✗ | -0.72 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.00652 | 0.006572 | +0.80% | 0.005915 | -9.28% | 0.1014 | ✗ | -0.72 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.00623 | 0.006294 | +1.03% | 0.00622 | -0.16% | 0.0187 | ✗ | -0.70 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.00683 | 0.006895 | +0.96% | 0.00631 | -7.61% | 0.1128 | ✗ | -0.80 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.00686 | 0.006875 | +0.22% | 0.006435 | -6.20% | 0.0952 | ✗ | -0.79 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.0068 | 0.006732 | -1.00% | 0.00652 | -4.12% | 0.0139 | ✗ | -1.15 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.00702 | 0.006906 | -1.62% | 0.006415 | -8.62% | 0.0297 | ✓ | -1.15 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.006925 | 0.006774 | -2.17% | 0.006405 | -7.51% | 0.0951 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.00683 | 0.006748 | -1.19% | 0.00652 | -4.54% | 0.1345 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.00675 | 0.006715 | -0.52% | 0.00623 | -7.70% | 0.1776 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.007965 | 0.00771 | -3.20% | 0.00683 | -14.25% | 0.2526 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.005885 | 0.006059 | +2.96% | 0.00686 | +16.57% | 0.0218 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.006125 | 0.00637 | +4.00% | 0.0068 | +11.02% | 0.0101 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.006325 | 0.006604 | +4.40% | 0.00702 | +10.99% | 0.0110 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.006635 | 0.006953 | +4.79% | 0.006925 | +4.37% | 0.0504 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.00694 | 0.007267 | +4.71% | 0.00683 | -1.59% | 0.0596 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.00705 | 0.007395 | +4.89% | 0.00675 | -4.26% | 0.0636 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.00798 | 0.008216 | +2.96% | 0.007965 | -0.19% | 0.0062 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.00801 | 0.008278 | +3.35% | 0.005885 | -26.53% | 0.3296 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.007945 | 0.008248 | +3.81% | 0.006125 | -22.91% | 0.2525 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.008195 | 0.008515 | +3.91% | 0.006325 | -22.82% | 0.2646 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.00829 | 0.00864 | +4.22% | 0.006635 | -19.96% | 0.2325 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.0083 | 0.008642 | +4.12% | 0.00694 | -16.39% | 0.1594 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.00927 | 0.009522 | +2.72% | 0.00705 | -23.95% | 0.3132 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 0.009765 | 0.009947 | +1.86% | 0.00798 | -18.28% | 0.2338 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 0.010555 | 0.010591 | +0.34% | 0.00801 | -24.11% | 0.2861 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-30 | oos | 0.01074 | 0.010756 | +0.15% | 0.007945 | -26.02% | 0.3368 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-29 | oos | 0.01105 | 0.011035 | -0.14% | 0.008195 | -25.84% | 0.3178 | ✓ | 1.00 |