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2022-08-27 · +30d

gru_s2 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 186 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0730
186 of 186 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-0.62%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
63.4%
in alpha space · 75.1% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-4.04%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (186 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
BFCBifrostEthereum0.06750.068108+0.90%0.06071-10.06%0.0656✗1.2028k2022-09-26
STEEMSteemnative0.22110.222565+0.66%0.2204-0.32%0.0277✓0.91504k2022-09-26
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.5090.510124+0.22%0.375-26.33%0.2568✗1.242,6092022-09-26
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05690.057007+0.19%0.0528-7.21%0.0396✗0.9099k2022-09-26
BTCBitcoinBitcoin20,036.6920,064.72+0.14%19,228.00-4.04%0.0014✓1.00474.0M2022-09-26
TRXTRONTron0.0629350.062992+0.09%0.059595-5.31%0.0310✗0.59151k2022-09-26
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum19,933.0019,932.89-0.00%19,140.50-3.98%0.0016✓0.9511k2022-09-26
DODODODOEthereum0.12460.124003-0.48%0.1242-0.32%0.0400✗0.931.9M2022-09-26
APEApeCoinEthereum4.7574.7197-0.78%5.514+15.91%0.2120✗1.379.3M2022-09-26
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.34920.346319-0.83%0.3272-6.30%0.0058✓1.24191k2022-09-26
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0206730.020465-1.01%0.019438-5.97%0.0173✓0.8313k2022-09-26
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.024690.024435-1.03%0.02222-10.00%0.0423✓1.283,4352022-09-26
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.157620.155643-1.25%0.17014+7.94%0.1748✗2.086362022-09-26
SUNSun TokenTron0.0056180.005546-1.29%0.004988-11.22%0.0784✓0.672,5882022-09-26
AAVEAaveEthereum82.1180.9821-1.37%76.28-7.10%0.0041✓1.556.7M2022-09-26
WOOWOOEthereum0.15240.150247-1.41%0.1414-7.22%0.0159✓1.091,7802022-09-26
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.11860.11664-1.65%0.1264+6.58%0.1225✗1.0232k2022-09-26
CBKCobakEthereum0.864060.848701-1.78%0.78146-9.56%0.0422✓0.9814k2022-09-26
XMRMoneroMonero145.16142.5708-1.78%145.75+0.41%0.0632✗1.001.2M2022-09-26
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0016060.001577-1.83%0.00153-4.73%0.0102✓0.98538k2022-09-26
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.04791.0281-1.89%0.9298-11.27%0.0390✓1.494.7M2022-09-26
AMPAmpEthereum0.00660.006465-2.05%0.0049-25.76%0.2505✓0.651.1M2022-09-26
UNIUniswapEthereum6.0565.9304-2.07%5.924-2.18%0.0531✗1.3210.1M2022-09-26
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.038280.037438-2.20%0.03398-11.23%0.0632✓0.822,8422022-09-26
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.00870.008504-2.25%0.00685-21.26%0.1847✓0.776.4M2022-09-26
GITCOINGITCOIN2.08592.0388-2.26%1.7631-15.48%0.0950✓1.2213k2022-09-26
XTZTezosTezos1.46761.434-2.29%1.475+0.50%0.0737✗1.11336k2022-09-26
C98Coin98Ethereum0.3760.367303-2.31%0.3614-3.88%0.0301✗1.1289k2022-09-26
MOVRMoonriverBase12.539112.2455-2.34%10.8942-13.12%0.0773✓0.9635k2022-09-26
FTTFTXEthereum25.825.1743-2.43%24.21-6.16%0.0004✓0.967.4M2022-09-26
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.5316.3721-2.43%7.943+21.62%0.2644✗1.0719.3M2022-09-26
NANOnanopayBase0.8828390.860907-2.48%0.767713-13.04%0.0813✓0.8184k2022-09-26
GTGateEthereum4.3764.2661-2.51%4.2373-3.17%0.0249✓0.77798k2022-09-26
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.45670.445126-2.53%0.4441-2.76%0.0438✗1.12386k2022-09-26
XEMNEMnative0.0447080.043559-2.57%0.040163-10.17%0.0460✓0.8530k2022-09-26
KSMKusamaHydration45.8444.6531-2.59%42.14-8.07%0.0173✓0.99572k2022-09-26
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.329760.321095-2.63%0.48074+45.78%0.4445✗0.99391k2022-09-26
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood2.472.4051-2.63%2.84+14.98%0.1873✗0.5189k2022-09-26
QTUMQtumQtum3.12693.0444-2.64%2.8439-9.05%0.0266✓1.0127k2022-09-26
CHRChromiaEthereum0.16930.164799-2.66%0.1515-10.51%0.0274✓1.382,1742022-09-26
ADACardanoCardano0.450.437961-2.68%0.4471-0.64%0.0634✗1.0440.7M2022-09-26
SOLSolanaSolana31.5430.6925-2.69%33.89+7.45%0.1468✗1.1668.8M2022-09-26
XVSVenusEthereum4.874.7383-2.70%4.8-1.44%0.0482✗0.851.6M2022-09-26
BORABORAKlay Token0.282280.274484-2.76%0.24056-14.78%0.0887✓1.0512k2022-09-26
SUSHISushiEthereum1.06121.0312-2.82%1.0612+0.00%0.0803✗1.25981k2022-09-26
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6520.633499-2.84%0.625-4.14%0.0254✓0.94266k2022-09-26
FORTFortaEthereum0.2680.26039-2.84%0.1587-40.78%0.4566✓0.94100k2022-09-26
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4120.400161-2.87%0.394-4.37%0.0252✓0.998,1172022-09-26
DEXEDeXeEthereum2.6822.6042-2.90%3.028+12.90%0.1781✗0.66650k2022-09-26
RARESuperRareEthereum0.19570.190013-2.91%0.1605-17.99%0.1276✓1.00149k2022-09-26
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0131780.012794-2.91%0.011701-11.21%0.0627✓0.651.4M2022-09-26
HIVEHivenative0.53350.517595-2.98%0.4933-7.54%0.0115✓0.891.6M2022-09-26
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03480.033751-3.01%0.0337-3.16%0.0359✗0.9186k2022-09-26
STORJStorjEthereum0.541550.525214-3.02%0.45938-15.17%0.0811✓1.2843k2022-09-26
XLMStellarStellar0.1055940.102378-3.05%0.113735+7.71%0.1402✗0.857.4M2022-09-26
DIADIAEthereum0.367740.356208-3.14%0.38522+4.75%0.1180✗0.9651k2022-09-26
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV52.37450.7165-3.16%51.331-1.99%0.0424✗0.74332k2022-09-26
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10350.100219-3.17%0.0897-13.33%0.0816✓0.713,4822022-09-26
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.1461.1092-3.21%1.073-6.37%0.0075✓0.992.1M2022-09-26
DASHDashDash45.1343.6794-3.21%41.71-7.58%0.0058✓0.98486k2022-09-26
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.96610.934968-3.22%0.8592-11.07%0.0344✓1.22999k2022-09-26
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08450.081759-3.24%0.0821-2.84%0.0431✗0.9414k2022-09-26
AVTAventusEthereum1.411.364-3.26%1.43+1.42%0.0457✗-0.04115k2022-09-26
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.78791.7295-3.27%1.7071-4.52%0.0312✓1.0733k2022-09-26
COTICOTIEthereum0.09080.087736-3.37%0.1023+12.67%0.1927✗0.95414k2022-09-26
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06080.05873-3.41%0.0562-7.57%0.0064✓1.23984k2022-09-26
ASTRAstarEthereum0.03660.035349-3.42%0.042+14.75%0.2071✗0.8411k2022-09-26
ELAElastosEthereum1.7581.6977-3.43%1.39-20.93%0.1610✓0.94143k2022-09-26
XVGVergenative0.002920.002819-3.45%0.00324+10.96%0.1817✗1.03520k2022-09-26
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04360.042072-3.50%0.0418-4.13%0.0339✓0.98175k2022-09-26
DKAdKargoEthereum0.045180.043591-3.52%0.0407-9.92%0.0402✓0.6916k2022-09-26
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.27960.269756-3.52%0.3116+11.44%0.1835✗0.953.3M2022-09-26
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.022610.021812-3.53%0.01857-17.87%0.1297✓0.76444k2022-09-26
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.112.0353-3.54%1.78-15.64%0.0833✓1.23281k2022-09-26
BTTCBTTC8.70e-78.39e-7-3.56%7.90e-7-9.20%0.0273✓0.802.4M2022-09-26
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche20.0419.3241-3.57%17.57-12.33%0.0422✓1.2923.0M2022-09-26
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.068190.065694-3.66%0.06223-8.74%0.0205✓0.829142022-09-26
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.20670.199129-3.66%0.1967-4.84%0.0296✓1.0261k2022-09-26
LTCLitecoinLitecoin53.0351.0747-3.69%53.45+0.79%0.0864✗0.9913.0M2022-09-26
GLMGolemEthereum0.24240.233374-3.72%0.2696+11.22%0.1838✗0.9681k2022-09-26
FLOWFlownative1.8231.7548-3.74%1.662-8.83%0.0005✓1.331.2M2022-09-26
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.06390.061492-3.77%0.0524-18.00%0.1231✓0.90111k2022-09-26
ZENHorizenBase15.214.6254-3.78%14.07-7.43%0.0071✓1.11125k2022-09-26
MANADecentralandEthereum0.778420.748593-3.83%0.70255-9.75%0.0257✓0.92512k2022-09-26
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum11.911.4397-3.87%14.86+24.87%0.3083✗1.131.9M2022-09-26
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.16484.9641-3.89%4.0724-21.15%0.1923✓0.14138k2022-09-26
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.337.0451-3.89%6.46-11.87%0.0409✓1.11592k2022-09-26
XECeCashnative0.000036880.000035396-4.02%0.00004071+10.39%0.1768✗0.901.7M2022-09-26
NMRNumeraireEthereum17.5416.8329-4.03%14.93-14.88%0.0908✓0.71965k2022-09-26
LRCLoopringEthereum0.35690.342343-4.08%0.2991-16.20%0.0894✓1.11175k2022-09-26
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26120.250483-4.10%0.1168-55.28%0.7626✓0.0191k2022-09-26
ETHEthereumEthereum1,491.221,430.02-4.10%1,336.61-10.37%0.0121✓1.35597.1M2022-09-26
CTSICartesiEthereum0.14040.134564-4.16%0.1394-0.71%0.0752✗0.97624k2022-09-26
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10150.097216-4.22%0.099-2.46%0.0540✗0.87212k2022-09-26
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.12360.118379-4.22%0.1132-8.41%0.0212✓0.573.9M2022-09-26
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.22010.210721-4.26%0.1738-21.04%0.1375✓1.34133k2022-09-26
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6590.630881-4.27%0.56-15.02%0.0701✓1.195.0M2022-09-26
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.4041.3439-4.28%1.342-4.42%0.0470✗1.18130k2022-09-26
BTTBitTorrentEthereum8.80e-78.42e-7-4.28%7.90e-7-10.23%0.0307✓0.8117k2022-09-26
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.594.3921-4.31%4.37-4.79%0.0144✓0.471.3M2022-09-26
XYMSymbolnative0.04540.043441-4.32%0.036747-19.06%0.1459✓0.5230k2022-09-26
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.13220.126467-4.34%0.12443-5.88%0.0336✓1.21210k2022-09-26
QNTQuantEthereum94.3890.2845-4.34%120.63+27.81%0.3251✗0.863.4M2022-09-26
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.28890.276248-4.38%0.3688+27.66%0.3270✗0.927.4M2022-09-26
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04740.045318-4.39%0.0388-18.14%0.1152✓0.97843k2022-09-26
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.006740.006443-4.41%0.006497-3.61%0.0264✓0.4458k2022-09-26
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.35320.33753-4.44%0.2916-17.44%0.0996✓1.13152k2022-09-26
CELLCellframeEthereum0.31440.300433-4.44%0.2826-10.11%0.0135✓1.16112k2022-09-26
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.9630.919929-4.47%0.9069-5.83%0.0088✓0.563.6M2022-09-26
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.510.487167-4.48%0.467-8.43%0.0049✓1.1488k2022-09-26
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.1710.163343-4.48%0.14586-14.70%0.0687✓1.08434k2022-09-26
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.3036.0161-4.55%6.234-1.09%0.0741✗0.935.2M2022-09-26
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0014540.001387-4.61%0.001452-0.14%0.0754✗0.729,7092022-09-26
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.48.0117-4.62%8.5+1.19%0.0780✗0.462.1M2022-09-26
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.0281.934-4.64%1.702-16.07%0.0806✓1.1549k2022-09-26
LCXLCXEthereum0.06040.057589-4.65%0.0467-22.68%0.1625✓1.14252k2022-09-26
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6630.631928-4.69%0.591-10.86%0.0304✓0.89248k2022-09-26
KCSKuCoinnative9.1348.6994-4.76%9.117-0.19%0.0857✗0.941.6M2022-09-26
UMAUMAEthereum2.6712.5429-4.80%2.376-11.04%0.0325✓0.86749k2022-09-26
LPTLivepeerEthereum109.5166-4.83%9.07-9.30%0.0007✓1.18439k2022-09-26
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012160.000011571-4.84%0.00001112-8.55%0.0012✓0.94895k2022-09-26
COMPCompoundEthereum46.0943.8523-4.86%62.82+36.30%0.4106✗1.2412k2022-09-26
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.023030.021906-4.88%0.02306+0.13%0.0866✗0.8613.0M2022-09-26
SCSiacoinnative0.003890.003698-4.94%0.00352-9.51%0.0083✓1.00152k2022-09-26
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.8912.7482-4.94%2.327-19.51%0.1013✓1.583.8M2022-09-26
STXStacksnative0.36380.345686-4.98%0.327-10.12%0.0074✓1.17432k2022-09-26
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos11.17310.6166-4.98%13.903+24.43%0.3160✗1.1210.4M2022-09-26
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.225.9101-4.98%5.99-3.70%0.0310✓0.432.5M2022-09-26
LSKLiskEthereum1.04880.995211-5.11%1.0038-4.29%0.0437✓0.8551k2022-09-26
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.78241.6902-5.18%1.169-34.41%0.3256✓1.051.2M2022-09-26
BANDBandEthereum1.2211.1577-5.18%1.212-0.74%0.0967✗1.24518k2022-09-26
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.2123.9928-5.20%3.902-7.36%0.0077✓0.372.0M2022-09-26
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.961.8578-5.21%1.585-19.13%0.0880✓1.7294k2022-09-26
ETCEthereum Classicnative3331.2673-5.25%28.46-13.76%0.0348✓1.4415.4M2022-09-26
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.0446.6695-5.32%6.559-6.89%0.0255✓1.0213.7M2022-09-26
IMXImmutableEthereum0.78960.747193-5.37%0.7403-6.24%0.0351✓1.082.0M2022-09-26
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2968890.28094-5.37%0.26843-9.59%0.0006✓1.09620k2022-09-26
METISMetisEthereum30.0528.4356-5.37%24.4-18.80%0.0753✓1.89327k2022-09-26
API3Api3Ethereum1.691.5988-5.40%1.608-4.85%0.0446✓0.94704k2022-09-26
ORCAOrcaSolana0.790.74709-5.43%0.8476+7.29%0.1853✗1.43161k2022-09-26
CVCCivicEthereum0.14190.13418-5.44%0.1286-9.37%0.0008✓1.01166k2022-09-26
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.015180.014353-5.45%0.01097-27.73%0.2411✓0.67165k2022-09-26
ZECZcashZcash61.3658.0034-5.47%58.95-3.93%0.0625✗1.131.9M2022-09-26
RADRadworksEthereum2.142.0211-5.56%1.99-7.01%0.0171✓0.79407k2022-09-26
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash115.26108.6085-5.77%116.33+0.93%0.1153✗1.134.8M2022-09-26
GMTGMTEthereum0.68530.645461-5.81%0.6407-6.51%0.0517✓1.44257k2022-09-26
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.10330.097195-5.91%0.1025-0.77%0.0982✗1.093.7M2022-09-26
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0634220.059664-5.92%0.061133-3.61%0.0672✗1.041.7M2022-09-26
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.336220.316227-5.95%0.29942-10.95%0.0142✓0.9852k2022-09-26
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0232380.021853-5.96%0.025324+8.98%0.1525✗0.12258k2022-09-26
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9360.879789-6.01%0.919-1.82%0.0939✗1.221.4M2022-09-26
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.007570.007106-6.13%0.00697-7.93%0.0270✓1.13477k2022-09-26
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.280.262821-6.14%0.25-10.71%0.0203✓0.72772k2022-09-26
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.550.515568-6.26%0.468-14.91%0.0517✓1.0984k2022-09-26
PROPropyEthereum0.750.702453-6.34%0.62-17.33%0.1108✓0.3486k2022-09-26
GALAGALAEthereum0.05090.047672-6.34%0.0407-20.04%0.1173✓0.99252k2022-09-26
YFIyearn.financeEthereum8,782.658,220.91-6.40%8,333.34-5.12%0.0699✗1.376.8M2022-09-26
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.294.9483-6.46%5.18-2.08%0.0631✓0.422.6M2022-09-26
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.631.5229-6.57%1.347-17.36%0.0731✓1.2093k2022-09-26
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0030410.00284-6.60%0.002048-32.65%0.2904✓0.891.1M2022-09-26
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum13.812.8785-6.68%12.5-9.42%0.0210✓1.231.1M2022-09-26
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.185.7644-6.73%6.72+8.74%0.1708✗0.421.9M2022-09-26
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.291.2016-6.85%1.16-10.08%0.0042✓0.96170k2022-09-26
CTKShentuOsmosis0.840.781319-6.99%0.87+3.57%0.1244✗0.414.2M2022-09-26
OPTIMOptimism1.0250.95177-7.14%0.923-9.95%0.0410✓1.743.4M2022-09-26
UOSUltraEthereum0.340040.315159-7.32%0.36544+7.47%0.1868✗0.94321k2022-09-26
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.035990.033354-7.32%0.03052-15.20%0.0475✓1.0031k2022-09-26
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.8295.3989-7.38%5.694-2.32%0.0888✗0.8610.1M2022-09-26
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.57530.532507-7.44%0.4284-25.53%0.1839✓0.82625k2022-09-26
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.085470.07908-7.48%0.07321-14.34%0.0744✓0.07613k2022-09-26
TRBTellor TributesEthereum38.1735.3029-7.51%15.47-59.47%0.7899✓0.851.7M2022-09-26
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.233.9082-7.61%3.87-8.51%0.0042✓0.142.3M2022-09-26
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.064280.059361-7.65%0.06182-3.83%0.0865✗1.122.4M2022-09-26
SPELLSpellEthereum0.001370.001263-7.78%0.001052-23.20%0.1502✓0.802.1M2022-09-26
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain5.2594.8488-7.80%5.8779+11.77%0.2013✗0.215.2M2022-09-26
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.73533.4282-8.22%3.8697+3.60%0.1454✗0.593.7M2022-09-26
OGOG Fan TokenSolana5.7845.2597-9.06%5.677-1.85%0.0925✓0.395.3M2022-09-26
LUNATerraTerra 20.00013390.000120672-9.88%0.0003091+130.84%0.9754✗0.85340k2022-09-26
CHZChilizEthereum0.220.196871-10.51%0.258+17.27%0.3041✗0.823.1M2022-09-26
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.08014.5361-10.71%7.0111+38.01%0.4459✗0.254.6M2022-09-26
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.1343.6791-11.00%3.71-10.26%0.0486✓0.98245k2022-09-26
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.26553.7876-11.20%5.3321+25.01%0.3832✗1.00158k2022-09-26
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.37281.2189-11.21%1.2-12.59%0.0228✓0.931.6M2022-09-26
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.10160.089785-11.63%0.0831-18.21%0.0461✓0.76247k2022-09-26
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain13.22711.3157-14.45%17.596+33.03%0.4614✗0.486.1M2022-09-26
BRISEBitgertEthereum7.59e-76.35e-7-16.38%5.80e-7-23.56%0.0558✓0.82198k2022-09-26
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.