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2022-08-29 · +30d

gru_s2 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 186 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1068
186 of 186 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-6.50%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
74.2%
in alpha space · 80.1% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-4.31%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (186 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
STEEMSteemnative0.22570.22704+0.59%0.2194-2.79%0.0056✓0.90501k2022-09-28
BFCBifrostEthereum0.072840.073137+0.41%0.06189-15.03%0.1146✗1.1927k2022-09-28
BTCBitcoinBitcoin20,286.9720,341.06+0.27%19,412.07-4.31%0.0027✓1.00485.5M2022-09-28
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum20,303.8020,325.95+0.11%19,450.40-4.20%0.0026✗0.9413k2022-09-28
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06060.060481-0.20%0.0521-14.03%0.1075✓0.9598k2022-09-28
TRXTRONTron0.0634370.063298-0.22%0.059562-6.11%0.0342✓0.60129k2022-09-28
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.5250.521607-0.65%0.364-30.67%0.3043✓1.262,6092022-09-28
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.34990.347159-0.78%0.3165-9.55%0.0366✓1.27176k2022-09-28
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0209940.020793-0.96%0.019339-7.88%0.0365✓0.8213k2022-09-28
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.158390.156812-1.00%0.16792+6.02%0.1583✗2.046362022-09-28
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood2.242.2169-1.03%2.43+8.48%0.1138✗0.5097k2022-09-28
CBKCobakEthereum0.875420.864493-1.25%0.78271-10.59%0.0560✓0.9815k2022-09-28
APEApeCoinEthereum4.9834.9091-1.48%5.375+7.87%0.1503✗1.358.8M2022-09-28
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.025540.025156-1.50%0.02221-13.04%0.0681✓1.283,3752022-09-28
DODODODOEthereum0.13110.129059-1.56%0.1246-4.96%0.0083✓0.991.7M2022-09-28
SUNSun TokenTron0.0058740.005783-1.56%0.005054-13.96%0.1046✓0.682,4852022-09-28
FORTFortaEthereum0.25660.25244-1.62%0.1541-39.95%0.4536✓0.9185k2022-09-28
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.1230.120759-1.82%0.1275+3.66%0.0994✗1.0227k2022-09-28
XMRMoneroMonero152.71149.9012-1.84%147.27-3.56%0.0257✗0.981.3M2022-09-28
AAVEAaveEthereum85.7684.0104-2.04%76.78-10.47%0.0234✓1.516.3M2022-09-28
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0016360.001602-2.09%0.001552-5.13%0.0112✓0.97484k2022-09-28
GITCOINGITCOIN2.14532.0998-2.12%1.7586-18.03%0.1246✓1.2013k2022-09-28
CHRChromiaEthereum0.17250.168821-2.13%0.1496-13.28%0.0595✓1.392,2552022-09-28
AMPAmpEthereum0.006490.00635-2.16%0.00481-25.89%0.2500✓0.631.1M2022-09-28
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.07991.0534-2.45%0.9397-12.98%0.0475✓1.514.5M2022-09-28
GTGateEthereum4.3974.2882-2.48%4.2574-3.17%0.0267✗0.77765k2022-09-28
ADACardanoCardano0.45050.439094-2.53%0.4362-3.17%0.0368✗0.9837.9M2022-09-28
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche19.3318.8178-2.65%17.25-10.76%0.0289✓1.3222.5M2022-09-28
UNIUniswapEthereum6.3396.1696-2.67%6.555+3.41%0.1187✗1.329.9M2022-09-28
WOOWOOEthereum0.1640.159601-2.68%0.1368-16.59%0.1060✓1.091,7282022-09-28
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.008910.008671-2.69%0.00663-25.59%0.2344✓0.775.8M2022-09-28
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.76.5144-2.77%7.79+16.27%0.2259✗1.0718.5M2022-09-28
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03650.035486-2.78%0.0335-8.22%0.0161✓0.9486k2022-09-28
PHAPHALAEthereum0.1010.098179-2.79%0.0897-11.19%0.0583✓0.732,9872022-09-28
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.335860.32637-2.83%0.4236+26.12%0.3007✗0.91366k2022-09-28
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.037920.036839-2.85%0.03471-8.47%0.0241✓0.802,7072022-09-28
BORABORAKlay Token0.301060.29237-2.89%0.23749-21.12%0.1620✓1.0412k2022-09-28
XEMNEMnative0.0445650.043268-2.91%0.040173-9.86%0.0368✓0.8530k2022-09-28
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.46070.447276-2.91%0.4454-3.32%0.0456✗1.13364k2022-09-28
QTUMQtumQtum3.18233.0891-2.93%2.8623-10.05%0.0313✓1.0226k2022-09-28
MOVRMoonriverBase12.660212.2846-2.97%10.6211-16.11%0.1027✓0.9733k2022-09-28
XLMStellarStellar0.1059180.102768-2.97%0.108139+2.10%0.0876✗0.837.0M2022-09-28
SUSHISushiEthereum1.10211.0692-2.99%1.0731-2.63%0.0588✗1.25973k2022-09-28
SOLSolanaSolana32.4131.4075-3.09%33.24+2.56%0.1092✗1.1965.9M2022-09-28
NANOnanopayBase0.9187330.890293-3.10%0.765787-16.65%0.1146✓0.8270k2022-09-28
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0137010.013276-3.10%0.012544-8.44%0.0281✓0.651.3M2022-09-28
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.067420.065305-3.14%0.06144-8.87%0.0254✓0.819142022-09-28
RARESuperRareEthereum0.20190.19555-3.15%0.1572-22.14%0.1742✓1.00133k2022-09-28
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.84121.7828-3.17%1.7033-7.49%0.0028✓1.1031k2022-09-28
HIVEHivenative0.54610.528671-3.19%0.4862-10.97%0.0455✓0.871.3M2022-09-28
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6720.650043-3.27%0.586-12.80%0.0621✓0.94217k2022-09-28
XVSVenusEthereum5.124.9513-3.30%4.86-5.08%0.0195✓0.861.6M2022-09-28
FTTFTXEthereum27.3426.417-3.38%24.09-11.89%0.0492✓0.987.3M2022-09-28
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04410.042601-3.40%0.0415-5.90%0.0167✓0.97166k2022-09-28
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV54.19452.325-3.45%49.86-8.00%0.0154✓0.74322k2022-09-28
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.023360.022552-3.46%0.01892-19.01%0.1396✓0.82419k2022-09-28
ASTRAstarEthereum0.03730.036003-3.48%0.0394+5.63%0.1254✗0.8010k2022-09-28
AVTAventusEthereum1.441.3896-3.50%1.41-2.08%0.0120✓-0.06105k2022-09-28
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.33670.324647-3.58%0.2942-12.62%0.0470✓1.17146k2022-09-28
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.21020.202672-3.58%0.1934-7.99%0.0019✓1.0260k2022-09-28
XYMSymbolnative0.0444460.042847-3.60%0.036375-18.16%0.1410✓0.5228k2022-09-28
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.1891.146-3.62%1.048-11.86%0.0458✓0.991.8M2022-09-28
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06170.059456-3.64%0.0574-6.97%0.0198✓1.25851k2022-09-28
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08430.081221-3.65%0.0852+1.07%0.0904✗0.9614k2022-09-28
KSMKusamaHydration50.1248.2866-3.66%44.04-12.13%0.0482✓1.00560k2022-09-28
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4410.424728-3.69%0.395-10.43%0.0274✓1.028,3142022-09-28
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26150.251731-3.74%0.1182-54.80%0.7556✓0.0191k2022-09-28
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.152.069-3.77%1.77-17.67%0.1021✓1.23238k2022-09-28
LCXLCXEthereum0.05760.055421-3.78%0.0458-20.49%0.1406✓1.14258k2022-09-28
XTZTezosTezos1.53571.477-3.82%1.4415-6.13%0.0252✓1.12308k2022-09-28
COTICOTIEthereum0.09240.088865-3.83%0.105+13.64%0.2094✗0.97404k2022-09-28
MANADecentralandEthereum0.795360.76454-3.87%0.70596-11.24%0.0399✓0.90509k2022-09-28
BTTCBTTC8.90e-78.55e-7-3.88%7.80e-7-12.36%0.0577✓0.792.1M2022-09-28
BTTBitTorrentEthereum8.80e-78.46e-7-3.91%7.90e-7-10.23%0.0324✓0.8116k2022-09-28
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.534.3523-3.92%4.78+5.52%0.1159✗0.501.1M2022-09-28
LTCLitecoinLitecoin55.7953.5884-3.95%53.28-4.50%0.0378✓0.9912.8M2022-09-28
NMRNumeraireEthereum17.2216.5396-3.95%14.88-13.59%0.0739✓0.72921k2022-09-28
GLMGolemEthereum0.24840.238525-3.98%0.2644+6.44%0.1452✗0.9679k2022-09-28
DIADIAEthereum0.38550.370145-3.98%0.37714-2.17%0.0617✗0.9845k2022-09-28
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10450.100275-4.04%0.0983-5.93%0.0185✓0.87196k2022-09-28
DASHDashDash47.4645.5074-4.11%41.26-13.06%0.0549✓0.98458k2022-09-28
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0066960.006418-4.15%0.006299-5.93%0.0001✓0.4258k2022-09-28
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.2910.278919-4.15%0.2952+1.44%0.0995✗0.973.2M2022-09-28
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.9870.945913-4.16%0.847-14.18%0.0567✓1.22963k2022-09-28
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.22190.212591-4.20%0.1721-22.44%0.1540✓1.30133k2022-09-28
ELAElastosEthereum1.7681.6926-4.26%1.398-20.93%0.1502✓0.93121k2022-09-28
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.468.0983-4.28%8.39-0.83%0.0569✗0.492.0M2022-09-28
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.28365.0577-4.28%4.127-21.89%0.1974✓0.14117k2022-09-28
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.06370.060963-4.30%0.0534-16.17%0.0922✓0.91105k2022-09-28
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.747.4062-4.31%6.48-16.28%0.0840✓1.13504k2022-09-28
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum12.612.0554-4.32%15.88+26.03%0.3233✗1.081.9M2022-09-28
XVGVergenative0.003010.00288-4.33%0.00332+10.30%0.1874✗1.02498k2022-09-28
STORJStorjEthereum0.554010.529882-4.36%0.45604-17.68%0.0928✓1.3039k2022-09-28
LRCLoopringEthereum0.36640.350439-4.36%0.3014-17.74%0.1028✓1.09155k2022-09-28
ETHEthereumEthereum1,551.651,483.92-4.36%1,336.93-13.84%0.0442✓1.36608.4M2022-09-28
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.70991.6344-4.42%1.1359-33.57%0.3203✓0.991.1M2022-09-28
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.022670.021645-4.52%0.02383+5.12%0.1345✗0.8711.8M2022-09-28
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.96560.921265-4.59%0.9053-6.24%0.0061✓0.533.6M2022-09-28
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012480.000011906-4.60%0.00001109-11.14%0.0287✓0.96828k2022-09-28
C98Coin98Ethereum0.42380.404199-4.63%0.3496-17.51%0.0940✓1.1689k2022-09-28
RADRadworksEthereum2.132.0303-4.68%2.01-5.63%0.0248✓0.79368k2022-09-28
DKAdKargoEthereum0.048160.045897-4.70%0.04028-16.36%0.1011✓0.6716k2022-09-28
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5270.502121-4.72%0.464-11.95%0.0281✓1.1583k2022-09-28
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.295.9921-4.74%6-4.61%0.0216✓0.462.1M2022-09-28
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.139560.132878-4.79%0.12406-11.11%0.0144✓1.23210k2022-09-28
FLOWFlownative1.9191.8262-4.84%1.639-14.59%0.0480✓1.361.3M2022-09-28
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04910.046713-4.86%0.0389-20.77%0.1391✓1.00814k2022-09-28
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.1773.9736-4.87%3.863-7.52%0.0108✓0.401.9M2022-09-28
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.2763.1158-4.89%2.971-9.31%0.0240✓0.53650k2022-09-28
QNTQuantEthereum101.1696.2029-4.90%136.04+34.48%0.3843✗0.863.4M2022-09-28
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6840.65044-4.91%0.558-18.42%0.0988✓1.244.6M2022-09-28
CELLCellframeEthereum0.32230.306466-4.91%0.2673-17.06%0.0888✓1.09112k2022-09-28
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13060.124183-4.91%0.1145-12.33%0.0562✓0.573.7M2022-09-28
LPTLivepeerEthereum10.289.7718-4.94%8.87-13.72%0.0432✓1.22339k2022-09-28
KCSKuCoinnative9.18.6491-4.95%9.227+1.40%0.1071✗0.961.5M2022-09-28
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.29810.283327-4.96%0.3495+17.24%0.2500✗0.916.9M2022-09-28
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.0891.9846-5.00%1.709-18.19%0.0985✓1.1646k2022-09-28
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.01510.014341-5.02%0.01054-30.20%0.2776✓0.69165k2022-09-28
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.6826.3462-5.03%6.046-9.52%0.0087✓0.905.0M2022-09-28
ORCAOrcaSolana0.78240.742861-5.05%0.8512+8.79%0.2005✗1.46161k2022-09-28
CTSICartesiEthereum0.14470.137345-5.08%0.1396-3.52%0.0615✗1.03535k2022-09-28
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0230850.021888-5.19%0.023761+2.93%0.0868✗0.11262k2022-09-28
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos11.43810.8367-5.26%12.988+13.55%0.2314✗1.1410.4M2022-09-28
LSKLiskEthereum1.06211.0062-5.27%0.967566-8.90%0.0019✓0.8448k2022-09-28
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.1740.164724-5.33%0.14439-17.02%0.0855✓1.05363k2022-09-28
ETCEthereum Classicnative33.5531.7531-5.36%27.63-17.65%0.0730✓1.5013.5M2022-09-28
COMPCompoundEthereum48.5745.9626-5.37%61.83+27.30%0.3516✗1.2511k2022-09-28
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3052850.288626-5.46%0.266964-12.55%0.0302✓1.08560k2022-09-28
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6980.659775-5.48%0.594-14.90%0.0662✓0.88234k2022-09-28
SCSiacoinnative0.004070.003847-5.48%0.00347-14.74%0.0593✓1.00158k2022-09-28
ZENHorizenBase16.4415.5264-5.56%13.98-14.96%0.0559✓1.11107k2022-09-28
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.5230.493874-5.57%0.4167-20.33%0.1337✓0.82586k2022-09-28
STXStacksnative0.37010.349431-5.58%0.3247-12.27%0.0219✓1.17398k2022-09-28
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.9551.8448-5.64%1.574-19.49%0.0847✓1.6890k2022-09-28
ZECZcashZcash63.7560.1155-5.70%55.45-13.02%0.0308✓1.131.9M2022-09-28
UMAUMAEthereum2.8562.6914-5.76%2.327-18.52%0.1066✓0.88734k2022-09-28
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.315.0037-5.77%5.09-4.14%0.0367✓0.452.3M2022-09-28
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.2766.8546-5.79%6.389-12.19%0.0240✓1.0512.5M2022-09-28
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0015290.001439-5.86%0.001413-7.59%0.0124✓0.709,4152022-09-28
API3Api3Ethereum1.7291.6263-5.94%1.609-6.94%0.0311✓0.95604k2022-09-28
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.4951.4061-5.95%1.361-8.96%0.0198✓1.19128k2022-09-28
CVCCivicEthereum0.1480.139048-6.05%0.1275-13.85%0.0418✓1.02149k2022-09-28
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash119.61112.3248-6.09%114.17-4.55%0.0669✗1.154.6M2022-09-28
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0638280.059929-6.11%0.060552-5.13%0.0567✓1.051.6M2022-09-28
BANDBandEthereum1.2631.1857-6.12%1.218-3.56%0.0798✗1.20471k2022-09-28
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2830.265577-6.16%0.247-12.72%0.0403✓0.73686k2022-09-28
PROPropyEthereum0.740.694111-6.20%0.64-13.51%0.0665✓0.3384k2022-09-28
TRBTellor TributesEthereum3532.7868-6.32%16.32-53.37%0.6674✓0.691.5M2022-09-28
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9890.92416-6.56%0.919-7.08%0.0496✓1.251.4M2022-09-28
METISMetisEthereum32.4930.32-6.68%24.14-25.70%0.1442✓1.90288k2022-09-28
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.5530.51584-6.72%0.453-18.08%0.0828✓1.0777k2022-09-28
GMTGMTEthereum0.68130.635505-6.72%0.6707-1.56%0.1164✗1.42226k2022-09-28
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.10630.099067-6.80%0.0988-7.06%0.0455✓1.093.4M2022-09-28
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.385.9458-6.81%6.53+2.35%0.1137✗0.451.7M2022-09-28
IMXImmutableEthereum0.86930.809755-6.85%0.744-14.41%0.0374✓1.071.8M2022-09-28
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.084290.078485-6.89%0.07407-12.12%0.0560✓0.04535k2022-09-28
GALAGALAEthereum0.05250.048874-6.91%0.0402-23.43%0.1511✓1.00248k2022-09-28
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum13.8312.873-6.92%12.49-9.69%0.0197✓1.13959k2022-09-28
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008530.007932-7.01%0.00704-17.47%0.0700✓1.12477k2022-09-28
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.036770.034173-7.06%0.03038-17.38%0.0733✓1.0140k2022-09-28
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.2663.9646-7.06%3.851-9.73%0.0216✓0.172.3M2022-09-28
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.6151.4966-7.33%1.284-20.50%0.1003✓1.2085k2022-09-28
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.331.2323-7.35%1.14-14.29%0.0355✓0.96142k2022-09-28
YFIyearn.financeEthereum9,081.728,412.88-7.36%8,208.22-9.62%0.0357✓1.376.5M2022-09-28
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0032380.002998-7.40%0.002004-38.11%0.3621✓0.931.2M2022-09-28
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0014010.001297-7.42%0.001026-26.79%0.1994✓0.802.1M2022-09-28
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.34760.321284-7.57%0.3019-13.15%0.0187✓0.9947k2022-09-28
UOSUltraEthereum0.360850.333417-7.60%0.3548-1.68%0.1029✗0.92339k2022-09-28
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain5.77785.3187-7.95%5.7785+0.01%0.0921✗0.215.2M2022-09-28
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.473.1899-8.07%2.45-29.39%0.1966✓1.533.8M2022-09-28
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.88113.5624-8.21%4.0247+3.70%0.1488✗0.613.3M2022-09-28
CTKShentuOsmosis0.9460.866817-8.37%0.857-9.41%0.0079✓0.444.2M2022-09-28
FILFilecoinFilecoin6.0155.5043-8.49%5.856-2.64%0.1004✗0.879.9M2022-09-28
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.066510.060599-8.89%0.06091-8.42%0.0541✓1.112.1M2022-09-28
XECeCashnative0.000049930.000045315-9.24%0.0000413-17.28%0.0546✓0.871.7M2022-09-28
OPTIMOptimism1.1741.0654-9.25%0.908-22.66%0.0830✓1.743.3M2022-09-28
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.1025.5365-9.27%5.376-11.90%0.0104✓0.434.9M2022-09-28
LUNATerraTerra 20.00013170.000119294-9.42%0.00027466+108.55%0.8686✗0.79366k2022-09-28
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.26281.1394-9.77%1.1856-6.11%0.0796✓0.911.4M2022-09-28
CHZChilizEthereum0.21590.194736-9.80%0.2407+11.49%0.2480✗0.823.1M2022-09-28
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.2033.7438-10.92%3.749-10.80%0.0451✓0.99245k2022-09-28
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain6.07745.3697-11.64%6.8966+13.48%0.2624✗0.275.2M2022-09-28
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.10320.090937-11.88%0.0818-20.74%0.0721✓0.77235k2022-09-28
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.684.1204-11.96%5.4772+17.03%0.3287✗1.00150k2022-09-28
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain12.77711.0391-13.60%18.227+42.65%0.5237✗0.507.6M2022-09-28
BRISEBitgertEthereum8.65e-77.20e-7-16.81%5.90e-7-31.81%0.1604✓0.87930k2022-09-28
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.