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2022-08-28 · +30d

gru_s2 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 186 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0867
186 of 186 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-2.42%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
62.4%
in alpha space · 71.5% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-2.44%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (186 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
BRISEBitgertEthereum7.78e-76.50e-7-16.43%5.76e-7-25.97%0.1004✓0.85542k2022-09-27
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain12.38210.6827-13.72%19.147+54.64%0.5959✗0.506.1M2022-09-27
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.43524.8154-11.40%7.27+33.76%0.4179✗0.244.6M2022-09-27
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.1063.6508-11.09%3.782-7.89%0.0600✓1.00245k2022-09-27
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.38863.9053-11.01%5.3063+20.91%0.3312✗1.00147k2022-09-27
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.09810.087533-10.77%0.0835-14.88%0.0284✓0.76247k2022-09-27
CHZChilizEthereum0.21020.189347-9.92%0.2491+18.51%0.2946✗0.822.9M2022-09-27
OGOG Fan TokenSolana5.8095.2794-9.12%5.627-3.13%0.0742✓0.425.3M2022-09-27
XECeCashnative0.000046760.00004266-8.77%0.00004062-13.13%0.0279✓0.861.7M2022-09-27
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.2011.0967-8.69%1.1857-1.27%0.1003✗0.901.5M2022-09-27
UOSUltraEthereum0.363890.333768-8.28%0.35615-2.13%0.0881✗0.94321k2022-09-27
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.8763.5562-8.25%3.006-22.45%0.1533✓0.60650k2022-09-27
LUNATerraTerra 20.00012510.000114785-8.25%0.00027842+122.56%0.9052✗0.77352k2022-09-27
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.65553.3644-7.96%3.9539+8.16%0.1761✗0.593.7M2022-09-27
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain5.55375.1141-7.91%6.0413+8.78%0.1715✗0.205.2M2022-09-27
OPTIMOptimism1.0540.976502-7.35%0.92-12.71%0.0169✓1.733.3M2022-09-27
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0013460.001247-7.34%0.001031-23.39%0.1705✓0.802.1M2022-09-27
TRBTellor TributesEthereum37.234.4984-7.26%15.57-58.15%0.7781✓0.711.6M2022-09-27
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.086380.080116-7.25%0.072-16.65%0.1053✓0.06598k2022-09-27
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.6395.2321-7.22%5.733+1.67%0.1126✗0.8610.1M2022-09-27
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.035520.032958-7.21%0.03021-14.95%0.0622✓1.0131k2022-09-27
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.062290.057868-7.10%0.06045-2.95%0.0710✓1.112.2M2022-09-27
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008250.007665-7.09%0.00694-15.88%0.0717✓1.12477k2022-09-27
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.0963.8182-6.78%3.918-4.35%0.0297✓0.162.3M2022-09-27
CTKShentuOsmosis0.840.783856-6.68%0.866+3.10%0.1096✗0.404.2M2022-09-27
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.045.6554-6.37%6.63+9.77%0.1698✗0.441.9M2022-09-27
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.231.1533-6.24%1.16-5.69%0.0292✓0.95154k2022-09-27
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0029870.002802-6.21%0.002037-31.80%0.2962✓0.911.1M2022-09-27
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.328060.307711-6.20%0.29745-9.33%0.0097✓0.9850k2022-09-27
YFIyearn.financeEthereum8,473.377,966.20-5.99%8,301.22-2.03%0.0748✗1.366.5M2022-09-27
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2750.258804-5.89%0.248-9.82%0.0246✓0.73710k2022-09-27
GALAGALAEthereum0.04930.046467-5.75%0.0403-18.26%0.1178✓1.00249k2022-09-27
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum13.1612.4075-5.72%12.37-6.00%0.0248✓1.131.0M2022-09-27
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.164.8661-5.70%5.2+0.78%0.0772✗0.442.5M2022-09-27
PROPropyEthereum0.730.688631-5.67%0.64-12.33%0.0650✓0.3384k2022-09-27
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0229630.021667-5.64%0.024971+8.74%0.1446✗0.11262k2022-09-27
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9160.864364-5.64%0.919+0.33%0.0919✗1.241.4M2022-09-27
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.09920.093637-5.61%0.0991-0.10%0.0835✗1.093.6M2022-09-27
GMTGMTEthereum0.64630.610295-5.57%0.6935+7.30%0.1627✗1.41242k2022-09-27
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.5250.495933-5.54%0.461-12.19%0.0469✓1.0678k2022-09-27
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash112.59106.548-5.37%114.29+1.51%0.0984✗1.144.7M2022-09-27
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.5111.43-5.36%1.336-11.58%0.0385✓1.2088k2022-09-27
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.061750.05846-5.33%0.060554-1.94%0.0612✗1.051.7M2022-09-27
ZECZcashZcash61.1757.9337-5.29%57.07-6.70%0.0129✓1.131.9M2022-09-27
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.361.2881-5.29%1.34-1.47%0.0684✗1.17128k2022-09-27
CVCCivicEthereum0.13960.132245-5.27%0.1281-8.24%0.0069✓1.01149k2022-09-27
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0015030.001426-5.12%0.001442-4.06%0.0284✓0.709,7092022-09-27
IMXImmutableEthereum0.77440.734841-5.11%0.744-3.93%0.0382✓1.041.9M2022-09-27
BANDBandEthereum1.1921.1313-5.09%1.209+1.43%0.0959✗1.20491k2022-09-27
ORCAOrcaSolana0.78420.744299-5.09%0.8472+8.03%0.1660✗1.48161k2022-09-27
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.49960.474372-5.05%0.4143-17.07%0.1150✓0.83625k2022-09-27
METISMetisEthereum29.2627.7867-5.04%23.74-18.87%0.1110✓1.88304k2022-09-27
DOTPolkadotPolkadot6.8616.5174-5.01%6.368-7.19%0.0025✓1.0413.1M2022-09-27
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.9662.8176-5.00%2.263-23.70%0.1825✓1.493.8M2022-09-27
SCSiacoinnative0.003930.003737-4.91%0.00349-11.20%0.0439✓0.99158k2022-09-27
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2912770.277312-4.79%0.266297-8.58%0.0138✓1.08593k2022-09-27
LSKLiskEthereum1.03840.988778-4.78%0.976767-5.94%0.0086✓0.8550k2022-09-27
STXStacksnative0.35290.336048-4.78%0.3301-6.46%0.0109✓1.17410k2022-09-27
ETCEthereum Classicnative30.9329.4552-4.77%28.13-9.05%0.0093✓1.4914.6M2022-09-27
RADRadworksEthereum2.081.9809-4.76%1.99-4.33%0.0241✓0.79384k2022-09-27
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.014780.014095-4.64%0.0108-26.93%0.2493✓0.69165k2022-09-27
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.66561.5898-4.55%1.1492-31.00%0.3002✓0.991.2M2022-09-27
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.9983.8171-4.53%3.933-1.63%0.0394✓0.392.0M2022-09-27
UMAUMAEthereum2.6072.4902-4.48%2.357-9.59%0.0338✓0.86734k2022-09-27
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.8281.7475-4.40%1.576-13.79%0.0620✓1.6890k2022-09-27
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.93340.892722-4.36%0.903-3.26%0.0245✓0.533.6M2022-09-27
API3Api3Ethereum1.61.5306-4.34%1.591-0.56%0.0618✗0.94623k2022-09-27
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos10.55910.1072-4.28%13.486+27.72%0.3162✗1.1310.4M2022-09-27
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.875.6216-4.23%6.11+4.09%0.0942✗0.442.1M2022-09-27
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0067080.006424-4.23%0.00614-8.47%0.0347✓0.4358k2022-09-27
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.2756.012-4.19%6.109-2.65%0.0381✓0.895.2M2022-09-27
QNTQuantEthereum92.3188.4415-4.19%133.5+44.62%0.4324✗0.843.3M2022-09-27
KCSKuCoinnative8.8168.4469-4.19%9.026+2.38%0.0901✗0.961.5M2022-09-27
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6450.618067-4.18%0.59-8.53%0.0252✓0.86242k2022-09-27
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.28230.270571-4.15%0.3524+24.83%0.2865✗0.907.1M2022-09-27
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.131720.126252-4.15%0.12298-6.64%0.0041✓1.23210k2022-09-27
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011770.000011282-4.14%0.00001112-5.52%0.0089✓0.95886k2022-09-27
LPTLivepeerEthereum9.519.1163-4.14%8.89-6.52%0.0046✓1.20386k2022-09-27
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10130.097129-4.12%0.0992-2.07%0.0426✗0.87200k2022-09-27
CELLCellframeEthereum0.30440.291921-4.10%0.2725-10.48%0.0422✓1.08112k2022-09-27
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.1640.157332-4.07%0.14453-11.87%0.0586✓1.07399k2022-09-27
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04550.043677-4.01%0.0385-15.38%0.1019✓0.98843k2022-09-27
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.021620.020766-3.95%0.02234+3.33%0.0943✗0.8612.4M2022-09-27
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6450.619628-3.93%0.558-13.49%0.0746✓1.224.8M2022-09-27
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.2610.250755-3.93%0.1169-55.21%0.7630✓0.0191k2022-09-27
ZENHorizenBase14.814.223-3.90%14.09-4.80%0.0175✓1.09119k2022-09-27
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.12020.115523-3.89%0.1135-5.57%0.0042✓0.553.8M2022-09-27
BTTBitTorrentEthereum8.60e-78.27e-7-3.85%7.90e-7-8.14%0.0257✓0.8116k2022-09-27
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.097.7797-3.84%8.66+7.05%0.1190✗0.482.1M2022-09-27
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.4880.469299-3.83%0.461-5.53%0.0104✓1.1486k2022-09-27
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum1.9441.8696-3.83%1.693-12.91%0.0710✓1.1547k2022-09-27
LCXLCXEthereum0.05820.055981-3.81%0.0467-19.76%0.1527✓1.16252k2022-09-27
ELAElastosEthereum1.7331.6675-3.78%1.419-18.12%0.1381✓0.94137k2022-09-27
COMPCompoundEthereum43.8542.1994-3.76%62.04+41.48%0.4158✗1.2312k2022-09-27
ETHEthereumEthereum1,426.631,373.41-3.73%1,327.92-6.92%0.0003✓1.35597.1M2022-09-27
XYMSymbolnative0.0443960.042746-3.72%0.036288-18.26%0.1509✓0.5228k2022-09-27
LTCLitecoinLitecoin53.3851.428-3.66%52.67-1.33%0.0482✗0.9812.8M2022-09-27
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.1754.9862-3.65%4.1377-20.04%0.1833✓0.13119k2022-09-27
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.26.9397-3.62%6.45-10.42%0.0456✓1.12534k2022-09-27
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.21340.205798-3.56%0.1721-19.35%0.1467✓1.30133k2022-09-27
DKAdKargoEthereum0.044180.042612-3.55%0.0402-9.01%0.0424✓0.6416k2022-09-27
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.06190.059707-3.54%0.0526-15.02%0.1043✓0.91107k2022-09-27
CTSICartesiEthereum0.13370.128986-3.53%0.1392+4.11%0.1013✗1.02553k2022-09-27
XVGVergenative0.002890.002789-3.50%0.00325+12.46%0.1782✗1.02508k2022-09-27
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06040.058311-3.46%0.0569-5.79%0.0065✓1.26908k2022-09-27
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.344.1913-3.43%4.55+4.84%0.0943✗0.491.3M2022-09-27
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.022140.021387-3.40%0.01892-14.54%0.1026✓0.81419k2022-09-27
GLMGolemEthereum0.23620.228312-3.34%0.2646+12.02%0.1710✗0.9579k2022-09-27
LRCLoopringEthereum0.340.328646-3.34%0.294-13.53%0.0849✓1.07170k2022-09-27
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.27310.264046-3.32%0.3066+12.27%0.1731✗0.963.2M2022-09-27
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.20240.195697-3.31%0.1944-3.95%0.0185✓1.0261k2022-09-27
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.067120.064935-3.25%0.06124-8.76%0.0384✓0.829142022-09-27
AVTAventusEthereum1.391.3449-3.24%1.43+2.88%0.0595✗-0.07105k2022-09-27
MANADecentralandEthereum0.748320.724083-3.24%0.69457-7.18%0.0195✓0.89509k2022-09-27
NMRNumeraireEthereum16.6716.1382-3.19%14.91-10.56%0.0613✓0.72952k2022-09-27
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum11.3310.969-3.19%15.33+35.30%0.3608✗1.061.9M2022-09-27
DIADIAEthereum0.363040.351481-3.18%0.3775+3.98%0.0952✗0.9745k2022-09-27
DASHDashDash44.1442.7769-3.09%41.55-5.87%0.0052✓0.97466k2022-09-27
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV51.79350.214-3.05%49.802-3.84%0.0100✓0.74328k2022-09-27
BTTCBTTC8.50e-78.24e-7-3.03%7.70e-7-9.41%0.0489✓0.782.3M2022-09-27
BORABORAKlay Token0.292940.284175-2.99%0.23778-18.83%0.1525✓1.0412k2022-09-27
STORJStorjEthereum0.524370.508755-2.98%0.46109-12.07%0.0664✓1.3041k2022-09-27
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.1291.0958-2.94%1.049-7.09%0.0194✓0.981.9M2022-09-27
ASTRAstarEthereum0.03570.034685-2.84%0.0413+15.69%0.1941✗0.7911k2022-09-27
HIVEHivenative0.52820.513542-2.78%0.4891-7.40%0.0273✓0.871.3M2022-09-27
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04190.040739-2.77%0.0413-1.43%0.0376✗0.97175k2022-09-27
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4120.400733-2.73%0.391-5.10%0.0004✓1.018,1172022-09-27
RARESuperRareEthereum0.19030.18512-2.72%0.1568-17.60%0.1414✓1.00146k2022-09-27
FLOWFlownative1.6921.6464-2.70%1.656-2.13%0.0389✗1.341.2M2022-09-27
COTICOTIEthereum0.08540.083111-2.68%0.104+21.78%0.2478✗0.96409k2022-09-27
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0130020.012655-2.67%0.011651-10.39%0.0669✓0.641.3M2022-09-27
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.93320.908371-2.66%0.8448-9.47%0.0425✓1.22972k2022-09-27
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.71521.6698-2.65%1.7097-0.32%0.0504✗1.0931k2022-09-27
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.037320.036357-2.58%0.03407-8.71%0.0451✓0.812,7072022-09-27
XLMStellarStellar0.1027360.100099-2.57%0.110129+7.20%0.1160✗0.837.1M2022-09-27
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.320.31181-2.56%0.292-8.75%0.0370✓1.16146k2022-09-27
PHAPHALAEthereum0.09960.097054-2.56%0.0887-10.94%0.0720✓0.733,2112022-09-27
GTCGitcoinEthereum1.951.9004-2.55%1.77-9.23%0.0410✓1.22255k2022-09-27
C98Coin98Ethereum0.36730.358059-2.52%0.3504-4.60%0.0061✓1.1289k2022-09-27
NANOnanopayBase0.8625010.840887-2.51%0.760511-11.82%0.0806✓0.8177k2022-09-27
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6310.615239-2.50%0.608-3.65%0.0111✓0.93235k2022-09-27
SOLSolanaSolana30.4529.7151-2.41%32.68+7.32%0.1243✗1.1867.0M2022-09-27
XVSVenusEthereum4.824.7048-2.39%4.71-2.28%0.0222✓0.861.6M2022-09-27
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03450.033682-2.37%0.0336-2.61%0.0206✓0.9386k2022-09-27
KSMKusamaHydration45.444.3298-2.36%42.54-6.30%0.0171✓0.98560k2022-09-27
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.07920.077352-2.33%0.0807+1.89%0.0659✗0.9614k2022-09-27
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche18.5318.1029-2.30%17.29-6.69%0.0134✓1.3222.5M2022-09-27
XTZTezosTezos1.4261.3933-2.29%1.4449+1.33%0.0638✗1.11319k2022-09-27
GTGateEthereum4.32284.2252-2.26%4.2532-1.61%0.0256✗0.77775k2022-09-27
FTTFTXEthereum25.3524.7841-2.23%23.63-6.79%0.0239✓0.967.3M2022-09-27
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.008480.008294-2.19%0.00679-19.93%0.1812✓0.766.2M2022-09-27
QTUMQtumQtum2.98252.9175-2.18%2.8649-3.94%0.0067✓1.0126k2022-09-27
FORTFortaEthereum0.26380.258064-2.17%0.1576-40.26%0.4702✓0.9394k2022-09-27
ADACardanoCardano0.42910.420175-2.08%0.4412+2.82%0.0732✗0.9939.2M2022-09-27
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.313630.307433-1.98%0.43112+37.46%0.3602✗0.90378k2022-09-27
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.43490.426332-1.97%0.4494+3.33%0.0803✗1.12364k2022-09-27
XEMNEMnative0.0429950.042176-1.91%0.040084-6.77%0.0300✓0.8529k2022-09-27
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.2516.1325-1.90%8.054+28.84%0.2987✗1.0619.0M2022-09-27
SUSHISushiEthereum1.00430.985657-1.86%1.0698+6.52%0.1125✗1.24973k2022-09-27
MOVRMoonriverBase12.06211.8409-1.83%10.547-12.56%0.0919✓0.9735k2022-09-27
CHRChromiaEthereum0.15920.156282-1.83%0.1477-7.22%0.0224✓1.382,2552022-09-27
XMRMoneroMonero146.4143.8274-1.76%144.38-1.38%0.0280✗0.981.2M2022-09-27
AMPAmpEthereum0.006420.006308-1.75%0.00484-24.61%0.2492✓0.631.1M2022-09-27
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood2.332.2905-1.69%2.85+22.32%0.2313✗0.5293k2022-09-27
UNIUniswapEthereum5.7395.6585-1.40%6.366+10.93%0.1499✗1.3010.0M2022-09-27
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0015870.001565-1.37%0.001575-0.76%0.0299✗0.96538k2022-09-27
GITCOINGITCOIN2.00341.976-1.37%1.7779-11.26%0.0760✓1.2013k2022-09-27
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.11840.116827-1.33%0.1299+9.71%0.1313✗1.0230k2022-09-27
CBKCobakEthereum0.846260.835742-1.24%0.78247-7.54%0.0416✓0.9814k2022-09-27
CRVCurve DAOEthereum0.99340.981441-1.20%0.9137-8.02%0.0344✓1.514.6M2022-09-27
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.159770.158092-1.05%0.16684+4.43%0.1049✗2.076362022-09-27
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0203860.02018-1.01%0.019414-4.77%0.0186✓0.8213k2022-09-27
SUNSun TokenTron0.0055190.005469-0.91%0.004977-9.82%0.0776✓0.672,5882022-09-27
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.02420.023988-0.87%0.02148-11.24%0.0789✓1.283,4352022-09-27
AAVEAaveEthereum78.5777.958-0.78%76.6-2.51%0.0194✗1.506.5M2022-09-27
APEApeCoinEthereum4.6494.6241-0.54%5.412+16.41%0.1904✗1.348.9M2022-09-27
WOOWOOEthereum0.13810.137729-0.27%0.1365-1.16%0.0167✗1.041,7802022-09-27
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum19,646.4019,619.22-0.14%19,015.60-3.21%0.0080✓0.9411k2022-09-27
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.32610.325929-0.05%0.318-2.48%0.0065✗1.26176k2022-09-27
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.4890.488918-0.02%0.355-27.40%0.2891✓1.252,6092022-09-27
DODODODOEthereum0.11820.118235+0.03%0.1241+4.99%0.0720✓0.961.8M2022-09-27
TRXTRONTron0.0613920.061598+0.34%0.059413-3.22%0.0213✗0.60142k2022-09-27
BTCBitcoinBitcoin19,554.0319,629.34+0.39%19,077.57-2.44%0.0038✓1.00474.0M2022-09-27
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05540.055646+0.44%0.0523-5.60%0.0392✗0.9399k2022-09-27
BFCBifrostEthereum0.068970.069494+0.76%0.06055-12.21%0.1085✗1.1927k2022-09-27
STEEMSteemnative0.21830.220892+1.19%0.2234+2.34%0.0336✓0.90528k2022-09-27
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.