ALIGN
Aligned · Ethereum · gru_s2
- token id
- #369
- symbol
- ALIGN
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0x50614cc8e44f7814549c223aa31db9296e58057c
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-08-20
- predictions
- 162
Track record at +30d
assessed
24
of 54 predictions shown
direction hit
100.0%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.3602
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0755
actual -0.4357
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.004775 | 0.004871 | +2.01% | – | pending | – | – | -0.65 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.004405 | 0.004478 | +1.66% | – | pending | – | – | -0.63 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.004435 | 0.004482 | +1.07% | – | pending | – | – | -0.64 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.004845 | 0.004761 | -1.73% | – | pending | – | – | -0.65 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.004885 | 0.0047 | -3.78% | – | pending | – | – | -0.66 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.005015 | 0.004807 | -4.14% | – | pending | – | – | -0.66 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.004595 | 0.004456 | -3.03% | – | pending | – | – | -0.61 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.00456 | 0.004464 | -2.09% | – | pending | – | – | -0.62 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.004635 | 0.004546 | -1.93% | – | pending | – | – | -0.62 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.004785 | 0.004706 | -1.65% | – | pending | – | – | -0.63 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.004985 | 0.004878 | -2.14% | – | pending | – | – | -0.66 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.00511 | 0.004993 | -2.29% | – | pending | – | – | -0.66 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.005055 | 0.004946 | -2.16% | – | pending | – | – | -0.66 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.00526 | 0.00514 | -2.28% | – | pending | – | – | -0.66 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.00572 | 0.005431 | -5.06% | – | pending | – | – | -0.73 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.00581 | 0.005363 | -7.70% | – | pending | – | – | -0.75 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.005875 | 0.00534 | -9.10% | – | pending | – | – | -0.74 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.005995 | 0.005403 | -9.87% | – | pending | – | – | -0.74 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.006145 | 0.005399 | -12.14% | – | pending | – | – | -0.76 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.00596 | 0.005268 | -11.60% | – | pending | – | – | -0.75 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.005915 | 0.005299 | -10.41% | – | pending | – | – | -0.74 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.00622 | 0.005609 | -9.83% | – | pending | – | – | -0.74 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.00631 | 0.005737 | -9.09% | – | pending | – | – | -0.73 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.006435 | 0.005879 | -8.64% | – | pending | – | – | -0.73 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.00652 | 0.005981 | -8.27% | – | pending | – | – | -0.73 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.006415 | 0.005923 | -7.67% | – | pending | – | – | -0.72 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.006405 | 0.005941 | -7.24% | – | pending | – | – | -0.72 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.00652 | 0.006086 | -6.65% | – | pending | – | – | -0.72 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.00623 | 0.005808 | -6.78% | – | pending | – | – | -0.70 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.00683 | 0.006507 | -4.73% | – | pending | – | – | -0.80 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.00686 | 0.00651 | -5.11% | 0.004775 | -30.39% | 0.3462 | ✓ | -0.79 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.0068 | 0.006223 | -8.48% | 0.004405 | -35.22% | 0.3207 | ✓ | -1.15 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.00702 | 0.006324 | -9.91% | 0.004435 | -36.82% | 0.3464 | ✓ | -1.15 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.006925 | 0.006082 | -12.18% | 0.004845 | -30.04% | 0.2413 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.00683 | 0.005983 | -12.39% | 0.004885 | -28.48% | 0.2667 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.00675 | 0.005977 | -11.45% | 0.005015 | -25.70% | 0.2435 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.007965 | 0.006962 | -12.60% | 0.004595 | -42.31% | 0.4984 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.005885 | 0.005385 | -8.49% | 0.00456 | -22.51% | 0.2088 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.006125 | 0.005704 | -6.88% | 0.004635 | -24.33% | 0.2863 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.006325 | 0.005889 | -6.89% | 0.004785 | -24.35% | 0.2640 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.006635 | 0.006189 | -6.72% | 0.004985 | -24.87% | 0.2969 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.00694 | 0.006513 | -6.15% | 0.00511 | -26.37% | 0.3226 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.00705 | 0.006609 | -6.25% | 0.005055 | -28.30% | 0.3211 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.00798 | 0.007352 | -7.87% | 0.00526 | -34.09% | 0.3753 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.00801 | 0.007473 | -6.70% | 0.00572 | -28.59% | 0.3189 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.007945 | 0.007454 | -6.18% | 0.00581 | -26.87% | 0.3118 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.008195 | 0.007718 | -5.82% | 0.005875 | -28.31% | 0.3444 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.00829 | 0.007894 | -4.78% | 0.005995 | -27.68% | 0.3575 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.0083 | 0.007932 | -4.43% | 0.006145 | -25.96% | 0.2972 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.00927 | 0.008871 | -4.31% | 0.00596 | -35.71% | 0.4867 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 0.009765 | 0.009349 | -4.26% | 0.005915 | -39.43% | 0.5497 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 0.010555 | 0.009987 | -5.38% | 0.00622 | -41.07% | 0.5351 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-30 | oos | 0.01074 | 0.01021 | -4.94% | 0.00631 | -41.25% | 0.5553 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-29 | oos | 0.01105 | 0.010448 | -5.45% | 0.006435 | -41.76% | 0.5493 | ✓ | 1.00 |