ALIGN
Aligned · Ethereum · gru_s2
- token id
- #369
- symbol
- ALIGN
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0x50614cc8e44f7814549c223aa31db9296e58057c
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-08-20
- predictions
- 162
Track record at +1d
assessed
53
of 54 predictions shown
direction hit
54.7%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.0455
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0000
actual -0.0158
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.004775 | 0.004766 | -0.18% | – | pending | – | – | -0.65 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.004405 | 0.004408 | +0.07% | 0.004775 | +8.40% | 0.0782 | ✓ | -0.63 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.004435 | 0.004438 | +0.07% | 0.004405 | -0.68% | 0.0011 | ✓ | -0.64 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.004845 | 0.004808 | -0.76% | 0.004435 | -8.46% | 0.0821 | ✓ | -0.65 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.004885 | 0.004846 | -0.80% | 0.004845 | -0.82% | 0.0048 | ✓ | -0.66 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.005015 | 0.004961 | -1.07% | 0.004885 | -2.59% | 0.0164 | ✓ | -0.66 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.004595 | 0.004586 | -0.19% | 0.005015 | +9.14% | 0.0847 | ✗ | -0.61 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.00456 | 0.004566 | +0.12% | 0.004595 | +0.77% | 0.0106 | ✓ | -0.62 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.004635 | 0.004639 | +0.08% | 0.00456 | -1.62% | 0.0288 | ✗ | -0.62 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.004785 | 0.004797 | +0.24% | 0.004635 | -3.13% | 0.0239 | ✗ | -0.63 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.004985 | 0.004988 | +0.06% | 0.004785 | -4.01% | 0.0570 | ✗ | -0.66 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.00511 | 0.005116 | +0.12% | 0.004985 | -2.45% | 0.0199 | ✗ | -0.66 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.005055 | 0.005068 | +0.25% | 0.00511 | +1.09% | 0.0113 | ✓ | -0.66 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.00526 | 0.005258 | -0.05% | 0.005055 | -3.90% | 0.0324 | ✓ | -0.66 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.00572 | 0.005657 | -1.11% | 0.00526 | -8.04% | 0.0867 | ✓ | -0.73 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.00581 | 0.005707 | -1.76% | 0.00572 | -1.55% | 0.0178 | ✓ | -0.75 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.005875 | 0.005734 | -2.39% | 0.00581 | -1.11% | 0.0113 | ✓ | -0.74 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.005995 | 0.005863 | -2.21% | 0.005875 | -2.00% | 0.0045 | ✓ | -0.74 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.006145 | 0.006006 | -2.26% | 0.005995 | -2.44% | 0.0137 | ✓ | -0.76 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.00596 | 0.00588 | -1.34% | 0.006145 | +3.10% | 0.0462 | ✗ | -0.75 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.005915 | 0.005877 | -0.65% | 0.00596 | +0.76% | 0.0111 | ✗ | -0.74 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.00622 | 0.00619 | -0.48% | 0.005915 | -4.90% | 0.0342 | ✓ | -0.74 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.00631 | 0.006294 | -0.26% | 0.00622 | -1.43% | 0.0125 | ✓ | -0.73 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.006435 | 0.006424 | -0.17% | 0.00631 | -1.94% | 0.0163 | ✓ | -0.73 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.00652 | 0.006515 | -0.08% | 0.006435 | -1.30% | 0.0210 | ✓ | -0.73 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.006415 | 0.006423 | +0.13% | 0.00652 | +1.64% | 0.0154 | ✓ | -0.72 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.006405 | 0.006421 | +0.25% | 0.006415 | +0.16% | 0.0018 | ✓ | -0.72 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.00652 | 0.00654 | +0.30% | 0.006405 | -1.76% | 0.0233 | ✗ | -0.72 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.00623 | 0.006253 | +0.37% | 0.00652 | +4.65% | 0.0418 | ✓ | -0.70 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.00683 | 0.006843 | +0.19% | 0.00623 | -8.78% | 0.1109 | ✗ | -0.80 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.00686 | 0.006858 | -0.03% | 0.00683 | -0.44% | 0.0077 | ✓ | -0.79 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.0068 | 0.006786 | -0.20% | 0.00686 | +0.88% | 0.0852 | ✗ | -1.15 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.00702 | 0.007 | -0.29% | 0.0068 | -3.13% | 0.0300 | ✓ | -1.15 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.006925 | 0.006901 | -0.34% | 0.00702 | +1.37% | 0.0126 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.00683 | 0.006833 | +0.04% | 0.006925 | +1.39% | 0.0442 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.00675 | 0.006766 | +0.23% | 0.00683 | +1.19% | 0.0068 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.007965 | 0.007878 | -1.10% | 0.00675 | -15.25% | 0.1619 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.005885 | 0.005966 | +1.37% | 0.007965 | +35.34% | 0.3227 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.006125 | 0.006222 | +1.59% | 0.005885 | -3.92% | 0.0735 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.006325 | 0.00643 | +1.66% | 0.006125 | -3.16% | 0.0426 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.006635 | 0.006745 | +1.66% | 0.006325 | -4.67% | 0.0650 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.00694 | 0.007047 | +1.54% | 0.006635 | -4.39% | 0.0690 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.00705 | 0.007156 | +1.51% | 0.00694 | -1.56% | 0.0081 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.00798 | 0.008033 | +0.66% | 0.00705 | -11.65% | 0.1284 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.00801 | 0.008065 | +0.69% | 0.00798 | -0.37% | 0.0024 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.007945 | 0.008005 | +0.75% | 0.00801 | +0.82% | 0.0163 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.008195 | 0.008254 | +0.72% | 0.007945 | -3.05% | 0.0445 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.00829 | 0.008359 | +0.83% | 0.008195 | -1.15% | 0.0218 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.0083 | 0.008367 | +0.81% | 0.00829 | -0.12% | 0.0105 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.00927 | 0.009313 | +0.46% | 0.0083 | -10.46% | 0.1650 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 0.009765 | 0.009796 | +0.32% | 0.00927 | -5.07% | 0.0540 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 0.010555 | 0.010567 | +0.12% | 0.009765 | -7.48% | 0.0640 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-30 | oos | 0.01074 | 0.010757 | +0.16% | 0.010555 | -1.72% | 0.0304 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-29 | oos | 0.01105 | 0.011067 | +0.16% | 0.01074 | -2.81% | 0.0227 | ✗ | 1.00 |