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2022-08-31 · +30d

gru_s2 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 186 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1224
186 of 186 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-1.56%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
70.4%
in alpha space · 76.9% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-3.10%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (186 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
BRISEBitgertEthereum9.25e-77.81e-7-15.59%5.44e-7-41.20%0.3354✓0.831.3M2022-09-30
LUNATerraTerra 20.000221560.000188776-14.80%0.00030441+37.39%0.5013✗0.74429k2022-09-30
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.11610.100544-13.40%0.0758-34.71%0.2594✓0.73216k2022-09-30
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain13.00511.2764-13.29%17.233+32.51%0.4406✗0.529.7M2022-09-30
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain7.86116.836-13.04%6.6182-15.81%0.0212✓0.367.0M2022-09-30
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.82764.273-11.49%5.85+21.18%0.3456✗1.00150k2022-09-30
CHZChilizEthereum0.21790.19638-9.88%0.2353+7.99%0.2073✗0.843.1M2022-09-30
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum3.7433.3849-9.57%3.842+2.64%0.1572✗0.97259k2022-09-30
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0303140.027467-9.39%0.02996-1.17%0.0909✓0.13280k2022-09-30
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.0475.5088-8.90%5.44-10.04%0.0024✓0.484.4M2022-09-30
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain6.62946.0732-8.39%5.6941-14.11%0.0573✓0.235.4M2022-09-30
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.05163.7225-8.12%3.8918-3.94%0.0634✓0.604.2M2022-09-30
OPTIMOptimism1.1291.0376-8.09%0.911-19.31%0.0761✓1.713.2M2022-09-30
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.13941.0477-8.04%1.194+4.79%0.1585✗0.881.3M2022-09-30
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.7465.3003-7.76%5.682-1.11%0.0966✗0.869.1M2022-09-30
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.062110.057504-7.42%0.0611-1.63%0.0944✗1.072.0M2022-09-30
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.4494.1211-7.37%3.848-13.51%0.0609✓0.242.3M2022-09-30
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.76.2067-7.36%6.53-2.54%0.0660✓0.481.7M2022-09-30
YFIyearn.financeEthereum9,021.078,361.13-7.32%8,121.81-9.97%0.0144✓1.386.0M2022-09-30
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.1413.1284-7.15%12.57-11.10%0.0087✓1.10909k2022-09-30
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.5221.4152-7.02%1.257-17.41%0.0814✓1.1870k2022-09-30
NEXONEXOEthereum1.0781.0026-6.99%0.923-14.38%0.0431✓1.261.5M2022-09-30
XECeCashnative0.000044520.00004141-6.99%0.00004111-7.66%0.0199✓0.861.7M2022-09-30
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0013420.00125-6.87%0.001016-24.30%0.1824✓0.792.1M2022-09-30
GMTGMTEthereum0.67230.626177-6.86%0.6408-4.69%0.0669✓1.39226k2022-09-30
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.311.2218-6.74%1.16-11.45%0.0232✓0.91111k2022-09-30
UOSUltraEthereum0.350.326963-6.58%0.33003-5.71%0.0389✓0.94347k2022-09-30
CTKShentuOsmosis0.910.850263-6.56%0.865-4.95%0.0289✓0.374.0M2022-09-30
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.334160.3128-6.39%0.30317-9.27%0.0001✓0.9945k2022-09-30
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.10260.096049-6.39%0.0987-3.80%0.0610✓1.073.1M2022-09-30
PROPropyEthereum0.730.684237-6.27%0.62-15.07%0.0894✓0.2979k2022-09-30
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.615.2595-6.25%5.08-9.45%0.0204✓0.452.0M2022-09-30
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.035190.03301-6.19%0.03032-13.84%0.0533✓1.0140k2022-09-30
ORCAOrcaSolana0.90230.846627-6.17%0.8477-6.05%0.0471✓1.45167k2022-09-30
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.081490.076467-6.16%0.07392-9.29%0.0323✓0.05451k2022-09-30
GALAGALAEthereum0.05030.047205-6.15%0.0405-19.48%0.1225✓0.97217k2022-09-30
IMXImmutableEthereum0.83270.781816-6.11%0.7579-8.98%0.0017✓1.041.7M2022-09-30
BANDBandEthereum1.2751.1985-6.00%1.227-3.76%0.0609✓1.19460k2022-09-30
METISMetisEthereum31.0329.175-5.98%24.07-22.43%0.1326✓1.90288k2022-09-30
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.9151.8006-5.97%1.591-16.92%0.0708✓1.6883k2022-09-30
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0029940.002815-5.97%0.001987-33.63%0.3194✓0.921.1M2022-09-30
XVGVergenative0.003350.00315-5.96%0.00328-2.09%0.0721✗1.01486k2022-09-30
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2820.265455-5.87%0.251-10.99%0.0332✓0.72668k2022-09-30
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.007990.007528-5.78%0.00692-13.39%0.0489✓1.12477k2022-09-30
FLOWFlownative2.0721.9525-5.77%1.686-18.63%0.1041✓1.351.3M2022-09-30
CVCCivicEthereum0.14450.136218-5.73%0.1275-11.76%0.0339✓1.02130k2022-09-30
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.001560.001471-5.71%0.001435-8.01%0.0028✓0.709,0932022-09-30
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash115.16108.7409-5.57%120.1+4.29%0.1353✗1.144.6M2022-09-30
STXStacksnative0.3650.345218-5.42%0.3244-11.12%0.0257✓1.16384k2022-09-30
UMAUMAEthereum2.7282.5846-5.26%2.336-14.37%0.0736✓0.87706k2022-09-30
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos11.82511.2069-5.23%13.03+10.19%0.1858✗1.1111.4M2022-09-30
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.5280.500414-5.22%0.444-15.91%0.0866✓1.0576k2022-09-30
COMPCompoundEthereum47.1444.7055-5.16%61.22+29.87%0.3538✗1.259,8512022-09-30
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.80145.5039-5.13%4.1679-28.16%0.2748✓0.10115k2022-09-30
CTSICartesiEthereum0.13950.132422-5.07%0.1421+1.86%0.1024✗1.01509k2022-09-30
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0612770.058168-5.07%0.061628+0.57%0.0911✗1.061.5M2022-09-30
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.298090.283069-5.04%0.267208-10.36%0.0234✓1.09547k2022-09-30
LSKLiskEthereum1.07081.0172-5.01%0.953-11.00%0.0381✓0.8644k2022-09-30
SCSiacoinnative0.004040.003842-4.89%0.00347-14.11%0.0707✓0.99144k2022-09-30
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.0336.6907-4.87%6.322-10.11%0.0241✓1.0410.9M2022-09-30
ETCEthereum Classicnative32.4130.8375-4.85%27.75-14.38%0.0580✓1.5112.7M2022-09-30
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.3374.1274-4.83%3.882-10.49%0.0462✓0.482.0M2022-09-30
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.50540.481144-4.80%0.4164-17.61%0.1208✓0.75544k2022-09-30
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.46.0944-4.77%6.03-5.78%0.0050✓0.502.1M2022-09-30
API3Api3Ethereum1.651.5713-4.77%1.64-0.61%0.0721✗0.93579k2022-09-30
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.0121.9166-4.74%1.701-15.46%0.0836✓1.1342k2022-09-30
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6630.631581-4.74%0.589-11.16%0.0426✓0.86228k2022-09-30
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.1680.160047-4.73%0.14624-12.95%0.0597✓0.97324k2022-09-30
KCSKuCoinnative9.0018.5787-4.69%9.167+1.84%0.0962✗0.951.4M2022-09-30
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.9592.8215-4.65%2.377-19.67%0.1230✓1.543.7M2022-09-30
ZECZcashZcash59.8857.1146-4.62%55.65-7.06%0.0105✓1.161.7M2022-09-30
LPTLivepeerEthereum10.19.6396-4.56%9-10.89%0.0301✓1.22313k2022-09-30
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.848.4385-4.54%8.52-3.62%0.0250✓0.491.9M2022-09-30
RADRadworksEthereum2.132.0337-4.52%2-6.10%0.0072✓0.76287k2022-09-30
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.794.5743-4.50%4.68-2.30%0.0396✓0.531.1M2022-09-30
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13240.12646-4.49%0.1183-10.65%0.0502✓0.523.5M2022-09-30
ZENHorizenBase15.5314.8382-4.45%14.11-9.14%0.0153✓1.11107k2022-09-30
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6730.643082-4.45%0.593-11.89%0.0431✓1.214.1M2022-09-30
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.431.3671-4.40%1.475+3.15%0.1128✗1.17116k2022-09-30
C98Coin98Ethereum0.4390.419804-4.37%0.3611-17.74%0.1142✓1.15100k2022-09-30
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.95350.912388-4.31%0.8963-6.00%0.0022✓0.493.6M2022-09-30
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.72761.654-4.26%1.1834-31.50%0.3045✓0.961.2M2022-09-30
ELAElastosEthereum1.8181.7412-4.22%1.485-18.32%0.1305✓0.91121k2022-09-30
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04840.046373-4.19%0.0392-19.01%0.1368✓0.99781k2022-09-30
NMRNumeraireEthereum17.2716.5502-4.17%14.8-14.30%0.0901✓0.69818k2022-09-30
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.667.3418-4.15%6.46-15.67%0.0938✓1.08430k2022-09-30
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.28850.276584-4.13%0.3535+22.53%0.2738✗0.906.0M2022-09-30
LRCLoopringEthereum0.35130.337011-4.07%0.2956-15.86%0.0972✓1.07116k2022-09-30
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum12.511.9944-4.04%16.08+28.64%0.3265✗1.061.9M2022-09-30
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.136980.131441-4.04%0.12823-6.39%0.0130✓1.20190k2022-09-30
QNTQuantEthereum96.4792.6353-3.97%141.89+47.08%0.4535✗0.863.5M2022-09-30
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10330.099211-3.96%0.0987-4.45%0.0218✓0.86188k2022-09-30
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0064950.006239-3.94%0.006298-3.03%0.0224✓0.4158k2022-09-30
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5150.495005-3.88%0.453-12.04%0.0527✓1.1483k2022-09-30
STORJStorjEthereum0.551180.529799-3.88%0.44894-18.55%0.1242✓1.3135k2022-09-30
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.256.0076-3.88%6.071-2.86%0.0375✓0.864.9M2022-09-30
AVTAventusEthereum1.521.4611-3.87%1.44-5.26%0.0185✓-0.13128k2022-09-30
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.2051.1591-3.81%1.056-12.37%0.0619✓0.991.6M2022-09-30
LCXLCXEthereum0.05770.055512-3.79%0.0455-21.14%0.1632✓1.13258k2022-09-30
DKAdKargoEthereum0.045930.044193-3.78%0.04057-11.67%0.0630✓0.7115k2022-09-30
GLMGolemEthereum0.24470.235454-3.78%0.2604+6.42%0.1304✗0.9475k2022-09-30
ETHEthereumEthereum1,554.001,495.47-3.77%1,328.95-14.48%0.0747✓1.38660.9M2022-09-30
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.21840.210196-3.76%0.1725-21.02%0.1566✓1.30135k2022-09-30
CELLCellframeEthereum0.30410.292941-3.67%0.2602-14.44%0.0847✓1.07107k2022-09-30
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.152.0714-3.66%1.82-15.35%0.0933✓1.14217k2022-09-30
BTTCBTTC8.80e-78.49e-7-3.57%7.70e-7-12.50%0.0722✓0.791.9M2022-09-30
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012080.000011652-3.54%0.00001131-6.37%0.0000✓0.95776k2022-09-30
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.21120.203758-3.52%0.1931-8.57%0.0213✓1.0358k2022-09-30
COTICOTIEthereum0.08990.086749-3.51%0.1076+19.69%0.2455✗0.95381k2022-09-30
DIADIAEthereum0.37170.358676-3.50%0.38467+3.49%0.1000✗0.9540k2022-09-30
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.94270.910037-3.46%0.8437-10.50%0.0376✓1.21912k2022-09-30
XTZTezosTezos1.51081.4595-3.40%1.4221-5.87%0.0095✓1.12296k2022-09-30
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08210.079364-3.33%0.082-0.12%0.0622✗0.9411k2022-09-30
DEXEDeXeEthereum2.9222.8248-3.33%3.081+5.44%0.1026✗0.50650k2022-09-30
LTCLitecoinLitecoin53.8452.0553-3.31%53.48-0.67%0.0579✗0.9812.6M2022-09-30
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.0440.042548-3.30%0.0427-2.95%0.0338✗0.96147k2022-09-30
BTTBitTorrentEthereum8.70e-78.41e-7-3.30%7.90e-7-9.20%0.0379✓0.7916k2022-09-30
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.28090.271688-3.28%0.2876+2.39%0.0868✗0.953.1M2022-09-30
MANADecentralandEthereum0.771910.746756-3.26%0.69854-9.50%0.0391✓0.88509k2022-09-30
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6630.641422-3.25%0.576-13.12%0.0768✓0.98207k2022-09-30
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.020260.019602-3.25%0.02279+12.49%0.1768✗0.8311.1M2022-09-30
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.013580.013159-3.10%0.0098-27.84%0.2737✓0.67201k2022-09-30
HIVEHivenative0.55730.540076-3.09%0.4837-13.21%0.0838✓0.841.1M2022-09-30
RARESuperRareEthereum0.2010.1949-3.03%0.1637-18.56%0.1429✓1.00116k2022-09-30
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.2470.239531-3.02%0.1171-52.59%0.7157✓-0.0091k2022-09-30
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.05950.057711-3.01%0.0647+8.74%0.1416✗0.87101k2022-09-30
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV51.91550.3692-2.98%48.976-5.66%0.0046✓0.74302k2022-09-30
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.023040.022357-2.97%0.01866-19.01%0.1553✓0.81459k2022-09-30
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.038450.037312-2.96%0.03783-1.61%0.0393✗0.812,7072022-09-30
XYMSymbolnative0.0431280.041854-2.95%0.037509-13.03%0.0933✓0.5227k2022-09-30
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06220.060363-2.95%0.0576-7.40%0.0066✓1.28908k2022-09-30
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.32030.311054-2.89%0.288-10.08%0.0403✓1.17138k2022-09-30
CHRChromiaEthereum0.18240.177144-2.88%0.1525-16.39%0.1063✓1.382,2912022-09-30
BORABORAKlay Token0.311720.302739-2.88%0.23673-24.06%0.2129✓1.0512k2022-09-30
DASHDashDash44.5543.2669-2.88%41.94-5.86%0.0007✓0.97438k2022-09-30
KSMKusamaHydration47.4246.0554-2.88%42.06-11.30%0.0596✓0.99522k2022-09-30
ASTRAstarEthereum0.03570.034674-2.87%0.0377+5.60%0.1085✗0.799,5472022-09-30
XVSVenusEthereum4.864.724-2.80%4.78-1.65%0.0385✗0.851.5M2022-09-30
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.14631.1145-2.78%0.917-20.00%0.1468✓1.534.5M2022-09-30
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.066180.064398-2.69%0.0629-4.96%0.0038✓0.877702022-09-30
MOVRMoonriverBase12.3812.0511-2.66%11.1383-10.03%0.0482✓0.9730k2022-09-30
XEMNEMnative0.0439410.042791-2.62%0.040717-7.34%0.0230✓0.8529k2022-09-30
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.79391.7471-2.61%1.7056-4.92%0.0100✓1.0830k2022-09-30
FTTFTXEthereum26.7326.0367-2.59%24.25-9.28%0.0404✓0.977.3M2022-09-30
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.45940.447662-2.56%0.4309-6.20%0.0021✓1.14383k2022-09-30
XLMStellarStellar0.1043650.101703-2.55%0.114648+9.85%0.1453✗0.817.0M2022-09-30
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.6286.4636-2.48%7.586+14.45%0.1933✗1.0517.4M2022-09-30
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.008580.008368-2.47%0.00657-23.43%0.2191✓0.725.5M2022-09-30
SOLSolanaSolana31.530.7232-2.47%33.26+5.59%0.1160✗1.1665.9M2022-09-30
QTUMQtumQtum3.1493.0725-2.43%2.8524-9.42%0.0425✓1.0125k2022-09-30
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03490.034065-2.39%0.0337-3.44%0.0180✓0.9186k2022-09-30
NANOnanopayBase0.8946030.873479-2.36%0.770263-13.90%0.0996✓0.8360k2022-09-30
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.317940.310607-2.31%0.40262+26.63%0.2849✗0.81340k2022-09-30
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0131760.012874-2.29%0.011753-10.80%0.0712✓0.63932k2022-09-30
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10030.098015-2.28%0.0911-9.17%0.0505✓0.722,5272022-09-30
ADACardanoCardano0.44580.435702-2.27%0.4348-2.47%0.0274✗0.9437.1M2022-09-30
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche19.1318.6985-2.26%17.2-10.09%0.0427✓1.2922.5M2022-09-30
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4180.409335-2.07%0.472+12.92%0.1745✗1.027,9102022-09-30
GITCOINGITCOIN2.15942.1154-2.04%1.8009-16.60%0.1258✓1.1213k2022-09-30
UNIUniswapEthereum6.1426.0186-2.01%6.467+5.29%0.1129✗1.308.9M2022-09-30
WOOWOOEthereum0.15310.15006-1.99%0.1386-9.47%0.0442✓1.121,5282022-09-30
AMPAmpEthereum0.006190.006075-1.87%0.00487-21.32%0.2009✓0.641.0M2022-09-30
GTGateEthereum4.30084.2212-1.85%4.2716-0.68%0.0363✗0.77798k2022-09-30
SUSHISushiEthereum1.03471.0168-1.73%1.1027+6.57%0.1196✗1.22996k2022-09-30
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.12360.121481-1.71%0.1259+1.86%0.0686✗1.0423k2022-09-30
AAVEAaveEthereum84.8583.4724-1.62%74.57-12.12%0.0649✓1.526.2M2022-09-30
XMRMoneroMonero149.22146.8662-1.58%147.45-1.19%0.0361✗1.021.3M2022-09-30
SUNSun TokenTron0.0056680.005588-1.42%0.005197-8.32%0.0509✓0.692,1952022-09-30
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0015030.001483-1.30%0.001547+2.93%0.0725✗0.97424k2022-09-30
CBKCobakEthereum0.896560.885143-1.27%0.78889-12.01%0.0833✓1.0113k2022-09-30
DODODODOEthereum0.12760.126132-1.15%0.1271-0.39%0.0402✗1.031.7M2022-09-30
APEApeCoinEthereum4.7614.7108-1.05%5.408+13.59%0.1802✗1.348.5M2022-09-30
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.021520.021321-0.92%0.01929-10.36%0.0746✓0.8113k2022-09-30
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.155680.154335-0.86%0.16779+7.78%0.1477✗2.035722022-09-30
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.024550.02447-0.33%0.02333-4.97%0.0074✓1.283,4352022-09-30
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.34620.345499-0.20%0.321-7.28%0.0342✓1.25176k2022-09-30
TRBTellor TributesEthereum19.0319.0098-0.11%16.37-13.98%0.1273✓0.701.6M2022-09-30
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood2.032.032+0.10%2.31+13.79%0.1442✓0.5193k2022-09-30
FORTFortaEthereum0.23250.232789+0.12%0.1432-38.41%0.4575✗0.9076k2022-09-30
TRXTRONTron0.0634280.063678+0.39%0.061037-3.77%0.0232✗0.61142k2022-09-30
BFCBifrostEthereum0.072740.073067+0.45%0.0606-16.69%0.1504✗1.1626k2022-09-30
STEEMSteemnative0.22910.230474+0.60%0.2181-4.80%0.0268✗0.90489k2022-09-30
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum19,990.4020,110.36+0.60%19,846.80-0.72%0.0165✓0.9415k2022-09-30
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05740.057832+0.75%0.0514-10.45%0.0887✗0.9398k2022-09-30
BTCBitcoinBitcoin20,048.2620,212.29+0.82%19,426.11-3.10%0.0081✗1.00504.7M2022-09-30
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.4750.479564+0.96%0.346-27.16%0.2885✗1.202,7102022-09-30
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.