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2022-08-19 · +30d

gru_s2 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 189 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2571
188 of 189 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+14.07%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
66.0%
in alpha space · 67.0% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-6.80%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (189 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
AAVEAaveEthereum83.3786.7026+4.00%73.06-12.37%0.0643✗1.526.4M2022-09-18
TRXTRONTron0.0639770.066255+3.56%0.060789-4.98%0.0440✗0.60179k2022-09-18
APEApeCoinEthereum5.1065.2409+2.64%5.086-0.39%0.0645✓1.3411.8M2022-09-18
GTGateEthereum4.3734.4841+2.54%4.1187-5.82%0.0315✗0.76847k2022-09-18
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.05041.0768+2.52%0.935-10.99%0.0380✗1.475.6M2022-09-18
STORJStorjEthereum0.56970.582637+2.27%0.4662-18.17%0.1316✗1.3046k2022-09-18
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.5061.538+2.13%1.336-11.29%0.0569✗1.19150k2022-09-18
BTCBitcoinBitcoin20,834.9421,276.09+2.12%19,417.64-6.80%0.0210✗1.00472.7M2022-09-18
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.06180.063056+2.03%0.0619+0.16%0.0447✓0.90130k2022-09-18
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum21,334.3021,725.02+1.83%19,440.70-8.88%0.0438✗0.957,5932022-09-18
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0017170.001748+1.82%0.001548-9.84%0.0512✗1.00871k2022-09-18
XMRMoneroMonero142.31144.8568+1.79%140.49-1.28%0.0395✓0.991.2M2022-09-18
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.8012.8511+1.79%2.44-12.89%0.0455✗1.565.2M2022-09-18
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.0451.061+1.53%0.8289-20.68%0.1615✗1.211.1M2022-09-18
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08480.086003+1.42%0.0811-4.36%0.0097✓0.9712k2022-09-18
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.2061.2218+1.31%1.065-11.69%0.0682✗0.982.3M2022-09-18
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04470.04528+1.30%0.0427-4.47%0.0091✓0.96201k2022-09-18
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03470.035148+1.29%0.0332-4.32%0.0102✓0.9576k2022-09-18
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.360.364475+1.24%0.3151-12.47%0.0581✗1.24208k2022-09-18
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.37960.384263+1.23%0.299-21.23%0.1602✗1.29197k2022-09-18
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10650.107656+1.09%0.0931-12.58%0.0944✗0.724,2082022-09-18
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0679370.068647+1.05%0.0573-15.66%0.1089✗1.021.9M2022-09-18
STEEMSteemnative0.23040.232553+0.93%0.2197-4.64%0.0074✓0.91550k2022-09-18
ETHEthereumEthereum1,608.721,622.38+0.85%1,334.72-17.03%0.1014✗1.33528.6M2022-09-18
DEXEDeXeEthereum33.0252+0.84%2.925-2.50%0.0109✓0.63803k2022-09-18
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000013170.00001328+0.83%0.00001061-19.44%0.1605✗0.91827k2022-09-18
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.160550.161821+0.79%0.16044-0.07%0.1413✓2.136672022-09-18
DODODODOEthereum0.12930.130321+0.79%0.1208-6.57%0.0066✓0.982.0M2022-09-18
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.8996.9521+0.77%7.523+9.04%0.1544✓1.0720.0M2022-09-18
LTCLitecoinLitecoin54.0254.3875+0.68%52.65-2.54%0.0377✓1.0013.1M2022-09-18
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.066430.066864+0.65%0.06413-3.46%0.0153✓0.819142022-09-18
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.23261.2392+0.53%1.2237-0.72%0.0558✓0.971.0M2022-09-18
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.02211.0272+0.50%0.9352-8.50%0.0552✗0.553.9M2022-09-18
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3022980.303743+0.48%0.266614-11.80%0.0537✗1.09884k2022-09-18
UNIUniswapEthereum6.8956.9277+0.47%5.466-20.73%0.1469✗1.2810.7M2022-09-18
GMTGMTEthereum0.7760.779471+0.45%0.6036-22.22%0.1554✗1.42433k2022-09-18
ADACardanoCardano0.44970.451505+0.40%0.4478-0.42%0.0656✓1.0542.0M2022-09-18
IMXImmutableEthereum0.8790.8824+0.39%0.7498-14.70%0.0860✗1.092.2M2022-09-18
HIVEHivenative0.55690.558999+0.38%0.512-8.06%0.0238✗0.911.9M2022-09-18
ELAElastosEthereum1.871.8756+0.30%1.531-18.13%0.1353✗0.96156k2022-09-18
XVSVenusEthereum5.85.816+0.28%4.63-20.17%0.1678✗0.861.6M2022-09-18
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.5740.575551+0.27%0.384-33.10%0.3209✗1.192,9182022-09-18
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.1122.1176+0.27%1.646-22.06%0.1312✗1.71131k2022-09-18
NANOnanopayBase0.8840250.884764+0.08%0.785842-11.11%0.0640✗0.7777k2022-09-18
XLMStellarStellar0.1080670.108133+0.06%0.1072-0.80%0.0526✓0.877.5M2022-09-18
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.013810.013815+0.04%0.011882-13.96%0.1089✗0.591.9M2022-09-18
GLMGolemEthereum0.25160.251622+0.01%0.2724+8.27%0.1466✓0.9681k2022-09-18
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.12210.122079-0.02%0.1267+3.77%0.1102✗1.0439k2022-09-18
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.22090.220835-0.03%0.1954-11.54%0.0504✓1.0277k2022-09-18
KCSKuCoinnative9.3599.355-0.04%8.956-4.31%0.0238✗0.961.9M2022-09-18
AVTAventusEthereum1.381.3793-0.05%1.42+2.90%0.0265✗-0.04115k2022-09-18
SOLSolanaSolana35.8235.7939-0.07%31.1-13.18%0.0583✓1.1775.2M2022-09-18
ASTRAstarEthereum0.03980.03977-0.07%0.0363-8.79%0.0273✓0.9111k2022-09-18
ZENHorizenBase16.1716.1571-0.08%13.34-17.50%0.1136✓1.11125k2022-09-18
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.02240.022379-0.09%0.01917-14.42%0.0926✓0.8813.9M2022-09-18
LPTLivepeerEthereum9.779.7575-0.13%8.65-11.46%0.0376✓1.18313k2022-09-18
COMPCompoundEthereum49.9149.819-0.18%47.61-4.61%0.0413✗1.2317k2022-09-18
METISMetisEthereum32.432.3399-0.19%23.19-28.43%0.2011✓1.87391k2022-09-18
XECeCashnative0.000038430.000038356-0.19%0.00003918+1.95%0.0835✗0.881.9M2022-09-18
QTUMQtumQtum3.34773.3402-0.22%2.8489-14.90%0.0896✓0.9948k2022-09-18
SUNSun TokenTron0.0058610.005843-0.30%0.005544-5.41%0.0036✓0.703,0362022-09-18
YFIyearn.financeEthereum8,613.218,585.43-0.32%8,342.07-3.15%0.0672✗1.367.3M2022-09-18
FTTFTXEthereum26.4126.3245-0.32%23.45-11.21%0.0487✓0.958.9M2022-09-18
FORTFortaEthereum0.27150.270549-0.35%0.1846-32.01%0.3130✓0.98149k2022-09-18
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash114.49114.0717-0.37%111.83-2.32%0.0581✗1.115.0M2022-09-18
CBKCobakEthereum0.941750.937696-0.43%0.78032-17.14%0.1140✓0.9912k2022-09-18
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.677.6356-0.45%6.16-19.69%0.1370✓1.10592k2022-09-18
STXStacksnative0.39090.388861-0.52%0.3266-16.45%0.0959✓1.12512k2022-09-18
CHRChromiaEthereum0.17220.17117-0.60%0.1496-13.12%0.0394✓1.351,3132022-09-18
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.1860.184855-0.62%0.14138-23.99%0.1931✓1.06657k2022-09-18
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.321.3118-0.62%1.17-11.36%0.0474✓0.95182k2022-09-18
FISStafiEthereum0.35990.357625-0.63%0.3429-4.72%0.0221✗0.911922022-09-18
LUNATerraTerra 20.000085910.000085367-0.63%0.00027312+217.91%1.2317✗0.98336k2022-09-18
BTTBitTorrentEthereum8.70e-78.64e-7-0.65%8.00e-7-8.05%0.0212✓0.8020k2022-09-18
ZECZcashZcash62.2361.8278-0.65%53.33-14.30%0.0686✓1.132.0M2022-09-18
DKAdKargoEthereum0.044520.044224-0.66%0.04034-9.39%0.0385✓0.7616k2022-09-18
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.12790.126984-0.72%0.1145-10.48%0.0624✓0.584.1M2022-09-18
BFCBifrostEthereum0.074290.073707-0.78%0.06225-16.21%0.0861✓1.1829k2022-09-18
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche22.4422.2631-0.79%16.72-25.49%0.1940✓1.3125.9M2022-09-18
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood2.752.7276-0.81%2.25-18.18%0.1575✓0.5096k2022-09-18
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum12.812.6951-0.82%12.84+0.31%0.0891✗1.102.6M2022-09-18
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.039630.039301-0.83%0.03461-12.67%0.0678✓0.842,6002022-09-18
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.138440.137284-0.84%0.12379-10.58%0.0169✓1.23250k2022-09-18
DIADIAEthereum0.386730.38343-0.85%0.37245-3.69%0.0374✗0.9470k2022-09-18
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.338310.33522-0.91%0.43553+28.74%0.3361✗1.05426k2022-09-18
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.4096.3494-0.93%5.851-8.71%0.0157✓0.945.3M2022-09-18
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.20715.1582-0.94%4.6704-10.31%0.0892✓0.14190k2022-09-18
LCXLCXEthereum0.06350.062889-0.96%0.0491-22.68%0.1685✓1.12322k2022-09-18
RARESuperRareEthereum0.20540.203399-0.97%0.1768-13.92%0.0697✓1.00128k2022-09-18
BANDBandEthereum1.3251.312-0.98%1.165-12.08%0.0307✓1.25491k2022-09-18
MANADecentralandEthereum0.844510.836198-0.98%0.70221-16.85%0.1094✓0.93538k2022-09-18
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10850.107347-1.06%0.0991-8.66%0.0194✓0.86274k2022-09-18
UMAUMAEthereum2.822.7897-1.07%2.396-15.04%0.0935✓0.83734k2022-09-18
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5620.555822-1.10%0.468-16.73%0.0917✓1.1495k2022-09-18
LSKLiskEthereum1.0681.056-1.13%0.954978-10.59%0.0380✓0.8956k2022-09-18
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.28280.279576-1.14%0.2517-11.00%0.0374✓0.963.6M2022-09-18
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.10550.104261-1.17%0.1-5.21%0.0339✗1.073.7M2022-09-18
BTTCBTTC8.70e-78.60e-7-1.19%7.90e-7-9.20%0.0279✓0.803.6M2022-09-18
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.6611.641-1.20%1.197-27.93%0.2312✓1.20133k2022-09-18
QNTQuantEthereum99.2898.0649-1.22%104.08+4.83%0.1179✗0.833.4M2022-09-18
SCSiacoinnative0.004120.004068-1.26%0.00356-13.59%0.0619✓1.01152k2022-09-18
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.007430.007335-1.28%0.00744+0.13%0.0894✗1.07435k2022-09-18
XVGVergenative0.00320.003159-1.29%0.00322+0.62%0.0926✗1.04508k2022-09-18
SKLSKALEEthereum0.0510.050342-1.29%0.037-27.45%0.2386✓0.98827k2022-09-18
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.3030.29909-1.29%0.293-3.30%0.0447✗0.938.2M2022-09-18
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.361490.356817-1.29%0.30461-15.73%0.0893✓0.9890k2022-09-18
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos10.75910.6182-1.31%14.707+36.69%0.4038✗1.1111.4M2022-09-18
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV51.30250.6217-1.33%48.437-5.58%0.0078✓0.74354k2022-09-18
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.21250.20967-1.33%0.1831-13.84%0.0410✓1.34110k2022-09-18
MOVRMoonriverBase12.975512.7985-1.36%11.3049-12.88%0.0573✓0.9548k2022-09-18
BORABORAKlay Token0.293330.28932-1.37%0.25124-14.35%0.0660✓1.0713k2022-09-18
NMRNumeraireEthereum17.4617.213-1.41%15.52-11.11%0.0541✓0.702.0M2022-09-18
AMPAmpEthereum0.007030.006928-1.45%0.00503-28.45%0.2748✓0.641.4M2022-09-18
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.32.2662-1.47%1.79-22.17%0.1509✓1.21259k2022-09-18
UOSUltraEthereum0.295510.291108-1.49%0.38485+30.23%0.3426✗0.90383k2022-09-18
DASHDashDash44.8644.1686-1.54%40.12-10.57%0.0269✓0.98521k2022-09-18
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2720.267685-1.59%0.254-6.62%0.0021✓0.71878k2022-09-18
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.022510.022153-1.59%0.01968-12.57%0.0577✓0.86419k2022-09-18
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6760.665071-1.62%0.552-18.34%0.0898✓1.374.6M2022-09-18
GITCOINGITCOIN2.30442.2668-1.63%1.7772-22.88%0.1584✓1.2113k2022-09-18
CELLCellframeEthereum0.31030.304949-1.72%0.2612-15.82%0.0735✓1.15110k2022-09-18
XTZTezosTezos1.57821.5507-1.74%1.4386-8.85%0.0045✓1.13494k2022-09-18
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0033210.003262-1.77%0.002574-22.49%0.1792✓0.821.0M2022-09-18
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05620.055206-1.77%0.0557-0.89%0.0745✗0.93112k2022-09-18
COTICOTIEthereum0.09750.095774-1.77%0.0912-6.46%0.0178✓0.95430k2022-09-18
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.47540.466939-1.78%0.4415-7.13%0.0222✗1.11386k2022-09-18
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6780.665927-1.78%0.572-15.63%0.0868✓0.93333k2022-09-18
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.49670.487793-1.79%0.4395-11.52%0.0472✓0.81713k2022-09-18
WOOWOOEthereum0.17670.173497-1.81%0.1415-19.92%0.1322✓1.021,7442022-09-18
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26120.256329-1.87%0.1131-56.70%0.8175✓0.0181k2022-09-18
ETCEthereum Classicnative32.9832.3622-1.87%29.61-10.22%0.0113✓1.4216.5M2022-09-18
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.1512.1105-1.88%1.808-15.95%0.0733✓1.1660k2022-09-18
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06570.064455-1.90%0.0565-14.00%0.0469✓1.201.3M2022-09-18
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum3.133.0692-1.94%3.847+22.91%0.2891✗0.90127k2022-09-18
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.88251.845-1.99%1.6754-11.00%0.0218✓1.0636k2022-09-18
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.071730.0703-1.99%0.05724-20.20%0.1265✓1.122.4M2022-09-18
SUSHISushiEthereum1.181.156-2.03%1.0284-12.85%0.0311✓1.221.1M2022-09-18
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009050.008861-2.09%0.00752-16.91%0.1122✓0.745.8M2022-09-18
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0014790.001448-2.09%0.001429-3.38%0.0373✗0.729,5772022-09-18
SGBSongbirdnative0.02640.025838-2.13%0.0208-21.21%0.1716✓0.6437k2022-09-18
CVCCivicEthereum0.15020.146971-2.15%0.129-14.11%0.0581✓1.03149k2022-09-18
C98Coin98Ethereum0.40430.395413-2.20%0.3859-4.55%0.0535✗1.1066k2022-09-18
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4290.419545-2.20%0.426-0.70%0.0850✗0.999,8012022-09-18
API3Api3Ethereum1.9141.871-2.25%1.433-25.13%0.2023✓0.91657k2022-09-18
FILFilecoinFilecoin6.4666.3191-2.27%5.265-18.57%0.1220✓0.8610.1M2022-09-18
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.2313.904-2.29%12.03-15.46%0.0585✓1.221.4M2022-09-18
LRCLoopringEthereum0.37240.363655-2.35%0.3025-18.77%0.1081✓1.08176k2022-09-18
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017070.016665-2.37%0.01153-32.45%0.3251✓0.61153k2022-09-18
XEMNEMnative0.0452650.044173-2.41%0.039656-12.39%0.0464✓0.8735k2022-09-18
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.025810.025152-2.55%0.02202-14.68%0.0437✓1.272,9912022-09-18
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.78251.7366-2.58%1.4393-19.25%0.1106✓1.10598k2022-09-18
NEXONEXOEthereum0.8340.811169-2.74%0.879+5.40%0.1649✗1.201.0M2022-09-18
ORCAOrcaSolana0.86980.845003-2.85%0.8499-2.29%0.1107✗1.49224k2022-09-18
KSMKusamaHydration48.6347.1979-2.94%39.58-18.61%0.1080✓0.97560k2022-09-18
PROPropyEthereum0.740.717614-3.03%0.69-6.76%0.0109✓0.4086k2022-09-18
CTSICartesiEthereum0.15130.146639-3.08%0.1381-8.72%0.0105✓1.00586k2022-09-18
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8470.820769-3.10%0.864+2.01%0.0823✗0.444.4M2022-09-18
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0210660.020396-3.18%0.020014-4.99%0.0393✗0.8312k2022-09-18
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.09543.9634-3.22%4.9458+20.76%0.2919✗1.00171k2022-09-18
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.11771.0814-3.24%–pending––1.1112k2022-09-18
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.03860.037335-3.28%0.03069-20.49%0.1250✓1.0121k2022-09-18
MINAMina Protocolnative0.7080.684452-3.33%0.592-16.38%0.0830✓0.88271k2022-09-18
XYMSymbolnative0.048250.046575-3.47%0.039181-18.80%0.1355✓0.5330k2022-09-18
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.9276.6844-3.50%5.554-19.82%0.1749✓0.154.4M2022-09-18
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.3037.0464-3.51%6.443-11.78%0.0177✓1.0214.0M2022-09-18
FLOWFlownative2.1212.0439-3.63%1.653-22.07%0.1202✓1.311.0M2022-09-18
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.6090.586166-3.75%0.473-22.33%0.1351✓1.13112k2022-09-18
GALAGALAEthereum0.05320.050975-4.18%0.042-21.05%0.1232✓1.00253k2022-09-18
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0014410.001379-4.27%0.001075-25.36%0.1944✓0.771.6M2022-09-18
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0066910.006403-4.30%0.0063-5.84%0.0165✓0.4657k2022-09-18
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0259670.024822-4.41%0.026132+0.64%0.0598✗0.12233k2022-09-18
OPTIMOptimism1.2221.1676-4.46%0.929-23.98%0.1064✓1.733.7M2022-09-18
RADRadworksEthereum2.292.1829-4.68%2.09-8.73%0.0162✓0.85798k2022-09-18
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana7.026.6807-4.83%6.01-14.39%0.0819✓0.341.1M2022-09-18
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.395.1188-5.03%4.22-21.71%0.1646✓0.401.1M2022-09-18
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.9724.7217-5.03%3.731-24.96%0.2295✓0.092.1M2022-09-18
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.72553.5271-5.33%3.63-2.56%0.0659✗0.531.4M2022-09-18
BRISEBitgertEthereum6.08e-75.75e-7-5.39%5.65e-7-6.99%0.0341✓0.73164k2022-09-18
CHZChilizEthereum0.19610.185254-5.53%0.2313+17.95%0.2806✗0.831.3M2022-09-18
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.087410.082385-5.75%0.06377-27.04%0.2508✓0.08959k2022-09-18
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.876.4671-5.86%5.56-19.07%0.1242✓0.381.8M2022-09-18
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.7014.4151-6.08%3.699-21.31%0.1561✓0.301.6M2022-09-18
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.578.9641-6.33%7.93-17.14%0.0929✓0.422.0M2022-09-18
TRBTellor TributesEthereum41.7538.7975-7.07%14.09-66.25%0.9469✓0.941.8M2022-09-18
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.04224.6736-7.31%6.0254+19.50%0.2651✗0.162.1M2022-09-18
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.235.7357-7.93%5.19-16.69%0.0753✓0.352.8M2022-09-18
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.10960.100033-8.73%0.1002-8.58%0.0526✓0.72220k2022-09-18
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain6.75715.9773-11.54%5.6084-17.00%0.0519✓0.172.1M2022-09-18
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain13.48811.8063-12.47%12.26-9.10%0.0682✓0.431.4M2022-09-18
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.