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2022-08-26 · +30d

gru_s2 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 186 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0327
186 of 186 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-7.70%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
57.0%
in alpha space · 75.3% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-7.08%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (186 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
STEEMSteemnative0.22130.22238+0.49%0.2183-1.36%0.0483✓0.91528k2022-09-25
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum20,587.8020,686.02+0.48%18,700.00-9.17%0.0315✗0.9513k2022-09-25
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.5170.519406+0.47%0.376-27.27%0.2328✗1.232,6092022-09-25
BFCBifrostEthereum0.070150.070476+0.46%0.06038-13.93%0.0671✗1.1929k2022-09-25
TRXTRONTron0.0615520.061635+0.13%0.0597-3.01%0.0115✓0.59151k2022-09-25
BTCBitcoinBitcoin20,240.7220,242.35+0.01%18,808.61-7.08%0.0001✓1.00485.5M2022-09-25
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05740.057343-0.10%0.0543-5.40%0.0118✗0.90104k2022-09-25
DODODODOEthereum0.12730.126572-0.57%0.1222-4.01%0.0358✗0.971.9M2022-09-25
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.33970.337207-0.73%0.3346-1.50%0.0833✗1.24191k2022-09-25
APEApeCoinEthereum4.7744.7373-0.77%5.722+19.86%0.2892✗1.379.8M2022-09-25
SUNSun TokenTron0.0055380.005471-1.21%0.004975-10.17%0.0457✓0.672,6192022-09-25
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.02460.024275-1.32%0.02108-14.31%0.0471✓1.283,4352022-09-25
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0207260.02045-1.33%0.019355-6.61%0.0059✓0.8313k2022-09-25
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.154180.152042-1.39%0.16721+8.45%0.2480✗2.086042022-09-25
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0015660.001544-1.42%0.001554-0.77%0.0788✗0.98558k2022-09-25
AAVEAaveEthereum82.7281.4403-1.55%73.64-10.98%0.0129✓1.556.7M2022-09-25
XMRMoneroMonero142.81140.4071-1.68%141.32-1.04%0.0802✗1.001.2M2022-09-25
WOOWOOEthereum0.15620.153459-1.75%0.1352-13.44%0.0470✓1.091,8902022-09-25
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.008480.008331-1.76%0.00683-19.46%0.1418✓0.776.4M2022-09-25
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.05291.0328-1.91%0.8882-15.64%0.0412✓1.494.9M2022-09-25
AMPAmpEthereum0.006570.006442-1.95%0.00478-27.25%0.2508✓0.651.2M2022-09-25
MOVRMoonriverBase12.120111.8749-2.02%10.7033-11.69%0.0331✓0.9639k2022-09-25
CBKCobakEthereum0.867510.84928-2.10%0.79361-8.52%0.0041✓0.9813k2022-09-25
UNIUniswapEthereum6.1546.0233-2.12%5.659-8.04%0.0337✗1.3110.3M2022-09-25
CHRChromiaEthereum0.16190.158414-2.15%0.1575-2.72%0.0955✗1.382,1742022-09-25
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.12070.118064-2.18%0.1275+5.63%0.1520✗1.0233k2022-09-25
FORTFortaEthereum0.26450.258521-2.26%0.1614-38.98%0.4022✓0.94106k2022-09-25
ADACardanoCardano0.43170.421932-2.26%0.4463+3.38%0.1327✗1.0440.7M2022-09-25
XEMNEMnative0.0438050.042787-2.32%0.039806-9.13%0.0093✓0.8632k2022-09-25
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.44910.438487-2.36%0.4357-2.98%0.0759✗1.12400k2022-09-25
NANOnanopayBase0.88010.859109-2.39%0.784151-10.90%0.0319✓0.8184k2022-09-25
KSMKusamaHydration44.5243.4581-2.39%40.47-9.10%0.0017✓0.99610k2022-09-25
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.5046.3484-2.39%7.869+20.99%0.2932✗1.0719.5M2022-09-25
XTZTezosTezos1.48281.4469-2.42%1.4603-1.52%0.0902✗1.10355k2022-09-25
GITCOINGITCOIN2.16622.1137-2.42%1.7195-20.62%0.1165✓1.2313k2022-09-25
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.037830.036895-2.47%0.03412-9.81%0.0181✓0.822,8422022-09-25
FTTFTXEthereum25.9725.3247-2.48%23.5-9.51%0.0045✓0.967.5M2022-09-25
C98Coin98Ethereum0.38790.378227-2.49%0.3536-8.84%0.0151✓1.1289k2022-09-25
GTGateEthereum4.37994.2693-2.52%4.2146-3.77%0.0435✗0.77827k2022-09-25
QTUMQtumQtum3.12053.0417-2.53%2.7901-10.59%0.0121✓1.0128k2022-09-25
SOLSolanaSolana31.7430.9164-2.59%32.33+1.86%0.1296✗1.1670.1M2022-09-25
DEXEDeXeEthereum2.6812.6113-2.60%3.035+13.20%0.1990✗0.66653k2022-09-25
BORABORAKlay Token0.280990.27353-2.65%0.24186-13.93%0.0461✓1.0512k2022-09-25
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.331610.322721-2.68%0.4743+43.03%0.4578✗0.99418k2022-09-25
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10120.098412-2.76%0.0892-11.86%0.0457✓0.723,6712022-09-25
RARESuperRareEthereum0.19730.19185-2.76%0.16-18.91%0.1082✓1.00152k2022-09-25
DIADIAEthereum0.368280.357966-2.80%0.37615+2.14%0.1204✗0.9753k2022-09-25
XLMStellarStellar0.1038590.100946-2.80%0.117358+13.00%0.2136✗0.867.8M2022-09-25
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood2.492.4199-2.82%1.97-20.88%0.1682✓0.5193k2022-09-25
DASHDashDash44.343.0484-2.83%41.11-7.20%0.0259✓0.98504k2022-09-25
AVTAventusEthereum1.361.3208-2.88%1.43+5.15%0.0766✗-0.04124k2022-09-25
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.95780.929115-2.99%0.8636-9.84%0.0161✓1.221.0M2022-09-25
COTICOTIEthereum0.08870.086027-3.01%0.1073+20.97%0.2909✗0.95430k2022-09-25
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.77411.7205-3.02%1.7094-3.64%0.0729✗1.0838k2022-09-25
SUSHISushiEthereum1.06851.0358-3.06%1.0388-2.78%0.0945✗1.25981k2022-09-25
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04330.041951-3.12%0.0412-4.85%0.0541✗0.98180k2022-09-25
HIVEHivenative0.53430.517629-3.12%0.4965-7.07%0.0232✓0.881.6M2022-09-25
STORJStorjEthereum0.556410.539039-3.12%0.45533-18.17%0.0744✓1.2945k2022-09-25
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV52.14750.5131-3.13%48.082-7.80%0.0054✓0.75340k2022-09-25
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.1511.1146-3.16%1.072-6.86%0.0335✗0.992.1M2022-09-25
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.013330.012905-3.19%0.011757-11.80%0.0462✓0.641.4M2022-09-25
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08570.082946-3.21%0.0811-5.37%0.0462✗0.9414k2022-09-25
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.327.0843-3.22%6.34-13.39%0.0294✓1.11638k2022-09-25
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4310.41711-3.22%0.397-7.89%0.0231✓0.998,3142022-09-25
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6620.640523-3.24%0.601-9.21%0.0054✓0.94304k2022-09-25
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.06340.061341-3.25%0.0564-11.04%0.0173✓0.91116k2022-09-25
ELAElastosEthereum1.7731.7149-3.28%1.389-21.66%0.1415✓0.94145k2022-09-25
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum5.7485.5591-3.29%5.911+2.84%0.1299✗0.935.2M2022-09-25
DKAdKargoEthereum0.044580.043091-3.34%0.04104-7.94%0.0022✓0.7016k2022-09-25
XVSVenusEthereum5.134.9543-3.42%4.7-8.38%0.0103✓0.861.6M2022-09-25
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.27920.269549-3.46%0.2739-1.90%0.0861✗0.963.4M2022-09-25
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.066250.06396-3.46%0.06309-4.77%0.0464✗0.829142022-09-25
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.162.0847-3.48%1.74-19.44%0.0900✓1.24299k2022-09-25
LTCLitecoinLitecoin52.7150.8015-3.62%52.55-0.30%0.1067✗0.9913.1M2022-09-25
CTSICartesiEthereum0.13960.134526-3.63%0.138-1.15%0.0975✗0.98638k2022-09-25
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06260.0603-3.67%0.055-12.14%0.0023✓1.221.0M2022-09-25
NMRNumeraireEthereum17.2216.576-3.74%15.04-12.66%0.0451✓0.711.2M2022-09-25
XVGVergenative0.003030.002917-3.74%0.00325+7.26%0.1840✗1.03537k2022-09-25
BTTCBTTC8.70e-78.37e-7-3.77%7.70e-7-11.49%0.0252✓0.802.4M2022-09-25
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03580.034451-3.77%0.0331-7.54%0.0286✓0.9386k2022-09-25
ASTRAstarEthereum0.03780.036373-3.78%0.0409+8.20%0.1791✗0.8411k2022-09-25
MANADecentralandEthereum0.778130.748184-3.85%0.69888-10.18%0.0008✓0.92523k2022-09-25
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.023340.022433-3.89%0.01924-17.57%0.0966✓0.78444k2022-09-25
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.20820.200098-3.89%0.1962-5.76%0.0551✗1.0266k2022-09-25
GLMGolemEthereum0.24330.233753-3.92%0.2691+10.60%0.2112✗0.9683k2022-09-25
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.14944.9471-3.93%4.0999-20.38%0.1777✓0.14158k2022-09-25
FLOWFlownative1.8511.7777-3.96%1.644-11.18%0.0194✓1.331.2M2022-09-25
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.28310.271762-4.00%0.3884+37.20%0.4251✗0.937.6M2022-09-25
ZENHorizenBase15.5214.8939-4.03%13.77-11.28%0.0034✓1.12130k2022-09-25
XECeCashnative0.000036680.000035198-4.04%0.0000401+9.32%0.1961✗0.901.7M2022-09-25
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche20.6819.8433-4.05%17.32-16.25%0.0414✓1.2923.6M2022-09-25
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.474.2872-4.09%4.61+3.13%0.1066✗0.461.3M2022-09-25
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.3861.3289-4.12%1.35-2.60%0.1023✗1.18130k2022-09-25
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.021860.020959-4.12%0.02274+4.03%0.1437✗0.8513.4M2022-09-25
LRCLoopringEthereum0.35560.340876-4.14%0.295-17.04%0.0631✓1.11175k2022-09-25
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26110.250184-4.18%0.1178-54.88%0.7526✓0.0191k2022-09-25
ETHEthereumEthereum1,508.021,444.89-4.19%1,294.63-14.15%0.0111✓1.34608.4M2022-09-25
BTTBitTorrentEthereum8.60e-78.24e-7-4.19%7.80e-7-9.30%0.0051✓0.8217k2022-09-25
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.170.162859-4.20%0.14748-13.25%0.0197✓1.08464k2022-09-25
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum12.2711.7488-4.25%13.81+12.55%0.2444✗1.131.9M2022-09-25
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.7232.6065-4.28%2.321-14.76%0.0004✓1.594.0M2022-09-25
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.131480.125812-4.31%0.12204-7.18%0.0595✗1.22210k2022-09-25
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10290.098423-4.35%0.0987-4.08%0.0667✗0.87238k2022-09-25
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.12460.119159-4.37%0.1109-11.00%0.0296✓0.584.1M2022-09-25
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04720.045128-4.39%0.0373-20.97%0.1187✓0.98843k2022-09-25
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.95920.917-4.40%0.9007-6.10%0.0232✓0.563.6M2022-09-25
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6470.618196-4.45%0.573-11.44%0.0103✓0.89253k2022-09-25
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0066650.006367-4.47%0.006393-4.08%0.0360✓0.4457k2022-09-25
XYMSymbolnative0.0454970.043419-4.57%0.037449-17.69%0.1099✓0.5233k2022-09-25
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.317.9294-4.58%8.41+1.20%0.0920✗0.452.3M2022-09-25
STXStacksnative0.36120.344457-4.64%0.3268-9.52%0.0330✓1.17450k2022-09-25
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.670.63882-4.65%0.552-17.61%0.0523✓1.285.2M2022-09-25
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.0351.9403-4.65%1.695-16.71%0.0502✓1.1655k2022-09-25
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.975.6912-4.67%6.13+2.68%0.1057✗0.432.5M2022-09-25
LCXLCXEthereum0.05990.057097-4.68%0.0464-22.54%0.1237✓1.14258k2022-09-25
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.22450.213953-4.70%0.1759-21.65%0.0982✓1.33133k2022-09-25
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5090.485042-4.71%0.458-10.02%0.0266✓1.1488k2022-09-25
COMPCompoundEthereum45.9243.739-4.75%61.45+33.82%0.4308✗1.2414k2022-09-25
QNTQuantEthereum98.2393.5048-4.81%116.27+18.37%0.2806✗0.853.5M2022-09-25
SCSiacoinnative0.003910.003721-4.83%0.00353-9.72%0.0204✓1.00158k2022-09-25
UMAUMAEthereum2.72.5691-4.85%2.367-12.33%0.0190✓0.86749k2022-09-25
KCSKuCoinnative9.2328.784-4.85%8.909-3.50%0.0840✗0.951.8M2022-09-25
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0014860.001413-4.93%0.001431-3.70%0.0657✗0.729,9742022-09-25
IMXImmutableEthereum0.77510.736845-4.94%0.7301-5.81%0.0708✗1.092.1M2022-09-25
BANDBandEthereum1.2231.1626-4.94%1.22-0.25%0.1390✗1.24534k2022-09-25
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.1243.9194-4.96%3.981-3.47%0.0429✓0.371.9M2022-09-25
ZECZcashZcash61.158.064-4.97%56.19-8.04%0.0503✓1.132.0M2022-09-25
DOTPolkadotPolkadot6.9226.5771-4.98%6.206-10.34%0.0174✓1.0314.0M2022-09-25
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2890820.274662-4.99%0.268444-7.14%0.0573✗1.09696k2022-09-25
LSKLiskEthereum1.05080.997644-5.06%0.955083-9.11%0.0193✓0.8653k2022-09-25
CELLCellframeEthereum0.33230.31547-5.06%0.2916-12.25%0.0062✓1.16112k2022-09-25
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.72351.6361-5.07%1.163-32.52%0.2651✓1.041.2M2022-09-25
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.9421.8433-5.08%1.589-18.18%0.0225✓1.72106k2022-09-25
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.47730.452916-5.11%0.4159-12.86%0.0249✓0.82625k2022-09-25
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012430.00001178-5.23%0.00001103-11.26%0.0034✓0.94948k2022-09-25
LPTLivepeerEthereum10.539.9699-5.32%9.24-12.25%0.0109✓1.19466k2022-09-25
API3Api3Ethereum1.6831.5931-5.34%1.593-5.35%0.0693✗0.95782k2022-09-25
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos11.55410.9201-5.49%13.976+20.96%0.3291✗1.1210.4M2022-09-25
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.10240.096742-5.52%0.1012-1.17%0.1255✗1.103.9M2022-09-25
CVCCivicEthereum0.1430.135022-5.58%0.129-9.79%0.0288✓1.01190k2022-09-25
ETCEthereum Classicnative33.9132.0102-5.60%28.38-16.31%0.0147✓1.4416.0M2022-09-25
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2740.25838-5.70%0.25-8.76%0.0207✓0.73826k2022-09-25
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.015860.014951-5.73%0.0107-32.53%0.2855✓0.67171k2022-09-25
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9250.87182-5.75%0.919-0.65%0.1421✗1.221.4M2022-09-25
ORCAOrcaSolana0.80010.754037-5.76%0.8499+6.22%0.2247✗1.43193k2022-09-25
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0635310.059842-5.81%0.061274-3.55%0.1000✗1.041.9M2022-09-25
METISMetisEthereum31.129.2895-5.82%23.75-23.63%0.0715✓1.88348k2022-09-25
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash116.16109.3917-5.83%113.48-2.31%0.1200✗1.134.9M2022-09-25
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.6321.5342-5.99%1.21-25.86%0.1488✓1.2196k2022-09-25
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.336050.315907-5.99%0.30082-10.48%0.0230✓0.9870k2022-09-25
GMTGMTEthereum0.70530.662864-6.02%0.618-12.38%0.0353✓1.44258k2022-09-25
PROPropyEthereum0.730.685603-6.08%0.65-10.96%0.0276✓0.35105k2022-09-25
GALAGALAEthereum0.04980.046743-6.14%0.0406-18.47%0.0674✓1.00251k2022-09-25
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.234.9084-6.15%5.36+2.49%0.1177✗0.402.8M2022-09-25
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum13.312.481-6.16%12.39-6.84%0.0831✗1.231.2M2022-09-25
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0231980.021766-6.17%0.025743+10.97%0.1766✗0.12250k2022-09-25
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.5460.511824-6.26%0.465-14.84%0.0156✓1.0996k2022-09-25
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.291.2088-6.30%1.13-12.40%0.0032✓0.96182k2022-09-25
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.007650.007155-6.47%0.0069-9.80%0.0463✓1.13503k2022-09-25
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.045.6467-6.51%6.91+14.40%0.2329✗0.422.1M2022-09-25
RADRadworksEthereum2.252.1004-6.65%2.03-9.78%0.0240✓0.79451k2022-09-25
YFIyearn.financeEthereum8,981.548,380.77-6.69%8,084.45-9.99%0.0637✓1.367.3M2022-09-25
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.6715.2801-6.89%5.717+0.81%0.1430✗0.8710.1M2022-09-25
OPTIMOptimism1.0190.947999-6.97%0.904-11.29%0.0803✗1.743.5M2022-09-25
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.39830.370323-7.02%0.2949-25.96%0.1462✓1.11152k2022-09-25
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.003120.0029-7.04%0.002104-32.56%0.2556✓0.891.1M2022-09-25
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.063210.058698-7.14%0.06083-3.77%0.1179✗1.122.4M2022-09-25
TRBTellor TributesEthereum37.3934.6691-7.28%15.23-59.27%0.7591✓0.871.8M2022-09-25
UOSUltraEthereum0.340.314383-7.53%0.38138+12.17%0.2626✗0.95321k2022-09-25
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.1493.8332-7.61%4.058-2.19%0.0671✓0.142.4M2022-09-25
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.036890.034065-7.66%0.02945-20.17%0.0721✓1.0031k2022-09-25
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0013750.001269-7.67%0.001035-24.67%0.1448✓0.802.0M2022-09-25
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.085260.078669-7.73%0.07522-11.78%0.0400✓0.07637k2022-09-25
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain5.08664.6881-7.83%6.5495+28.76%0.3497✗0.215.1M2022-09-25
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.693.3924-8.06%3.974+7.70%0.2012✗0.593.5M2022-09-25
CTKShentuOsmosis0.9280.850239-8.38%0.862-7.11%0.0439✓0.414.2M2022-09-25
LUNATerraTerra 20.000123060.000112451-8.62%0.00019608+59.34%0.6194✗0.86340k2022-09-25
OGOG Fan TokenSolana5.6925.1877-8.86%5.84+2.60%0.1461✗0.385.3M2022-09-25
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.24891.1275-9.72%1.1659-6.65%0.1024✗0.941.5M2022-09-25
CHZChilizEthereum0.20770.187201-9.87%0.2555+23.01%0.3710✗0.822.8M2022-09-25
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.78814.2986-10.22%7.7616+62.10%0.6093✗0.254.2M2022-09-25
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.2253.7573-11.07%3.81-9.82%0.0860✓0.98269k2022-09-25
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.30273.7999-11.69%5.704+32.57%0.4796✗1.00169k2022-09-25
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.10060.088808-11.72%0.0879-12.62%0.0449✓0.75247k2022-09-25
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain11.74410.1205-13.82%18.429+56.92%0.6346✗0.484.8M2022-09-25
BRISEBitgertEthereum7.57e-76.33e-7-16.43%4.79e-7-36.69%0.2177✓0.82192k2022-09-25
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.